#ParisAgreement climate accord fails – CO2 emissions growing worldwide- Trump vindicated for pulling out

The Paris Climate Accords Are Looking More and More Like Fantasy

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Remember Paris? It was not even two years ago that the celebrated climate accords were signed — defining two degrees of global warming as a must-meet target and rallying all the world’s nations to meet it — and the returns are already dispiritingly grim.

This week, the International Energy Agency announced that carbon emissions grew 1.7 percent in 2017, after an ambiguous couple of years optimists hoped represented a leveling off, or peak; instead, we’re climbing again.

Even before the new spike, not a single major industrial nation was on track to fulfill the commitments it made in the Paris treaty. To keep the planet under two degrees of warming — a level that was, not all that long ago, defined as the threshold of climate catastrophe — all signatory nations have to match or better those commitments. There are 195 signatories, of which only the following are considered even “in range” of their Paris targets: Morocco, Gambia, Bhutan, Costa Rica, Ethiopia, India, and the Philippines.

This puts Donald Trump’s commitment to withdraw from the treaty in a useful perspective; in fact, his spite may ultimately prove perversely productive, since the evacuation of American leadership on climate seems to have mobilized China, eager to claim the mantle and far more consequential to the future of the planet because of its size and relative poverty, to adopt a much more aggressive posture toward climate. Of course those renewed Chinese commitments are, at this point, just rhetorical, too.

More here


From the recently released IEA report:

Global energy-related CO2 emissions rose by 1.4% in 2017, an increase of 460 million tonnes (Mt), and reached a historic high of 32.5 Gt. Last year’s growth came after three years of flat emissions and contrasts with the sharp reduction needed to meet the goals of the Paris Agreement on climate change.

The increase in carbon emissions, equivalent to the emissions of 170 million additional cars, was the result of robust global economic growth of 3.7%, lower fossil-fuel prices and weaker energy efficiency efforts. These three factors contributed to pushing up global energy demand by 2.1% in 2017.

The trend of growing emissions, however, was not universal. While most major economies saw a rise in carbon emissions, some others experienced declines, such as the United States, the United Kingdom, Mexico and Japan.

The biggest decline came from the United States, where emissions dropped by 0.5%, or 25 Mt, to 4 810 Mt of CO2, marking the third consecutive year of decline. While coal-to-gas switching played a major role in reducing emissions in previous years, last year the drop was the result of higher renewables-based electricity generation and a decline in electricity demand. The share of renewables in electricity generation reached a record level of 17%, while the share of nuclear power held steady at 20%.

The growth in energy-related carbon dioxide emissions in 2017 is a strong warning for global efforts to combat climate change, and demonstrates that current efforts are insufficient to meet the objectives of the Paris Agreement.


It seems President Trump was right. The U.S. isn’t even a part of the Paris accord anymore since president Trump pulled out of the accord last year, and yet it is the leader in CO2 emission reductions by country.

Predictably, warmists will not be amused.

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Michael Carter
March 26, 2018 11:25 am

How is this calculated – fuel consumption? How will the current NH winter fuel consumption impact?
Regards
M

MarkW
Reply to  Michael Carter
March 26, 2018 11:31 am

It’s not calculated. It’s reported by the governments of the responding countries.
How do those countries calculate their reported emissions.
A few make an honest effort to actually measure how much coal, oil and natural gas were consumed.
Most just make it up.

Chris
Reply to  MarkW
March 27, 2018 9:50 am

“Most just make it up.”
Evidence to support that claim?

March 26, 2018 11:36 am

…since the evacuation of American leadership on climate seems to have mobilized China, eager to claim the mantle…

Really? Doesn’t look to me like China it trying to reduce its emissions.comment image?w=720
Didn’t China state that they were planning to peek emissions in 2030?

LdB
Reply to  Jeff in Calgary
March 26, 2018 5:49 pm

Yes and they will miss that on current projections. They are looking like they will peak direct CO2 emissions like this article is about but they will miss by miles on non-CO2 GHG emissions.
Source: the green lunatics fringes own monitoring group
http://climateactiontracker.org/countries/china.html

DeLoss McKnight
March 26, 2018 11:40 am

What I found interesting in this article is not quoted above. First, there was an admission of how difficult and unlikely that carbon sequestration will be the solution to preventing a 2C rise in temperature. Second, the article spent a considerable amount of space discussing a study that the number of deaths to be expected if we have a 2 degree instead of a 1.5 degree rise will be 150 million people. The author states this as 25 Holocausts. There is no discussion as to how this would happen, just condemnation for inaction.

