Manipulated IPCC Science supported by Manipulated Appeals to Authority

Guest opinion: Dr. Tim Ball

The story of how Maurice Strong and the Club of Rome set up the United Nations Environment Program (UNEP), the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to direct political and scientific focus on CO2 to ‘prove’ it was causing global warming is well documented. If you want a detailed account read my book, The Deliberate Corruption of Climate Science or a simpler, abbreviated version for the non-scientist titled Human Caused Global Warming: The Biggest Deception in History. The books are unique because they integrate how the science was created to achieve the political agenda. Focus on the bad science was necessary, but once demonstrated, demands an explanation of the motive.

Consensus was a central theme to the political promotion of anthropogenic global warming (AGW) from the start. Initially, it was the 6000+ representatives of the IPCC. Later, it became the manufactured percentages of 95 of Naomi Oreskes and 97 for John Cooke. However, there was another form of manufactured consensus that continues to influence public and political opinion. It is a more powerful form of consensus because it encompasses an appeal to authority. Not only do the ordinary people support the cause and claims but also those with standing, even though it is usually self-assigned. The two best examples used to promote the consensus of authority in the climate deception are the Nobel Prize, jointly awarded to Al Gore and the IPCC and the openly declared support of scientific societies for the IPCC Reports.

I know that these are still major arguments used to support the claims of the IPCC because they are cited in most legal documents I receive and are quoted in almost every media interview I have ever done. In both cases, they make a mockery of all the Nobel awards even though in the case of Gore and the IPCC it was the Peace Prize. The Nobel Committee provide evidence of the phoniness of the entire exercise. First, they list their prize under the field of “humanitarian work, world organizing.” Then they justify it as a Peace Award as follows;

According to the IPCC, there is a real danger that the climate changes may also increase the danger of war and conflict, because they will place already scarce natural resources, not least drinking water, under greater pressure and put large population groups to flight from drought, flooding, and other extreme weather conditions.

As I read that, they are accepting the IPCC’s word for the danger. This is incredible and shows they did not do their homework or even if they did, failed to understand there is no empirical evidence to support the IPCC claims. It underlines how phony these awards and ripe for political exploitation.

Those are bold charges, but they are supported by what happened with the award to Al Gore. Here is what they posted

According to the Nobel Committee, Gore is probably the single individual who has done most to rouse the public and the governments that action had to be taken to meet the climate challenge. “He is,” in the words of the Committee, “the great communicator”.

The problem is Gore received his award in the same week that Justice Burton of the UK Court released his judgment of Gore and his movie.

I viewed the film at the parties’ request. Although I can only express an opinion as a viewer rather than as a judge, it is plainly, as witnessed by the fact that it received an Oscar this year for best documentary film, a powerful, dramatically presented and highly professionally produced film. It is built round the charismatic presence of the ex-Vice-President, Al Gore, whose crusade it now is to persuade the world of the dangers of climate change caused by global warming. It is now common ground that it is not simply a science film – although it is clear that it is based substantially on scientific research and opinion – but that it is a political film, albeit of course not party political. Its theme is not merely the fact that there is global warming, and that there is a powerful case that such global warming is caused by man, but that urgent, and if necessary expensive and inconvenient, steps must be taken to counter it, many of which are spelt out. Paul Downes, using persuasive force almost equivalent to that of Mr Gore, has established his case that the views in the film are political by submitting that Mr Gore promotes an apocalyptic vision, which would be used to influence a vast array of political policies, which he illustrates in paragraph 30 of his skeleton argument:

 

“(i) Fiscal policy and the way that a whole variety of activities are taxed, including fuel consumption, travel and manufacturing …

(ii) Investment policy and the way that governments encourage directly and indirectly various forms of activity.

(iii) Energy policy and the fuels (in particular nuclear) employed for the future.

(iv) Foreign policy and the relationship held with nations that consume and/or produce carbon-based fuels.”

