Monday Mirthiness – ‘Russia caused Climategate’

Lol, this is hilarious! Asteroid expert and self-appointed super-sleuth Mark Boslough has it all figured out (on Twitter no less). It was the Russians wot dun it! Just like his ilk finds the effects of “climate change” under every rock and behind every tree, and no longer content to blame Exxon-Moblie, Boslogh has used his super-brain to figure out the ultimate reason behind Climategate and continued climate skepticism. He claims the Russians have funded us! Yeah, that’s the ticket! (h/t to Phil Robert Schaeffer)


 

Boslough is the chairman of “Asteroid Day”, which occurs yearly on the anniversary of the 1908 Tunguska impact in….drum roll….Russia. While I agree with his goals there, because I’ve said before that an asteroid impact event is a far greater threat to the planet and humanity than than “climate change”, you have to wonder how somebody as intelligent as Boslough can fall victim to such wild conspiracy theory.

The derangement over “Russia” in nearly everything political these days (and climate change is no longer just about science, it’s highly politically charged) [seems] to run deep in the left. They can’t seem to logically reconcile that Hillary Clinton lost the Presidency on her own merits (or lack thereof) so it had to be “Russian meddling”.

Climatgate started right here on WUWT. And our own Charles the Moderator and Steven Mosher were the first ones to receive and view the files. They were also in contact with the person who left the files from the University of East Anglia of a Russian “dump” server. Oh gosh, that’s it a Russian Server. I was in Europe at the time, and I asked them to wait until I got back before releasing any of the files publicly. We had to confirm their authenticity first, and I was concerned that if they were made public, I might be stopped during my return to the USA. Steve McIntyre summed it up in the Mosher Timeline under the section: “The dog that didn’t bark”. Once I cleared customs in Dulles, I sat down with my laptop and wrote the story that broke the news.

Here’s what Wikipedia says about it:

On 19 November an archive file containing the data was uploaded to a server in Tomsk, Russia,[23] and then copied to numerous locations across the Internet.[8] An anonymous post from a Saudi ArabianIP address[24] to the climate-sceptic blog The Air Vent[20] described the material as “a random selection of correspondence, code, and documents”, adding that climate science is “too important to be kept under wraps”.[25] That same day, Stephen McIntyre of Climate Audit was forwarded an internal email sent to UEA staff warning that “climate change sceptics” had obtained a “large volume of files and emails”. Charles Rotter, moderator of the climate-sceptic blog Watts Up With That, which had been the first to get a link and download the files, gave a copy to his flatmate Steve Mosher. Mosher received a posting from the hacker complaining that nothing was happening and replied: “A lot is happening behind the scenes. It is not being ignored. Much is being coordinated among major players and the media. Thank you very much. You will notice the beginnings of activity on other sites now. Here soon to follow.” Shortly afterwards, the emails began to be widely publicised on climate-sceptic blogs.[22] On 20 November the story emerged in mainstream media.[8]

Readers may recall that Steve Mosher was instrumental in figuring out who dumped a bunch of files into the media in Peter Gleick’s “Fakegate”, where a forged fie was given to the media to make it look like climate skeptics were employed by the conservative think tank The Heartland institute, among many other claims. Mosher [figured] out it was Gleick who did it, and a forensic analysis of the writing style by a court-level writing expert using a computer analysis of writing patterns pretty much confirmed it was Gleick who did it.

Similarly Mosher, Charles, McIntyre and I have spent quite a bit of time trying to figure out the identity of the [Climategate] leaker. It is clear to us that even though the FTP link was to a Russian “dump” server, used to host all sorts of pirated files like software and games, that was simply a way for the person to separate themselves geographically from the source of the files in the UK in East Anglia. This isn’t particularly sophisticated, hackers and gamers do this all the time to cover their tracks when they post illegally pirated software. These are called “warez” servers.

Mosher spent a lot of time looking at the wording of the communications from the leaker, and the opportunity. He’s identified a person, and while I won’t share the name here, I can tell you it’s a person at UEA, not in Russia.

