Record cold: Single digit to subzero Valentine's Day expected for much of NE USA

There’s a cold wind blowing for Valentine’s Day, and it blows from the Arctic.

subzero-valentines-day

h/t to 

Dr. Ryan Maue says it’s going to be one for the century old record books:

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/698209658436198400

and…

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/697429360630861824

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Jon
February 12, 2016 4:11 pm

Global Warming will do that.

expat
Reply to  Jon
February 12, 2016 6:05 pm

Ever notice that it isn’t weather till it affects the media? Not that I care. It’s in the upper 80’s here on the Indian Ocean.

Old'un
Reply to  expat
February 13, 2016 2:43 am

It’s nearly the same on our terrace fifty yards across the beach from the Med. in southern Spain. Strange that the sea has been fifty yards away ever since I bought the place thirty years ago, when we are supposed to be seeing catastrophic sea level rise. I wonder if the scientists could be wrong?

Barbara Skolaut
Reply to  expat
February 13, 2016 4:57 pm

“I wonder if the scientists could be wrong?”
Since they’re not scientists, of course they’re wrong, Old’un.
Scientists can be wrong, as well.

Paul of Alexandria
Reply to  expat
February 13, 2016 9:47 pm

Thhhhhhhbbbbbbbbbtt
(From northern VA, where it’s in the low teens (F).)

Latitude
Reply to  Jon
February 13, 2016 7:41 am

Global Warming will do that…..yep
The same air the melts ice when it’s in the Arctic…
….brings record cold when it’s not

Grant A. Brown
Reply to  Jon
February 13, 2016 8:22 am

Someone should dig up links from a few winters ago when we were experiencing a series of “polar vortexes.” I seem to recall the warmist camp – wasn’t it Gavin Schmidt? – explaining in a slick video how this is “just what one should expect” in a warming world, as the warm tropical winds push and pull the cold-air mass over the pole into ever more contorted bulges and waves, ever further south. Extending that logic to the current El Nino winter, shouldn’t we be experiencing even more polar vortexes further south than ever before?… But no, this is the first (and likely the last) of the winter. It used to be that it took a decade or more to disprove conjectures in climate science. The half-life of explanations in climate science seem to be getting shorter and shorter.

Reply to  Jon
February 13, 2016 11:11 am

Sorry – I was having a really bad day when I wrote this last month.
I was tired of all the “”warmest year evah!!!” alarmist nonsense during an El Nino. So I called down the cold on you Eastern warmists…
Now I feel really, like, totally, I mean, y’know, bad.
I won’t do this again. Promise.
Apologies, Allan
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/01/22/friday-funny-probable-cause/comment-page-1/#comment-2126823
OK – enough!
I’ve had it with you Eastern warmists.
So in February, I’m calling down some brutally frigid winter weather on you.
Mark you calendars and get out your long woollies…

Mike the Morlock
Reply to  Allan MacRae
February 13, 2016 12:07 pm

Allan MacRae February 13, 2016 at 11:11 am
As one from New England how do I respond? Perhaps something old, ,,from Salem town. More weight

(truthful this has defined the whole skeptical movement)
michael

Reply to  Allan MacRae
February 14, 2016 5:00 am

Told ya so, a month ago…
Seriously, I think we will see a global cooling trend, starting as early as 2H2017.
By this statement I mean that temperatures will drop below the zero anomaly and actual global cooling will commence then, not just the reversal of the El Nino warming, which has probably already started. It will take several years of data before this global cooling trend can be differentiated from natural variation.
We predicted this cooling trend in an article written in 2002, to commence by 2020-2030. We now think global cooling will commence by 2020 or sooner.
Hope to be wrong. Cold weather kills – about 20 times as many people as hot weather.
https://friendsofsciencecalgary.files.wordpress.com/2015/09/cold-weather-kills-macrae-daleo-4sept2015-final.pdf
Best to all, Allan
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/12/24/1800s-poverty-diseases-malnutrition-surge-in-green-britain/comment-page-1/#comment-2106109
[excerpt]
UK politicians have been warned again and again about their destructive and dangerous energy policies, based on false global warming alarmism.
Cheap, abundant reliable energy is the lifeblood of society – it IS that simple. However, green fanatics have destroyed this vital principle with their egregious “green energy” falsehoods.
We wrote with confidence in 2002 during our debate with the Pembina Institute, when we opposed the Kyoto Accord.:
“The ultimate agenda of pro-Kyoto advocates is to eliminate fossil fuels, but this would result in a catastrophic shortfall in global energy supply – the wasteful, inefficient energy solutions proposed by Kyoto advocates simply cannot replace fossil fuels.”
We also wrote in the same debate:
“Climate science does not support the theory of catastrophic human-made global warming – the alleged warming crisis does not exist.”
All of our 2002 statements have now proved correct except one. Our sole remaining prediction from 2002 is for global cooling to commence by 2020-2030. We now think global cooling will be apparent by 2020 or sooner, possibly as early as 2017 after the current El Nino runs its course.

Ed Zuiderwijk
Reply to  Jon
February 14, 2016 5:34 am

Global Warming also makes pigs fly.

Neo
Reply to  Jon
February 14, 2016 10:03 am

Global Warming can do anything
http://www.zombo.com/

MattN
February 12, 2016 4:18 pm

We should easily our record low in Roanoke on Sunday.
If it keeps getting warmer, we’ll all freeze death.

higley7
Reply to  MattN
February 12, 2016 7:01 pm

I was told by a Mainer years ago about “25 snd 25.” When it’s -25 and blowing 25 mph, if your spit into the wind, it will free nd crack before it hits the ground. In Iowa, in the early 80s, it got so cold the dashboard in my car cracked up the middle, there was frost on the screws of the light switch on inside of the wall near my front door, and I bought an electrically-heated dipstick to put into my car’s oil pan on very cold night—made a big difference getting my car started in the morning.

