The world's first and only "climate refugees" – Ancient Africans

It has been argued (unsuccessuly) that the current change in climate will cause millions to billions of “climate refugees”. Some of these claims have been so “over the top” that they were quietly withdrawn and swept under the rug. Here, we have a real case of climate refugees based on natural variation of the climate.

From the UNIVERSITY OF ARIZONA and the “natural variation before the SUV is wot dun it” department:

Ancient humans left Africa to escape drying climate

Humans migrated out of Africa as the climate shifted from wet to very dry about 60,000 years ago, according to research led by a University of Arizona geoscientist.

Genetic research indicates people migrated from Africa into Eurasia between 70,000 and 55,000 years ago. Previous researchers suggested the climate must have been wetter than it is now for people to migrate to Eurasia by crossing the Horn of Africa and the Middle East.

“There’s always been a question about whether climate change had any influence on when our species left Africa,” said Jessica Tierney, UA associate professor of geosciences. “Our data suggest that when most of our species left Africa, it was dry and not wet in northeast Africa.”

Tierney and her colleagues found that around 70,000 years ago, climate in the Horn of Africa shifted from a wet phase called “Green Sahara” to even drier than the region is now. The region also became colder.

The researchers traced the Horn of Africa’s climate 200,000 years into the past by analyzing a core of ocean sediment taken in the western end of the Gulf of Aden. Tierney said before this research there was no record of the climate of northeast Africa back to the time of human migration out of Africa.

“Our data say the migration comes after a big environmental change. Perhaps people left because the environment was deteriorating,” she said. “There was a big shift to dry and that could have been a motivating force for migration.”

“It’s interesting to think about how our ancestors interacted with climate,” she said.

The team’s paper, “A climatic context for the out-of-Africa migration,” is published online in Geology this week. Tierney’s co-authors are Peter deMenocal of the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory in Palisades, New York, and Paul Zander of the UA.

The Lamont-Doherty Core Repository contains one of the world’s most unique and important collection of scientific samples from the deep sea. Sediment cores from every major ocean and sea are archived here. The repository provides for long-term curation and archiving of samples and cores to ensure their preservation and usefulness to current and future generations of scientists. Image courtesy Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory

The National Science Foundation and the David and Lucile Packard Foundation funded the research.

Tierney and her colleagues had successfully revealed the Horn of Africa’s climate back to 40,000 years ago by studying cores of marine sediment. The team hoped to use the same means to reconstruct the region’s climate back to the time 55,000 to 70,000 years ago when our ancestors left Africa.

The first challenge was finding a core from that region with sediments that old. The researchers enlisted the help of the curators of the Lamont-Doherty Core Repository, which has sediment cores from every major ocean and sea. The curators found a core collected off the Horn of Africa in 1965 from the R/V Robert D. Conrad that might be suitable.

Co-author deMenocal studied and dated the layers of the 1965 core and found it had sediments going back as far as 200,000 years.

At the UA, Tierney and Paul Zander teased out temperature and rainfall records from the organic matter preserved in the sediment layers. The scientists took samples from the core about every four inches (10 cm), a distance that represented about every 1,600 years.

To construct a long-term temperature record for the Horn of Africa, the researchers analyzed the sediment layers for chemicals called alkenones made by a particular kind of marine algae. The algae change the composition of the alkenones depending on the water temperature. The ratio of the different alkenones indicates the sea surface temperature when the algae were alive and also reflects regional temperatures, Tierney said.

To figure out the region’s ancient rainfall patterns from the sediment core, the researchers analyzed the ancient leaf wax that had blown into the ocean from terrestrial plants. Because plants alter the chemical composition of the wax on their leaves depending on how dry or wet the climate is, the leaf wax from the sediment core’s layers provides a record of past fluctuations in rainfall.

The analyses showed that the time people migrated out of Africa coincided with a big shift to a much drier and colder climate, Tierney said.

The team’s findings are corroborated by research from other investigators who reconstructed past regional climate by using data gathered from a cave formation in Israel and a sediment core from the eastern Mediterranean. Those findings suggest that it was dry everywhere in northeast Africa, she said.