4. Martin Chamberlain, who, with equal skill, has adopted a very realistic position on the part of the Defendant, does not challenge that the film promotes political views. There is thus no need to consider any analysis or definition of the word ‘political.’

The judge also ruled that

There are errors and omissions in the film, to which I shall refer, and respects in which the film, while purporting to set out the mainstream view (and to belittle opposing views), does in fact itself depart from that mainstream, in the sense of the “consensus” expressed in the IPCC reports.

He later lists nine errors, although, Lord Monckton showed there are many more. It is important to note that the Wikipedia entry on the trial works very hard to discredit Monckton because of his efforts to obtain funding for the working-class father of the child forced to submit to the biased presentation without proper balance, as the law required.

The question is why didn’t the Nobel Committee know about all this information? Obviously, they did no research and simply gave the prize as they were directed. Do they apply a similar laxity of investigation in any other discipline? The information given at the trial was publicly available because the major witness at the trial was the late Professor Bob Carter. Few people were more industrious and rigorous as he published extensively and traveled the world spreading the information. He was a contributor and reviewer of the monumental Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC).

A most troubling aspect of this abuse of awards is that it diminishes the value of the award for those who earned and deserved it. But it gets worse. Here is the most disgraceful, disgusting and shameful part of Gore’s award.

As media do a victory lap over Friday’s Nobel Peace Prize announcement, it seems a metaphysical certitude that few Americans are aware of the other 180 nominees for the award besides the Global Warmingist-in-Chief Al Gore.

For instance, meet Irena Sendler, a 97-year-old Polish woman who saved 2,500 Jewish children from certain death in the Warsaw ghetto during World War II.

Hadn’t heard of her? Well, don’t feel bad, for since the Nobel Committee announced the nominees in February, there have only been 107 reports about Mrs. Sendler being one of them. By contrast, Al Gore and “Nobel” have been mentioned in 2,912.

To put an even finer point on the astounding difference in media coverage, since the nominees were announced, Mrs. Sendler has been referred to in only six newscasts on television and radio, one by conservative Glenn Beck. Gore’s Nobel nomination was discussed in 249!

Well, how does Irena Sendler’s contribution to “Humanitarian work and world organizing” compare with Gore’s promotion of a falsely created scientific fraud?

Scientific Societies

In 2005 Brian May or Lord May (another undeserving award), President of the Royal Society gave an address speaking to his belief that a major function of the Society is to spread what it considered important. Here are two quotes from the address that explain why other scientific groups and societies around the world were used.

The remainder of the Address will survey some specific threats to tomorrow’s world, in the form of climate change, diminishing biological diversity, and new or re-emerging diseases. The increasingly deliberate internationalisation of scientific institutions, particularly in response to the above-noted problems, will be emphasised.

In what follows, I concentrate on three particular problems: climate change, biological diversity, infectious diseases. In each case, the problems are essentially global, not recognising the boundaries between human states. Correspondingly, the involvement of the scientific community – in basic understanding, in practical measures, and in policy recommendations – needs to transcend national boundaries.

The cachet of the Royal Society was sufficient to convince most scientific societies to support the claims of the IPCC. One society, the Russian Academy of Sciences under the recommendation of Yuri Izrael, Director of its Institute of Global Climate and Ecology, refused to participate. He was also Vice-chair of the IPCC and said after a visit to a cooling Antarctic

“Climate change is obvious, but science has not yet been able to identify the causes of it.”

He also stated,

“There is no proven link between human activity and global warming.”

In most cases, the society accepted and promoted the IPCC support without consulting the members. When Emeritus Professor of physics, the late Hal Lewis discovered that the executive of the American Physical Society (APS) had given their support he resigned in a very public protest. As he wrote in his October 2010 resignation letter,

“the global warming scam, with the (literally) trillions of dollars driving it, that has corrupted so many scientists, and has carried APS before it like a rogue wave. It is the greatest and most successful pseudoscientific fraud I have seen in my long life as a physicist.”

