Switzerland is James Hansen's climate survivalist recommendation

View looking north over Vals, Switzerland, author Archipreneur, attribution license, source https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Vals_switzerland_pan_archipreneur.jpg
View looking north over Vals, Switzerland, author Archipreneur, attribution license, source https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Vals_switzerland_pan_archipreneur.jpg

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

Former NASA GISS Chairman James Hansen has suggested that Switzerland is safest place to be, if you want to maximise your chances of surviving climate change.

According to The Atlantic;

Scientists warn that extreme weather will get worse and huge swaths of coastal cities will be submerged by ever-more-acidic oceans. All of which raises a question: If climate change continues at this pace, is anywhere going to be safe?

“Switzerland would be a good guess,” said James Hansen, the director of climate science at Columbia University’s Earth Institute. Hansen’s latest climate study warns that climate change is actually happening faster than computer models previously predicted. He and more than a dozen co-authors found that sea levels could rise at least 10 feet in the next 50 years. Slate points out that although the study isn’t yet peer-reviewed, Hansen is “known for being alarmist and also right.”

Okay, so. Switzerland might be a desirable place to live—certainly in general, but also as a way to avoid the effects of climate change—for a few reasons: It’s landlocked, which means it’s buffered from rising sea levels. And officials in Switzerland appear to be taking climate-related threats seriously—which is not the case in much of the rest of the world. …

Read more: http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2015/08/is-anywhere-on-earth-safe-from-climate-change/400304/

Switzerland of course has other potential advantages for the world’s climate elite. The famously impenetrable Swiss banking system, and their protective attitude towards wealthy foreigners residing within their borders, should maximise the difficulties for anyone who ever comes looking for a refund, for all that climate cash some leading alarmists have accumulated over the years.

0 0 votes
Article Rating

Discover more from Watts Up With That?

Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

151 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Walt D.
August 5, 2015 6:39 am

Makes about as much sense as a Swiss Admiral !

Tom in Florida
Reply to  Walt D.
August 5, 2015 7:12 am

There are no Admirals in the Swiss Coast Guard.

Non Nomen
Reply to  Tom in Florida
August 5, 2015 12:35 pm

The Swiss Mounted Navy on Foot is far-famed for its effectiveness in subterranean aerial warfare.

george e. smith
Reply to  Tom in Florida
August 5, 2015 12:41 pm

Well a very rich Swiss (actually Italian) dude , did win the Americas Cup a couple of times.
Well actually, it was a Team from the Royal New Zealand Yacht Squadron; but they were getting paid in Swiss Franks.
g

Bruce Cobb
August 5, 2015 6:49 am

This sort of nonsense dovetails quite nicely with the Survivalist loonies.

Mike McMillan
August 5, 2015 6:50 am

“It’s landlocked, which means it’s buffered from rising sea levels.”
So are (among others):
Bolivia
Laos
Lesotho
Mongolia
Paraguay
Rwanda
Serbia
Swaziland
Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe is out because they don’t allow lion hunting any more.

george e. smith
Reply to  Mike McMillan
August 5, 2015 12:46 pm

Zimbaby used to be Rhodesia; the breadbasket of Africa; a major food exporter.
Now it is just a basket case, and must import food to keep its new populace from starving.
They might have to turn to eating the lions themselves, rather than letting great white hunters from eating them.

Richard Barraclough
Reply to  Mike McMillan
August 5, 2015 5:44 pm

Lesotho would be Hansen’s best bet. It is well-known to pub-quiz enthusiasts for having the highest lowest-point of any country at about 1400 metres (almost 4600 feet), where the Orange River flows out into South Africa.. So the highest mountain in the UK (Ben Nevis, 4406 feet) would be well underwater before Lesotho noticed anything was amiss.

August 5, 2015 6:50 am

Remember fallout shelters?

JohnWho
August 5, 2015 6:51 am

We must move off planet.
You know, it’s the only way to be sure.

Billy Liar
Reply to  JohnWho
August 5, 2015 9:13 am

Let’s build three arks … A, B and C …

hunter
August 5, 2015 7:08 am

Switzerland is typically where the James Bond villain hides out with his loot.
I wonder if Hansen has any idea just how insane he is acting for these many years.

JimS
Reply to  hunter
August 5, 2015 7:16 am

The insane are the last ones to know.

Charlie
August 5, 2015 7:16 am

Of course the World’s poor masses which according to him will be affected by climate change the worst will all be welcomed by Switzerland with open hands. i’d love to see huge refuges camps in Geneva and at the resorts like St. Moritz.

