Guest essay by Eric Worrall
As the upcoming Paris COP21 climate conference hurtles towards an inevitable train wreck of green disappointments, climate activists are already starting to prepare the faithful, for the bitter upsets they are likely to suffer over the next few weeks.
According to Australian SBS;
There’s no question that we must hold our political leaders to account in Paris and push in every way possible for a strong global agreement, which includes Australia carrying its fair weight in emissions reduction and climate finance.
But, instead of expecting these talks to deliver final solutions to the climate crisis, we should also pay close attention to the many forms of action occurring all over the world, particularly on the streets where the largest ever People’s Climate March will take place in cities from Melbourne to Montreal, from Brisbane to Barcelona.
What occurs inside the negotiating rooms of the Paris climate conference is obviously crucial, but the real barometer of global momentum is taking place elsewhere.
All over the world we are hearing from people who have found themselves impacted by climate change and are increasingly frustrated by governments pressing on in a ‘business as usual’ mode, ignoring accumulated and compelling climate science and blithely approving new coal mines and thwarting the transition to clean energy.
Given the dramatic Asian race for coal, driven by billions of poor people demanding a better life, it seems very likely that Australian coal production, and coal production elsewhere, will rise dramatically in the near future. Greens are in for a lot more disappointments, if they expect politicians to stand in the path of this coming deluge of new resource tax revenue.
Don’t trust the claim that these talks will be a ‘failure’.
That’s a standard leftist tactic to disarm the opposition. What it means is ‘the fix is in’.
Remember, they proclaim a promise of a hundred billion dollars a year was made at the ‘failed’ 2011 COP.
Look at the harm they’ve done with no more than the ‘motherhood statement’ of ‘the precautionary principle’.
These meetings are an ongoing threat to the people of the world. We must actively campaign against politicians who attend, and parties that support these collusions against the public interest.
Make sure they know climate campaigning is the end of their political career.
Leo,
That’s exactly what I thought when I read it. They have set the bar so low that anything ‘accomplished’ will be trumpeted as a win.
If we assume that anything they say has an ulterior motive, we can’t really go wrong…
@ur momisugly mods- some number of my comments in moderation, likely caused by mistyped email adrs.
these talks to deliver final solutions
Oh dear, yes, the Warmistas ARE looking for a “final solution”. We all know how well this will end.
At least their “final solution” is funny: they press a red button and skeptic children explode.
Well, they thought it was funny anyway.
People’s Climate March
… and a little Mao to boot!
What a sad but overt statement of the Watermelon ideology – sneak communism in under the guise of enviromentalism [sic].
How many actually turn up to these marches in reality? Even more so when it is cold, snowing or pouring with rain.
What cannot be justified by the science may be won in the street. They pin their hopes on astroturf pressure and a friendly echo chamber. We will see.
Astroturf expert
https://passiveaggressiveraven.wordpress.com/2015/06/28/sharyl-attkisson-on-astroturf-and-media-bias-in-reporting-vaccines-health-care-and-gmos/
Sharyl is magnificent. You guys ought to get her to view WUWT.
So far, I don’t see her taking on CAGW.
But if she did, you’d make a major leap into the public’s mind.
The Paris Climate Conference will not be a failure. It will end up with a global “Accord”, after having been extended a couple of days.
The fact that this accord will not be binding will be of secondary importance. The “historic” Paris Accord will provide all that is necessary to make sure the climate change meme goes on. Political leaders will be under pressure from the green lobbies and most of the media to take measures to meet the non-binding Paris targets.
Climate skeptics will continue to be ignored and/or ridiculed, and generally left to talk between themselves.
The end of the climate change collective histeria is not in sight.
You forgot the (/sarc) tag.
“The fact that this accord will not be binding will be of secondary importance. The “historic” Paris Accord will provide all that is necessary to make sure the climate change meme goes on. Political leaders will be under pressure from the green lobbies and most of the media to take measures to meet the non-binding Paris targets.”
Yes. (And to pay into the climate change slush fund.)
rishrac November 12, 2015 at 6:55 am
“However, the accounting for the amount of co2 in the atmosphere, the amount that is sinking, the amount that is produced doesn’t match.”
If you work the numbers on IPCC AR5 Figure 6.1 you will discover that anthro C is partitioned 57/43 between natural sequestration and atmospheric retention. (555 – 240 = 315 PgC & 240/555) IMO this arbitrary partition was “assumed” in order to “prove” (i.e. make the numbers work) that anthro C was solely/90% responsible for the 112 ppmv atmos CO2 increase between 1750 – 2011. C is not CO2.
PgC * 3.67 = PgCO2 * 0.1291 = ppmv atmospheric CO2
IPCC AR5 Figure 6.1
……………………………….PgC/y……ppmv/y
FF & Land Use Source…….8.9……….4.22
Ocean & Land Sink…………4.9……… 2.32
Net Source.…………………..4.0……….1.90
If the anthro 8.9 Pg C/y (4.2 ppmv CO2/y) suddenly vanishes the natural cycle that remains would be a constant sink of 2.3 ppmv CO2/y. Reverse extrapolation (GCMs & RCPs apply forward extrapolation) calculates that 121 years in the past (278 ppmv CO2/2.3 ppmv CO2) or the year 1629 (1750-121) atmos CO2 would have been 0, zero, nadda, zip, nowhere to be found.
Oh, what a tangled web we weave!
The 8.9 Pg of anthro C simply vanishes in earth’s 45,000 plus Pg C cauldron of stores and fluxes. Mankind’s egoistic, egocentric, conceit means less than nothing to the earth, the solar system and the universe.