Long-time readers may remember when McIntyre and I were toying with the folks at UEA over the Yamal and HadCRUT files. You see, the server security was so bad at UEA, that McIntyre discovered one critical file he was seeking via FOIA was just lying on their server in plain wide-open FTP public sight. Once it was discovered that McIntyre had the file, the folks at the Climate Research Unit at UEA started thinking of nefarious methods, like hacking rather than their own incompetency. To help that along, I wrote a satirical piece on the imagined Mole at UEA. What was really going on was that I had public FTP access to the file on the UEA server, just like Steve did. Readers may also recall another article I wrote, post Climategate where it was discovered that the director of CRU, Dr. Phil Jones, was so computer un-savvy, that he couldn’t even plot temperature trends in Excel.

From our story It’s Time For The Person Who Leaked the CRU Emails To Step Forward by Dr. Tim Ball:

Canadian network engineer Lance Levsen after detailed analysis showed, convincingly, the source was someone within the university. He concluded“For the hacker to have collected all of this information s/he would have required extraordinary capabilities…to crack an Administrative file server to get to the emails and crack numerous workstations, desktops, and servers to get the documents.” Access to the files is a major hurdle, but once inside there is a bigger challenge. Which files do you select? Whoever released the files knew which ones were significant. This required considerable knowledge of climate science as well as the politics and machinations of the people involved.

A comment posted on Anthony Watt’s web site encapsulates the problem. “It would take a hacker massive amounts of work to parse through decades of emails and files.” The commenter suggested a different scenario that involved hacking a single file. Such a file would exist because of “an ongoing process of internally collating this information for an FOI response is entirely consistent with what we find in the file.” The problem with this argument is that the emails appeared in November 2009, at which time both the CRU and the University of East Anglia were rejecting all FOI requests. In January 2005 Phil Jones states that he will be using IPR (Intellectual Property Rights) to shelter the data from Freedom of Information requests.” In an email on August 20th 2008, Prof. Jones says “The FOI line we’re all using is this. IPCC is exempt from any countries FOI – the skeptics have been told this. Even though we (MOHC, CRU/UEA) possibly hold relevant info the IPCC is not part our remit (mission statement, aims etc) therefore we don’t have an obligation to pass it on.” It is unlikely anyone did much work preparing files to answer FOI requests. Even if they did, files for an FOI request are different from those required to expose corruption and still required selection.

Levsen reached a solid and logical conclusion “the simplest explanation or strategy tends to be the best one”. “The simplest explanation in this case is that someone at UEA found it and released it to the wild and the release of FOIA2009.zip wasn’t because of some hacker, but because of a leak from UEA by a person with scruples.”

Bottom line: lax security, combined with UEA’s own FOIA refusals, likely caused the FOIA officer to leave a file with the emails (that he gathered for an anticipated FOIA release) left in the open on the server, and it was accessible [within] the UEA network. Our leaker, the person with the opportunity and the means, saw the file, and realized what a hot potato he had, and dumped it on the Russian Warez server. Then he made anonymous postings using a proxy server on various climate blogs to advertise the availability of the file. It was simple obfuscation using publicly available tools and apparently effective enough that the Norfolk police never figured out his identity, and closed the investigation.

This isn’t James Bond MI-6 level stuff, this is the sort of thing computer game players who don’t want to pay licenses fees and script-kiddies do every day on the web, no Russian help needed.

Mark Boslough should probably stick to asteroids.

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kokoda - AZEK (Deck Boards) doesn't stand behind its product
November 6, 2017 10:46 am

“…you have to wonder how somebody as intelligent as Boslough can fall victim to such wild conspiracy theory.”
It has nothing to do with intelligence; it has everything to do with politics.

Pop Piasa
November 6, 2017 10:56 am

This just fits the same old pattern of “an enemy within and and enemy without – in collaboration” that has been used to control nations (through fear and suspicion of one’s own neighbors) for centuries.

