This seems sort of odd, not only was Michael Mann excluded (probably for good reason) but the names of the signers seems to be a secret.
Nobel Laureates appeal for climate protection
The Mainau Declaration 2015
To mark the final day of the 65th Lindau Nobel Laureate Meeting, on Friday, 3 July, over 30 Nobel laureates assembled on Mainau Island on Lake Constance signed a declaration on climate change. The “Mainau Declaration 2015 on Climate Change” states “that the nations of the world must take the opportunity at the United Nations Climate Change Conference in Paris in December 2015 to take decisive action to limit future global emissions.” It is expected that a new international agreement on climate protection will be approved at the 21st UN Climate Conference to succeed the Kyoto Protocol.
Following on from the latest climate policy resolutions adopted by the G7 states and the environment- and climate-oriented encyclical “Laudato si'” issued by Pope Francis, the Nobel laureates’ declaration is another urgent warning of the consequences of climate change. “If left unchecked, our ever-increasing demand for food, water, and energy will eventually overwhelm the Earth’s ability to satisfy humanity’s needs, and will lead to wholesale human tragedy,” the declaration continues.
The Mainau Declaration 2015 is the result of an initiative on the part of Nobel Science Laureates who took part in the 65th Lindau Nobel Laureate Meeting. The signatories to the declaration have all been awarded Nobel Prizes in physiology or medicine, in physics or in chemistry. Some of the laureates who have not attended the final day of the meeting had already put their names to the declaration earlier at Lindau.
The spokesperson for the initiators is US astrophysicist Brian Schmidt. Having grown up in Montana and Alaska, he studied physics and astronomy at the University of Arizona. In 1993 he was awarded a doctorate at Harvard University for his work on supernovae, the brief but brilliant results of exploding stars. Since 1995 he has been working in Australia at the Australian National University’s Mount Stromlo Observatory where he heads one of the two teams which, at the end of the 1990s, were able to determine from their measurements of the brightness of remote supernovae that the rate at which the universe is expanding is accelerating. It was for this discovery that he was awarded the 2011 Nobel Prize for Physics along with Saul Perlmutter and Adam Riess.
This is the first time since 1955 that Nobel laureates use the platform of the Lindau Nobel Laureate Meeting to take a stand on social policy issues. The first Mainau Declaration signed on that occasion by a total of 51 Nobel laureates on the initiative of physics laureate Otto Hahn contained an appeal for the peaceful use of nuclear energy and warned of the dangers inherent in its application for military purposes.
The total of 65 laureates taking part in the 65th Lindau Meeting was the highest number ever assembled here. In addition to the numerous laureates of the medicine, physics or chemistry Nobel Prizes, the speakers also included Indian Nobel Peace Laureate Kailash Satyarthi and Nigerian Nobel Literature Laureate Wole Soyinka. The week-long conference annually provides an opportunity for an inter-generational and an inter-cultural exchange of ideas: Over 650 young scientists from 88 countries successfully passed the multi-stage selection process to take part in this interdisciplinary anniversary meeting. The Lindau Meetings were established in 1951 by Lennart Count Bernadotte af Wisborg and the Lindau city councilors Franz Karl Hein and Gustav Wilhelm Parade. Ever since, the final day of the meeting has traditionally been held on Mainau Island.
###
As smart as all these Nobel Laureates are, they neglected to put the names of the signers or the document itself in the press release above. I had to dig for it. Here is the document:
http://www.lindau-nobel.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/Mainau-Declaration-2015-EN.pdf.
Mainau Declaration 2015 on Climate Change
We undersigned scientists, who have been awarded Nobel Prizes, have come to the shores of Lake Constance in southern Germany, to share insights with promising young researchers, who like us come from around the world. Nearly 60 years ago, here on Mainau, a similar gathering of Nobel Laureates in science issued a declaration of the dangers inherent in the newly found technology of nuclear weapons—a technology derived from advances in basic science. So far we have avoided nuclear war though the threat remains. We believe that our world today faces another threat of comparable magnitude.
Successive generations of scientists have helped create a more and more prosperous world. This prosperity has come at the cost of a rapid rise in the consumption of the world’s resources. If left unchecked, our ever-increasing demand for food, water, and energy will eventually overwhelm the Earth’s ability to satisfy humanity’s needs, and will lead to wholesale human tragedy. Already, scientists who study Earth’s climate are observing the impact of human activity. In response to the possibility of human-induced climate change, the United Nations established the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to provide the world’s leaders a summary of the current state of relevant scientific knowledge. While by no means perfect, we believe that the efforts that have led to the current IPCC Fifth Assessment Report represent the best source of information regarding the present state of knowledge on climate change. We say this not as experts in the field of climate change, but rather as a diverse group of scientists who have a deep respect for and understanding of the integrity of the scientific process.
