The DOE vs. Ugly Reality

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach

Over at the Washington Post, Chris Mooney and the usual suspects are seriously alarmed by a memo sent out by the Transition Team at the Department of Energy. They describe it in breathless terms in an article entitled “Trump transition team for Energy Department seeks names of employees involved in climate meetings“.   The finest part was this quote from Michael Halpern:

Michael Halpern, deputy director of the Union of Concerned Scientists’ Center for Science and Democracy, called the memo’s demand that Energy officials identify specific employees “alarming.”

“If the Trump administration is already singling out scientists for doing their jobs, the scientific community is right to be worried about what his administration will do in office. What’s next? Trump administration officials holding up lists of ‘known climatologists’ and urging the public to go after them?” Halpern asked.

Oh … you mean like say the Attorneys General of a bunch of states holding up their lists of known “denier” organizations and tacitly urging the public to go after them? You mean like government officials of a variety of stripes ranting about how “deniers” should be brought to trial or otherwise penalized? You mean like having sites like DeSmogBlog making ugly insinuations and false statements about every known opponent of the climate party line? You mean like Roger Pielke being hounded out of his job by the climate mob?

Mr. Halpern, we have put up with just that treatment you describe for years now. Let me suggest that you take your inchoate fears and do something useful with them—you can think fearfully about how you have treated your scientific opponents for the last decade, and you can hope and pray that they are like me, and they don’t demand the exact same pound of flesh from you.

In any case, the Post put up a copy of the memo in the most idiotic form ever—ten separate individual pages, in image form without searchable text, printed sideways. Thanks, guys, it’s clear you’ve only posted them because you have to.

To save your neck from getting a crick from holding your head sideways, I’ve snagged them off the web and OCR’d them so we could all have a look.

usdoe

Now, bear in mind that the Department of Energy has been the conduit for the billions of dollars wasted on propping up failing solar companies like Solyndra, it’s been the “Friends of Obama Funding Agency” … as a result, it’s not the Augean Stables, but it’s close …

So, let’s take a look at this already infamous 74-question memo. In it we’ll find two things: (1) just what is setting their hair on fire, and (2) whatever clues are there about future actions by the new administration. I’ll discuss both individual questions and groups of questions.

Questions for DOE

This memo, as you might expect, is replete with acronyms. “DOE” is the Department of Energy. Here are the memo questions and my comments.

1. Can you provide a list of all boards, councils, commissions, working groups, and FACAs [Federal Advisory Committees] currently active at the Department? For each, can you please provide members, meeting schedules, and authority (statutory or otherwise) under which they were created? 

If I were at DOE, this first question would indeed set MY hair on fire. The easiest way to get rid of something is to show that it was not properly established … boom, it’s gone. As a businessman myself, this question shows me that the incoming people know their business, and that the first order of business is to jettison the useless lumber.

2. Can you provide a complete list of ARPA-E’s projects?

Critical information for an incoming team.

3 Can you provide a list of the Loan Program Office’s outstanding loans, including the parties responsible for paying the loan back, term of the loan, and objective of the loan?

4 Can you provide a list of applications for loans the LPO has received and the status of those applications?

5 Can you provide a full accounting of DOE liabilities associated with any loan or loan guarantee programs?

6 The Department recently announced the issuance of $4.5 billion in loan guarantees for electric vehicles (and perhaps associated infrastructure). Can you provide a status on this effort?

Oh, man, they are going for the jugular. Loan Program Office? If there is any place that the flies would gather, it’s around the honey … it’s good to see that they are looking at loan guarantees for electric vehicles, a $4.5 billion dollar boondoggle that the government should NOT be in. I call that program the “Elon Musk Retirement Fund”.

Folks, for $4.5 billion dollars, we could provide clean water to almost half a million villages around the world … or we could put it into Elon Musk’s bank account or the account of some other electric vehicle manufacturer. I know which one I’d vote for … and I am equally sure which one the poor of the world would prefer.

7 What is the goal of the grid modernization effort? Is there some terminal point to this effort? Is its genesis statutory or something else?

Asking the right questions about vague programs …

8 Who “owns” the Mission Innovation and Clean Energy Ministerial efforts within the Department?

I love this question. Orphan departments are legendary in big bureaucracies … nobody owns them and they can do what they want. I don’t predict a long future for this Mission Impossible—Clean Energy effort..

9 What is the Department’s role with respect to the development of offshore wind?

Given that offshore wind is far and away the MOST EXPENSIVE of all the renewable options, the answer should be “None”.

10 Is there an assessment of the funds it would take to replace aging infrastructure in the complex? Is there a priority list of which facilities to be decommissioned?

Another critical question, about the state of their own facilities.

11 Which Assistant Secretary positions are rooted in statute and which exist at the discretion and delegation of the Secretary?