If it is that obvious, why didn’t Lord May or members of the Royal Society see it? This granting of unwarranted awards to bolster credibility is a disgrace, but typical of why politics and politicians are held in such disdain. It is likely Al Gore had a great deal to do with it because he used the power of the Vice-Presidency in so many self-serving ways. Remember, Barack Obama also received a Peace Prize that puzzled even ardent supporters. Gore’s presence, influence and aggrandizement are everywhere throughout this entire climate deception story. As usual, people know these machinations occur but still have a hard time believing it.

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Dr. S. Jeevananda Reddy
April 24, 2017 3:36 am

From my book “Climate Change: Myths & Realities” [2008] — The “Science of Climate Change” has turned into a political satire of “Global Warming & Carbon Credits” in tune with this the “Science of Climate Change” moved from a scientific body, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), into an elected political body, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and as a result the scientific community and the media along with political community started thinking locally and acting globally. In this process the major casualty is the health of life forms on the Earth, more particularly in developing countries, most of which are located in “warm” tropics.
In part-II [2010] of the same book — “It has come to our attention that refers to poorly substantiated estimates of rate of recession and the date for the disappearance of Himalayan Glaciers. R. K. Pachauri, the head of IPCC, whose integrity was questioned by London Telegraph, said that the acceptance of the error “only strengthened the credibility of the global body”. Pachauri has previously dismissed criticism of Himalayas claim as “voodoo science”. Just few days back Al Gore admitted similarly a mistake of his own observation that “the latest research showed that the Arctic could be completely ice-free in five years” is not based on science but based on “assumed” information like that of IPCC’s.
In fact, I myself questioned the IPCC’s observation on retreating of Himalayan glaciers in my counter to an editorial in Down To Earth [in which I also pointed out Al Gore’s media PR to get Noble Prize], which supposed to be published but Editor of the Down To Earth informed me saying that instead of this article they would, are publishing my comments on Polavaram Project — it was published – because just before going to print, Noble Prize was announced to IPCC & Al Gore.
IPCC and Al Gore have not returned the Noble Prize even after accepting the mistakes of poor quality assessments on ice and glaciers melts.
Dr. S. Jeevananda Reddy

crackers345
Reply to  Dr. S. Jeevananda Reddy
April 24, 2017 5:35 pm

ice is melting everywhere.
a couple of himalayan glaciers are old news.

Dr. S. Jeevananda Reddy
Reply to  crackers345
April 24, 2017 9:43 pm

In 2014 a study of 2181 Himalayan Glaciers from 200-2011 showed that 86.6% of the glaciers were not receding [this was also informed to Indian Parliament by the minister of forests & environment and climate change after his return from Paris meet in December 2015]. Heavy snowfall recording was reported in the last two years in Himalayan zone. Gongotri which started receding by 20 m/yr due to a fault zone is now reduced to 7 m/yr — recovering.
Dr. S. Jeevananda Reddy

crackers345
Reply to  crackers345
May 3, 2017 2:19 pm

js reddy:
as i wrote
ice is melting all around the globe
and a couple of local glaciers here and there do not
disprove this.
wanna quote the latest studies
on global glacial mass balance?

Paul Benedict
April 24, 2017 5:32 am

I’ve tried reading this post both in Chrome and Microsoft Edge and can’t read more than a few lines without it bouncing to the top or bottom of the page. Very annoying. This seems to be the only site I frequently visit where this happens. Anybody know what is causing this? Happened 4 times while writing this short post.

MarkW
Reply to  Paul Benedict
April 24, 2017 6:56 am

Mis-behaving ads. Some form of ad-blocker will usually fix the problem.

Clyde Spencer
Reply to  Paul Benedict
April 24, 2017 8:04 am

Paul,
I’ve encountered more problems with this site than any other I visit. Edge, which I’m currently using, seems better than Explorer or Firefox. However, last night I was experiencing problems with highlighting text to cut and copy. I was also getting some mysterious audio cropping up. It seems to help to close the browser and re-open it.