“Our main point is kind of simple,” Tierney said. “We think it was dry when people left Africa and went on to other parts of the world, and that the transition from a Green Sahara to dry was a motivating force for people to leave.”

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This 80’s song seems both prescient and appropriate, especially the part about the rains.

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rbabcock
October 5, 2017 10:52 am

No computer models used in the study? Must be bogus!
Actually good for Tierney et al. It had to take some effort to find suitable cores and then figure out a way to quantify the results. Quite frankly we do have some very capable people out there that can do real science and although I didn’t buy the paper and read it, I’m guessing the methods and results are probably well defined allowing subsequent followup or replication to be done.
It is such a shame there has been so much garbage science done over the past couple of decades that tarnishes good science.

Tom Halla
October 5, 2017 10:57 am

The problem with this is that it only deals with anatomically modern humans, as H heidelbergensis and other archaic humans were in Eurasia much earlier. One can get into an interminable discussion (as it is nearly content free) on the actual advantages modern humans had over archaics.

michael hart
Reply to  Tom Halla
October 5, 2017 11:22 am

Yes, many conveniently ignore the fact that humans and their culture/abilities also change over time, or even have the occasional bout of war and disease.
And why focus just on the climate at the origin of migration, and not mention the climate at the destination? Humans likely migrated all the time and success at the destination is just as important as ‘failure’ making life harder at the origin.

rocketscientist
Reply to  michael hart
October 5, 2017 1:31 pm

True enough. it still occurs today. Every winter climate refugees seek shelter from the northern freeze in the warmer havens of the south…because it is much nicer there. One rarely migrates to a pasture where the grass is just as green or even less so.

MarkW
Reply to  Tom Halla
October 5, 2017 1:39 pm

The young in pretty much all species are always walking about looking for territory that isn’t already claimed by a larger more mature male.
There’s no reason to assume that man would have stayed in Africa had the climate remained stable.

rckkrgrd
Reply to  MarkW
October 6, 2017 8:38 am

Exactly, competition for available resources (including territory) seems like a more valid explanation for migration.
Therefore, a burgeoning population would be the primary cause, with climate change a bit player affecting resources available.

Auto
Reply to  Tom Halla
October 6, 2017 3:45 pm

Tom Halla
Agreed.
We know a little about a complex process.
I – on a personal view – think there is a possibility that H. sapiens – anatomically modern humans, like you and me and Donald Trump – evolved by mixing and splitting etc. outside Africa [probably in the Middle East/Asia minor].
A possibility only at the present state of knowledge [or presumed knowledge].
Auto – wondering . . . .

TG
October 5, 2017 10:57 am

“We think it was dry when people left Africa and went on to other parts of the world, and that the transition from a Green Sahara to dry was a motivating force for people to leave.
I agree the Roman warming period was also a futher example = No grains – No bread!

October 5, 2017 10:58 am

I love that song.

wws
Reply to  cdquarles
October 5, 2017 3:27 pm

Yeah but i never understood why he wanted to kiss the rain.

Old Grump
Reply to  wws
October 5, 2017 5:56 pm

“Yeah but i never understood why he wanted to kiss the rain.”
I have never been to Africa so may not be in the best position to answer. I did grow up in a family agriculture business. I have seen times when I would have gladly kissed nearly anything for just half an inch of rain at the right time.
It is very difficult to work hard for months and have your livelihood for the year dependent upon the rainfall over the span of a few weeks.
I also have never been the best at interpreting prose and poetry for embedded imagery, metaphors, etc. So, I could be as far wrong as possible. But, that would be my interpretation.
For whatever my opinion might be worth. Use at your own risk.

S
Reply to  wws
October 5, 2017 11:54 pm

Too little and the crops won’t grow, too much and you can’t work the fields. I always reckoned the best way to keep everyone happy was to have half an inch of rain every Sunday night.

Reply to  wws
October 6, 2017 9:51 am

The words are “I bless the rains down in Africa” and if you’re a farmer, timely rains are a blessing.

RAH
October 5, 2017 11:13 am

60,000 years corresponds pretty well with the heart of the last glaciation doesn’t it? Cold times are dry times.

