Josh writes: By the slimmest of margins, 2014 has been declared the “hottest year ever”. It’s everywhere you look – there’s dodgy numbers, vague impressions and tweets galore – yes, it’s the warmist year evah!
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They can’t tell the truth because they don’t KNOW the truth.
And they think that history started in 1880!
History started in 1910 in australia. Before that we didn’t have weather. Or the weather was wrong. Or something. And even after that they got it wrong and they had to correct it. A bit. And a bit more.
They act as if history starts today. Tomorrow the records will have changed yesterday.
For once we can thank HotWhopper for sorting this whole “thing” out in her 18 January post, “Bob Tisdale is confused, miffed…”. In particular, HotWhopper links to and reproduces in her post a portion of a “press shindig” held by NASA’s Gavin Schmidt and and NOAA’s Thomas Karl.
And guess what? NOAA’s conclusion is that it is “MORE UNLIKELY THAN LIKELY” that 2014 is the hottest year “evah”, among the years under consideration!!!! And guess further what?–NOAA considers it “MORE LIKELY THAN NOT” that SOME YEAR, OTHER THAN 2014!!!, IS THE HOTTEST YEAR!!!. Yep!–that’s right, let me repeat that, NOAA takes the position that it is unlikely that 2014 is the hottest year of them all.
HotWhopper describes the above, “inconvenient factoid-truth” as a “confusion” which she then attempts to clarify, but only succeeds in clarifying that there is no “confusion”–NASA finds it “MORE UNLIKELY THAN LIKELY” that 2014 is the hottest year among those considered. I mean, like, this little hive-embarrassment is on par, amusement-wise, with the “Turney of Antartica” fiasco of a year or so ago. Good stuff, HotWhopper!!!
And to think the “hottest year evah” was the hive’s big-push, agit-prop “uber-meme” going into the Paris Conference later this year! I mean, like, just think about it–all those painfully developed and reviewed and vetted and focus-group tested, scaremongering slogans gone bust; all those signs-on-a-stick–suitable for holding up to the cameras of members of the in-the-tank, hive-flunky press-corps by street-theater mass marchers who are, in the main, brainwashed, snot-nosed, spoiled-brat, personal-hygiene-“denier” dumb-kids chaperoned by their lefty-parasite, youth-master exploiters–already back from the printers and now unusable; and all those “in-the-can” op-eds and one-liner, media-catnip “it’s-gotten-worse” quips, worked up around the “settled science” that “2014 IS THE HOTTEST YEAR EVAH!!!”, now ignominiously consigned to the toxic-landfill of history. And frankly, I don’t think any number of brazen-hypocrite, carbon-piggie, CO2-spew eco-confabs will be able to put this humpty-dumpty back together again, even though it will undoubtedly serve, we can all well imagine, as a pretext for a whole slew of such such party-time, grab-ass, gas-bag gab-fests (all of which could easily be held as carbon-free, Gaia-friendly video-conferences, but without all the blow-out, bunga-bunga, after-hours’ good times, which is the real point of all those taxpayer-rip-off, stupid hive-swarms, after all).
Hey Hive-Bozos!!! Just a friendly, constructive criticism and head’s-up here: You guys are definitely not makin’ mummy proud with this one. And the buzz, that I’m gettin’ from normally reliable sources, is that the hive-politburo has just received a memo from Gaia that reads, in its entirety, “YOU DOOFUS, SCREW-UP, F#CKSTICK RETARDS!!!”
Well the climate history that has a snow ball’s chance in hell of being correct started in about 1979-80, when they first placed those oceanic buoys that report both water surface (-1 m msl) temperature and lower troposphere (+ 3 m msl) simultaneously.
That data since that time shows that all of the water based “global” temperature data prior to 1980 is bogus. And it is not correctable since the air and water temperatures aren’t correlated.
That time frame also coincides with the start of satellite data gathering.
So I don’t believe ANY global Temperature reported data prior to the year 1980.
So 2014 may be the warmest adjusted temperature year ever since 1980.
Wow! Things are really cookin’ now! Jo Nova’s latest blog post (January 19) advises that NASA assigns 2014’s claim to the “hottest year evah” title, a likelihood of only 38% (vice NOAA’s 48%), which, in other words means that there is a 62% (NASA) or 52% (NOAA) likelihood that 2014 is NOT THE HOTTEST YEAR EVAH!!! But please do read Jo’s post since my brief reference to it does not come close to doing it full justice.
I mean, like, this is lookin’ really, really bad for the eco-flakes. Indeed, all this makes you really wonder at the accelerating pace, here lately, of the hive’s degeneration into a full-time, center-ring target for an aroused humanity’s blob-baiting, public mockery and universal laughingstock contempt. I mean, like, It’s not just that our hive-“betters” are becoming ever more nerd-like, or that they’re a bunch of irremediable social incompetents, as ever, and big, fat pests, to boot, or that they all aspire to be our Philosopher-Kings and Queens so that they can boss everyone around and be everybody’s cull-masters/mistresses and other good stuff like that–NO! It’s none of that! Rather its that the hive-bozos are becoming more and more like those cytoplasmic “things” with tentacles and eye-stalks and bad-breath that H. P. Lovecraft used to write about. I mean, like, what a bunch of creep-outs!!!
They don’t, but they THINK they do.
I don’t know who first said this but, “It’s what you learn after you think you know it all that matters.”
#(:))
And this year,
ifWHEN they win#(:))
I promise not to post about it on WUWT
(for that angry UK commenter who said that I ruined his watching the game recording later that day)
without an “AVERT EYES” warning preceding the joyful news.