August 5, 2015 7:20 am

I recommend purchasing a refuge very close to the coast in Valencia community, Eastern Spain. About 4 meters above sea level is plenty to avoid the huge storm waves we should see by 2115.

Reply to  fernandoleanme
August 5, 2015 4:45 pm

How about a boat? Better yet, a “float house”.
http://www.floatinghomes.com/

Dawtgtomis
August 5, 2015 7:20 am

Sheesh! How much more san they ramp this all up?

Bruce Cobb
Reply to  Dawtgtomis
August 5, 2015 7:24 am

It will reach 11 by November.

Goldrider
August 5, 2015 7:24 am

I predict the European leaders are going to come clean first outing it as debunked; they simply can’t afford to keep up the pretense much longer. Hopefully this happens before the US goes down the same pike into the wind-farm nonsense.

JimS
August 5, 2015 7:35 am

Of course, if we enter into another major glaciation period, Switzerland would not be the place to live as all the alpine glaciers merge together and have a huge party:comment image

Reply to  JimS
August 5, 2015 7:55 am

Posted before I saw this.
Right you are Jim. This is high mountain terrain…not a good place to be when glaciers advance.

601nan
August 5, 2015 7:38 am

Jim Hansen is to Switzerland what Jim Jones was to Guyana.
Ha ha

noaaprogrammer
Reply to  601nan
August 5, 2015 8:00 am

Yes, it will be so hot that they will have to continuously drink cool-aid.

Carbon500
August 5, 2015 7:45 am

I’ve always maintained that England is the place to come to.
Bear in mind that the global average atmospheric CO2 level was, so we’re told, 280ppm in the pre-industrial period (i.e. before 1750 AD), and is now 400ppm (or thereabouts, I haven’t checked lately).
That’s a 43% increase.
Yet according to the Central England Temperature record, the average temperature in 1659 was 8.83C,
which is the same as it was in 2010. Yearly variations are seen, of course.
Perhaps that’s why so many people are trying to get into the country?

William Astley
August 5, 2015 7:51 am

Hansen’s Shenanigans. Switzerland is not the place to wait out climate change, if the planet abruptly cools. (See JimS above.)
Solar observations continue (there are now quarter by quarter obvious changes to the solar cycle) to support the assertion that the solar cycle has been interrupted. We are going to experience the solar cycle change that causes a Heinrich event. While we wait for observational evidence of in your face cooling which will bring the climate wars to end, the following is background as to how the doubling atmospheric CO2 no ‘feedbacks’ calculation was fudged.
As the planet has warmed, we all assumed (at least I did) the cult of CAGW’s fundamental calculation (done more than 20 years ago by a half dozen specialists led by the founding father of CAGW, Hansen) of how much surface forcing a doubling of atmospheric CO2 will produce without ‘feedbacks’ is reasonable, in the right ball park. We all assumed the problem why the IPCC’s general circulation models (GCMs) predicted warming does not agree with measured warming (satellite measurement which cannot be easily fudged) is due to incorrect modeled cloud feedback, incorrect assumed water vapor amplification of the forcing, and the delay in forcing response.
The without ‘feedbacks’ cult of CAGW’s calculation (this is the calculation that predicted 1.2C to 1.4C surface warming for a doubling of atmospheric CO2) incorrectly, without scientific justification 1) held the lapse rate constant to determine (fudge) the estimated surface forcing for a doubling of atmospheric CO2 and 2) ignored the fact that absorption spectrum of water and CO2 overlap.
1) Effect of Lapse Rate Fudge
As it is fact that hot gases expand and rise which in turns causes colder higher altitude gases to fall, the greenhouse gas warming should be partially offset by more convection cooling (adding greenhouse gas makes the planet more efficient at transferring heat by convection.) If convection cooling is taken into account the surface warming (I repeat the surface warming) for a doubling of atmospheric CO2 decreases from 1.5C to 0.1 to 0.2C. Of course there is no amplification if the warming is only 0.1C to 0.2C so the no ‘feedbacks’ case is the same as the with ‘feedbacks’ case.
2) Effect of ignoring the spectral overlap of water vapor and CO2
As there is a great deal of water vapor in the lower levels of the atmosphere, particularly in the tropics, the overlap of spectral absorption of water vapor and CO2 significantly reduce the forcing for a doubling of atmospheric CO2, again reducing the surface warming for a doubling of atmospheric CO2 from 1.5 C to around 0.2C.