J Mac
November 6, 2017 11:47 am

The anti-science corruption exposed by the Climategate e-mails was real.
Russian collusion there – Nyet!

Now the Uraniumgate ‘contributions’ to the Clinton foundation and Bill Clinton’s $500,000 ‘speaking fees’ correlating with the sale of US uranium assets to Russia… Da!

TA
Reply to  J Mac
November 6, 2017 12:31 pm

If Mueller is honest, then Hillary and the gang look like they are in big trouble.

Lock her up!

The maybe she will shut up and leave the rest of us alone.

AndyG55
November 6, 2017 12:03 pm

I though I was going to get an oil czech, now its a russian !

November 6, 2017 12:07 pm

климат-контроль

Reply to  Robert Kernodle
November 7, 2017 9:18 am

Ha ha ha…..

3x2
November 6, 2017 12:18 pm

He’s identified a person, and while I won’t share the name here, I can tell you it’s a person at UEA, not in Russia.

Always the case. Anyone that has worked at such an institution knows full well that no hacking or conspiracy theory was required. Just a HDD.

fredar
November 6, 2017 12:48 pm

He makes wild claims like that without any kind of evidence and then calls people who disagree with him “deniers”. And this guy is supposed to be a scientist or something? Wtf.

November 6, 2017 1:40 pm

I just read that the Russians are paying green groups to work against fracking. Also read not too long ago that they paid for a documentary against fracking.

Charlie
November 6, 2017 1:40 pm

This is getting confusing. I thought we were all in the pay of western Big Oil.

R.S. Brown
November 6, 2017 3:16 pm

Just in time for COP23 !

Coeur de Lion
November 6, 2017 4:08 pm

Would all the scurrilous emails have been collected for FOI purposes by a complicit FOI official?

MarkW
November 6, 2017 4:52 pm

Even if they were hacked by the Russians (absolutely no evidence of that), all evidence points to the conclusion that the climate gate e-mails were accurate.

This is all an attempt to use a false scandal to try and bury the real scandal. The contents of those e-mails.

Much as the Democrats tried to gin up outrage over alleged Russian hacking of Hillary’s e-mails in an effort to avoid talking about the embarrassing contents of those e-mails.

Earthling2
November 6, 2017 5:16 pm

While Climategate was definitely an inside ‘job’ for all the reasons mentioned, that shouldn’t lessen any doubt that the Russians are hellbent on sowing discourse anywhere they can, because instability is the outcome they desire in the West. Thousands are employed in Russian troll farms writing comments in major newspapers around the world, with the only intent of stirring the pot. Sometimes writing opposing views and ‘arguing’ amongst themselves to make it look like a debate.

You even see that here at WUWT from time to time, although I obviously have no direct proof. I think I can tell who is and am sure that Russian trolls are here in spades, since if this is the worlds leading website blog on GW/CC, then they would be fools not to be. Climate politics globally is a national security issue, and forming public opinion is the corner stone of that policy. Why do you think that the harmless, benign, life sustaining molecule CO2 has become the evil gas it has become? Destabilizing the West on energy policy has the ability to win a war from within without firing a shot. Always remember what Khrushchev said – “We will take America without firing a shot. We do not have to invade the U.S. – We will destroy you from within.” Putin has a long memory, and this is one of his most effective tools for the money spent.

November 6, 2017 5:37 pm

https://youtu.be/uJPdTJ3n1RI
The fallback position for those who want their form of government (as long as they are in charge).

November 6, 2017 5:45 pm

Typos?

Climatgate started right here on WUWT. And our own Charles the Moderator and Steven Mosher were the first ones to receive and view the files. They were also in contact with the person who left the files from the University of East Anglia of a Russian “dump” server. Oh gosh, that’s it a Russain Server”

[lol, fixed,thanks. Anthony]

Reply to  ATheoK
November 7, 2017 2:24 pm

Maybe it’s not a typo?
Maybe it was Saddam Russain?