Richard Petschauer
Reply to  higley7
February 12, 2016 10:42 pm

When I was going to college in the 1950s in St.Paul Minnesota I used to bring in the car battery on cold nights(-10 or colder). It helped a lot. (I parked in the street and could not plug in a heater.)

Mike McMillan
Reply to  higley7
February 13, 2016 1:17 am

Heck, up in Minot we used to bring in the light bulbs.

Reply to  higley7
February 13, 2016 3:14 am

Call that cold? When I were a lad, it were so cold we ‘ad to buy fur coats for all t’ sheep, and we ‘ad ter piddle into a bowl standing right by fire, or else yer pee would freeze afor it hit t’ground. We ‘ad to send me little bruvver aht to fetch more firewood, and they found ‘im days later just a few feet down path .. stiff as a board, ‘e was. Run down by a skiddin’ ice cream van.Terrible days, them were. I can still ‘ear sound of grandma’s teef chatterin’, even after they fell out.
Last time we take a holiday in Puerto Rico, that’s for sure

HocusLocus
Reply to  higley7
February 13, 2016 4:26 am

Call that cold? In the US Virgin Islands when it clouded over and the wind picked up we’d have wind-chills down to 75F/24C. Only tourists left at the beach. We’d shudder when we remember the all-time low of 1999 (52F/11C). People drove down from the mountains to escape that one. Now I live in a cold place and work outside and often get wet and find that I can endure it better than many natives because my body is still in denial.

zemlik
Reply to  higley7
February 13, 2016 4:33 am

In Northern India in my youth was amused to see the drivers of those painted lorries lighting bonfires underneath the engines at dawn.

George Tetley
Reply to  higley7
February 13, 2016 5:21 am

In Siberia I went outside with a friend and pissed rose bushes, ( a local sport when drinking Vodka ) it was freezing before it hit the ground ( minus 43c ) don’t say much for alcoholic anti-freeze.

dmacleo
Reply to  higley7
February 13, 2016 5:34 am

live here in central maine and not actually true but it sure feels like it would
I have had good windshields crack in it though, was -28f with 20+ mph wind and as soon as car warmed enough to toss heat through defrost vents (climate control waits until engine warm before turning on blower) within seconds I had crack going full width.
tonight mean temp supposed to be around -15f and windy, no idea what wind chills will be.

Pamela Gray
Reply to  MattN
February 13, 2016 8:40 am

Child’s play. It was so cold in my childhood bedroom that thick frost built up on the INSIDE of the window!

Unfortunately, beano doesn't work for me
Reply to  Pamela Gray
February 13, 2016 10:33 am

I grew up in a house like that too.

Pablo an ex Pat
Reply to  Pamela Gray
February 13, 2016 12:17 pm

You had windows eh ? There was no frost on the inside of our windows because we didn’t have any glass or panes, just holes. We used to dream of havin’ windows, none but Southern softies had windows when I was a lad….
H/T to Monty Python’s Yorkshireman Sketch

John F. Hultquist
Reply to  Pamela Gray
February 13, 2016 1:02 pm

We used to say Jack Frost visited, but some fool used that as a movie title or some such thing. Now one has to actually write and search images with frost on windows to see what Pamela is recalling from her childhood.

Logoswrench
February 12, 2016 4:19 pm

Nothing says warming like cooling.
-the alarmist handbook.

george e. smith
February 12, 2016 4:21 pm

Wow ! -40 Deg. F
For a while there Ryan, I thought you were saying -40 deg. C.
Well I guess I can relax, if it’s only going to be -40 F.
G

Roger
Reply to  george e. smith
February 12, 2016 4:38 pm

-40 deg F = -40 deg C!

MRW
Reply to  Roger
February 12, 2016 11:08 pm

Yup. Roger is right. -40 deg F = -40 deg C!

Bennett In Vermont
Reply to  george e. smith
February 12, 2016 4:45 pm

I see what you did there…
:-]

Reply to  Bennett In Vermont
February 12, 2016 6:18 pm

I’m not sure Roger did though

TRM
Reply to  george e. smith
February 13, 2016 10:55 am

Don’t worry George. Some of us got the joke 🙂

Will Nelson
Reply to  george e. smith
February 13, 2016 11:41 am

And that’s exactly what george e. smith just said… haha

Leon Brozyna
February 12, 2016 4:23 pm

No problem … Valentine’s Day is on Sunday, so just stay in and under the covers … and for those still able to do it, read a good book … problem solved.

Mike
Reply to  Leon Brozyna
February 12, 2016 4:39 pm

That is NOT what you do on Valentine’s Day under the covers. My wife and I have something *else* in mind.

3¢worth
Reply to  Mike
February 12, 2016 4:54 pm

Eat Valentine’s Day chocolates?

James Bull
Reply to  Mike
February 13, 2016 12:31 am

I will get home from work after 6 in the morning and cuddle up to my LLW (Lovely Lady Wife) and get moaned at for being cold as happens most mornings after working a night and will say where’s the fun in getting warmed up first before the cuddle?
James Bull

Alex
Reply to  Mike
February 13, 2016 3:39 am

TMI

DonM
Reply to  Leon Brozyna
February 12, 2016 10:04 pm

… maybe two whole chapters since its valentines day.