Collapse of the Anthropogenic Warming Theory of the IPCC

4. Conclusions
In physical reality, the surface climate sensitivity is 0.1~0.2K from the energy budget of the earth and the surface radiative forcing of 1.1W.m2 for 2xCO2. Since there is no positive feedback from water vapor and ice albedo at the surface, the zero feedback climate sensitivity CS (FAH) is also 0.1~0.2K. A 1K warming occurs in responding to the radiative forcing of 3.7W/m2 for 2xCO2 at the effective radiation height of 5km. This gives the slightly reduced lapse rate of 6.3K/km from 6.5K/km as shown in Fig.2.

The modern anthropogenic global warming (AGW) theory began from the one dimensional radiative convective equilibrium model (1DRCM) studies with the fixed absolute and relative humidity utilizing the fixed lapse rate assumption of 6.5K/km (FLRA) for 1xCO2 and 2xCO2 [Manabe & Strickler, 1964; Manabe & Wetherald, 1967; Hansen et al., 1981]. Table 1 shows the obtained climate sensitivities for 2xCO2 in these studies, in which the climate sensitivity with the fixed absolute humidity CS (FAH) is 1.2~1.3K [Hansen et al., 1984].
In the 1DRCM studies, the most basic assumption is the fixed lapse rate of 6.5K/km for 1xCO2 and 2xCO2. The lapse rate of 6.5K/km is defined for 1xCO2 in the U.S. Standard Atmosphere (1962) [Ramanathan & Coakley, 1978]. There is no guarantee, however, for the same lapse rate maintained in the perturbed atmosphere with 2xCO2 [Chylek & Kiehl, 1981; Sinha, 1995]. Therefore, the lapse rate for 2xCO2 is a parameter requiring a sensitivity analysis as shown in Fig.1.

The followings are supporting data (William: In peer reviewed papers, published more than 20 years ago that support the assertion that convection cooling increases when there is an increase in greenhouse gases and support the assertion that a doubling of atmospheric CO2 will cause surface warming of less than 0.3C) for the Kimoto lapse rate theory above.
(A) Kiehl & Ramanathan (1982) shows the following radiative forcing for 2xCO2.
Radiative forcing at the tropopause: 3.7W/m2.
Radiative forcing at the surface: 0.55~1.56W/m2 (averaged 1.1W/m2).
This denies the FLRA giving the uniform warming throughout the troposphere in
the 1DRCM and the 3DGCMs studies.
(B) Newell & Dopplick (1979) obtained a climate sensitivity of 0.24K considering the
evaporation cooling from the surface of the ocean.
(C) Ramanathan (1981) shows the surface temperature increase of 0.17K with the
direct heating of 1.2W/m2 for 2xCO2 at the surface.

This is the paper that points out the without ‘feedback’ calculation of forcing for a doubling of atmospheric CO2 ignored the fact that there is a great deal of water vapor in the lower regions of the atmosphere and that the spectral absorption of water and CO2 overlap. Check out figure 2 in this paper.
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/1520-0469%281982%29039%3C2923%3ARHDTIC%3E2.0.CO%3B2

Radiative Heating Due to Increased CO2: The Role of H2O Continuum Absorption in the 18 mm region
In the 18 mm region, the CO2 bands (William: CO2 spectral absorption band) are overlapped by the H2O pure rotational band and the H2O continuum band. The 12-18 mm H2O continuum absorption is neglected in most studies concerned with the climate effects of increased CO2.

Transcript of a portion of Weart’s interview with Hansen concerning the ‘scientific’ basis for CAGW.

Weart:
This was a radiative convective model, so where’s the convective part come in. Again, are you using somebody else’s…
Hansen:
That’s trivial. You just put in…
Weart:
… a lapse rate…
Hansen:
Yes. So it’s a fudge. That’s why you have to have a 3-D model to do it properly. In the 1-D model, it’s just a fudge, and you can choose different lapse rates and you get somewhat different answers (William: Different answers that invalidate CAGW, the 3-D models have more than 100 parameters to play with so any answer is possible. The 1-D model is simple so it possible to see the fudging/shenanigans). So you try to pick something that has some physical justification (William: You pick what is necessary to create CAGW, the scam fails when the planet abruptly cools due to the abrupt solar change). But the best justification is probably trying to put in the fundamental equations into a 3-D model.