Although there remains uncertainty as to the precise extent of climate change, the conclusions of the scientific community contained in the latest IPCC report are alarming, especially in the context of the identified risks of maintaining human prosperity in the face of greater than a 2°C rise in average global temperature. The report concludes that anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases are the likely cause of the current global warming of the Earth. Predictions from the range of climate models indicate that this warming will very likely increase the Earth’s temperature over the coming century by more than 2°C above its pre-industrial level unless dramatic reductions are made in anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases over the coming decades.
Based on the IPCC assessment, the world must make rapid progress towards lowering current and future greenhouse gas emissions to minimize the substantial risks of climate change. We believe that the nations of the world must take the opportunity at the United Nations Climate Change Conference in Paris in December 2015 to take decisive action to limit future global emissions. This endeavor will require the cooperation of all nations, whether developed or developing, and must be sustained into the future in accord with updated scientific assessments. Failure to act will subject future generations of humanity to unconscionable and unacceptable risk.
Oddly, they also didn’t put the signatories on their website, though they did post a photo:
The Mainau Declaration 2015 on Climate Change
“With this declaration, we outline the scale of the threat of climate change, and we provide the best possible advice,” says Brian P. Schmidt, Nobel laureate and a spokesperson for the Mainau Declaration 2015 on Climate Change.
He continues that he feels a “moral bound duty as a scientist on an issue that has such lasting consequences.” Four Nobel Laureates met with Brian Schmidt on Thursday, one day before the signing of the declaration on Mainau island of Lake Constance on the last day of the 65th Lindau Nobel Laureate Meeting. These five scientists discussed this threat to mankind and possible steps and solutions: Steven Chu, former US Secretary of Energy, George Smoot, David Gross, Peter Doherty, and Schmidt, a Nobel Prize winning astrophysicist.
The declaration text itself states: “If left unchecked, our ever-increasing demand for food, water, and energy will eventually overwhelm the Earth’s ability to satisfy humanity’s needs, and will lead to wholesale human tragedy.”
Gross tells his fellow laureates and the attending journalists how he just visited Ladakh in the Himalayas: “These are fragile communities, they are very dependent on the rivers that spring from the Himalayan glaciers, and they are the ones that suffer first.” He points out that in the future, there might even be wars fought over water in several regions of the world. Doherty quotes from the Lancet Commission’s latest report: “They say that we may expect the breakdown of civil society in 21. century. And the poor on the planet are going to be the most affected, as always.”
All Nobel Laureates discussing the declaration in Lindau on Thursday morning agree unanimously that there is overwhelming evidence that emissions of greenhouse gases cause global warming. “There might be some uncertainties left,” concedes Chu. “It’s like in the 1950s when people didn’t know what happened if you smoked one pack of cigarettes per day – but the lung cancer rate was rising so rapidly that something had to be done.” Nowadays we can calculate the cancer risk of smoking quite precisely. “But do we want to wait fifty years until we know what will happen with global warming?”, he asks. Chu adds: “You don’t wait until your house is on fire before you take out fire insurance.” Doherty gives another analogy: when the HI virus was first discovered, many people, even scientist, doubted its role in the AIDS epidemic. But once the virus’ life cycle was understood and could be disrupted with antiviral drugs, most denial dropped.
Doherty also defines the difference between denial and scepticism: “If you’re sceptic, you talk to other researchers, you look at the data. If you’re in denial, you simply reject everything that’s being published.” Steven Chu explains how the best data on climate change comes from satellites: they clearly show how glaciers are shrinking all over the world, from Greenland and the Arctic to the Himalaya, the Alps and some parts of Antarctica. “But there are people in Congress who don’t want to look at satellite pictures,” he remembers from his time in politics. “That’s what I call denial.”
The Nobel Laureates agreed that politicians should act immediately to “lower the current and future greenhouse gas emissions”, as the declaration states. These politicians will meet at the 2015 UN Climate Change Conference in Paris, starting November 30, 2015. “It takes half a century to turn the boat,” states Chu. While it is true that newable energy technologies keep getting cheaper, this takes time. “At some point, the technology will be competitive.” Smoot adds: “You need infrastructure for that. This will also create jobs and give us a better infrastructure.” Doherty thinks that not only politicians need to reach results, but voters need to urge their leaders to act: “Politicians care about nothing except votes. So you have to convince the people who vote.” Schmidt replies that yes, voters could and should be informed about climate change, but that many politicians “will realise that they have a responsibility – it’s not only votes.”
Altogether, the laureates are cautiously optimistic, for instance when they think about the US-China Joint Announcement on Climate Change last November. “It shows that we can move forward in the divide between developing and developed nations,” Smoot explained. This divide was one of the main obstacles in the past UN Climate Change Conferences in Copenhagen and Rio de Janeiro. The laureates believe that the global warming challenge can be met with a combination of politics and technology, Doherty: “We’ll solve this through policy and technological innovation – and the latter drives economy.”
Chu concludes: “I’m a technological optimist and political optimist. It is possible to find a solution, but we’re running against the clock,” because change is getting more urgent – and more expensive – all the time.
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White privilege strikes again!