February 12, 2016 4:25 pm

Oh, you guys… that’s just weather. That doesn’t have anything to do with with climate. ( sarc)

Robert B
Reply to  rishrac
February 12, 2016 9:49 pm

I’ll see your “warming is climate/ cooling is weather” and raise it.
Watching a David Attenborough documentary at the moment. “These mountains were carved during the last ice age. We are due for another but there seems to be subtle changes that can’t be explained by nature.”
Brilliant. Big changes are natural. Subtle changes are human induced.

Robert B
Reply to  Robert B
February 12, 2016 9:58 pm

Then again, there is still the occasional gems.

(not the actual footage in the Doco)

Reply to  Robert B
February 13, 2016 12:51 am

That “due for another” is what concerns me. So far, co2 as the main driver of climate control hasn’t materialized. What’s scary is that all of the attention is focused solely on co2.

zemlik
Reply to  Robert B
February 13, 2016 4:46 am

dealing with general pollution would be better than the obsession with CO2.
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/feb/11/toxic-chemicals-found-in-beached-pilot-whales-in-soctland

Gerry, England
Reply to  Robert B
February 13, 2016 5:46 am

Sad as Attenborough used to command respect for his work but now spouts the warmist drivel. Of his own freewill I believe although all his programmes are by the BBC where global warming is the official religion.

clipe
February 12, 2016 4:29 pm

It’s almost here.
6:36 PM EST Friday 12 February 2016
Special weather statement in effect for:
City of Toronto
Occasional Poor visibilities in sudden bursts of snowfall this evening.
A vigorous cold front is moving southwards across southern Ontario. Ahead of this cold front convective snowshowers have developed and are producing locally intense bursts of visibility reducing snow. At their worst visibilities could be as low as 250 metres. Motorists should proceed with caution in these heavier snow showers.
The snow is not expected to linger at any one place for a long period of time thus local snowfall amounts are not expected to be much more than 5 cm.
As conditions clear up later this evening bitterly cold air is expected to create extreme wind chill values after midnight.
comment image

Lance
Reply to  clipe
February 12, 2016 7:48 pm

Will Toronto call out the Army again? …ok…low blow…

Reply to  Lance
February 13, 2016 7:38 pm

They won’t be able to, the new govt (Libtards) have kicked the military off their bases and filled them up with Justin’s People.
So the equipment will be held hostage by our latest “refugees”.
Just another factoid you will not see on CBC.
Must be really tough for canadian troops serving in Iraq, to hear your loved ones have been kicked ouit of their homes to house the relatives and co-religiants of those you are sent to fight.
Nothing quite says “We support our troops” like Liberal treachery..

Don
Reply to  clipe
February 13, 2016 3:20 am

How was Toronto back in December when the average was 8 degrees above normal?
Or January when they were 1.5 degrees above normal?
Or the first 9 days of February when you were averaging 10.5 above normal?

Mark
Reply to  Don
February 13, 2016 4:45 am

It was bloody fantastic! Yet all our fault 🙁
/sarc.

ferdberple
Reply to  clipe
February 13, 2016 6:56 pm

Oh poor Toronto. Man up. In the rest of the country we call those conditions summer.

PaulH
February 12, 2016 4:35 pm

Wow, it’s so cold all of Ontario and Quebec has turned white with frostbite, at least according to that map. 😉 It’s funny how the weather is always held up at customs.

Alex
Reply to  clipe
February 13, 2016 3:43 am

Interesting how it is coldest where the 2 KM thick glaciers were in the last ice age

Chris F
Reply to  PaulH
February 13, 2016 5:19 am

-30C here this morning. Gonna keep pumping the wood to the furnace just to stay alive.

3¢worth
February 12, 2016 4:52 pm

It’s not just going to be cold in the U.S. but also in Canada where all that “imported” (to the U.S.) cold air comes from. Forecast low for Toronto tonight is -23°C (-9°F) and the high for tomorrow -17°C (1°F). Average low temperature this time of year for Toronto is -10°C (14°F), average high -2°C (28°F). It’s going to “warm up” for Valentine’s Day to a balmy -12°C (10°F). At least this February has been warmer (so far) than 2015. Last February was the Coldest on record in Toronto, although the news reports claimed February globally was the Warmest on record – and pigs can fly. Of course we all know that temperatures that are below average AND above average are caused by AGW.

Marcus
Reply to  3¢worth
February 12, 2016 4:59 pm

..London, Ontario is going down to -30 C windchill tonight and tomorrow !!! Yea, Glo.Bull Warming !!

Pierre DM
Reply to  Marcus
February 12, 2016 5:54 pm

I don’t know guys. Canada is not showing any of that nasty green and pink stuff. I love how the weather always follows political boundaries both locally and internationally. sarc

DAS
February 12, 2016 4:59 pm

OT, you guys got to check out GRIST “Is climate change giving the Great Barrier Reef herpes?”.
https://grist.org/science/is-climate-change-giving-the-great-barrier-reef-herpes/?utm_source=syndication&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=feedgrist

John M. Ware
February 12, 2016 4:59 pm

Here in central Virginia the drums are beating to tell us of the approaching cold, with the chill being deepest on Sunday. However, I’d be surprised if a new cold record is set here, since the current record is 5 degrees F and so far the predictions are around 12 F. Now, out here in the rural wilds of Mechanicsville, it gets colder than in Richmond; but even here, colder than 5 degrees would be a surprise. Last year we had down to -1 F at least once, and I’ve seen it at -6 some years ago (all-time record is -12 for Richmond). So–yes, it’s getting cold, and I’d just as soon it would moderate a bit; but it doesn’t look like anything exceptional.