Here is a coffin nail laced with reality I bet no one will discuss in Paris:
http://www.upi.com/Science_News/2015/11/11/Idea-of-slow-climate-change-in-the-past-is-flawed-researchers-say/5681447257780/
I also recommend following the link in the site for the actual paper, particularly since it shows a lot of peer reviewed data.
What a heady wave of optimism to a Paris failure. Since Canada and Australia have been transplanted firmly to the climate change activist side… I would have to call such optimism premature wishful thinking.
Scientific facts will not stop ideological and political fanatics and their fantasies. We can win all the scientific battles and still lose the world political battle. The masses will still be driven by warm fuzzy feelings and decide things by a popularity vote. GK
Failure is victory if you want more grants, travel, and influence.
I heard John Holdren on late night radio last night. He said we are out of the “cautionary stage” and into the “catastrophic stage”. The Apocalypse is upon us!
We could also be approaching Peak Adjective Crisis also. The number of new crisis adjectives being invented is not meeting demand by growing needs of scare communique writers and their policy weaver masters.
They’ll have to start making up new words to describe the horrors we face. That’s why I now own catastrocalypse.com, .net and .org
He may be correct but not in the manner he expects , if the latest news from Putin’s nuclear arsenal is correct:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/russia/11991729/Secret-Russian-radioactive-doomsday-torpedo-leaked-on-television.html
Apparently whilst cobalt bombs are certainly not new concepts, the construction of an effective stealth delivery system maybe.:
-“Rossiskaya Gazeta also hinted it may well be intended purely as a deterrent. “Experts believe cobalt bombs cannot be used as strike weapons … because of the risk of totally destroying the planet’s biosphere,” the paper noted.
“But it could be considered a deterrent … guaranteeing a return strike with all the power of Russia’s nuclear forces even if all command points and the country’s leadership have been destroyed.” “-
But of course compared to a 0.5C rise in global temperature total annihilation of the biosphere is a prospect so trivial it is only right that Obama and Kerry should not waste time thinking about it.
Paris is all good for activists, they can spin it either way. Failure in Paris is all the more reason to scream louder, people to donate more money, and the poor to be further marginalized in averting impending doom. Or they can spin an infinitesimal sliver of progress as small but important progress requiring much higher donations to come to full fruition. Ugh. Yes climate activism smells worse than a clogged sewer.
But their approach is endemic to their species. Successful reformists get the changes they want and then call it a day and go home. Activists want to be funded in perpetuity much like local and national governments.
The Aussie are preparing for a boom in coal mining to service the Indian market:
http://www.miningreview.com.au/news/queensland-coal-industry-to-boom-with-indian-demand/
Dr Curry has a timely article on the ethical communication of scientific findings.
Sharing like they taught in kindergarden.
http://judithcurry.com/2015/11/12/call-for-an-ethical-framework-for-climate-services/#more-20402
Knowing that there is no escape from THE FOUR LAWS WITHOUT WHICH NOTHING WHATSOEVER IN THE UNIVERSE THAT HAPPENS, HAPPENS – and cannot be overruled by edicts from whoever, be it Dalai Lama, Pope, Obama, Merkel, IMF, UN, EU, IPCC, PIK, the Supreme Court, EPA, or anyone, it is high time to remember Alexius Meinong: TRUTH IS A PURELY HUMAN CONSTRUCT BUT FACTS ARE ETERNAL. My result of following this tenet is: http://tinyurl.com/qjxakew Knowing that there is no escape from THE FOUR LAWS WITHOUT WHICH NOTHING WHATSOEVER IN THE UNIVERSE THAT HAPPENS, HAPPENS – and cannot be overruled by edicts from whoever, be it Dalai Lama, Pope, Obama, Merkel, IMF, UN, EU, IPCC, PIK, the Supreme Court, EPA, or anyone, it is high time to remember Alexius Meinong: TRUTH IS A PURELY HUMAN CONSTRUCT BUT FACTS ARE ETERNAL. My result of following this tenet is: http://tinyurl.com/qjxakew
Sorry Bot,
I’m not following that link.
Mom !!!
There is a monster under the bed.
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/11/15/magazine/the-secrets-in-greenlands-ice-sheets.html?_r=0
A writer has actively want to spew this nonsense.
You have to completely ignore any other evidence to write it.
How do you like yourself when you know your doing this ?
::::::::: sorry publically lamenting :::::
not really whining, but definitely lamenting
That article is several years old and appears to have been dredged up for Paris. It seems to be mainly about Eric Rignot’s pension – the incredibly slow motion ‘collapse’ of ice sheets. We may have to wait tens of millennia to see the time-lapse movie.
They don’t tell you that the Barnes Ice Cap on Baffin Island is a relic of the last glaciation and that hasn’t finished melting despite having had 20,000 years to do so.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barnes_Ice_Cap
Al Gore has promised to be at COP21 from start to finish.
Is there anyway to invest in parkas, mukluks, and tire snow chains in Paris?
Just in case any one is worried , St Gore will of course not to mix with the ordinary folk in his flight over , he wil be one of the many that will make use of private jets , so we can all sleep easy now.
http://www.eenews.net/gw/2015/11/12
IF you are interested in seeing whats coming before it hits mainstream, this is a good source.
I think there is a free trial if you like.
For instance, I saw this morning that there were a few projections on topics to be discussed in Paris as well as green group plans to block oil by rail to the Pacific NW in the US.
ISIS will blow them all up. Just because.