Record cold: Single digit to subzero Valentine's Day expected for much of NE USA

There’s a cold wind blowing for Valentine’s Day, and it blows from the Arctic.

subzero-valentines-day

h/t to 

Dr. Ryan Maue says it’s going to be one for the century old record books:

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/698209658436198400

and…

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/697429360630861824

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noaaprogrammer
February 13, 2016 9:10 am

Is anyone feeling cold? Just read Jack London’s short story, “To Build a Fire,” and then finish off with the poem, “The Cremation of Sam McGee.”

Marcus
Reply to  noaaprogrammer
February 13, 2016 9:26 am

..Hey, you may be right ! It actually feels like it just went from -30C to -29.75 C….Gee thanks !!

February 13, 2016 9:23 am

Dr. Ryan Maue says it’s going to be one for the century old record books:
and…

… it’s all due to Man increasing the atmosphere’s CO2.
Change the world’s spellcheckers. “Cold”‘s new proper spelling is “CO2ld”.
(Back in the 70’s when the scare was a new ice age, the scare failed because they didn’t blame it on Man. Now they can.)

February 13, 2016 9:43 am

For my little spot on the globe (Columbus, Ohio) the lowest recorded temperature was -22 F set Jan 19, 1994. (The record high for that date is 67 F set in 1907.)
For this weekend the records are:
FEB 12 69 1984 -8 1917
FEB 13 68 1938 -13 1899
FEB 14 68 1918 -8 1905
FEB 15 70 1954 -4 1978

RiHo08
February 13, 2016 10:33 am

This morning I was reading the electronic versions of the NY Times and Washington Post. Nary a word about the predicted record cold for NYC or DC. Were the Progressives editor’s minds frozen out by this reality? or was it just that their warming schtick got stuck in the ice?

ren
February 13, 2016 10:36 am

You have to pay attention to the polar vortex in the lower stratosphere.
http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/70hPa/orthographic=-89.53,56.66,792

Unfortunately, beano doesn't work for me
February 13, 2016 10:47 am

Ohh, that explains the 150,000 dead penguins, Australia burning, African famine, and North Pole Ice disappearing. It all makes sense now……….

Reply to  Unfortunately, beano doesn't work for me
February 13, 2016 2:08 pm

May I make a suggestion? Try lying on your left side and curling up into a fetal position. It will help with your ‘beano’ problem, and give you a comforting position to nurse your fears over weather. Win-win!

clipe
Reply to  Unfortunately, beano doesn't work for me
February 13, 2016 2:57 pm

“The arrival of iceberg B09B in Commonwealth Bay, East Antarctica, and subsequent fast ice expansion has dramatically increased the distance Adélie penguins breeding at Cape Denison must travel in search of food,” the researchers wrote in an article in Antarctic Science.
“It’s eerily silent now,” Chris Turney, a climate change professor with the Australasian Antarctic Expedition, which has been tracking the penguins’ decline, told the Sydney Morning Herald.
http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2016/02/13/colossal-iceberg-dooms-stranded-penguins/80343982/
Chis Turney? Hmm…
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/01/02/now-that-the-ship-of-fools-is-safe-in-antarctica-tough-questions-need-to-be-asked/

TRM
February 13, 2016 11:02 am

Hey. What happened to that nice el-nino warming? It was such a great winter so far. Don’t tell me it is ending already. We’ve got another 2 months until spring. Come back el, come back.