Like I said … these guys know how to do what they plan to do, which is to change the direction of the agency. All discretionary Assistant Secretaries must be sweating …

12 What is the statutory charge to the Department with respect to efficiency standards? Which products are subject to statutory requirements and which are discretionary to the Department?

Same thing. They want to find out what they can just cut, where the low-hanging fruit might be. I suspect this is about Obama’s ludicrous CAFE standards mandating a 50+ mile-per-gallon average for all car manufacturers.

13 Can you provide a list of all Department of Energy employees or contractors who have attended any Interagency Working Group on the Social Cost of Carbon meetings? Can you provide a list of when those meetings were and any materials distributed at those meetings, emails associated with those meetings, or materials created by Department employees or contractors in anticipation of or as a result of those meetings?

Now, this is the one that has the “scientists” involved most concerned. Me, I think they damn well should be concerned because what they have been doing all this time is HALF OF A COST/BENEFIT ANALYSIS!!

This is a pet peeve of mine. You can’t just talk of costs in a vacuum. To do that without considering the accompanying benefits is scientific malfeasance. To do it as a policy matter is nothing less than deliberately lying to the public. As a result, I hope that everyone engaged in this anti-scientific effort gets identified and if they cannot be fired for malfeasance then put them to work sweeping the floors. Talk about “fake news”, the so-called “social cost of carbon” is as fake as they come.

14 Did DOE or any of its contractors run the integrated assessment models (lAMs)? Did they pick the discount rates to be used with the lAMs? What was DOE’s opinion on the proper discount rates used with the lAMs? What was DOE’s opinion on the proper equilibrium climate sensitivity?

Cuts to the core, and lets the people know that vague handwaving is not going to suffice. These folks want actual answers to the hard questions, and they’ve definitely identified the critical points about the models.

15 What is the Department’s role with respect to JCPOA? Which office has the lead for the NNSA?

The JCPOA is usually a “Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action”. In this case, however, it refers to the Iran nuclear deal, and is an  interesting question. The NNSA is the National Nuclear Security Adminstration.

16 What statutory authority has been given to the Department with respect to cybersecurity?

Critical in these times.

17 Can you provide a list of all Schedule C appointees, all non-career SES employees, and all Presidential appointees requiring Senate confirmation? Can you include their current position and how long they have served at the Department?

Here’s the deal. It’s basically impossible to fire a government worker unless they held up a bank and were caught in the act, and even then you’d have to have full-color video to make it stick. Public employee unions are among the world’s stupidest and most destructive idea … the government unions use their plentiful funds to affect the election of the people who set their pay scale. Yeah, that should go well …

BUT … if you can get rid of their position, then you’re not firing them, you just don’t have further work for them. They are trying to figure out who they can cut. Hair is catching fire on all sides with this one.

18 Can you offer more information about the EV Everywhere Grand Challenge?

Never heard of it, but then I never heard of a lot of things in this memo … which just shows that the memo makers did their homework. Turns out that the EV Everywhere Grand Challenge is another clumsy attempt to get Electric Vehicles Everywhere regardless of the fact that the public mostly doesn’t want Electric Vehicles Anywhere.

19 Can you provide a list of Department employees or contractors who attended any of the Conference of the Parties (under the UNFCCC) in the last five years?

An IPCC Conference of Parties is much more party than conference—it’s basically an excuse to party in some lovely location (think Bali, Cancun, …), with the party occasionally interrupted by the pesky conference. It is a meaningless exercise which ends up with an all-night session that finishes by announcing that everyone has signed on to the latest non-binding fantasy about how to end the use of fossil fuels, drive up energy prices, and screw the poor. And yes, if I were appointed to run the DOE, I would definitely want to know who has gone on these useless junkets.

Now, I know that people are going to complain about “scientific freedom” regarding the memo asking who worked on what … but if you don’t want to tell the incoming team what you’ve worked on … why not? Are you ashamed of what you’ve done? Look, every job I’ve had, if a new boss came in, they wanted to know what I had worked on in the past, and I simply answered them honestly. Scientists are no different.

Finally, government scientists presumably work on what their agency directs them to work on … so the issue of “scientific freedom” is way overblown in this context where they are NOT free to work on projects of their own choice.

20 Can you provide a list of reports to Congress or other external parties that are due in 2017? 

Again, a critical question when you take over an organization—what deliverables is it contracted to produce? Like I said, these folks know what they are doing.

21 Can you provide a copy of any Participation Agreement under Section 1221 of EP Act signed by the Department?

We’re way down in the weeds now. This section of the EP Act allows three or more contiguous states to establish a regional transmission siting agency. Not sure why they’ve asked this, but it does add to their knowledge of the projected vague transmission grid actions, which appears like it could be a big money drain.