Klems
February 12, 2016 5:07 pm

Oh man, those friggn Canadians, it’s all their fault. I knew it.

Reply to  Klems
February 12, 2016 8:21 pm

Klems, It’s all Cruz’s fault!

Reply to  Klems
February 13, 2016 9:47 am

Trump will build a weather wall and make Canada pay for it!
Will it have an opening for Canadian oil? Please one for beer!

Mark from the Midwest
February 12, 2016 5:13 pm

When traveling to New York in the colder months I’ve noticed that most people are completely unprepared for anything below, roughly, 28 degrees. They don’t wear hats, they have funny little calf-skin gloves, and their over coats have gaps in the closures that allow cold air to pour in. I also found that a face cord of seasoned hardwood goes for upward of 400 bucks, not including delivery, (yes, that’s a face cord)…
I would pity the poor souls for their ignorance if not for their constant arrogance about all things natural and scientific,

Andrew
Reply to  Mark from the Midwest
February 13, 2016 4:41 am

I don’t often encounter 28F, but I did last month in Shanghai. I had no hat, no coat and no gloves. It was a bit warm for walking but then we got a nice light drizzle to cool things down – perfect walking conditions.

ldd
Reply to  Mark from the Midwest
February 13, 2016 5:09 am

Like the ladies wearing winter boots with stiletto heels or no treads…not good on ice.
Being from ‘northern’ Ontario, I’m use to having ‘squared’ tires on my way to work in the mornings and needing to run my vehicle at lunch hour so it will start at end of the day since there were no electrical outlets for day time parking spots in the little city I was residing in. Also noticed the younger tend to want to be fashionable over practical in winters…the youth eh.
Not looking forward to the expected cool cycle we’ll be heading into next few decades…brr-r.

pjbgravely
Reply to  Mark from the Midwest
February 13, 2016 11:48 am

Sounds like you were in New York city, not New York State. There is a big difference. A full cord of split seasoned hardwood, delivered is around $200. People inside where I work where hats to keep warm. I have not worn my arctic coat this winter because until today it wasn’t needed. The gloves, well you don’t need heavy gloves until it is 10 degrees F or less. As for the coats with the slits, that is something a city person would where.

Wally
February 12, 2016 5:24 pm

This will merely provide an opportunity for the ‘extreme weather’ crowd.

February 12, 2016 5:30 pm

I’m with Jon: Global Warming will do all that.

fred4d
February 12, 2016 5:38 pm

Will be close here in SE VA on the 14th. Forecast 19°F record 18°F, although the record for as late as Feb 9 is 4°F so it can get colder , much colder in Feb.

Duncan
February 12, 2016 5:41 pm

But it is a DRY cold, almost desert like conditions, more proof of climate change.

Reply to  Duncan
February 12, 2016 6:22 pm

True indeed. Back in those halcyon climate days, it used to be humid at -40 C.

Ack
February 12, 2016 6:01 pm

Obviously Uber La Nina arrived early.

Windsong
February 12, 2016 6:20 pm

This will only be a dim memory when they declare 2016 “the warmest year on record.” Whatever that means. 😉

Reply to  Windsong
February 12, 2016 6:25 pm

Brandon or Nick will be along to explain that one to you soon, I’m sure. Have your notebook ready.

FTOP_T
Reply to  philincalifornia
February 12, 2016 7:48 pm

Yeah. We will learn how estimating data makes scientific results more accurate and then they will show us how slower cooling = warming. Get the popcorn popped.

Brandon Gates
Reply to  philincalifornia
February 12, 2016 10:49 pm

philincalifornia,

Brandon or Nick will be along to explain that one to you soon, I’m sure.

Start with:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/01/01/2015-in-review/#comment-2111066
I’m sure Nick knows the particulars better than me, but my basic understanding is that it’s not unreasonable to expect turbulent flows to develop when one part of a system is a net energy gainer and another part is a net energy loser. It follows then that a net energy gain over the entire system would tend to increase flow and thus turbulence. Also stands to reason that something like polar vortexes would get a bit more wobbly, venture to slightly lower latitudes slightly more often. Conversely, warmer air from lower latitudes increasingly makes it to higher latitudes in other parts of the increasingly wobbly vortex.
Very noisy process, weather. One event doesn’t “prove” a climatic trend one way or another, but noisier weather is certainly not inconsistent with a climate system that is on balance gradually accumulating more energy over time.
FTOP_T,

Get the popcorn popped.

You ever notice that it pops faster with the lid on rather than off while holding the burner at the same setting?

Reply to  philincalifornia
February 13, 2016 3:51 am

Brandon:
The need to for mental masturbation about global temperature anomalies = no dangerous anthropogenic global warming signals
Pass it on
(and please do try to stop doing it in public)

Samuel C Cogar
Reply to  philincalifornia
February 13, 2016 4:00 am

@ Brandon Gates – February 12, 2016 at 10:49 pm

You ever notice that it pops faster with the lid on rather than off while holding the burner at the same setting?

Yup, and iffen someone could prove that the earth’s atmosphere has a lid on it then they could easily prove that all the CAGW claims are NOT “junk science” idiotic foolishness.

Samuel C Cogar
Reply to  philincalifornia
February 13, 2016 4:03 am

@ Brandon Gates – February 12, 2016 at 10:49 pm

You ever notice that it pops faster with the lid on rather than off while holding the burner at the same setting?

Yup, and iffen someone could prove that the earth’s atmosphere has a lid on it then they could easily prove that all the CAGW claims are NOT “junk science”.

