Japan BOM: Global Warming will cause Heavier Snowfall

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Guest essay by Eric Worrall

The Japan Meteorological Agency thinks global warming will lead to heavier snowfall in Northern Japan.

According to writer Susumu Yoshida of the Asahi Shimbun, a prominent Japanese national newspaper;

Global warming will bring more heavy snow in northern Japan

Logic would tell us that continuing global warming will lead to less snowfall, but the opposite will be true in some areas of northern Japan, according to a meteorological simulation.

By the end of this century, while the country as a whole will receive a smaller amount of snow, Hokkaido and inland areas of the Hokuriku region will experience more frequent heavy snowfalls, the Meteorological Research Institute of the Japan Meteorological Agency announced Sept. 23.

The reasoning behind the prediction is that larger amounts of water vapor in the atmosphere caused by higher temperatures will make it easier for belts of snow clouds to develop above the Sea of Japan when the air pressure pattern is typical of the winter.

According to the results of the institution’s precise simulation, the Japanese archipelago will have lighter snowfall during the winter, if the mean annual temperature increases three degrees from the current level between 2080 and 2100.

Read more: http://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/AJ201610100004.html

Tracking original source material is a bit tricky because I don’t read or write Japanese, but the following appears to be part of an official Japanese Meteorological Report – though I am not sure if it is the source material referenced by Yoshida.

Snowfall in winter (Fig 6.1, Fig 6.2)

Snowfall in winter (December – March) is projected to decrease under both scenarios A1B and B1, in most areas except Hokkaido. The projected decrease for scenario A1B is greater than that for B1.

The projected increase in snowfall at high altitudes in Hokkaido for scenario A1B is greater than for the B1.

Heavy snowfall in winter (Fig 7.1, Table 7.1, Table 7.2)

The frequency of heavy snowfall is projected to increase at high altitudes in Hokkaido. The projected rate of increase for scenario A1B is greater than that for B1.

In most areas except Hokkaido, the frequency of heavy snowfall is projected to decrease for scenario A1B more than that for B1.

Read more: http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/gwp/gwp7/html_e/summary.html

All I can say is thank goodness we are not experiencing global cooling, otherwise we might have no snowfall at all.

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geran
October 12, 2016 4:07 pm

AGW causes more snow, and less snow.
What’s so hard to understand about that?

Mary Brown
Reply to  geran
October 13, 2016 7:03 am

I think you were being facetious but it’s true. AGW would cause more snow in cases like the one we are discussing. It would also cause less snow in more marginal climates.
The net result is that the snowfall pattern changes are just another butterfly tweak to A non-linear chaotic system. An infinite number of these butterfly tweaks to the chaotic system makes models a complete crapshoot

October 17, 2016 3:43 am

So as it continues to get colder and colder as the result of low solar activity, it gets snowier and snowier. And it becomes more obvious that global cooling is underway. All climate data is faked including the satelite data:
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/10/10/remote-sensing-systems-apparently-slips-in-a-stealth-adjustment-to-warm-global-temperature-data/
Then they start saying that global warming causes more snow, that’s not what they said before when they said global warming will mean almost no snow. SO now they come up with this utterbullshit that global warming is the same exact conditions as a MIA-which is what the world experienced the last time there was solar activity this low.
But how do they explain heavy snow in tropical regions like central mexico, vietnam, Lybia, Syria, Taiwan? For that the media just ignors it and tries to sweep it under the rug. How long can they keep bullshitting everyone with fake data and ridiculous theories? apparently a very long time; But 2020 is just around the corner and so is high volcanic activity to go along with low solar activity.