22 What mechanisms exist to help the national laboratories commercialize their scientific and technological prowess?

A forgotten task at the DOE, I’m sure.

23 How many fusion programs, both public and private, are currently being funded worldwide?

Huh … looking for duplication of activities.

24 Which activities does the Department describe as commercialization programs or programs with the specific purpose of developing a technology for market deployment?

Incoming administrations, if they’re smart, look for low hanging fruit. In this case if there are commercial programs near completion, they can be fast-tracked to provide evidence that the new administration is on the job.

25 Does or can the Department delineate research activities as either basic or applied research?

This is a critical distinction, and one that they possibly have never made.

26 Can you provide a list of all permitting authorities (and their authorizing statutes) currently held by DOE and their authorizing statutes?

Again, the local denizens will not like this a bit, more hair will spontaneously ignite. In part any bureaucracy prides itself on its power to stop people from doing things … in other words, they demand a permit for an action and then they can refuse to issue it. This asks not just for the permitting authorities, but once again for their authorizing statutes. Again, the easiest way to get rid of something is to show it was built without authorization …

27 Is there a readily available list of any technologies or products that have emerged from  programs or the labs that are currently offered in the market without any subsidy?

Quite possibly not, but if so it would be an interesting list.

28 Are there statutory restrictions related to reinvigorating the Office of Civilian Radioactive Waste Management?

29 Are there any statutory restrictions to restarting the Yucca Mountain project?

These two questions show us that they plan to restart Yucca Mountain, the shuttered nuclear waste repository.

30 Which programs within DOE are essential to meeting the goals of President Obama’s Climate Action Plan?

Because you can kiss them goodbye along with the CAP …

31 If DOE’s topline budget in accounts other than the 050 account were required to be reduced 10% over the next four fiscal years (from the FY17 request and starting in FY18), does the Department have any recommendations as to where those reductions should be made?

This is brilliant. It’s like my gorgeous ex-fiancee regarding colors. She asks me what color I like so she can cross it off the list of possibilities … and rightly so given my color sense. This strikes me as the same deal. The new Administration asks where the current denizens would cut ten percent … then when they are told it, they know they might want to cut somewhere else … useful info either way.

32 Does the Department have any thoughts on how to reduce the bureaucratic burden for exporting U.S. energy technology, including but not limited to commercial nuclear technology?

Likely not … but worth asking …

33 Is the number of Assistant Secretaries set by statute? Does the statute establish the number as a minimum or a maximum, or is it silent on the question?

Assistant Secretaries are now on DEFCON 1, or DEFCON 0.5, their hair is totally engulfed in flames …

34 Can you provide a list of all current open job postings and the status of those positions?

35 Can you provide a list of outstanding M&O contracts yet to be awarded for all DOE facilities and their current status?

36 Can you provide a list of non-M&O procurements/awards that are currently pending and their status?

Open jobs, outstanding Maintenance and Operation contracts, non-M&O procurements, they want to find out just exactly what is the current state of play. It will also allow the incoming folks to see what last-minute hires they’ve tried to jam through before the changeover.

37 Does DOE have a plan to resume the Yucca Mountain license proceedings?

They may have shelved or previous plans, good to know if so.

38 What secretarial determinations/records of decisions are pending?

Have they made decisions that are not written down? If so, what? Man, these people are thorough, I wouldn’t have thought to ask that one.

39 What should the incoming Administration do to balance risk, performance and ultimately completion in contracting?

40 What should this Administration do differently to make sure there are the right incentives to attract qualified contractors?

An interesting pair of questions.

41 What is the plan for funding cleanup of Portsmouth and Paducah when the current uranium inventory designated for barter in exchange for cleanup services, is no longer available (excluding reinstating the UED&D fee on commercial nuclear industry or utilizing the USEC fund)?

Back into the weeds, proving that these folks have done their homework. Right now, those shuttered nuclear plants are trading uranium, a valuable resource, for cleanup … what happens when the uranium runs out? Who is on the hook for the costs?

42 What is the right funding level for EM to make meaningful progress across the complex and meet milestone and regulatory requirements?

According to the Energy.gov glossary, “EM” is environmental management. I’m not sure what the DOE is required to do in this, and that’s what they are asking.

43 What is the greatest opportunity for reduction in life cycle cost/return on investment? 

44 Describe your alternatives to the ever increasing WTP cost and schedule, whether technical or programmatic?

45 With respect to EM, what program milestones will be reached in each of the next four years?

47 How can the DOE support existing reactors to continue operating as part of the nation’s infrastructure?

48 What can DOE do to help prevent premature closure of plants? 

49 How do you recommend continuing to supporting the licensing of Small Modular Reactors? 

50 How best can DOE optimize its Advanced Reactor R&D activities to maximize their value proposition and work with investors to development and commercialize advanced reactors?