Good observation. I’ve noticed similarly on Victor’s website, a group photo of the homogenizers. Well it seems no longer to be there, but what *is* now there is a link to this wonderful group photo of the WMO
WMO Group photo: http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-jbdhvajT2aM/VW77qYfQ98I/AAAAAAAAAng/t25rGqwRfvc/s1600/WMO2015_share_data.jpg
Nearly all white:: http://www.hmei.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/Group-Photo.bmp
White as chalk: http://www.polarprediction.net/fileadmin/user_upload/redakteur/Home/Meetings/Linkages_workshop/NeilGordon_141211_1242_5050_Barcelona_Linkages_Group_Photo.jpg
A bit more color here: http://www.icao.int/Meetings/METDIV14/Documents/ICAO-WMO%20MET-14%20-%207-18%20July%202014%20%282%29.jpg.jpg
Michael Mann is the archetypal climate change d*nier. Repeat after me, in Gregorian chant-style:
There was no Medieval Warm Period
There was no Medieval Warm Period
There was no Medieval Warm Period
There was no Medieval Warm Period
There was no Medieval Warm Period
Peace Prize maybe
Oohhh errr, yeah he already has one, sorry.
phil
several of them, I think.
He donated to the Red Cross.
He knows a doctor – possibly a MSF member.
He has heard of the Curies [my guess].
I am sure he or his relations know folk from the EU [I myself am a Nobel Laureate . . .]; there may be some small blood-relationship, perhaps.
So that’s nearly half a dozen Nobels our tree-hugger could claim.
Or might I be a tad mis-informed . . .
Auto
This is a population control document not a climate change document. My Question: Every previous Ice Age has ended in an Ice-Free world. The Ice has been in retreat for 12000 yrs. Perhaps the present Ice Age is about to end or the latest interglacial is. How can we say which scenario is present?
This meeting will probably have about the same result as the 1955 meeting to reduce nuclear proliferation.
This guy Schmidt has been totally debunked. I would not be surprised if his was the first Nobel prize to be returned.
“Titled “Marginal evidence for cosmic acceleration from type Ia supernovae”, the paper was written by Subir Sarkar of the Particle Theory Group at the University of Oxford and the Niels Bohr Institute in Copenhagen, together with colleagues Alberto Guffanti and Jeppe Trøst Nielsen. It suggests that the cosmic expansion may not be occurring at an accelerating rate after all, contrary to the findings of previous Nobel prize-winning work and most of our current standard cosmological models, including that of dark energy.”
The theory being, all of a certain type of star having identical brightness, this type could be used to ascertain red shift with great accuracy, establishing that the ones farther away were receding faster. Psych! Turns out there are two types of these so-called Type 1A supernovae, and there are more of the second type in the ones farther away. Bye-bye Dark Energy…
perhaps NOT QUITE SO “Bye-Bye Dark Energy” It will have to be Tweaked into merely CARBON GREY energy
If we wrote off everyone who has made any unrelated statement that subsequently gets “debunked” then we would never listen to anyone. When discussing climate science, it’s better to stick to climate science itself rather than to try to draw ad hominem inferences from an unresolved argument in astronomy.
My take on Brian Schmidt is that he’s a brilliant astronomer, but a Nobel Prize in astronomy doesn’t give his opinion on climate science any value above and beyond the climate-related analysis that he himself has done.
If he were a brilliant astronomer he would not have been publicly undressed by this Subir Sarkar. Sarkar looked at over 740 supernovae, where Schimdt looked at 50, jumped to a conclusion, and saddled us all with this suspect “Dark Energy.”
He offers no new thoughts on climate, either.
Fine, but you must listen to the Nigerian Nobel Literature Laureate.
Same with the ozone hole f-wits too.
It’s all about playing for time until they’re dead. Strange genetics.
You may be jumping the gun a bit on Subir Sarkar? – http://blog.physicsworld.com/tag/dark-energy/ – but really it doesn’t matter : my statement that his opinion has no value “above and beyond …” is equally valid without the word “brilliant”. http://blog.physicsworld.com/tag/dark-energy/
Yes that was the article I originally quoted, thanks for informing me of what I informed you.
“Indeed, the researchers’ work suggests that the evidence for acceleration is nowhere near as strong as previously suggested – it is closer to 3σ rather than 5σ, and allows for expansion at a constant velocity.”
You are clear that in cosmology and high-energy physics, publishing without 5 sigma proof is, shall we say, frowned upon?
in cosmology and high-energy physics, publishing without 5 sigma proof is, shall we say, frowned upon?
==============
yet in climate science, 2 sigma (95%) is the gold standard. on this we will bet the future of the world.
Just like Dr Gavin Schmidt (NASA-GISS) I bet Dr Brian Schmidt does not know how to use the Schmidt Number. In Brian Schmidt’s performances on radio in Australia he has demonstrated that he does not understand Heat & Mass Transfer (which is an engineering subject in which he has no qualifications)
What a nice place for a conference.
In the most beautiful and the most expensive vacation/retirement real estate in the world, i mean after all it is only taxpayers or sponsors funds they are spending right?