Reply to  RAH
October 5, 2017 12:06 pm

All that water tied up in ice. It is better when it is circulating around the hydrosphere.

leopoldo Perdomo
Reply to  RAH
October 6, 2017 3:39 am

Even during the last glacial age, temperatures were going up and down. I am watching a graphic on the temperature in Greenland ice cores, and the periods with more cold were 60,000 years ago, with 2.500 years of cold, other were 46,000 y.a. with one thousand years of cold; other was 39,000 y.a. with some 1.3 thousands years duration. 29,800 y.o. with some 1.2 thousand years duration.
This is the first graphic I found. It goes from 27,000 to 65,000 y.a. Other periods of cold were or shorter duration lasting for 5 to 7 centuries only. I count some 14 short periods of cold for this graphic
I would love to send you some graphics on my replies. But I can print any graphic here.

RAH
Reply to  RAH
October 6, 2017 4:47 am

Cold times are dry times. As Jeff in Calgary says. The problem is so much of the earths water tied up in ice and vast areas of oceans and other bodies of water covered in ice. And of course weather patterns changed. What were once forests became savannas. What were once savannas became grasslands. What were once grasslands became deserts. Cold deserts can be just as dry as hot ones. The fauna living in the areas that change can do any of three things; Migrate to more suitable conditions, adapt to the changing conditions, or die.
Africacomment image

pyromancer76
Reply to  RAH
October 6, 2017 5:42 am

Since 70% of Earth’s surface is water (if that is the correct measurement – surface?), even if much is tied up in ice, one might think that those concerned with climate change would be imagining and planning for preventing drought that matters (agriculture, ranching especially) forever more.
Flooding also should mostly be prevented. Too wet at the wrong time, a bit more troublesome, but if the first two, drought and flooding, were taken care of, this one might yield to human intelligence and technology as well.
It is so unfortunate that trillions of dollars have gone into “global-warmer elitist” pockets due to fraud — scientific and governmental — that these human issues we all know to be the most crucial have not been attended to.
Civilizations fall and chaos descends whenever there is true major climate change.

Craig
October 5, 2017 11:13 am

The world’s only climate refugees? What about the cultures that left Greenland after the onset of the LIA? Or were they completely wiped out by climate change?

Resourceguy
Reply to  Craig
October 5, 2017 11:33 am

The Greenland case is reserved for distortion on unsustainable farming under the NOVA program credo of “explore new ideas” and all other ideas are not welcome or not aired.

Mohatdebos
Reply to  Craig
October 5, 2017 12:29 pm

There are multiple examples of North to South migrations in Eurasia. Anyone familiar with the history of India would know that India was invaded by Northern Tribes (Aryans, Mongols, Persians) whenever the world entered cold periods . One could argue that many Scandinavians migrated to the U.S. towards the end of the last ice age because they couldn’t grow enough food.

Ellen
Reply to  Craig
October 5, 2017 1:08 pm

And the volkswanderung during the middle of the first millennium A.D. during the cold between the Roman and the Medieval warm periods? I think both the cold and the migrations are fairly well documented. Correlation is not causation, of course

Rhoda R
Reply to  Craig
October 5, 2017 2:44 pm

Then there was the migration from the dust bowl areas to California during the 30’s. I’d call them climate change refugees as well.

old construction worker
Reply to  Rhoda R
October 5, 2017 7:15 pm

“I’d call them climate change refugees as well.” Really? The “Dust Bowl” was caused by a weather pattern change and poor farming practices and lasted a short period of time. So I would call them weather change refugees.

TA
Reply to  Rhoda R
October 5, 2017 8:56 pm

I would note that some scientists were calling for the evacuation of people from the Dust Bowl areas at the heighth of the 1930’s heatwaves.
Imagine if that had been done.
A lot of Dust Bowl victims migrated to California, but most of them stayed in the Dust Bowl and toughed it out. And we are still here today, enjoying some of the best weather evah! No Dust Bowls or heatwaves, and the grass stayed green throughout the summer.
Compared to the 1930’s, today is a cake walk.

NW sage
Reply to  Craig
October 5, 2017 4:55 pm

Why is anyone surprised that if a culture can no longer grow enough food to survive, it migrates (if it can) or dies out? And if it died out long enough ago we would have no way of knowing about it.