All of these questions are concerned with the regulation and waste disposal of nuclear plants, suggesting strongly that the new administration is interested in keeping existing plants open and licensing new plants.

Questions for EIA

EIA is the Energy Information Agency charged with collecting and maintaining energy-related data.

51 EIA is an independent agency in DOE. How has EIA ensured its independence in your data and analysis over the past 8 years? In what instances do you think EIA’ s independence was most challenged?

Now this is a fascinating two-part question, especially the second part. Basically they are asking, can we trust the EIA, and what pressures is it subject to?

52 Part of EIA’s charter is to do analyses based on Congressional and Departmental requests. Has EIA denied or not responded to any of these requests over the last ten years?

53 EIA customarily has or had set dates for completions of studies and reports. In general, have those dates been adhered to?

54 In the Annual Energy Outlook 2016, EIA assumed that the Clean Power Plan should be in the reference case despite the fact that the reference case is based on existing laws and regulations. Why did EIA make that assumption, which seems to be atypical of past forecasts?

Uh-oh … caught messing with the books …

55 EIA’s assessments of levelized costs for renewable technologies do not contain back-up costs for the fossil fuel technologies that are brought on-line to replace the generation when those technologies are down. Is this is a correct representation of the true levelized costs?

Since this is an issue I’ve raised publicly in my posts on levelized costs, I’m overjoyed to see them ask it.

56 Has EIA done analysis that shows that additional back-up generation is not needed? How does EIA’s analysis compare with other analyses on this issue?

This seems like they’re talking about some EIA analysis that says that such generation isn’t needed, and asking them to justify it. If not, they are simply forcing them to admit that yes, backup is needed, and no, they haven’t been including those costs … good on them.

57 Renewable and solar technologies are expected to need additional transmission costs above what fossil technologies need. How has EIA represented this in the AEO forecasts? What is the magnitude of those transmission costs?

Again, excellent questions that the EIA has not been posing, much less answering.

58 There are studies that show that your high resource and technology case for oil and gas represents the shale gas and oil renaissance far better than your reference case. Why has EIA not put those assumptions in your reference case?

Yes, they definitely should put those in … but then from all appearances they hate fracking with a passion …

59 Can you describe the number of personnel hired into management positions at EIA from outside EIA and compare it to the number of personnel hired into management positions at EIA who were currently serving at EIA?

Hiring outside vs promoting inside … interesting question.

60 How does EIA ensure quality in its data and analyses?

61 Where does EIA think most improvement is needed in its data and analyses?

I’d love to see the answer to this one.

62 We note that EIA added distributed solar estimations to your electricity data reports. Those numbers are not part of your supply/demand balance on a Btu basis. Why has that not been updated accordingly?

Uh-oh again … someone finally asking the hard questions.

63 How many vacancies does EIA have in management and staff positions? What plans, if any, does EIA have to fill those positions before January 20?

64 Is the EIA budget sufficient to ensure quality in data and analyses? If not, where does it fall short?

More questions to clarify the fiscal landscape.

65 Does EIA have cost comparisons of sources of electricity generation at the national level?

Not that I know of … but then they may have them and have not released them. We’ll see.

Questions on labs

DOE labs are separate from the DOE itself … I knew the DOE had labs but I had no idea they had seventeen of them, viz:

National Energy Technology Laboratory at Albany, Oregon (2005)

Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory at Berkeley, California (1931)

Los Alamos National Laboratory at Los Alamos, New Mexico (1943)

Oak Ridge National Laboratory at Oak Ridge, Tennessee (1943)

Argonne National Laboratory at DuPage County, Illinois (1946)

Ames Laboratory at Ames, Iowa (1947)

Brookhaven National Laboratory at Upton, New York (1947)

Sandia National Laboratories at Albuquerque, New Mexico and Livermore, California (1948)

Idaho National Laboratory between Arco and Idaho Falls, Idaho (1949)

Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory at Princeton, New Jersey (1951)

Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory at Livermore, California (1952)

Savannah River National Laboratory at Aiken, South Carolina (1952)

SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory at Menlo Park, California (1962)

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory at Richland, Washington (1965)

Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory at Batavia, Illinois (1967)

National Renewable Energy Laboratory at Golden, Colorado (1977)

Thomas Jefferson National Accelerator Facility at Newport News, Virginia (1984)

Let me say that as a businessman looking at that list, it screams “Duplication Of Effort” at about 180 decibels. Hence the following questions:

66 What independent evaluation panels does the lab have to assess the scientific value of its work? Who sits on these panels? How often do they hold sessions? Do they publish reports?

67 Can you provide a list of cooperative research and development grants (CRADAs) for the past five years? Please provide funding amounts, sources, and outcomes?

68 Can you provide a list of licensing agreements and royalty proceeds for the last five years?

69 Can you provide a list of the top twenty salaried employees of the lab, with total remuneration and the portion funded by DOE?