These self-righteous trough dwellers make me feel ill.
Real engineers and scientists have been fixing the true problems of actual air pollution for decades, and continue to do so..
CO2 as a villain – bloody hell what a crock of….
Mainau Island: here’s what it looks like. To decry consumption, brilliant Nobel Prize winners convene sumptuously.
And, brilliantly!, “We undersigned scientists, who have been awarded Nobel Prizes…,” they begin their message with an argument from authority.
One regularly finds that otherwise very intelligent people may not be above serious foolishness, and now we have this Mainau Island declaration. Given the different sorts of intelligence, and to account for intellectualized nonsense, I’ve developed a starfish theory of intelligence.
We can suppose that some people can have lots of one sort of intelligence while being short-changed on some or all of the others. Like this; lots of short arms, one monster. One suspects the population of Nobel Prize winners might provide the most exaggerated examples.
It does look to be good dining.
The menu food courses remind me of the food in Hamburg and I love visiting Hamburg. Enough Riesling wines, Rumtopf servings and fruit schnapps and I might sign almost anything. “Fräulein, a round of schnapps, bitte.”
After the headache subsides on my flight out, I could be very unhappy about silly climate statements demanding devotion and belief not science.
Besides, I’ve signed lots of nonsense things, as:
Abe Lincoln.
John Jacob Jingleheimer Schmidt.
Georgi Washington.
Martha Stewart.
It is amazing how few people actually read signatures closely, bank tellers and occasional cash register supervisors are exceptions. Petition signature collectors are some of the worst at checking signatures.
I would like to see them go without cars, airplanes, electricity, heat…and see how fast they change their tune.
“over 30” people signed, 65 attended. Suggests they split roughly as the public, about 50%.
There are only 21 in the photo.
Lubos Motl says some who signed didn’t attend.
“Steven Chu explains how the best data on climate change comes from satellites: ”
And yet Steven Chu fails to notice that satellites show an 18 year 6 month pause in warming despite CO2 increasing during that same time period. to quote Mr Chu “That’s what I call denial.”
Not only that, he’s failed to notice the increasing ice in the Antarctic, the recovery of ice in the Arctic, and the greening of multiple areas which is very likely at least partly due to extra plant food in the atmosphere!
Note:
If the world had listened to this from the last time the Laureates spoke..
…..Otto Hahn contained an appeal for the peaceful use of nuclear energy…….
We would not have had the one today….
“Failure to act will subject future generations of humanity to unconscionable and unacceptable risk.”
And acting now will subject current and future generations to even more unconscionable and unacceptable risk. If the earth’s climate ever does exceed 2 degrees of warming, and if any of the forecast problems actually materialize, it will be much cheaper to adapt than to try to prevent them. We will also have better technology and better understanding of the climate in the future than we have now.
+1
ADAPTATION is the magic spell.
FTA: “If left unchecked, our ever-increasing demand for food, water, and energy will eventually overwhelm the Earth’s ability to satisfy humanity’s needs, and will lead to wholesale human tragedy,” the declaration continues.” 😡
So, now the Nobelly Prize recipients are advocating population culling/genocide. Don’t know how other to interpret this phrase…. If there’s too many of us, someone’s gotta go!!!
Correct?
Why does the name Malthus suddenly pop into my mind? Isn’t he the guy who thought the dangers of population growth precluded progress toward a utopian society? Do you think he would trade places with me if he knew how things would turn out in the 21st century?
I really hate it when people come up with these “if we keep doing what we’re doing, something awful will happen” admonitions. The fact is, we NEVER keep doing what we’re doing. We’re not sheep. We adapt! We came out of nice, cozy, warm Africa and populated cold Europe. Whatever happens, we’ll adapt.
The culling has been done all along via Bofors by supplying the endless wars with armaments. I see the Nobel prize as having been a way to launder the blood money given to the Nobel prize organisation by Bofors.
Wars in general do not decrease the overall population, and often result in increases in population.
So, if we don’t let some people die, then people will die? What a puzzler…
Doug and/or
Please don’t subject me to – sarcasm.
Nail my head to the floor – please – before you do the sarcastic bits . . . . .
[Well, I’m not sure it is the real Douglas and/or Dinsdale, but it is reasonable to be ahead of the game – just in case . . . .]
Auto
PS – Mods – get a life; view Monty Python.
You will see the reference and the reaction. Thanks.
[PS – yes this forty years old, and therefore might – just might – date me!]
Le marchand de la mort est mort … etc.
None of these Nobelists have credentials relating to climatology. Do they know what a Stephenson sreen is, or Antony’s discovery about whitewash versus white latex paint? Do they know the finest computational scale of GCMs relative to the scales needed to resolve (even crudely) convection cells? How about the ‘pause’ relative to climate model falsification? Or the important difference between spring and summer ice for polar bears which puts the lie to Sterling, Derocher, and the USGS?
Linus Pauling won two prizes, and he was wrong about Vitamin C. Chemistry ain’t medicine.