Gary Pearse by
April 24, 2017 6:29 am

As rebuttals to the CAGW science, Maurice Strong as founder of the movement, a high school dropout from the Canadian prairies, lifelong communist, doesn’t get mention enough. Indeed you will never see MSM or scientific societies, or academic supporters, or proponent politicians ever say his name. That he died quietly not many years ago in China where he had retired, a country he admired throughout his life, was probably a relief to the inside CAGW crowd. Yet if the planned destruction of western civilization, democracy and free enterprise (essentially of the USA, because the rest of the west was already nose-ringed, dehorned and laughing and gamboling on their way to servitude), it would be Maurice Strong’s statue that would be decorating the world’s city centres. Some of Strong’s quotes send tingles down a free man’s spine. His remark that – wasnt it a duty to bring down western civilization? Useful idiots and trolls would be scarcer on such sites as WUWT if they knew who created all this. But that is the essential nature and usefulness of the useful idiot. Let’s see how many show up here today.

Reply to  Gary Pearse by
April 24, 2017 7:56 am

Elaine Dewar devotes 20 percent of her book “Cloak of Green” to Maurice [Strong]. She spent five days with him at the UN during which time he liked the UN because “He could raise his own money from whomever he liked, appoint anyone he wanted, control the agenda.” Dewar concluded after the five days that, “Strong was using the U.N. as a platform to sell a global environment crisis and the Global Governance Agenda.”
It is reported
http://www.foxnews.com/story/2007/02/08/at-united-nations-curious-career-maurice-strong.html
that he died in China because the US government was investigating him for fraud in the “Oil for food” debacle in Iraq.
By the way, Dewar’ book is interesting for how it evolved. She started to write a book in praise of Canadian environmentalists like David Suzuki, Elizabeth May, and Maurice Strong but through diligent research discovered that these people were as corrupt as the people they accused and were using the environment as vehicle for a political agenda. One author, Neil Hrab, who followed Strong’s career wrote,
“What’s truly alarming about Maurice Strong is his actual record. Strong’s persistent calls for an international mobilization to combat environmental calamities, even when they are exaggerated (population growth) or scientifically unproven (global warming), have set the world’s environmental agenda.”
Incidentally, in 1992, the year he chaired the Rio Conference, he was also appointed Chair of Ontario Hydro, the Provincial government agency that controls all power in the Province. I wrote about the damage he did as a warning to all other governments who are considering applying his policies on energy.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/06/03/ontario-canada-a-mirror-of-americas-economic-future-mortgaged-to-falsified-climate-science/

crackers345
Reply to  Gary Pearse by
May 3, 2017 2:20 pm

did maurice strong publish anywhere
noteworthy, like the
peer reviewed literature?
otherwise, his claims
would not have gotten
a proper vetting
from experts.

Don E
April 24, 2017 8:32 am

It is almost impossible to read these posts. It keeps jumping down.

Reggie Cully
April 24, 2017 11:10 am

The next time I read a blog, I hope that it doesnt disappoint me as a lot as this one. I imply, I do know it was my option to read, however I truly thought youd have one thing attention-grabbing to say. All I hear is a bunch of whining about something that you may repair should you werent too busy on the lookout for attention.