Michael Carter
March 26, 2018 11:59 am

To anyone who understands the influence of economics and political tolerance any action is purely symbolic. Unfortunately such people are few and far between
Regards
M

Ed Zuiderwijk
March 26, 2018 12:02 pm

There will not be a 2 degree rise in temperature. That number is based on the wildly overestimated ‘forcing’ by CO2 in fundamentally flawed climate models. The failure of the Paris treaty is without consequence in the real world. In the imaginary world of virtue signaling it’s a different story, but what rationalist cares about that?

Alan Tomalty
March 26, 2018 12:36 pm

direct from the IEA report
“The overall share of fossil fuels in global energy demand in 2017 remained at 81%, a level that has remained stable for more than three decades despite strong growth in renewables.”
Proof that intermittent renewables will NEVER replace fossil fuels.

Samuel C Cogar
March 26, 2018 2:45 pm

Quoting: David Wallace-Wells

This week, the International Energy Agency announced that carbon emissions grew 1.7 percent in 2017, after an ambiguous couple of years optimists hoped represented a leveling off, or peak; instead, we’re climbing again

WOW, so anthropogenic carbon emissions grew by 1.7 percent in 2017, but atmospheric carbon only grew by 1.95 ppm in 2017. …… to wit:
Maximum to Minimum yearly CO2 ppm data – 2013 thru 2018
Source: NOAA’s Mauna Loa Monthly Mean CO2 data base
ftp://aftp.cmdl.noaa.gov/products/trends/co2/co2_mm_mlo.txt
CO2 “Max” ppm Fiscal Year – mid-May to mid-May
year mth “Max” _ yearly increase ____ mth “Min” ppm
2013 _ 5 _ 399.76 …. +2.98 __________ 9 … 393.51
2014 _ 5 _ 401.88 …. +2.12 __________ 9 … 395.35
2015 _ 5 _ 403.94 …. +2.06 __________ 9 … 397.63
2016 _ 5 _ 407.70 …. +3.76 El Niño __ 9 … 401.03
2017 _ 5 _ 409.65 …. +1.95 __________ 9 … 403.38 (lowest CO2 ppm in 2017)
After the Autumnal equinox on Sep 21st, atmospheric CO2 ppm began increasing, to wit:
2017 _ 10 (Oct ) _ 403.64 …. +0.26
2017 _ 11 (Nov) _ 405.14…. +1.50
2017 _ 12 (Dec) _ 406.82 …. +1.68
2018 __ 1 (Jan ) _ 407.98 …. +1.16
2018 __ 2 (Feb) _ 408.35 …. +0.37
2018 __ 3 (Mar) _ 410.16…. +1.81 …… total increase 6.78 ppm
There has been an average monthly increase of 1.13 ppm in CO2 for the 6 months of Oct 3, 2017 thru Mar 5, 2018.
CO2 ppm will continue to increase during the month of April 2018 and during the 1st 17 to 21 days of May 2018, when it will reach its “maximum CO2 ppm” for fiscal year 2018, which I estimate will be 413.13 ppm.

gunsmithkat
March 26, 2018 5:39 pm

The US involvement was just an agreement between BHO and a bunch of other world leaders, it wasn’t ratified by the Senate so basically just another EO.

BallBounces
March 26, 2018 9:15 pm

So… we… won’t always have Paris?

March 27, 2018 2:23 am

Co2 has nothing to do with the global warming scam the UN stated that the global warming meme is a way to take money off developed countries and give it to other underdeveloped countries. CO2 is the means to make a cash cow through propaganda it does not warm the planet it just makes plants grow better. This entire episode of our history in the future will be looked upon with a frown and a chuckle that we could be so stupid.

Amber
March 28, 2018 4:33 pm

Well maybe the answer is to double the number of all expenses paid conferences . Get Al and Di creep to fly over by jet pooling .

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