This declaration carries about as much factual weight as the Pope’s encyclical. Just another billboard on the road to Paris.
The document speaks clearly of overpopulation. That is, and has been for a long time, the principle fear of the educated leftist. It is unlikely to be a coincidence that the same strategies used to control the climate also control populations — just how many people will survive decarbonization? What is interesting is that the poor nations of earth never “carbonized” and will be rather less affected than, say, the United States or Canada.
Even more interesting that the growth in global GDP over the last 15-20 years has pulled at least 1.5 billion people out of poverty and the increased prosperity has started to reduce the birth rate in developing countries down close to the 2.1 children/mother needed for replacement. The UN now is predicting that world population is likely to peak at 9 billion late in this century before starting to decline.
So the best, most predictable cure for any global warming there might be is the industrialization of the third world. Also the best way to protect against the vagaries of climate. People with money can adapt, people in poverty just die, regardless of the disaster.
I am anything but an educated leftists, educated yes.. but I too fear overpopulation. Worse, I fear overpopulation combined with hi-tech, such that the unskilled and low skilled person has no economic productive potential at all.
The world of the affluent consumer of machine assembled toys who has some tech skills to offer simply doesn’t need the great unwashed – and how long before some justification for eradication comes along?
There is not an infinite supply of resources to sustain an infinite number of people on a finite planet.
Who is going to die, or not get born at all? And who is to decide? If anyone?
Those are the questions.
What is clear to me however,. is that the Left – especially the Green Left, is firmly on the side of an elite who see themselves as the authority and the arbiters of some sort of ideological Final Solution.
This is the ultimate betrayal of the class of people that gave them power and authority.
@LeoSmth, the world is no danger of overpopulation. People feared it centuries ago, and still we cope. There is more than enough land to feed everyone. What stops everyone from being fed is the lack of infrastructure to transport the food to the people.
The population of the world has boomed, but it will naturally plateau as more countries become developed. In developed countries family sizes are small because kids are expensive. Its only in poor developing countries that families are large as they need lots of kids to do all the manual work.
As for resources, there is a finite supply but that ignores the fact that there is in reality a very large supply in which it would still take centuries to use up. And we can recycle (like steel & aluminium) or switch to other resources as needs change.
There is not an infinite supply of resources to sustain an infinite number of people on a finite planet.
==================
thus we won’t get an infinite number of people on the planet. problem solved. really what you are worried about is competition. will someone else eat your share of the pie.
by weight, there is a whole lot more bacteria on earth than humans. Do we worry about the finite planet being unable to support infinite bacteria?
Yes, they admit it. It’s in the document:
“not as experts in the field of climate change..”
So are there any good reasons for paying any attention to what they say? Nobel Prize Winners in Tiddleywinks might have as much right to make statements like this. But who’s going to point that out in the MSM? Somehow it only matters if you’re an expert in the field if you don’t go along with the ‘consensus’.
I know those thing and I don’t have credentials relating to climatology, so I wouldn’t assume they don’t.
“Linus Pauling won two prizes, and he was wrong about Vitamin C.”
With almost total certainty you can bet on that the people (like you) who claim that Pauling “was wrong about Vitamin C” are either (1) pawns and hacks of the massive business of conventional medicine, (2) unwitting people who repeat their propaganda, (3) people who never actually looked deeply into Pauling’s work and dietary supplements, or (4) people who fall into a combination of the former categories.
Primarily it is the corrupt BUSINESS of orthodox medicine and their salespeople who keep ridiculing Pauling as some deluded Nobel Prize winner. And it doesn’t take a genius to see why: Pauling had been threatening the huge bottom line of big corporate medicine. Here is a good example of a hack MD who has been discrediting Pauling and supplements with disinformation and lies – http://www.supplements-and-health.com/vitamin-benefits.html
If you look closely, you’ll find that politics by the allopathy is almost always behind the truly unscientific dumb attacks against Pauling. It’s indicative of how little real science is behind the various claims of traditional medicine. Or the truly silly statement you made, “Chemistry ain’t medicine” … right, medicine is miles away from anything close to chemistry is is more related to knitting…
Pauling was no dummy. It appears to me he simply made maximal use of his “Nobel” fame and chose to run with the Vit C story to make a quid. And did so very successfully, setting up an institute on investor and government funds. And he did so quite ruthlessly, too, suppressing publications from his own institute which countered some of his claims.
Vitamin C is an essential molecule in quite a number of biological reactions, but it is pretty hard to find anything substantial supporting the ‘mega dose cures everything’ role for Vit C.
That’s Tim Hunt in the middle.
He’s a known sexist and has (obviously, quite rightly) been sacked.
Cleary these people are dinosaurs who should be ignored.
Unless Tim Hunt has done something egregious, apart from his very innocuous statements, I see him being crucified on a cross of pc bigotry.
Tim Hunt’s views on women in the lab don’t disqualify him from commenting on environmental issues any more than his accomplishments in biochemistry qualify him to comment on said issues.