November 6, 2017 5:50 pm

Mark Boslough should have his tap water checked. When paranoiac fantasies start seeming real, Mark isn’t drinking plain water.

Of course, radiator gin can cause the same effects.

Steve McIntyre
November 7, 2017 7:35 am

Anthony, while we talked early on about the possibility of an inside job, I, for one, arrived fairly early on at the conclusion that it was a hack by a climate blog reader. As I’ve mentioned occasionally, the attentiveness of Mr FOIA to Yamal documents proved clearly to me that he was a careful reader of Climate Audit, rather than the Russian intelligence service fantasized by climate scientists.

In your post, you seem to have forgotten about the email from Mr FOIA in March 2013 to several bloggers, including you and I in which he stated (plausibly in my view) that he was not from the UK (and thus not an inside job):

“That’s right; no conspiracy, no paid hackers, no Big Oil. The Republicans didn’t plot this. USA politics is alien to me, neither am I from the UK. There is life outside the Anglo-American sphere.”

Like you, I believe that the events connect somehow to the Mole incident, in which readers looked through the UEA websites. At least two readers reported to me that they stumbled into private areas of the site without even trying. My guess is that Mr FOIA did so as well. In March 2013, he stated ” It all started with an opportunistic coincidence.”

I’ve reflected on what was gleaned at the time from metadata in documents and whether this illuminated attribution of the DNC hack (or at least Guccifer 2).

Steve McIntyre
Reply to  Anthony Watts
November 7, 2017 10:56 am

You sure placed the March 13 out of your mind 🙂 Mr FOIA acknowledged both of us as follows:
“Big thanks to Steve and Anthony and many others. My contribution would never have happened without your work (whether or not you agree with the views stated).”
So he was a reader of both CA and WUWT.

From my perspective, the curation of emails into CG1 showed a keen knowledge of issues that I was interested in – it was evident to me that he was a regular reader of Climate Audit (and needless to say, WUWT). I don’t think that the term “FOIA climate issues” is apt in this respect, since the curation of emails had very little to do with FOIA requests at the time.

Reply to  Steve McIntyre
November 7, 2017 12:32 pm

Let me add some other things.

Russians: Folks may not recall that the Brits early on suggested the Russians. After some stern words
from the Russians, this story was dropped.
Saudis: there was also a link back to a Saudi Server for the file drops.
FOIA himself: I was pretty convinced it was one guy.. shafted by jones in his career, IT guy, and
he was absent ( out sick) when the cops did their interviews. In the END, after
many long discussions with Steve Mc, I changed my mind. CA reader done it.
Tracebacks: he used Open Proxies that are listed on the dark web ( in other coms I had )
These were basically 1 day use. Tracked him back to a machine in China for example.
Donations: He has received nearly $35000 in donations. He hasnt spent any of the money
I think maybe he lost his keys, or he is a big time HODLer

Hmm… I should look for the password to the last dump of mails.

paqyfelyc
November 7, 2017 8:51 am

well, green, pacifists movement were notoriously kremlin funded and KGB supported, and certainly still are, so it make sense for them to pretend that that their own sin are not theirs, but their opponent.

Joshua Flynn
November 7, 2017 9:02 am

As an actual conspiracy theorist myself, I would find Mark Boslough’s argument pretty shameful to comprehend, given the argument wholly relies on fallacies; gross generalisation and ‘guilt by association’ fallacies, specifically.

By arguing politicians have met Russians therefore they must be Russian inspired to oppose oil, perhaps Mark should consider how pro-climate change supporters, such as Barack Obama, associate themselves. Did he not go meet Saudi Arabians, known for their love of oil? Did he not order wars under questionable circumstances involving Libya and Syria over what many contend to be a battle over oil and gas pipeline supplies? Perhaps we should question Mark himself, an often visitor to Russia?

Guilt by association fallacy is an incredibly easy thing to do, just ask Kevin Bacon and his six degrees, but it is logically worthless sans actual agreements or any sort of explicit evidence hinting as such.

And I should know. I’m a conspiracy theorist.