Reply to  Craig
October 5, 2017 4:57 pm

From http://www.science20.com/news_articles/6000_years_of_climate_change_through_egyptian_history-144401 (my bold):

The researchers identified five episodes over the past 6,000 years when dramatic changes occurred in Egypt’s mammalian community, three of which coincided with extreme environmental changes as the climate shifted to more arid conditions. These drying periods also coincided with upheaval in human societies, such as the collapse of the Old Kingdom around 4,000 years ago and the fall of the New Kingdom about 3,000 years ago.
There were three large pulses of aridification as Egypt went from a wetter to a drier climate, starting with the end of the African Humid Period 5,500 years ago when the monsoons shifted to the south,” Yeakel said.

As climate always changes, often in dramatic ways that cannot be countered, there must have been many instances of large numbers of peoples moving from one area to another.

pyromancer76
Reply to  John in Oz
October 6, 2017 5:52 am

“Climate change” cannot be countered, but its effects can. We can develop adequate water distribution as well as protection against major flooding. Also protective earthquake building engineering. Probably mass wasting such as massive landslides are a bit more difficult, but they tend not to be civilization-destructive. Volcanoes and meteorites, a bit more problematic.
We do not have to think passive thoughts, although those who are scarfing up the trillions from the climate scare fraud wish us to do so. There are mountains of data from every region compiled by real scientists over the last 100 years that gives the “worsts” of the area’s climate history from which denizens can plan to survive.
We don’t have to wait for migrations and invasions from the Four Horsemen.

tty
Reply to  Craig
October 6, 2017 1:29 am

“Or were they completely wiped out by climate change?”
As far as we know the Norse colonists were completely wiped out by the LIA. And a little later the inuits in Northeastern Greenland were wiped out as well.
By the way when the Norse settled southern Greenland during the MWP it was uninhabited, though they found signs of former inhabitants. The Cape Dorset eskimo didn’t have kayaks and were dependent on hunting seals on the winter ice, so during the MWP southern Greenland with ice-free winters was too warm for them. The Norse only found them up north from Disko Bay northwards.

Willy Pete
October 5, 2017 11:18 am

Those who abandoned northern Europe during the Last Glacial Maximum were also climate refugees. They developed the Solutrean Culture in refugia in southern France and the Iberian Peninsula.

Reply to  Willy Pete
October 5, 2017 11:43 am

and then later on, climate change allowed migration back north.
Forced migrations (north Europe glaciation); “encouraged” migration (out of Africa heading to greener pastures), “allowed” migration (low sea level & and end of glaciation … moving on to see what’s out there).
Seems that today’s movements are politically encouraged migrations.

Willy Pete
Reply to  DonM
October 5, 2017 5:21 pm

Today’s migrations are motivated by the green of money, whether from Africa and Asia to Europe or from Latin America, Africa and Asia to North America.

TA
Reply to  DonM
October 5, 2017 8:59 pm

“Today’s migrations are motivated by the green of money,”
Or the barrel of a gun.

October 5, 2017 11:22 am

No no no! Global warming refugees are a new thing. And according to this UCSB / USGS study, we have to plan for it. Because Africa never had droughts, or food security issues before. (Sarc)
————————————-
Planning for the future
UCSB and USGS collaborators model how changes in climate and socioeconomic status will likely affect health outcomes in sub-Saharan Africa
Over the past decade, increasing temperatures across much of Africa and decreasing rainfall across East Africa have come to represent an alarming climate trend. Chief among concerns is the impact such conditions have on human health.
https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2017-10/uoc–pft100517.php

Resourceguy
October 5, 2017 11:24 am

So Exxon corporate history goes back that far and what were they telling investors?

Richard
October 5, 2017 11:29 am

Wait! It got drier AND colder? I thought drought happened when earth heated up? That’s what Algore keeps saying, “global warming will result in greater drought”.
It *must* have been caused by increased CO2 from human campfires.