70 Can you provide a list of all peer-reviewed publications by lab staff for the past three years?

71 Can you provide a list of current professional society memberships of lab staff?

72 Can you provide a list of publications by lab staff for the past three years?

73 Can you provide a list of all websites maintained by or contributed to by laboratory staff during work hours for the past three years?

74 Can you provide a list of all other positions currently held by lab staff, paid and unpaid, including faculties, boards, and consultancies?

Well, it sure sounds like the gravy train ride is over, and the labs will be asked to justify their existence. I would not be surprised to see some closed and some merged.

===============

DISCUSSION:

My first take from all of this is that there will be a top-to-bottom shakeup of the DOE, with deadwood cut, permitting carefully reassessed, positions eliminated, labs merged, the EIA charged with giving real numbers, nuclear strengthened, and the climate nonsense moved way down the list.

My second take from all of this is that the people who made the memo are very good at their job. They’ve asked all of the right questions and then some.

However, I don’t find in this anything to support the claim that the new Administration is looking to hold up a list of scientists for opprobrium, or that they plan to interfere in the scientific process. As with every incoming Administration, they DO plan to refocus and redirect the overall future course of the agency, which will inescapably mean that the scientific studies will move in a different direction.

Finally, folks, lets get real. Every Administration has chosen the scientists it want to be studying things, and has told them what the Administration wants them to study. If these DOE scientists don’t want to be re-directed to study different things, this is not an infringement of their scientific freedom. Instead, it is part of the price you pay for being the government’s scientist—just as in any other field of endeavor you do what is directed by the people who sign your paycheck.

Overall, I gotta say … it’s about time, and it couldn’t happen to a better agency,

Regards to all,

w.

AND … if you disagree with someone, please have the courtesy to QUOTE THE EXACT WORDS YOU DISAGREE WITH, so we can all be clear on your objection.

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December 10, 2016 2:52 pm

There is nothing more beautiful than the sound of a swamp being drained.

December 10, 2016 3:25 pm

Feely touchy Jimmy Carter could not very well name DOE the ‘department of making weapons of mass destruction’ to keep up with the commie rat bas@rds.
If Handford is a superfund site what would you call cesspools like NYC and Chicago?
The nice part of living in a small city like Richland, Washington is all the smart scientist and the lack of left wing mayors who can not protect your children from drug dealers.
DOE lost its vital mission and got stuck with trivial problems created by fear mongers.

Bubba Cow
Reply to  Willis Eschenbach
December 10, 2016 4:08 pm

to add to your info, here’s Trump’s energy plan –
http://www.exposedbycmd.org/2016/12/04/revealed-trump-energy-plan

mellyrn
Reply to  Willis Eschenbach
December 11, 2016 5:17 am

Oh, cool! I tweeted both this post and your “How a Businessman … ” — and learned new things about how tweeting works in the process! 🙂
(Started an account years ago for the sole purpose of “following” Othar Trygvasson, Gentleman Adventurer @Othar)

Zeke
December 10, 2016 3:48 pm

“6 The Department recently announced the issuance of $4.5 billion in loan guarantees for electric vehicles (and perhaps associated infrastructure). Can you provide a status on this effort?
Oh, man, they are going for the jugular.”
And the Electric Vehicle salesman are going for the Jaguar. For themselves at least.
Wonderful news and informative article. Thanks for breaking this story on WUWT in a full write-up.

Horse Feathers
December 10, 2016 4:36 pm

It seems to me that the EPA should be pleased to demonstrate how they are a transparent department in the Obama administration. Obama promised transparency – didn’t he? Well, here is their chance to prove it – or not!

TRM
December 10, 2016 5:30 pm

28 Are there statutory restrictions related to reinvigorating the Office of Civilian Radioactive Waste Management?
29 Are there any statutory restrictions to restarting the Yucca Mountain project?
Okay time for the “UN-Screw Nevada” bill. Unlike the previous bill which would let everyone else dump all their nuke waste onto Nevada (the Screw Nevada bill) here is an idea.
Give Nevada the LFTR research project to build a facility to consume all that waste. It goes from having being a 1000-20,000 year danger to a 300 year danger for 17% of the waste and a 10-12 year danger for 83%. The people of Nevada get inexpensive electricity and free fuel for centuries out of the deal.

Reply to  TRM
December 10, 2016 8:11 pm

@TRM
How many pedestrians die in Las Vegas per years? How many have been hurt by spent fuel in the US?
Does calling Yucca Mountain a dump make it make it dangerous?