April 24, 2017 12:24 pm

Climate is controlled by natural cycles. Earth is just past the 2004+/- peak of a millennial cycle and the current cooling trend will likely continue until the next Little Ice Age minimum at about 2650.See the Energy and Environment paper at http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/0958305X16686488
and an earlier accessible blog version at http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.com/2017/02/the-coming-cooling-usefully-accurate_17.html
Here is the abstract for convenience :
“ABSTRACT
This paper argues that the methods used by the establishment climate science community are not fit for purpose and that a new forecasting paradigm should be adopted. Earth’s climate is the result of resonances and beats between various quasi-cyclic processes of varying wavelengths. It is not possible to forecast the future unless we have a good understanding of where the earth is in time in relation to the current phases of those different interacting natural quasi periodicities. Evidence is presented specifying the timing and amplitude of the natural 60+/- year and, more importantly, 1,000 year periodicities (observed emergent behaviors) that are so obvious in the temperature record. Data related to the solar climate driver is discussed and the solar cycle 22 low in the neutron count (high solar activity) in 1991 is identified as a solar activity millennial peak and correlated with the millennial peak -inversion point – in the RSS temperature trend in about 2004. The cyclic trends are projected forward and predict a probable general temperature decline in the coming decades and centuries. Estimates of the timing and amplitude of the coming cooling are made. If the real climate outcomes follow a trend which approaches the near term forecasts of this working hypothesis, the divergence between the IPCC forecasts and those projected by this paper will be so large by 2021 as to make the current, supposedly actionable, level of confidence in the IPCC forecasts untenable.”
Here is an excerpt from an earlier blogpost
http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.com/2015/08/the-epistemology-of-climate-forecasting.html
which explains how science was corrupted and co opted by Strong and his Agenda 21 program.
“3. Ava says -It looks like the Earth is going to cool down- Why is my teacher and President Obama saying the earth is going to get very hot and the Polar Bears are all going to die unless I walk to school ?
Well Ava – I would have to write a book to explain how so many different people came to be so wrong for so long about so much- sometimes with the best of intentions. Here is a short story telling what happened.
In 1968 a man called Ehrlich published a book called the Population Bomb. He thought the number of people on earth was growing so fast that there soon wouldn’t be enough food to feed everybody, He said in the book.
” In the 1970s hundreds of millions of people will starve to death in spite of any crash programs embarked upon now. At this late date nothing can prevent a substantial increase in the world death rate”
Some people at the time got very worried and put their guesses about such things as future population growth, food production ,oil supplies, industrial production and mineral reserves into a computer program.. They intended to look at possible future problems and also explore the possibility that the peoples and governments of the earth could agree on a way of running the worlds economy that could be sustainable, that is, go on for a long time. They put all this in a book called The Limits to Growth published in 1972.
A very energetic business man called Maurice Strong who knew a lot of very influential people persuaded the United Nations that, as he himself believed and indeed still strongly believes, this sustainability problem was very serious.The UN and Sweden organized a meeting in 1972 in Stockholm to discus the interaction of humans with the environment. Strong was appointed by his UN friend U Thant , to be the General Secretary of the meeting. Strong, by nature, is very determined and action oriented and he and the conference produced an incredibly detailed 109 point action plan designed to give the UN input and even control over individual Government environmental policies world wide. As one of the actions, the United Nations Environmental Program ( UNEP) was organized in 1973 with Mr Strong himself as Executive Director.
Ten years later it was obvious that the predictions of imminent death and disaster were wrong. The people at UNEP still wanted to take global control of the worlds economy. They realized that if they could show that the CO2 ( carbon dioxide) produced by burning coal and oil to make electricity and drive our cars might cause a dangerous warming of the earth they would be able to scare the Governments and people into writing laws giving the UN ( and them) control over the world’s economy by controlling the type of energy used and its price.
UNEP organized a meeting of scientists at a place called Villach in Austria in 1985 to see if they could show that CO2 was dangerous. The scientists said
“Although the observed global-scale warming experienced over the past ~100 years is compatible with model estimates of the magnitude of the greenhouse effect, unequivocal, statistically convincing detection of the effects of changing CO2 and trace gas levels on climate is not yet possible. An important problem in the positive identification of a greenhouse gas effect on climate is to explain the medium to long time scale (~decades or more) fluctuations in the past record. Attempts to model such changes have, to date, suffered from a number of deficiencies.”
Ava – In other words they couldn’t prove any effects of man made CO2 on climate.
But whoever wrote the official summary statement and recommendations said:
“As a result of the increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases, it is now believed that in the first half of the next century a rise of global mean temperature could occur which is greater than any in man’s history. ”
The report made two important recommendations. As a result of one ,the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change was set up to select from the evidence and from time to time produce reports which would show that CO2 was the main driver of dangerous climate change and a second recommendation resulted in a meeting in Rio in 1992 chaired by Maurice Strong himself which produced the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change , later signed by 196 governments.
The objective of the treaty is to keep greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that they guessed would prevent dangerous man made interference with the climate system.
This treaty is really a comprehensive, politically driven, political action plan called Agenda 21 designed to produce a centrally managed global society which would control every aspect of the life of every one on earth.
It says :
“The Parties should take precautionary measures to anticipate, prevent or minimize the
causes of climate change and mitigate its adverse effects. Where there are threats of serious or
irreversible damage, lack of full scientific certainty should not be used as a reason for postponing
such measures”
In other words if the models show there is even a small chance of very bad things happening the Governments who signed the treaty should act now to stop it. But how good are the computer Models?
The successive five reports of the IPCC in the Summaries for Policymakers written by Government representatives have clamed increasing certainty for the outcomes of their Model based projections of future temperature which is not supported by the Science sections of the reports or the actual data.
Remember the Villach meeting said
“in the first half of the next century a rise of global mean temperature could occur which is greater than any in man’s history.”
All the models and projections made since 1985 were built in the assumption that CO2 was the main climate change driver- for that and for many other reasons they are in reality useless for forecasting future temperatures.