Brandon Gates
Reply to  philincalifornia
February 13, 2016 4:29 am

We’ve been down this road before: Don’t bring my name into the conversation if you don’t want me to reply. Surely you’re not so feeble-minded as to not understand this very simple principle. Thank you for your consideration.

bobl
Reply to  philincalifornia
February 13, 2016 2:04 pm

Except Brandon, what you claim is wrong, Since most of the heat gain is supposed to be at the poles, this reduces the temperature gradient and calms the weather – the appropriate prediction is less arctic breakout, not more.

Brandon Gates
Reply to  philincalifornia
February 13, 2016 11:01 pm

bobl,

… what you claim is wrong, Since most of the heat gain is supposed to be at the poles, this reduces the temperature gradient and calms the weather – the appropriate prediction is less arctic breakout, not more.

While that seems intuitively correct, it doesn’t account for why the poles are supposed to warm more quickly. [1] Albedo feedback seems most commonly cited, but hypotheses invoking changes to general circulation have also been proposed. It’s those latter kind of mechanims I was thinking of when I wrote my first post.
Also keep in mind, much of the energy moved about by weather is latent heat contained in water vapor, and surface warming due to any cause puts more of it in the atmosphere.
The science is NOT settled on global warming, Arctic amplification and boreal winter cold snaps:
===============
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2012/06/120606132420.htm
Arctic ice melt is setting stage for severe winters
Date:
June 6, 2012
Source:
Cornell University
Summary:
A dramatic melt-off of Arctic sea ice due to climate change is hitting closer to home than millions of Americans might think – triggering a domino effect leading to increased odds of severe winter weather outbreaks in the Northern Hemisphere’s middle latitudes, according to new research.
—————
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2014/06/140615143834.htm
Arctic warming linked to fewer European and U.S. cold weather extremes, new study shows
Date:
June 15, 2014
Source:
University of Exeter
Summary:
Climate change is unlikely to lead to more days of extreme cold, similar to those that gripped the United States in a deep freeze last winter, new research has shown. The Arctic amplification phenomenon refers to the faster rate of warming in the Arctic compared to places further south. It is this phenomenon that has been linked to a spike in the number of severe cold spells experienced in recent years over Europe and North America.
—————
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/05/150520122844.htm
Climate change does not cause extreme winters, experts say
Date:
March 27, 2015
Source:
ETH Zürich
Summary:
Cold snaps like the ones that hit the eastern United States in the past winters are not a consequence of climate change. Scientists have now shown that global warming actually tends to reduce temperature variability.
—————
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/05/150520122844.htm
Severe weather may be linked to Arctic warming
Date:
May 20, 2015
Source:
University of Sheffield
Summary:
New evidence has linked Arctic warming with severe weather in countries including the UK and US. The studies are adding to the growing weight of evidence linking increased Arctic temperatures with changes in mid-latitude weather patterns.
===============
As I said in my first post, weather is noisy and one extreme event doesn’t “prove” a climatic trend one way or another. It also makes sense to me that research would be all over the map at present becuase of limited availability of high-quality, high-resolution data to work from. Nothing says good science to me more than a robust debate in literature.
—————
[1] In point of fact, only Arctic is warming faster than the global average. The Antarctic, ever the outlier, is actually cooling slightly according to RSS TLT.
http://data.remss.com/msu/graphics/TLT/plots/RSS_TS_channel_TLT_Northern%20Polar_Land_And_Sea_v03_3.png
http://data.remss.com/msu/graphics/TLT/plots/RSS_TS_channel_TLT_Global_Land_And_Sea_v03_3.png
http://data.remss.com/msu/graphics/TLT/plots/RSS_TS_channel_TLT_Southern%20Polar_Land_And_Sea_v03_3.png

Brandon Gates
Reply to  philincalifornia
February 13, 2016 11:06 pm

Samuel C Cogar,

Yup, and iffen someone could prove that the earth’s atmosphere has a lid on it then they could easily prove that all the CAGW claims are NOT “junk science”.

Thank you for confirming that FTOP_T’s original argument was ridiculous.
People who think “easy proof” is common feature of “real science” are probably least equipped to know it from “junk science” when they see either.

February 12, 2016 6:26 pm

Time for another chorus of :Oh Susanna.
Sun so hot I froze to death…
.The media is stunningly idiotic, extreme weather,global warming,climate change..
Totally unprecedented.. since last winter.

H.R.
February 12, 2016 7:19 pm

Al Gore… promise breaker. Where’s that global warming you promised? I demand a refund!

trafamadore
February 12, 2016 9:12 pm

Meanwhile, record low ice in the Arctic.

Mark
Reply to  trafamadore
February 13, 2016 4:51 am

How’s the antarctic doing?

Frederik Michiels
Reply to  Mark
February 14, 2016 3:24 am

around average zero point, which is actually abnormal for a strong El Nino… it should be normally be 1 million km² below normal at least to have the “normal el nino effect”
what strikes me is that the DMI old fashioned 30% rate and coastal regions masked out measurements do just show the opposite: most ice cover of the last 10 years
old DMI sea ice cover graph
to phrase their words:
“Current Sea Ice extent
Total sea ice extent on the northern hemisphere since 2005. The ice extent values are calculated from the ice type data from the Ocean and Sea Ice, Satellite Application Facility (OSISAF), where areas with ice concentration higher than 30% are classified as ice.
The total area of sea ice is the sum of First Year Ice (FYI), Multi Year Ice (MYI) and the area of ambiguous ice types, from the OSISAF ice type product. However, the total estimated ice area is underestimated due to unclassified coastal regions where mixed land/sea pixels confuse the applied ice type algorithm. The shown sea ice extent values are therefore recommended be used qualitatively in relation to ice extent values from other years shown in the figure. In late 2012 sea ice climatology and anomaly data will be available here.”
it’s a shame they gonna discontinue this graph anytime soon. but maybe this year is showing the why: it shows a very unconveiniant truth about the arctic

ldd
Reply to  trafamadore
February 13, 2016 5:13 am

Not record LOW at all – you like spreading lies or what?

joelobryan
February 12, 2016 9:22 pm

It was 82F today in Tucson Arizona. Took the pup hiking to 9000′ on Mt Wrightston. It was cold up there. She loved it. I froze.
And we worry about 1-2 deg C. People, animals, ecosystems have evolved to adapt.