Russell
February 13, 2016 11:59 am

I found el
Extreme Cold Warning
Wind chill values between minus 38 and minus 46 C or F doesn’t matter are expected today and over night Montreal.

ren
February 13, 2016 12:38 pm

AO index falls. Will join the heavy snow in the east.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao.obs.gif

Keith
February 13, 2016 12:54 pm

Not that cold up here in the Northeast Kingdom of Vermont this year. Only expect temperatures to drop to -20F tonight with wind chill only to -40. Now last year was cold, -27F on Valentines Day and -35F the following week without wind chill. Winters just aren’t as cold as they used to be – at least in the last twelve months.

ren
February 13, 2016 11:37 pm

The current temperature (C) in the eastern United States.
http://oi64.tinypic.com/28w0ab6.jpg

ren
February 14, 2016 12:11 am

70 hPa polar vortex is more at peace with circulation of 500 hPa.
http://earth.nullschool.net/#2016/02/14/0900Z/wind/isobaric/500hPa/orthographic=-76.95,34.78,690

ren
February 14, 2016 11:18 am

Records of temperature.
http://oi63.tinypic.com/2wnzmzr.jpg

February 14, 2016 3:56 pm

The main portion of the polar vortex is sitting in Siberia, Mongolia, and China. This current cold wave started in the middle of last month. The coldest areas are as much as -58 C. China is saying record breaking cold over 90% of the nation..http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2016-01/22/content_23205011.htm
and here, morning temps in eastern Eurasia…http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/overlay=temp/orthographic=114.88,42.53,819

ren
February 15, 2016 10:08 am
ren
February 15, 2016 10:36 am

“There’s a reason why Torontonians say ‘we the north.’
Toronto is currently colder than Yellowknife, the city known to be the coldest in Canada. Yellowknife is sitting at -14 C today as Torontonians are facing temperatures at -26 C with wind chills at -39 C.
Today is the coldest Feb. 13 since 1979, says climatologist Dave Phillips of Environment Canada.
In 1979, temperatures went as low as -23.2C.
With wind chills approaching -40 C, exposed human flesh can freeze in around 20 minutes, Phillips says.
However, this year, temperatures have not been as bad as what we saw last year, says Phillips.
“Last year, we had 37 days in a row where we didn’t get a melting temperature in Toronto,” Philip says.”
http://www.metronews.ca/news/toronto/2016/02/13/toronto-is-colder-today-than-the-coldest-city-in-canada.html

ren
February 15, 2016 11:39 am

“The results of this study showed that the relation
between a cloud state at midlatitudes and GCR fluxes
on long time scales is indirect, i.e., caused by GCR
effects on extratropical cyclogenesis variations. A pos
itive correlation between the cloud amount and GCR
intensity, which was observed from 1983 to the early
2000s, is due to the intensification of cyclonic activity
when GCR fluxes intensify during the period of a
strong polar vortex. Since the GCR effects on the
development of extratropical cyclones weaken and
reverse the sign when the vortex gets weak, the viola
tion of the indicated correlation in the early 2000s can
be related to a change of the polar vortex state. The
obtained results give evidence for a rather important
role of cosmic ray variations as well as for a modulating
effect of the stratospheric polar vortex in solar–atmo
spheric links.”
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/282102403_Nature_of_long-term_correlations_between_cloud_state_and_variations_in_galactic_cosmic_ray_flux

February 15, 2016 1:12 pm

Meanwhile, Europe had warm temperatures – http://oceansgovernclimate.com/valentins-day-cold-service-from-europe-again/. I’m pretty sure that our activities on the oceans (including offshore wind farms) have played a role in this picture of warmer days….

ren
Reply to  smamarver
February 15, 2016 1:28 pm

This is the a catch that GCR operates in accordance with the Earth’s magnetic field.

ren
February 16, 2016 2:14 am

Polar vortex is so broken that the air from the south reaches far above the Arctic Circle.
http://oi66.tinypic.com/3522910.jpg

ren
February 16, 2016 4:45 am

Plenty of snow falls in Buffalo and Toronto.

ren
February 16, 2016 11:16 pm

The temperature in the Great Lakes region remains low.
http://oi68.tinypic.com/2gsj0bc.jpg

ren
February 17, 2016 3:06 pm

A strong magnetic storm additionally disturb the polar vortex.
http://i67.tinypic.com/nfr8sg.jpg

ren
February 18, 2016 5:09 am