Reply to  Richard
October 5, 2017 11:42 am

The followers of Goreism believe that man is in ultimate control of nature. Whether it gets colder, warmer, windier, wetter, drier, there are more impacts or more earthquakes, it’s all the consequences of something mankind did, or didn’t do. Similar to the mindset that drove people to accept an Earth centric Universe.

Tom Gelsthorpe
Reply to  co2isnotevil
October 5, 2017 1:29 pm

The followers of Goreism have transferred the concept of original sin from noshing forbidden fruits to the domestication of fire — sort of a mishmoshed update of the Fall From Grace mixed into the Myth of Prometheus. They’re appointed themselves as final arbiters, like the Olympian gods. Mankind must refrain from sin, i.e. give up the use of fire, or suffer eternal torment. Either have your liver eaten out daily by eagles, or suffer constant hectoring by fanatics and hypocrites like Bill McKibben and Leonardo DiCaprio. Like the Olympian gods, Gore, DiCaprio & Co. can continue to use fire in the form of their jet travel, electronic newsletters, studio lights, media dominance and so on. It’s only the hoi polloi who are required to return to primitive conditions. One set of rules for the Gorists, another set of rules for us little people.

Tom Gelsthorpe
Reply to  Richard
October 5, 2017 1:31 pm

Algore believes global warming will result in greater meddling by blockheads. That’s not how he phrases it, but that’s what he wants.

Craig
Reply to  Tom Gelsthorpe
October 5, 2017 1:55 pm

If you can regulate carbon, you can regulate pretty much everything.

October 5, 2017 11:29 am

“unsuccessuly?” lol Tony
The period leading up to the early OOA migrations fascinates me, because practically all of modern baseline human psychology probably became fully developed around then, and so that period still has implications for how we live today.
““It’s interesting to think about how our ancestors interacted with climate,” she said.”
It likely involved a lot of handaxes to the backs of skulls.

Reply to  talldave2
October 5, 2017 5:18 pm

unsuccessuly unsuccessuly unsuccessuly unsuccessuly unsuccessuly unsuccessuly unsuccessuly
It’s all I can see, please make it stop!

Latitude
October 5, 2017 11:32 am

well and fine….except the migration out of Africa is in question now
“the Horn of Africa shifted from a wet phase called “Green Sahara” to even drier than the region is now. The region also became colder.”
…so they moved to the ski resorts of Europe..where it was even colder and drier

Reply to  JimG1
October 5, 2017 11:58 am

From what I have read, the human population of Africa is far more diverse genetically than the humans of Europe. This suggests that the European population represents a “founder” effect. Much like HIV. There are many more species of HIV in Africa than in Europe or North America.

Ellen
Reply to  Joel Hammer
October 5, 2017 7:11 pm

You can tell humans evolved in Africa — it still has a megafauna. As we grew up in Africa, the animals learned how to deal with us. Everywhere else, we were a terrible surprise.

TA
Reply to  Joel Hammer
October 5, 2017 9:02 pm

Good point, Ellen.

Willy Pete
Reply to  JimG1
October 5, 2017 12:09 pm

Jim,
That’s about the origin of our lineage over seven million years ago, not of anatomically modern humans some 200,000 years ago.
Joel,
Genetic diversity is greater in Africa than in the rest of the world, because more haplogroups stayed there than left. Genetic diversity in parts of Africa between adjoining regions or even neighboring villages can be greater than in all of Asia, Europe, Australia and the Americas combined.
For instance, forest pygmies live not all that far from the giant (if slender) Nilotic peoples, and gracile “Bushmen” not far from burly Bantus.

October 5, 2017 11:33 am

It’s interesting that man headed from the equator towards the N pole 70K years ago as the Earth was heading into the deepest part of the last ice age, which apparently took a while to be noticed close to the equator.

October 5, 2017 11:33 am

I have no idea if Tierney et al are correct or wrong
This graph (Department of Oceanography, Texas A&M University) shows what temperatures and sea level change trends were around time in question.
http://www.nature.com/scitable/content/ne0000/ne0000/ne0000/ne0000/24290862/resized_1_2.jpg
Top panel shows the oxygen isotope record (δ18Oice) from the Greenland Ice Sheet Project II (GISP II) ice core over the last 80,000 years (Stuiver & Grootes 2000). Colder air temperatures are indicated by more negative δ18Oice values. Bottom panel shows changes in global sea level over the same time period (Waelbroeck et al. 2002),
Perhaps falling sea level in Mediterranean made flora and fauna flourish in the vacated land costal strip providing migrants with plenty of food and so enabling easy movement from Africa towards Europe and Asia (just a thought).