DonM
Reply to  joelobryan
February 12, 2016 9:52 pm

… and the “most adaptable” to change are climatologist and their theories.

Clive
February 12, 2016 9:41 pm

Still lovin’ El Nino here in southern Alberta….was 13°C here in Lethbridge today and close the same for the next week. WE have global warming. The East just has cold weather.

Major Meteor
February 12, 2016 10:46 pm

It’s a good thing we have all that CO2 in the air to keep it from getting colder.

4TimesAYear
February 12, 2016 11:09 pm

February is usually pretty brutal – I remember quite a few in which the wind blew incessantly for 2 weeks with temps in the single digits and lows well below zero. Pipes freezing were a constant concern. Of course those who are afraid of global warming obviously have no such memories and never had to deal with such issues, or they’d gladly welcome warmer winters.

4TimesAYear
February 12, 2016 11:11 pm

Reblogged this on 4timesayear's Blog and commented:
February is usually pretty brutal – I remember quite a few in which the wind blew incessantly for 2 weeks with temps in the single digits and lows well below zero. Pipes freezing were a constant concern. Of course those who are afraid of global warming obviously have no such memories and never had to deal with such issues, or they’d gladly welcome warmer winters.

ren
February 12, 2016 11:39 pm

Current temperature (C).
http://oi65.tinypic.com/msev5e.jpg

nc
February 12, 2016 11:50 pm

Don’t worry about the cold Ontarians, your wind farms will save the day
http://www.windontario.ca/

H.R.
Reply to  nc
February 13, 2016 4:50 am

I’m in the U.S., nc, but that was well worth the read. Thanks for the link.

ren
February 13, 2016 12:08 am
ren
Reply to  ren
February 14, 2016 4:22 am
ren
February 13, 2016 12:16 am

The approaching storm geomagnetic 15-16 February causing even greater turmoil in the weather.
http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/images/animations/enlil/latest.jpg

February 13, 2016 12:28 am

If it had been warmer than usual, would we have been correctly pointing out that weather is not climate?

February 13, 2016 12:56 am

Reblogged this on Climatism and commented:
Catastrophic man-made Global Warming update…

Ed Zuiderwijk
February 13, 2016 1:31 am

Mind you, in ten years time these temperatures will have to be retrospectively corrected downwards to keep the illusionary warming alive.

Russell
February 13, 2016 2:15 am

Have you ever wondered way the Eskimo can live so far north: Because they eat lots and lots of Saturated Fat. Montreal will go down to -28c tonight ;University of Cape Town deputy vice chancellor and law professor Danie Visser calls emeritus professor Tim Noakes a “force in the world”. Day 5 Bhoopchand was powerless to stop Noakes in full sail as he waded into these vested interests worldwide, showing how they are embedded in academia, have bought off top scientists and academics, sponsor dietitians’ associations – including the Association for Dietetics in SA (ADSA), whose former president http://www.biznews.com/low-carb-healthy-fat-science/2016/02/13/tim-noakes-i-wont-practise-medicine-of-failure-banting-lchf/ Please read.

February 13, 2016 2:30 am

Ferengi CGW Rule:
Hot is good for business. Cold is good for business.

February 13, 2016 2:34 am

P.S. It has been much colder than usual in South Colorado this winter, almost very day, for two months. We were very tired of cold, especially early in the morning. Only recently, during the last week, weather “normalized.”

Ed Zuiderwijk
February 13, 2016 3:20 am

Cheer up folks! If the cold goes south then surely the warmth must move north. The Arctic is warming, obviously, and the models are correct.
Any temperature measurements up north available?

February 13, 2016 3:28 am

I don’t think we’re going to break any records in central PA, either for lows or for highs, though both will be much closer to the record mins than the maxes. Still be nasty though.

Eve
February 13, 2016 5:43 am

It is cold here in the Bahamas also. It was cool in January but Feb has been horrid, 59 to 62 at night, high sixties to low 70’s in the day. Remember we do not have heat. The weather is hurting restaurants because it is too cold to sit outside. I may have to move further south though my friend in Mexico is screaming because of the cold. I think my other friend in Nicaragua is okay. Not hearing any screaming from Canada. I think they are all frozen.

polski
February 13, 2016 6:11 am

Barrie, ONTARIO
EXTREME COLD WARNING IN EFFECT
SNOW SQUALL WARNING IN EFFECT
Current Conditions
-30°C
Observed at:
Lake Simcoe Regional Airport
Date:
9:00 AM EST Saturday 13 February 2016
Pressure:
102.8 kPa
Tendency:
rising
Temperature:
-29.5°C
Dewpoint:
-35.6°C
Humidity:
56%
Wind:
NNW 18 gust 31 km/h
Wind Chill:
-42
Great day to fish for ice!!

Chris Wright
February 13, 2016 6:13 am

If there’s any more global warming we’re going to freeze to death!