I think M Courtney was being facetious…
bullshit, Tim Hunt was NOT at the meeting. He pulled out after the shitstorm went down.
i see you probably mean the guy next to Elisabeth Blackburn. That is Klaus von Klitzing. Just another white old guy.
I have no respect for the “Nobel Prize” at all. Just the award to Gore and Obama should tell you something about that prize. If it does not, then consider Schmidt as mentioned above.
The Peace Prize is awarded by the Norwegian Nobel Committee, see http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/peace/prize_awarder/ . The science prizes are awarded by Swedish committees. Don’t conflate them.
Ric, in case you could not tell by my sort comment — I have no respect for either prize or awarding group. I thought that mentioning Schmidt made that clear. However, it is good for you clarify for everyone that there are two different groups.
Please note; I have been disappointed in the pure science side for a long, long time for many reasons.
They give Nobel prizes for idiocy now?
They gave the terrorist Yasser Arafat a Nobel Prize, why should we be appalled at what such a collection of idiots would endorse?
https://thepointman.wordpress.com/2015/07/03/bang-pause-bang/
Pointman
Gore also got one.
But I’m puzzled as to just where Mann should fit in. Lower than both? 😎
“But I’m puzzled as to just where Mann should fit in”
I have always thought “Dr.” Mann was a real piece of work, so I think he gets the “piece prize”.
When it comes to Mann and the Nobel Prize, they’re taking the piece …
Pointman
Yeah, but they gave it to Arafat for pretending to stop being a terrorist.
They’re not so smart are they, but I bet the wine they drink at their dinners is top notch.
A physics Nobel is a totally, totally different from the politically motivated Norwegian prize.
Yasser Arafat a terrorist ? Thats a bit harsh . One man’s terrorist is another man’s freedom fighter. Go back many years in history and have a look at the land allocated to the Palestinians originally and look at the land they have now .
DGM says: “One man’s terrorist is another man’s freedom fighter.”
Maybe; but neither should get a “peace prize”. A freedom fighter identifies military targets to reduce the military might of the enemy. A terrorist specifically creates terror hence the name. They are not the same kind of thing merely by different names.
“So you have to convince the people who vote.”
And the best way to do this is to INSULT them. Or maybe it is not the best way…
And the Israelis have not created terror in Gaza? Have you seen the dead children in there hundreds , blown to pieces and burnt by white phosphorus by the IDF. Yes the Palestinians fire black powder rockets with no warhead at Israel . They are nearly worse than useless , even the IDF admits this , but what else have they to protest the gradual loss of their land. The US certainly does not try and stop it and in fact vetoes in the UN all attempts at stopping anything the Israeli’s wish to do and gives them 5 billion dollars over seas aid per year .
“If left unchecked, our ever-increasing demand for food, water, and energy will eventually overwhelm the Earth’s ability to satisfy humanity’s needs, and will lead to wholesale human tragedy,”
How is this schema any different at all from Paul Erlich’s falsified Apocalypticism? But hey, aren’t we always grateful anyway whenever a full blown neurosis intersects with a Business Plan which also promises to lead us proles back to the Garden?
Right now, though, I’ve got to go hitch up the Horse and Buggy so that I can get to the Dentist in time for placement of my new wooden teeth….while they still exist!
He was detained – book signing.
Well that shouldn’t have taken long. One signature and he gave the book to himself!
Has anyone here read the entire Ipcc assessment as I have? I never seen such a long document contain such little information. I don’t believe there was any definate information. It almost seems like it was written by lawyers. It seems whatever the scientists wrote was taken out or tactically altered to avoid problems.
You must be the only living person who has actually read the whole assessment. 🙂
I have read it too (AR4), and Charlie is right. For example, the IPCC report explains the mechanism whereby CO2 warms the planet, right? Wrong. There is not one sentence anywhere in the IPCC report. Not even a simple basic statement. The report is a stunning exercise in bias and obfuscation.
Agree – Even in the Contribution from Working group I on the scientific basis there is no explanation of the mechanism. Nor is there any attempt to deduct implications or test the hypothesis. The assessment is not scientific at all.
Somewhere there is a video clip of someone summarising how and why the IPCC is the way it is.
The IPCC was not set up, nor were its terms of reference so crafted, as to engage into any discussion as to the reality or not of ‘man made climate change’.
No, the IPCC was set up with a mandate solely to determine the likely effects and policy implications of man made climate change, not to question its existence, and 97% of all the work that goes on in ‘climate change” science is based on the assumption that man made climate change is a clear and present danger.
In sales we called this the ‘assumptive close’ technique. Instead of trying to persuade the customer to buy, you immediately started discussing the price. By engaging in a mutual worldview where the sale was assumed, you hoped to deny him the opportunity to reverse out of a sale.
This same technique was used when mounting several enquiries into things awry in politics. By restricting the terms of reference to such enquiries to that which will be favourable to the desired outcome you can announce that the matter has been subject to an enquiry, and nothing untoward was found.