TRM
Reply to  Retired Kit P
December 11, 2016 11:50 am

Okay, everyone gets to “ship” their nuclear waste to Nevada rather than dealing with it themselves. I view that as putting my garbage on someone else’s lawn because they have a better place for it. Just my take on it. I’m not from Nevada or even the USA.
While technically Yucca mountain is as good as it gets for long term storage of nuclear waste the citizens of Nevada have successfully held up the project with legal challenges.
So why not offer the carrot of a LFTR to burn it to Nevada? Negotiation usually works better than confrontation. They get jobs building it, free fuel for however long the others ship it to them and whatever electricity comes out.
Time to catch up to and hopefully pass the Chinese on this technology.

TRM
December 10, 2016 5:47 pm

Thank you for dissecting this and getting it from 90 degrees off to straight up.
I can only hope similar demands are being made of the EPA, FDA, USDA, DOD and all other agencies!

Dr Goldstein
Reply to  TRM
December 10, 2016 6:56 pm

You know it. I am sure the cabinet includes WUWT readers.
I just can’t wait to hear all the crying and whining when the Alarmists are purged, along with their fake-science programs. The global-warming gravy train will come to an abrupt halt.

J Mac
December 10, 2016 6:41 pm

WOW! That list of questions indicates the ‘Landing Team’ is intent on a ‘D-Day’ invasion…. and the DOE is ‘Omaha Beach’, with more landing teams churning their way to the US departmental shores!!! I am really, really impressed and deeply encouraged by this!

Ben U.
December 10, 2016 6:56 pm

How many of us thought before the election that WUWT be having this discussion? It seems to good to be true.
Trump means business. Not in the sense only of pro-business but of serious in his aims. The only part that has me worried is the prospect of a trade war.

MRW
Reply to  Willis Eschenbach
December 11, 2016 1:09 pm

Thank yewwwww, Willis. I concur. I had a similar epiphany when I understood the implication, the real implication, of going off the gold standard in 1933, and how FDR was able to use it to craft his massive domestic jobs program, put millions back to work, and subsequently create the middle class. Such was the power of the fiat currency that Republican Mormon banker Marriner Eccles urged FDR to adopt which he claimed would end the Great Depression. Eccles started his appearances and pleadings before Congress a year before FDR won (FDR made him his first Chairman of the Fed in 1935); he was apparently more popular than Miley Cyrus. Eccles spoke plainly and in language the average person could understand, altho’ taciturn and direct; he had immense sympathy for his Utah countrymen and clients who were harmed by the Great Depression. (He kept his banks operating by doing things like having his tellers walk at half-speed during potential runs on his banks to slow the demands for cash.) Eccles preached the same ideas that Keynes published three years later in his General Theory. He was unique. Eccles was a millionaire by the time he was 22, he never finished high school. The Federal Reserve bldg in DC was his name on it.
Reinert, the author of that book, also properly lays blame at the feet of Paul Samuelson (Larry Summers’ uncle, Summers is a putz imo) who claimed to tbe the keeper of Keynes’ theory, laid the foundation of what 99% of today’s economists believe is the basis of macroeconomics in his 1947 textbook, but in a 1989 interview admitted he never understood what Keynes was talking about and didn’t finished reading the book! All the people here who occasionally wave the anti-Keynes banner and label things “Keynesian” in disdain as if they know what they’re talking about have never read it either.
Before the new fiat currency backed by the full faith and credit of the US federal government came into being, the US made, protected, its prosperity exactly as Reinert describes. In the mid-1800s, Britain was on us like white on rice to accept “free trade” and open our markets to them, and Ulysses S Grant said No, when the US is as rich as Britain, we’ll reconsider.
[excuse all typos and disjointed writing. getting the evil eye here for being on the computer too much.]

MRW
Reply to  Willis Eschenbach
December 11, 2016 1:18 pm

I second that.

Tom Udall
December 10, 2016 7:50 pm

The level of non science from the so-called skeptics is through the roof as long as a few bloggers who BELIEVE in the bulsh** are allowed to control the dialog through running character assassination parades against real scientists who told all of you: from day one: THIS SCAM WAS NEVER REAL.
People need to have it explained to them why no websites teaching the GHE is real have any tutorials and mini-courses on just the basics of calculation of gas properties.
How the actual law of thermodynamics for solving temperature of gases, takes into account every pertinent detail about gases and NO equations related to the law of thermodynamics for compressible fluids, refers to any quantity of unexplained warmth. There is NO reference to green house ANYthing in REAL GAS EQUATIONS.
People need to have it explained to them that the proponents of GHG ”theory” – it’s not even a functioning hypothesis – try to tell people that adding refractory material to a fire blanket makes the cold side of the blanket hotter.
This is patently impossible. The very gases listed on ALL sunlight top-of-atmosphere vs Earth surface charts – green house gases – stop some 20% of all sunlight ever thermalizing at the surface. Refracted energy is energy lost when there’s a source of energy, a ‘blanket’ as it were, and an object behind/beneath it.
There’s no such thing as adding more of the gases that already refract away 20% of sunlight till say, 22% sunlight is refracted away,
and that lead to more infrared leaving than when more was arriving. It’s so fake the proponents of it refuse to even try to explain it for anyone, because they claim they -the frauds and people who believed in it – are smarter than everyone who doesn’t believe in it.
Everyone
who has said they believed in it
has been engaged in all out war on real scientists. who told the whole world, : IT’S ALL fraud.
RIGHT down to the concept you can add more refractory material to an atmosphere
and create more light at the surface
than when more light arrived.
Wrong answer(S) to ALL the standard physics questions which busted this scam out so thoroughly from the very beginning.