Oatley
February 13, 2016 6:14 am

A good cold snap still reminds me of the 1977-78 winter in Ohio. Got cold in November, single digits in December and snow piling up, occasioned by multiple episodes of “-20’s with 20’s” that continued through February. Sat in a utility control room one night, watching electrical demand spike to unanticipated heights when phone calls came in from generating units that the coal stockpiles had frozen and dozers couldn’t keep up. A widespread outage could have killed hundreds.
Ask anyone who has experienced such extremes and they’ll vote heatwave everytime.

eyesonu
February 13, 2016 7:06 am

All just in time for Valentine Day. It is so cold that my brass monkey named John has experienced a sex reassignment and will now have to be named Jane.

Sun Spot
February 13, 2016 8:05 am

But CO2 has absolute control of climate-weather, natural climate-weather variations only exist in skeptics minds. With these high levels of CO2 the models say we shouldn’t even now what cold-climate-weather is.
BwaaaaHaaaahaaaaHaaa

Johna Till Johnson
February 13, 2016 8:05 am

Mark from the Midwest, stop with the NYC bashing. 🙂 Some of us know how to dress, and we don’t show all our secrets to outsiders.
Yes, I have little “ladyboots” with stiletto heels and minimal tread, a fashionable coat, and lightweight gloves, which I wear when I can, which is most of the time. And I *also *have thick-soled insulated boots and mittens and a proper zip up parka for the actually cold days.

Reply to  Johna Till Johnson
February 13, 2016 4:57 pm

“we don’t show all our secrets to outsiders.” Would that be Victoria Secrets? 😉

Russell
February 13, 2016 8:22 am

More Global Warming Arctic blast to hit Britain TONIGHT with up to six inches of snow and temperatures of -4C predicted to bring misery to the roads
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3445398/Arctic-blast-hit-Britain-TONIGHT-six-inches-snow-temperatures-4C-predicted-bring-misery-roads.html#ixzz4048E1Pab
Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook

ren
Reply to  Russell
February 13, 2016 9:58 am

Arctic air getting closer to the UK.
http://pl.sat24.com/pl/scan

Reply to  Russell
February 14, 2016 6:46 am

It’s the Daily Mail, therefore is must be complete nonsense. There are a few light snow showers forecast for Eastern England. It will be cold, especially at night with frost. Daytime temps are likely to be 4-6 c , Positively balmy weather compared to what they get in North America. Remember this though, we all know the Daily Mail and Express routinely lie about the weather. If they are so comfortable lying in this subject, how reliable are the rest of it’s news stories?

ToddF
February 13, 2016 8:25 am

Why is it that “record breaking” lows are not evidence for global cooling while “record” highs are self evident proof of global warming?

whiten
Reply to  ToddF
February 13, 2016 9:48 am

ToddF
February 13, 2016 at 8:25 am
Have you not heard yet, science is settled in that one, the climate or weather OR WHATEVER…..all is AGW,……. “record breaking” lows or highs or neither,,,,, no record breaking or even “no records” at all, warming or cooling and even neither…..everything and enything left right up or down or nether or whatever and ever after is indisputably confirming AGW these days as all that happens at present and ever after is due to it……..the AGW….
If you don’t believe this….please try and ask any scientist…….97% chance there you have for a confirmation… it is not a joke……….or is it! 🙂
cheers

Reply to  whiten
February 13, 2016 11:03 pm

Please stop! My dog is depressed and my cat is already pregnant.

Reply to  ToddF
February 14, 2016 7:12 am

For the same reason as this cold snap in the US is being cited as evidence against warming. Swings and roundabouts.

jayhd
February 13, 2016 8:57 am

Here in Glen Rock, Pa. it’s a balmy 5 degrees F. I like it when it gets this cold, it helps to kill the ticks and chiggers. Unfortunately, all the snow we had lately is insulating the little buggers from the bitter cold.

noaaprogrammer
February 13, 2016 9:10 am

Is anyone feeling cold? Just read Jack London’s short story, “To Build a Fire,” and then finish off with the poem, “The Cremation of Sam McGee.”

Marcus
Reply to  noaaprogrammer
February 13, 2016 9:26 am

..Hey, you may be right ! It actually feels like it just went from -30C to -29.75 C….Gee thanks !!

Gunga Din
February 13, 2016 9:23 am

Dr. Ryan Maue says it’s going to be one for the century old record books:
and…

… it’s all due to Man increasing the atmosphere’s CO2.
Change the world’s spellcheckers. “Cold”‘s new proper spelling is “CO2ld”.
(Back in the 70’s when the scare was a new ice age, the scare failed because they didn’t blame it on Man. Now they can.)

Gunga Din
February 13, 2016 9:43 am

For my little spot on the globe (Columbus, Ohio) the lowest recorded temperature was -22 F set Jan 19, 1994. (The record high for that date is 67 F set in 1907.)
For this weekend the records are:
FEB 12 69 1984 -8 1917
FEB 13 68 1938 -13 1899
FEB 14 68 1918 -8 1905
FEB 15 70 1954 -4 1978

RiHo08
February 13, 2016 10:33 am

This morning I was reading the electronic versions of the NY Times and Washington Post. Nary a word about the predicted record cold for NYC or DC. Were the Progressives editor’s minds frozen out by this reality? or was it just that their warming schtick got stuck in the ice?

ren
February 13, 2016 10:36 am

You have to pay attention to the polar vortex in the lower stratosphere.
http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/70hPa/orthographic=-89.53,56.66,792

Unfortunately, beano doesn't work for me
February 13, 2016 10:47 am

Ohh, that explains the 150,000 dead penguins, Australia burning, African famine, and North Pole Ice disappearing. It all makes sense now……….