“The effect of a 10°C rise in sea temperatures wouold be disastrous on the supply of British Fish and Chips.”
Yeah, but what is the likelihood of a 10°C rise in sea temperatures? Oh that is ultra vires to my investigations. I merely assume that it will happen because 97% of other scientists involved in examining the effects of climate change of the man made persuasion, haven’t actually questioned whether it will happen, because that’s ultra vires for them too, and, indeed, beyond their sphere of competence to question.
One place to look to understand what IPCC is, and what it isn´t, is in the principles governing IPCC.
These principles are given in the document: PRINCIPLES GOVERNING IPCC WORK.
https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/ipcc-principles/ipcc-principles.pdf
The revision history of that document is a clear indication that the document can be regarded to hold the fundamental principles for the Panel. The document was first approved in 1998 and latest amendment was in 2013.
Paragraph 1 :
“The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change … shall concentrate its activities …. on actions in support of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change process.”
Here is an extract from Wikipedia that will help to understand this better: “The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change” .. is an international environmental treaty .. The objective of the treaty is to “stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system”.
Hence the following will be a legitimate interpretation of Paragraph 1:
“The panel shall concentrate its activities on actions in support of stabilizing the greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system”.
Obviously, the principles does not nourish a culture of systematic scrutiny or attempts to falsify parts of the theory about anthropogenic warming. It is also evident that principles does not enforce any robust scientific principles on IPCC.
The threat of the deliberate corruption of language was well understood by George Orwell. He objected the over – complex sentences, excessive use of long, unrecognizable and unnecessary terms plus inaccurate and vague explanations. He called it “Newspeak” and said that it was used as a shield by the political elite to distort and hide truths and so confound the masses.
Apparently physicist Gross needs some lectures in hydrology. Glaciers do NOT contribute to runoff, it’s the annual snow melt and the low level rainfall.
“It’s like in the 1950s when people didn’t know what happened if you smoked one pack of cigarettes per day – but the lung cancer rate was rising so rapidly that something had to be done.”
Yes, and In 2015, we apparently don’t know what the effects of CO2 are – but the biosphere keeps booming – vegetative health of the planet improving – plant growth, crop yields and world food production rising so rapidly that something has to be done?
Open your eyes and look at what CO2 is actually doing.
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2013/07/130708103521.htm
http://www.co2science.org/education/reports/co2benefits/MonetaryBenefitsofRisingCO2onGlobalFoodProduction.pdf
Increasing CO2 feeds MORE people. The slight warming has been BENEFICIAL.
This isn’t cigarette smoke. CO2 isn’t pollution. Take a step back into the real world(leaving models and speculative theories aside for a moment) and do an authentic check with life on this planet. It will tell you that CO2 at 400 ppm is better for life than when it was at 280 ppm and is asking(with it’s positive response to the increase) for more CO2.
When was the last time that somebody smoked a pack of cigarettes/day for 30 years and it caused them to grow 20% healthier?
“CO2 at 400 ppm is better for life than when it was at 280 ppm ”
Tell that to the families of the people in Pakistan and India where thousands of families have lost loved ones to the latest heatwave. Or to the shrimp fisherman in the US who are struggling at the moment. Good for life huh?
I suppose you can show us that this particular heat wave was exacerbated by human CO2 somehow?
“simon
July 3, 2015 at 7:58 pm
Or to the shrimp fisherman in the US who are struggling at the moment.”
Couldn’t possibly be any other reason eh? Some sort of infection/virus, actual pollution/runoff from farms, overfishing? No! It *has* to be the addition of ~3% CO2 to the ~400ppm/v CO2 total.
And lets not forget, MOST of those lost in Pakistan over Ramadan recently were lost because water is restricted or even forbidden during the Holy month. Lets not get facts in the way of a good rant eh Simon?
Why dont you tell that to the people who were able to eat, thanks to a 20% increase in plant life’s productivity?
thousands of families, in a world populated by BILLIONS of people.
from the Times of India…
==============
Most of those killed by heat-related conditions including dehydration and heat stroke have been in the southern states of Andhra Pradesh and Telangana, where 100 people died just on Thursday as temperatures hovered about 43 degrees Celsius
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/Indias-heatwave-tests-water-supply-death-toll-over-1800/articleshow/47468361.cms
===================
Even the poorest people in Australia don’t die when the temperature hits 43 degrees C.
Sweat evolved for evaporative cooling: water and a small amount of air flow is all you need to survive the heat.
What are they doing wrong in India?
@Khwarizmi, what are they doing wrong in India? Corruption, mismanagement, lack of infrastructure, poor transport, etc.
So the India is poorly governed in many ways – but they are extremely good at attributing the sole cause of deaths to heatwaves. And, how do the know that old people at the end of their life is not part of the numbers?
simon sez: “Tell that to the families of the people in Pakistan…”
Consider it told to the people of Pakistan that have internet.
“thousands of families have lost loved ones to the latest heatwave.”
And more still lost to winter cold lacking fuel.
“Or to the shrimp fisherman in the US who are struggling at the moment.”