Willy Pete
Reply to  vukcevic
October 5, 2017 11:45 am

That interval was already one of the coldest of the last glacial before its maximum around 20 Ka. But there is also this:
“The Toba supereruption was a supervolcanic eruption that occurred some time between 69,000 and 77,000 years ago at the site of present-day Lake Toba (Sumatra, Indonesia). It is one of the Earth’s largest known eruptions. The Toba catastrophe hypothesis holds that this event caused a global volcanic winter of 6–10 years and possibly a 1,000-year-long cooling episode.”

Reply to  Willy Pete
October 5, 2017 4:04 pm

Apparently the Toba supervolcano eruption reduced the global human population to about 1000 breeding pairs. The population of a single village. Scary. 3000 km^3 of ash were ejected (compared to 3 only from Mt St Helens). It’s possible that the reason that the mitochondrial haplotype L3 labelled modern migrants out of Africa 60,000 years ago populated the world with their descendants, is that theirs was the first breakout after Toba, into a world emptied of people.

Willy Pete
Reply to  Willy Pete
October 5, 2017 5:25 pm

Ptolemy,
I ascribe to this hypothesis, which does indeed have good genetic support. However, it was a bottleneck only for those outside of Africa. That continent was surely affected, but less so than anyone who might have lived outside of it. And the effects of the megaeruption might well have encouraged Africans to look farther afield for game to hunt.

Reply to  vukcevic
October 5, 2017 12:34 pm

This map (from wikipedia ) shows possible routes of modern human migration based on DNA’s y-chromosome grouping analysiscomment image
(click to go to the original, click again to enlarge)
Grey areas show extent of land due to sea level fall at the time of the last glacial.

DrTorch
October 5, 2017 11:35 am

First and only?
Not even.

Lucius von Steinkaninchen
October 5, 2017 11:37 am

Nitpicking: in the front page the image for this article –comment image – is actually showing South America, not Africa. =)

October 5, 2017 11:44 am

Not completely true. Just checked to make sure my memory wasn’t faulty. The Daoxian discovery in Hunan China in 2015 shows that Homo sapiens reached eastern China about 100,000 years ago (ya). See Nature 10/14/2015. That migration wasn’t related to this change in north African climate ~60,000ya.
There was a second migration wave into Europe and central Asia 40-60kya which could have been climate motivated, or enabled by the decline of Neandertals, or both. But most of the earliest Homo sapiens dating in eastern and southern Europe is ~40kya, again not closely contemporaneous with this newly reported shift from ‘Green Sahara’.
Not so clearcut, this climate refugee hypothesis.

Willy Pete
Reply to  ristvan
October 5, 2017 11:49 am

Europe was colonized by moderns already long resident in the Middle East. Older artifacts of their Aurignacian culture have been found as far east as Iran.
The Dravidian people of southern India and Aborigines of Australia (also presumably New Guineans) are thought to represent the out of Africa migration cited in this study.

Reply to  ristvan
October 5, 2017 1:15 pm

Ristvan
The Daoxian discovery of 80,000 year old remains and other isolated finds in Papua New Guinea etc. are the exceptions that prove the rule. Genetic analysis makes it clear that the breakout group from which the vast majority of today’s humans outside Africa are descended, was the mitochondrial haplotype L3 labelled migrant group of a few hundred who crossed the Red Sea from Africa to Asia about 60,000 years ago.

RWturner
Reply to  ristvan
October 5, 2017 1:24 pm

Conventional wisdom dies a long and slow death in sciences.