Reply to  Unfortunately, beano doesn't work for me
February 13, 2016 2:08 pm

May I make a suggestion? Try lying on your left side and curling up into a fetal position. It will help with your ‘beano’ problem, and give you a comforting position to nurse your fears over weather. Win-win!

clipe
Reply to  Unfortunately, beano doesn't work for me
February 13, 2016 2:57 pm

“The arrival of iceberg B09B in Commonwealth Bay, East Antarctica, and subsequent fast ice expansion has dramatically increased the distance Adélie penguins breeding at Cape Denison must travel in search of food,” the researchers wrote in an article in Antarctic Science.
“It’s eerily silent now,” Chris Turney, a climate change professor with the Australasian Antarctic Expedition, which has been tracking the penguins’ decline, told the Sydney Morning Herald.
http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2016/02/13/colossal-iceberg-dooms-stranded-penguins/80343982/
Chis Turney? Hmm…
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/01/02/now-that-the-ship-of-fools-is-safe-in-antarctica-tough-questions-need-to-be-asked/

TRM
February 13, 2016 11:02 am

Hey. What happened to that nice el-nino warming? It was such a great winter so far. Don’t tell me it is ending already. We’ve got another 2 months until spring. Come back el, come back.

Russell
February 13, 2016 11:59 am

I found el
Extreme Cold Warning
Wind chill values between minus 38 and minus 46 C or F doesn’t matter are expected today and over night Montreal.

ren
February 13, 2016 12:38 pm

AO index falls. Will join the heavy snow in the east.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao.obs.gif

Keith
February 13, 2016 12:54 pm

Not that cold up here in the Northeast Kingdom of Vermont this year. Only expect temperatures to drop to -20F tonight with wind chill only to -40. Now last year was cold, -27F on Valentines Day and -35F the following week without wind chill. Winters just aren’t as cold as they used to be – at least in the last twelve months.

ren
February 13, 2016 11:37 pm

The current temperature (C) in the eastern United States.
http://oi64.tinypic.com/28w0ab6.jpg

ren
February 14, 2016 12:11 am

70 hPa polar vortex is more at peace with circulation of 500 hPa.
http://earth.nullschool.net/#2016/02/14/0900Z/wind/isobaric/500hPa/orthographic=-76.95,34.78,690

ren
February 14, 2016 11:18 am

Records of temperature.
http://oi63.tinypic.com/2wnzmzr.jpg

February 14, 2016 3:56 pm

The main portion of the polar vortex is sitting in Siberia, Mongolia, and China. This current cold wave started in the middle of last month. The coldest areas are as much as -58 C. China is saying record breaking cold over 90% of the nation..http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2016-01/22/content_23205011.htm
and here, morning temps in eastern Eurasia…http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/overlay=temp/orthographic=114.88,42.53,819

ren
February 15, 2016 10:08 am
ren
February 15, 2016 10:36 am

“There’s a reason why Torontonians say ‘we the north.’
Toronto is currently colder than Yellowknife, the city known to be the coldest in Canada. Yellowknife is sitting at -14 C today as Torontonians are facing temperatures at -26 C with wind chills at -39 C.
Today is the coldest Feb. 13 since 1979, says climatologist Dave Phillips of Environment Canada.
In 1979, temperatures went as low as -23.2C.
With wind chills approaching -40 C, exposed human flesh can freeze in around 20 minutes, Phillips says.
However, this year, temperatures have not been as bad as what we saw last year, says Phillips.
“Last year, we had 37 days in a row where we didn’t get a melting temperature in Toronto,” Philip says.”
http://www.metronews.ca/news/toronto/2016/02/13/toronto-is-colder-today-than-the-coldest-city-in-canada.html

ren
February 15, 2016 11:39 am

“The results of this study showed that the relation
between a cloud state at midlatitudes and GCR fluxes
on long time scales is indirect, i.e., caused by GCR
effects on extratropical cyclogenesis variations. A pos
itive correlation between the cloud amount and GCR
intensity, which was observed from 1983 to the early
2000s, is due to the intensification of cyclonic activity
when GCR fluxes intensify during the period of a
strong polar vortex. Since the GCR effects on the
development of extratropical cyclones weaken and
reverse the sign when the vortex gets weak, the viola
tion of the indicated correlation in the early 2000s can
be related to a change of the polar vortex state. The
obtained results give evidence for a rather important
role of cosmic ray variations as well as for a modulating
effect of the stratospheric polar vortex in solar–atmo
spheric links.”
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/282102403_Nature_of_long-term_correlations_between_cloud_state_and_variations_in_galactic_cosmic_ray_flux

February 15, 2016 1:12 pm

Meanwhile, Europe had warm temperatures – http://oceansgovernclimate.com/valentins-day-cold-service-from-europe-again/. I’m pretty sure that our activities on the oceans (including offshore wind farms) have played a role in this picture of warmer days….

ren
Reply to  smamarver
February 15, 2016 1:28 pm

This is the a catch that GCR operates in accordance with the Earth’s magnetic field.

ren
February 16, 2016 2:14 am

Polar vortex is so broken that the air from the south reaches far above the Arctic Circle.
http://oi66.tinypic.com/3522910.jpg

ren
February 16, 2016 4:45 am

Plenty of snow falls in Buffalo and Toronto.

ren
February 16, 2016 11:16 pm

The temperature in the Great Lakes region remains low.
http://oi68.tinypic.com/2gsj0bc.jpg

ren
February 17, 2016 3:06 pm

A strong magnetic storm additionally disturb the polar vortex.
http://i67.tinypic.com/nfr8sg.jpg

ren
February 18, 2016 5:09 am
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