Corky Boyd writes:
The latest NATICE graphics show Lake Erie totally covered with 9/10+ ice, Lakes Superior and Huron are nearly totally covered with 9/10+ and Ontario about 80% covered with 7/10+. It is likely Superior and Huron will join Erie with total coverage of 9/10+ in today or tomorrow’s report.
It is possible Ontario could do the same as it is experiencing near or sub-zero temperatures tonight.
The NATICE daily reports are posted about 5:00pm EST. Link is here:
http://www.natice.noaa.gov/products/great_lakes.html
If you have trouble pulling up the ice charts, here are direct links to the West and East areas for Feb. 18:
http://www.natice.noaa.gov/pub/special/great_lakes/2015/charts/composite_east/el150218color.jpg
http://www.natice.noaa.gov/pub/special/great_lakes/2015/charts/composite_west/wl150218color.jpg
It is an unusual event for 3 of the lakes to freeze over, which only happens once every 6 to 8 years. Four or more freezing is a most unusual event.
[We’ll have further reports on WUWT as we know more – Anthony]
So after 2 more days of sub 0 degrees F, The coverage of ice went from 85%+ to 80.9%? What’s up with that? Is someone fudging numbers?:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/reference-pages/sea-ice-page/great-lakes-ice-page/
Winds can blow it around, stack it up, or compress what was spread out a little a few days before.
It (losing ice during sub-zero F (-25 C’s) does seem weird though, doesn’t it?
Today’s snow cover map for North America exactly matches the map of Wisconsonian Continental Ice coverage. One new realization. In addition to the core Laurentide and Cordillaran seed areas, I would have to say that the UP of Michigan is also a seed area. I wonder what would happen if this pattern dominated for a couple hundred years?
Yep.
So can I adjust the temperature data to show that the lakes aren’t freezing over?
Well I thought we would get the 5th one. Ontario got close but it appears high winds causing wave action pushed the new ice in the center of the lake to the East end. There is still a chance though since they cold is supposed to continue for some days to come. http://ice-glaces.ec.gc.ca/prods/NAIS25ECT/20150220180000_NAIS25ECT_0008129378.gif
For the Barrys of the world please inform me of the “correct”, “optimum”, or “default” temp of our Earth.
http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/data/ice/
It is a race. Lake Ontario or Lake Michigan?
Drum roll….
http://coastwatch.glerl.noaa.gov/glsea/cur/glsea_cur.png
Good grief people get with the program. We stopped calling it cooling or warming years back. It’s “change” now, a less definitive, more flexible term. If anything is different it’s the fault of man.
“It is an unusual event for 3 of the lakes to freeze over, which only happens once every 6 to 8 years. Four or more freezing is a most unusual event.”
What rule says an event that happens every 6-8 years is unusual? Therefore two term presidents are unusual? I would consider 4 or more lakes freezing over for 6-8 consecutive years to be an unusual or most unusual event, but a single occurrence not so much so.
It will be unusual, Chris, if Lake Michigan or Lake Ontario freeze over. Especially, if you go back 10 to 15 years and see what they were writing about the possibility of that for 2015. I am confident Lake Michigan froze over last year, but it was obfuscated with all the “percentages”, etc. by the govt “scientists”. Really, the way it is setup they come up with nonsensical things like 92,3%, etc., much like saying the earth’s total temperature is somehow calculated to within a tenth, and even a hundredth, of a degree … with precision. They obfuscate by going beyond the true levels of precision their data has, and then all the sheep are supposed to believe them. And just like last year, when GL started getting close in mid to late February, suddenly in the middle of a very cold spell … the percentages go way down. It is going to remain cold in the midwest thru at least Mar. 8, so they know they are going to have to play the percentage/obfuscation game. That is why last year I was begging for someone to fly over Lake Michigan (like from Waukegan, IL to Muskegon, MI) to video and show that indeed the lake is frozen over. I live in Hawaii, so can’t do it – but I grew up on Lake Michigan.