crackers345
Reply to  Norman Page
April 24, 2017 3:32 pm

tl;dr
but you wrote, “Climate is controlled by natural cycles.”
not always, e.g. petm. two snowball earths. younger dryas. d-o events. heinrich events.
co2 has always been a vital part of the climate changes on earth. no different now…..

Chimp
Reply to  crackers345
April 24, 2017 3:39 pm

CO2 did not cause any of those events, with the possible exception of PETM, which I doubt.
CO2 variation is an effect of temperature fluctuation, not a cause.

crackers345
Reply to  crackers345
April 24, 2017 3:53 pm

co2 had a role in all of them, of course.
why do you doubt its role in the PETM?

Chimp
Reply to  crackers345
April 24, 2017 4:04 pm

There is no evidence that CO2 played a role in any of those events. Merely ideologically-driven conjecture.
The PETM occurred during a long warm interval, including the Cretaceous Period as well as the Paleocene and Eocene Epochs. More warming occurred before the alleged carbon excursions.
The ultimate causes of the PETM, and even how much it diverged from before and after it, are far from clear.
What is often overlooked is that the Eocene resumed getting warmer after the PETM rose and fell, reaching a peak well above the PETM spike. Then earth started cooling and hasn’t stopped yet.comment image

Frank
April 26, 2017 1:19 am

For the record, the winner of the Nobel Peace Prize is selected by a committee appointed by the Norwegian Parliament. Many choices besides Al Gore have been highly controversial, if not dubious. Kissinger and his North Vietnamese negotiating partner, Le Duc Tho, were awarded the Peace Prize for ending the Vietnam War in 1973 -despite the fact that the terms of the agreement didn’t require North Vietnamese troops to leave the territory of South VIetnam. (Knowing this was but a temporary ceasefire, Tho declined the honor. Kissinger tried, but failed, to return his award in 1975 when South Vietnam fell in 1975. Two of the five member committee resigned.)
Yasser Arafat (and Perez and Rabin) won the Nobel Peace Prize in 1994 for bring the Middle East closer to peace. In 2000, Arafat turned down a final agreement and launching a campaign of terrorism against Israel.
Obama was awarded a Peace Prize in 2009 merely for getting elected President and not being George W Bush.
So the award to Al Gore and the IPCC was just more of the usual politics.