Crispin in Waterloo
December 10, 2016 8:08 pm

“Folks, for $4.5 billion dollars, we could provide clean water to almost half a million villages around the world … ”
Just for reference, it would take twenty billion dollars to provide clean water to everyone on the planet. It is about the cost of a one month war in Iraq.

December 10, 2016 8:32 pm

The first example of POTUS Obama ignoring science and environmental regulations is Yucca Mountain. The courts reminded Obama that he was not above the law. He was ordered to resume the NRC license review.
POTUS has a legal mandate to build Yucca Mountain with the funds already paid by nuclear utilities.

mellyrn
Reply to  Retired Kit P
December 11, 2016 5:24 am

The lack of a Yucca Mountain repository means de facto repositories everywhere that the nuclear waste IS being kept now.

Reply to  mellyrn
December 11, 2016 8:16 pm

I used to worry about that 20 years ago. Once spent fuel is in dry cask storage it does not matter where it sits.
Concerns about spent are manufactured by anti-nukes.

old construction worker
December 10, 2016 8:32 pm

I understand DOE employs 90,000 people. EPA is next.

markl
December 10, 2016 8:41 pm

Toto, I have a feeling we’re not in Kansas anymore. I hope the rest of America wakes up to the subterfuge being played on us by our government. I also hope they notice the attempts by the handlers of the current administration to hide the truth.

December 10, 2016 9:08 pm

Haven’t seen this anywhere on the thread for the total DOE budget:
The President’s budget request for FY 2017 (for the DOE) includes $69.4 billion in discretionary funding, an increase of $1.3 billion over the 2016
I think we can pair that down…
JPP

Reply to  J. Philip Peterson
December 10, 2016 9:17 pm

Oops that is the department of education… I think the DOE (energy) is about the same – can’t seem to find it…I give up, it’s just too late in the night…Anyone know the total proposed for 2017 ??

Reply to  J. Philip Peterson
December 11, 2016 3:14 pm

Think I found it:
“The President’s Budget provides a total of $32.5 billion, $30.2 billion in discretionary funding and $2.3 billion in new mandatory funding in FY 2017 to support the Department of Energy in the areas of nuclear security, clean energy, environmental cleanup, climate change response, science and innovation.”
Ref:
http://energy.gov/fy-2017-department-energy-budget-request-fact-sheet
(Why does the Department of Education spend twice as much?)

Taphonomic
Reply to  J. Philip Peterson
December 12, 2016 11:04 am

“The President’s Budget” has become a standing joke. For several years it has been rejected by both houses of Congress with few votes for it.

Leveut
December 10, 2016 9:13 pm

My only change to that excellent list would be to change “Can you provide…” to “Provide…”

Rhoda R
Reply to  Leveut
December 10, 2016 11:36 pm

That’s step two, to be taken after 20 Jan.

kim
Reply to  Rhoda R
December 11, 2016 6:39 am

Heh, it’s nice. Provide it or demonstrate either your deceit or your incompetence.
===========

December 10, 2016 11:44 pm

You do seem to have beaten the WaPo. A hard sneeze could have done that though.

Dav09
December 11, 2016 12:32 am

WRT nuclear power / waste, would sure be nice to see some action on this.

Kurt in Switzerland
December 11, 2016 4:29 am

According to Joe Romm’s “Think Progress”, Bloomberg beat the WaPo to this one:
https://thinkprogress.org/trump-transition-team-singles-out-energy-department-employees-f6c627624ef#.w0f91ysyz
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-12-09/trump-team-s-memo-hints-at-broad-shake-up-of-u-s-energy-policy
But this IS hilarious. Long time coming. Head explosions ahead.
As though the New New Emperor decided to put a real tailor in charge of the Ministry of Fabric.

drdog09
December 11, 2016 7:20 am

Excellent queries by the transition team except for one. Statutory vs discretionary. I would never take the word of the liar on that score, I would go to the Congressional Budget office and ask them which SS numbers are. If the under secretaries at DoE are statutory their salary expense line will be so coded.

Ryan Murphy
Reply to  drdog09
December 15, 2016 5:41 am

No reason both cannot be done. So which people are honest and which are not if their answer and the congressional answer do not match then ‘Houston we have a problem.’