October 5, 2017 11:46 am

The out of Africa migration around 50-60,000 years ago was not the first human radiation out of Africa. (There is at least consensus that Africa was the origin of the very first hominids and humans.) Earlier humans that were most likely members of the much older species Homo erectus and Homo heidelbergiensis, also migrated out of Africa as long as 2 million years ago and spread widely throughout Eurasia and Europe. There were probably indeed several such break-outs. They left descendants in Europe called the Neanderthals, and in Eurasia called the Denisovans. One remarkable group of archaic humans made it as far as the Indonesian island of Flores, where a million years of isolation led them to become so much smaller than other humans – only half the height – that scientists discovering their diminutive skeletons have called them “hobbits”. This unique hominid Homo floresiensis, survived until only fifteen thousand years ago – the most recent survival of any other species of human.
 
However the migration of modern Homo sapiens which took place 50-70,000 years ago had special significance. It was the first departure of Homo sapiens from Africa after they had become recognisably modern and acquired skills of advanced tool use and language, and had begun creating art works. It should be noted that at this time there were only African modern humans on earth: today’s racial diversity of modern humans would come much, much later. For instance the pale skin of northern Europeans still lay in a distant future, less than 10,000 years ago in the Holocene interglacial, when the thick northern ice sheets finally melted.
 
Genetic analysis shows that one particular migration event was carried out, about 60,000 years ago, by a small group of people genetically marked with “Mitochondrial Haplotype L3”, and that, astonishing, all humans today all over the world, with the exception of some in Africa, are descended from this single exodus. This founding group of migrant ancestors probably consisted of just a few hundred individuals, the number of people at an average wedding party 🎈 . These modern L3 labelled migrants from Africa spread all over the world and survive to this day – as most of us – while the Neanderthals, Denisovans, hobbits and other ancient descendants of the much earlier Homo erectus / heidelbergiensis radiations from Africa, did not.

Willy Pete
Reply to  ptolemy2
October 5, 2017 11:52 am

Although moderns do carry vestiges of Neanderthals and Denisovans in our genomes.

Reply to  Willy Pete
October 5, 2017 12:13 pm

Some interbreeding?

Reply to  Willy Pete
October 5, 2017 1:18 pm

Yes up to 4% of our dna is Neanderthal, if we are European, or Denisovan if we are Asian.

Reply to  Willy Pete
October 5, 2017 1:22 pm

So they didn’t really die out.

Willy Pete
Reply to  Willy Pete
October 5, 2017 5:27 pm

Quite a bit of interbreeding, but in effect they died out. We don’t have enough surviving Neanderthal and Denisovan DNA to reconstruct a whole individual. Just fragments.

Willy Pete
Reply to  Willy Pete
October 6, 2017 4:52 pm

New Neanderthal sequence largely confirms emerging picture, but shows a little more Neanderthal ancestry in moderns outside of Africa:
http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/technology/humans-today-have-even-more-neanderthal-dna-than-we-realized/ar-AAsXudK?OCID=ansmsnnews11
And less Neanderthal inbreeding. Apparently half-sibling mating wasn’t standard.

Alan Robertson
Reply to  ptolemy2
October 5, 2017 7:31 pm

Then, everyone born in the USA is an African American.
In a manner of speaking.

Reply to  Alan Robertson
October 6, 2017 4:39 am

We are all Africans wherever we live now.

Willy Pete
Reply to  Alan Robertson
October 6, 2017 5:40 pm

Yup. We’re all out of African animals. Like Asian elephants. Except gone global.

tty
Reply to  ptolemy2
October 6, 2017 1:40 am

By the way recent re-dating shows that Homo floresiensis died out much earlier, probably about 50,000 years ago.
And there was an earlier Homo sapiens migration from Africa into the Middle East during the previous interglaciaL about 120,000 years ago, which was ultimately unsuccessful and replaced by Neanderthals, leaving only a few archaic Homo sapiens genes in the Neanderthal genome.

Reply to  tty
October 6, 2017 4:46 am

Yes there was a lot of traffic over the years.
What was special about the 60,000 years ago migration from Africa was
(1) it was the first out-of-Africa migration after the devastating Toba supervolcano;
(2) it was the first out-of-Africa migration after humans around 70,000 years ago became behaviorally modern in terms of language, tool use, art works etc.
These are probably the reasons why most of the world’s population now are descendants of that migration.