August 5, 2015 7:53 am

With an absolutely perfect record of being completely wrong about everything that he predicts, when would have to take this as an immediate warning to sell all property in Switzerland!
When the climate changes and turns colder, and glaciers once more advance, Switzerland will be ground zero for approaching walls of ice.

Greg Woods
Reply to  menicholas
August 5, 2015 8:14 am

Being wrong, always, something he and Krugman have in common.

Reply to  Greg Woods
August 5, 2015 10:05 am

Krugman is never wrong. Each time his prescriptions fail, it is because they were not followed to the letter. Take, for example Japan – they added government debt to the tune of ~10% GDP per year for more than two decades, but they still failed to revive their economy because government did not spend enough.

jim south london
August 5, 2015 7:55 am

Sell up and move in land to escape Climate Change
And the Property Sharks snap all the desirable Beachfront Condos and Hotels for a pittance.
So just how much is James Hansen exclusive New York Residence actually worth.

August 5, 2015 8:01 am

By the time sea level in Holland will have risen another 20 cm (8 in for the americans) i’ll be long dead.
http://members.casema.nl/errenwijlens/co2/dcvsdenhelder.gif

Tim
August 5, 2015 8:12 am

“Scientists warn…”
Exactly which scientists are warning? Surely not those on a Government payroll who get their information from adjusted modelling. If those scientists are warning me, I would like to know they are, their qualifications and income sources as a start.

richard
August 5, 2015 8:18 am

hmm acidic seas-
Canadian water authorities,
Interim Guideline
The pH of marine and estuarine waters should fall within
the range of 7.0%8.7 units unless it can be demonstrated
that such a pH is a result of natural processes.

Resourceguy
August 5, 2015 8:19 am

Get your eco green numbered bank account protected by Swiss law. Just send your donation fee to the Clinton Foundation first.

Steve from Rockwood
August 5, 2015 8:25 am

A more important question is where is Hansen’s grand-daughter going to live? Probably on the west coast in a swanky home right on the ocean and next to Gore’s grand-kids.

knr
Reply to  Steve from Rockwood
August 5, 2015 11:40 am

I don’t think Hansen’s grand-daughter has any chance of living in the type of up-scale area Gore’s grand-kids will be . St Gores made hundreds of millions out this ‘faith’ much of it from selling media to a ‘evil fossil fuel ‘ producing country.
Hansen on the other hand is in the lower seven figuers , beside which I can imagine Dr Doom’a Eco-catastrophe bunker , safe even for 20 meter sea raises, which clearly he must have built given his claims cost a fair amount of money. While St Gore went for sea front housing a useful reminder that a good sneak oil sales men is not a fool.

Pamela Gray
August 5, 2015 8:32 am

Then I would encourage him to move there, you know, as the example. He can even take his accumulated funds gained from the back pockets of the public. I would even start a gofundme just to pay for his moving costs. So James, you have my blessings. Go. Now.

Bigfingo
August 5, 2015 8:51 am

This really gives new meaning to “Follow the money”

Andrew
August 5, 2015 8:52 am

So Big Wind sets up a thin cover story for their moves to Switzerland (home of secretive banks)? Wow, they’re not even trying any more – they’re so powerful and untouchable that they can be quite obvious now.

mike
Reply to  Andrew
August 5, 2015 9:32 am

A truly inspired conspiracy-theory “ideation”, your last, Andrew. My sincerest admiration. I mean, like, your analysis of the situation suddenly makes sense of The Atlantic” article–namely, it finally offers a credible explanation as to why a quasi-MSM, hive-mouthpiece publication, consumed with pompous-ass self-importance and pretensions of seriousness, would take seriously, and even give space and support to Hansen’s superfically eco-lunatic scare-mongering. Answer? It’s a cover for our bug-out betters. I really, really like that theory, for what it’s worth, Andrew. Bravo!
Not something I could pull off, myself, but someone might want to work up some charts that track trends in charter and private jet flights to Switzerland, Paraguay, and other such chicken-run-chic destinations, favored by the hive-masters. Let me even boldly suggest that such charts would make an interesting addition to WUWT’s resource section and a boon companion to its “Sea Ice page”. You know, a leading indicator of the Apocolypse, sort of deal, one might entitle the “SHTF Index”, or some such .

Alan Robertson
August 5, 2015 9:03 am

Those who would follow Hansen’s musings would have a hard time in Switzerland. The Swiss ethos requires personal responsibility and minimal government, while the type who promote and thrive by climate change propaganda, decry personal responsibility and call for ever more governmental interference and control over individuals.

Verified by MonsterInsights