If they have internet they have been told. I am a bit curious why you have singled out shrimp fisherman as being the only, or representative, for anyone struggling at the moment.
“Good for life huh?”
Yes. Carbon dioxide is essential for plants and ultimately for animals. Plants cannot live on much less than 280 ppm. What do you consider optimum and why do you consider it so?
Michael 2 says: “Plants cannot live on much less than 280 ppm.”
…
Which explains why all the plants died over 300,000 years ago.
..
http://joannenova.com.au/globalwarming/graphs/vostock-ice-core-350000%20med.jpg
Joel D. Jackson “Which explains why all the plants died over 300,000 years ago.”
Fortunately for us they left descendants.
All plants die. So do all people. I suspect you are trying to make a less obvious point.
A chart extrapolating homo heidelbergensis climate from Vostok glacier is hilarious from metrology point of view even if it had error margins.
Glacier is not a time capsule. It’s a useless proxy for extrapolating atmospheric gases and temperature hundreds of thousands of years ago.
The weak hydrogen bonds in water are hardly sufficient to rigidify ice like a crystal. Ice remains amorphous, a bit like glass. Thus, it seems to me that the glacier gas concentration changes as a function of time mostly due to temperature and depth/pressure variations on the spot. Unless, of course, someone can provide convincing evidence on the contrary.
Simon,
It was noted that the lack of proper air conditioning has been a contributing factor and also that it is their month of Ramadan whereby, they fast not just from food but from water also. This is why you have so many deaths there. Not because anthro. Co2 has been partly responsible for an aprox. .6*C rise in a conceptual global average temp. over the last 150 years.
This is what is so annoying about the whole scam of Global warming. There is nothing happening today, that hasn’t happened in the past. There have always been heatwaves, floods, droughts, storms, rising and falling temperatures, more ice and less ice, sea levels up and down. Alarmists think they have just made these discoveries recently. At any given time you can point to a regional weather event and claim it’s evidence of CAGW. But evidence is not always proof. Shifting from one thing to another is the proverbial pea under the shell game. The hypothesis is that anthro. Co2 will cause temperatures to rise with catastrophic consequences. We have run that experiment over the past 18+years. Co2 levels have risen but temperatures have remained flat. That should be the end of that notion. Why isn’t it? I’m sure there is all sorts of alarmist reasoning with very plausible explanations why this dead horse deserves a good flogging.(pun intended), but nobody is buying it. Not voluntarily anyway.
I wonder if the billions of dollars that are pumped into this CAGW scam, were invested in the broader picture of the Earth’s changing climate, in a more open and honest quest for discovery, where scientists could work together with open debate. Differences of opinion regarding the interpretation of research openly discussed with the purpose of advancing our understanding of the complex issues. Take the political influence out and let Nature take her course. What are the chances of that happening? Probably none. So how does this game play out. They keep moving the pea about, and we say they are cheating. They keep taking our money and we keep playing in the hope that in the end we will win it all back. Where will the next heatwave show up? or any other regional weather event. If they define the rules, and the only rule is, whatever happens next, they were right even when they’re wrong, then we will continue through disaster after disaster full in the knowledge that it’s all our fault. Well, maybe not all of us, but it would have been nice if the people in India had proper cooling facilities, maybe some of them would have survived.
Eamon.
What are they doing wrong in India?
===========================
Thousands of water tankers were delivering supplies to more than 4,000 villages and hamlets facing acute water shortage in the central state of Maharashtra, state water department officials said.
================
water shortages.are cannot be cured by spending billions to reduce CO2 emissions. they are cured by adding infrastructure, which means spending billions on water supplies instead..
In Pakistan Ramadam involves the end half of June and the beginning half of July . All Muslims must not drink or eat between the hours of 4.15 am and 7.15 PM (in Pakistan approx) everyday for 30 days. So without water for 15 hours a day in 43oC weather , pure lunacy !! How can people work in that situation ?? I assume they try and hence the high death rate?? Towards the end of this torture I think dehydration of the tissues would be critical and it takes time to rehydrate even if you can drink as much as you want.
And every year India experiences severe heat waves in summer, this year is a little more severe than normal because of Monsoon delays , dry weather ,high humidity and rain more south than usual and most significantly 2015 El-Nino. Also remember India has a population of 1.252 billion so the 2500 that died , extremely tragic that it is , is a very very small proportion of the total Population .0000199%. Far more concerning to me would be the terrible suicide number in India last year which was 243,661 , that’s 1 suicide every 2 minutes .
Maybe his invitation was incorrectly addressed to Piltdown Mann.
Or Meltdown Mann?
Luddite Mann
30/65ths of Nobel prize winners supported the document. Somehow I don’t expect that to be highlighted.
46% “consensus”.
Climate Protection…what the hell is that?
Perhaps a CO2 condom?
a CO2 condom is liable to give a real hard on……..Sorry
NO (Nitric Oxide) does that.
Hillarious 🙂
This is like the all-star team that was voted in botching the big game.