Willy Pete
Reply to  tty
October 6, 2017 12:42 pm

Yup. In colder phases, Neanderthals entered the Levant. In warmer, moderns.

commieBob
October 5, 2017 12:28 pm

We had dustbowl refugees in the dirty thirties.

I’m a dust bowl refugee,
Just a dust bowl refugee,
From that dust bowl to the peach bowl,
Now that peach fuzz is a-killin’ me.

We had the Irish fleeing the potato famine. They weren’t exactly climate refugees but close …
How about when the Vikings left Greenland at the beginning of the Little Ice Age?
I think we have had climate refugees rather often.

Reply to  commieBob
October 5, 2017 1:07 pm

My tribe of south Slavs left shores of the Baltic Sea in the north Europe sometime in the 6th century AD because crops were failing due to cooling climate. They fought Germanic and other tribes along the way to finally, about nearly century later, invade the Balkan parts of the East Roman Empire pillaging civilized Byzantine towns and cities. Thankfully, eventually they converted to Christianity and learned literacy, building of magnificent churches and art of frescoes from their Byzantine foes, and in doing so made important contribution to the European civilization of 13th and 14th century (regretfully not much advancement since due to the following five centuries of resisting and repelling the islamic Ottoman invaders from Asia).

tty
Reply to  commieBob
October 6, 2017 1:42 am

Actually the potato famine was climate-induced. The potato blight requires summers that are wet (common in Ireland) and warm (which is not).

RAH
Reply to  tty
October 6, 2017 4:59 am

And before that the potato became a staple because of climate change during the LIA. Tubers can thrive in colder conditions where most grain crops fail.

R.S. Brown
October 5, 2017 12:37 pm

Horn of Africa:
https://www.google.com/maps/vt/data=9BDCiqHsbO0zGU_WFF9xcp8ObVW8DWdySpzRZX8MB_scKVoOC2Qfv8gdI_ZFPwjqgpWcmThNxIxQBAozWK3uV01CB60NFzgeGRVqtZT-2ClE6eHsgg6ScnsQLEIFCTjUPNxDG9guKC6L3WNuAtF4Nidbd1NsGHQt4HiaKgin7IvW6T_qcLOYH5xIhRqpVdyMpWKwTG6ylFHehg0XECuPCA
Note that his study is based on a single core of marine sediment.
The study doesn’t seem to take into account (if such info exists) prevailing east/west
winds during the deposition periods of the core. Nowadays the prevailing winds for
the Horn of Africa run east to west across the continent and over to the Atlantic.
New cores from the inland areas of the Sahara and sub-Sahara are not available,
mostly due to the extreme physical danger researchers might run into unless they
have military escorts.
I’m not sure the waxy buildup they’ve used as a marker is all that revealing.

October 5, 2017 12:37 pm

I hereby declare myself to be one of the first climate-alarm refugees.

Reply to  Robert Kernodle
October 5, 2017 12:39 pm

… but where do I go to get away from all their crap. It’s causing me much head shaking, which can cause vertebral harm, and this could lead to my injury lawsuit.
I’m feeling a precedent coming on. Supreme Court, get ready.

Reply to  Robert Kernodle
October 5, 2017 5:20 pm

Don’t worry, the reeducation, oops I mean refugee camps open soon.

Gary
October 5, 2017 12:53 pm

This takes me back forty years when I used to sample cores are LDGO. Such repositories are invaluable storehouses of information waiting to be processed, analyzed, and understood.

October 5, 2017 1:05 pm

Climate change has always been happening, why do you think Egypt arose to power?

Bill Illis
October 5, 2017 1:15 pm

Why did Humans cross through the Levant to Eurasia?
To see what was on the other side.
Dry climate – smimate.
C’mon. We crossed it when we got there. Just like Home Erectus did and Australopithecus did (the latest evidence on Homo floresiensis).
We didn’t get to everywhere on this planet because we didn’t like to explore. It is precisely for that reason that we did.

Willy Pete
Reply to  Bill Illis
October 5, 2017 5:29 pm

Bill,
I’m dubious about the Hobbit as an australopith. I know the alleged evidence cited, but a dwarf subspecies of H. erectus is still much better supported.
IMHO.