Beta Blocker
December 11, 2016 8:55 am

Full disclosure here, I’ve spent thirty-five years in nuclear construction and operations. My internet handle “Beta Blocker” reflects the situation that most of my occupational rad dose has come from beta-gamma sources of radiation.
It has been my opinion for the last three years that under current political and market conditions, nuclear power cannot compete with cheap natural gas in the United States. The market disparity between nuclear and natural gas is further fed by the reality that natural gas is technically better suited than baseload nuclear for supplying grid backup for state-mandated wind and solar facilities.
It is also my opinion that retaining nuclear power in the face of current market conditions is strictly a public policy decision. If we aren’t going to put a tax on carbon, then nuclear power can survive in the short and mid terms only if it is being subsidized as a hedge against possible future increases in the price and availability of natural gas.
Concerning the issue of what to do with America’s nuclear waste, the Obama Administration has labeled the Yucca Mountain project as “unworkable.”
Yes, the Yucca Mountain project is indeed unworkable. It is not just that a consent-based approach is needed; it is also because other factors just as important as a consent-based siting strategy are in play.
What the advocates of nuclear power inside DOE know, and what their key supporters on Capitol Hill also know, is that Yucca Mountain is unworkable because the entire Nuclear Waste Policy Act (NWPA) of 1982/1987 as currently written is unworkable and is not in alignment with emerging technical and cost realities.
Burying America’s current stock of spent nuclear fuel in a geologic repository makes no sense whatsoever. This material still has 90% of its energy left in it. Depending upon how the economics and technology of nuclear energy evolve over the next fifty to one hundred years, that spent nuclear fuel could be reburned in Generation 4 reactors or else be reprocessed for use as working feedstock in molten salt reactors.
In the meantime, it makes no sense to spend the enormous sums of money needed to manage a geologic repository as both an underground interim storage facility with a retrievability option, and as an underground permanent disposal facility for waste material which has no future economic value.
The cost difference between storing spent nuclear fuel underground in retrievable status versus what it costs to store that material on the surface in retrievable status is huge. The added security benefits of storing spent fuel underground versus what it costs to store on the surface are meager in comparison with the enormous costs involved.
It is for this reason that it makes even less sense to be burying our commercial spent nuclear fuel alongside America’s valueless defense wastes from Hanford and Savannah River, as dictated by the NWPA.
In addition, it makes no sense to be vitrifying Hanford’s tank wastes for burial at Yucca Mountain at enormous expense — possibly a hundred billion dollars or more over the next fifty years — when in fact the material in Hanford’s tanks could be retrieved and packaged as Remote Handled TRU and be buried at the WIPP facility in New Mexico at perhaps one-third the total lifecycle cost.
The decision made twenty years ago to vitrify Hanford’s tank wastes at the WTP facility — still far from complete in December, 2016 — for disposal at Yucca Mountain was strictly an administrative decision based on the political dynamics of the US Northwest, not a decision founded in radiation protection science.
Given what we now know about the true costs of managing America’s nuclear material; given what kinds of serious issues the Nuclear Waste policy Act of 1982/1987 is known to have, then bringing back the Yucca Mountain project is an ill-conceived waste management strategy.
We should store spent commercial fuel on the surface, either where it is now or else at a centralized, consent-based surface facility. We should send America’s defense wastes to the WIPP underground repository in New Mexico at far less cost than what the NWPA now dictates.

MRW
Reply to  Beta Blocker
December 11, 2016 1:17 pm

Burying America’s current stock of spent nuclear fuel in a geologic repository makes no sense whatsoever. This material still has 90% of its energy left in it.

Agree. Good informative post. Thank you.

December 11, 2016 9:00 am

… haven’t read all the comments, but just for fun, to mirror Willis’ opening paragraphs:
You mean like blacklisting specific journals that publish opposing viewpoints ?
You mean like waging major character assassination campaigns against specific, well-credentialed scientists who happen to disagree with the IPCC ?
You mean like disregarding a particular expert’s previous contributions to other critical areas of science and now calling this exact same expert a “crackpot”, because he disagrees with the IPCC ?
Ah, the hypocrisy !

December 11, 2016 9:55 am

DoE (and many others) exemplify “the bureaucracy in inaction”. They are in need of some serious trimming.

December 11, 2016 10:40 am

Reblogged this on electricityasia and commented:
Fantastic analysis by Willis Eschenbach here. Changes at the US DOE and EPA have significant reverberations in energy and environmental policies in developing countries like the Philippines and others in Asia.

Kathryn Thomas
December 11, 2016 11:14 am

Spot on! It seems these sorts of probing questions need to be asked of every government agency as part of ongoing audits. Thank you for bringing this to our attention.