Well Janice, the NFL business is not one of the companies in my IRA portfolio, so I don’t really care who they have playing for them. It is not a growth industry that I would invest in.
But if it is something that interests you, for your amusement; then by all means enjoy it.
When I was growing up, “Sports” was something that people did themselves for either fun or physical well being, as well as accomplishment.
But now we are back to the Roman era, and it is the Lions versus the Redskins, instead of the Lions versus the Christians.
But it is the same principle. People screaming en masse, when one of their heroes gets knocked to the ground by an armored opponent.
g
Reblogged this on Sierra Foothill Commentary and commented:
No, it was the 9th warmest since 1979 in the far more accurate and non contaminated and non manipulated satellite data sets (RSS and UAH merged) See the charts HERE:
http://icecap.us/index.php/go/political-climate
William Briggs has a very good analysis / take down of the 1 in 27 million claim:
http://wmbriggs.com/blog/?p=15264
They can’t handle the truth.
The truth they handle …is turned into …something else !
(;>))
But they can ladle the cant.
S’OK, I know that “weather is not climate” and all that malarkey. Howsomever, my recollection of the year just past was— a colder, snowier winter than we had been having before, followed by a summer which never did get warmer than normal anywhere I went– and I went all over the Eastern half of the United States last year. Unpleasantly warm in the summer— yeah, that’s normal. Especially in the South. The warmest ever? Nope, I’ve experienced warmer.
But then, I’m not a climate scientist. So my experience of nearly 60 summers and winters doesn’t count.
No, its just like they keep telling me–even here–that the US is only a small protion of the globe and its other places in the globe that account for the warmth. I can’t understand why it’s been record cold and lows and cold summers and colder winters for YEARS now and on Dr. Spencer’s page–every month–every single month we are still warmer on the anomoly for the 30 year benchmark. Makes me crazy–well, I guess I don’t need this to make me crazy!
pocketsponsor
You say
Really?
I thought it was supposed to be global warming and not unAmerican warming.
Richard
It’s the anomaly that shows warmer. If you want to show cooler just change the base period of the anomaly.
Does anyone know where I can find a map showing where the warming is and how much has occurred? I’d love to see it from a global prospect.
The heat has made itself felt in various places and in obvious ways. One of the predictions of CAGW is less sea ice. What has the last few years shown us?
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/iphone/images/iphone.anomaly.global.png
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/global.daily.ice.area.withtrend.jpg
http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/S_timeseries.png
http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/plots/icecover/icecover_current_new.png
Hi Jimbo.
Arctic sea ice ‘expert’, Peter Wadhams of ‘ice free Arctic’ fame, bleats on about ice albedo feedback being the main warming mechanism before the ‘methane bomb’ goes off.
He clearly is ignoring the fact that ‘global’ warming is linked to ‘global’ sea ice area wrt ice albedo feedback. As you have clearly pointed out, Jimbo, global sea ice levels are not unusually low like Peter would have us believe!
Peter clearly has his head buried beneath a thin, white, reflective blanket!
nuwurld,
Professor Peter Wadhams probably saw the writing on the wall (graphs) and decided to change his prediction without explanation. I dealt with that issue in December here. He is now parroting ‘ice-free’ in 2020. Expect his retirement before September 15th 2020 OR another prediction! Hopeless man.
Looks like Arctic ice extent is on track to recover the 1979-2000 mean within 3-5 years. Wadham will have to find something else to shrill about.
And the USCRN network agrees with you. It was not anywhere near record anything (well maybe cold) … Maybe we could get the author of the CRN graph recently posted here to update it from the CRN database?
Canada is also experiencing the cold and snow so you can add that to the global portion as well.
The west coast of Canada has been milder with a stream coming up from hawaii causing quite a bit of rain.
This is however a small percentage of the Canadian landmass.
Congrats on the Seahawks win! Our CFL team crapped out , our hockey team is about to crap out , and our soccer team (MLS division) is a joke.
Warmest year “evah”, except, perhaps back before we kept records which could be changed.
When I saw one of my neighbors this morning they mentioned that to me. Before I could respond, they told me how much more they had to run their air-conditioner.
I was going to ask them how much additional time they had to run it for every 1/100 degree rise in temperature. Instead I just told them to enjoy the Interglacial.
Really, P(truth from CAGWA) = 1/2.7E+07???
Seems overly optimistic to me
Stop laughing. Lots of these scammers will collect a paycheck for what they alarm about, but we realists will not
Oh. So Oetzi was actually…… a Deep Earthman…. who…uh………. . Who got too hot down there so, about 5,000 years ago {http://oetzi.com/en/clothing-equipment}, he tunneled his way up to the surface. …….. And he ended up 3210 meters up on an alp in Southern Tyrol {http://oetzi.com/en/node/239} because….. …… because his GPS broke and he couldn’t see very good in the dark. Aaaand he had a little bucket of ….. coals, yeah, THAT’s how he melted the 20 meter thick layer of ice and snow {Id.} enough to stand up. Then a polar bear stabbed him and he died. Yeah. That’s the ticket.
Jon Lovitz (youtube)
And you know it’s waaay warmer now because: there used to be polar bears on the alps and there isn’t, now. Because of global warming caused by coal from the center of the earth, they all moved to Alaska where they could get lots of Cokes and stuff.
************************************
{Source for facts: South Tyrol Museum of Archaeology in Bolzano (South Tyrol, Italy) at: http://oetzi.com/en — embellishment provided by Enviroprofiteers, Inc.}
Janice, cool down.
Just wait and see, when they’re on the brink.
brg Hans
The Liars Club sends up another huge one, all traces of NOAA credibility are gone……..
NOAA didn’t get the memo about this one, though, heh:
http://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/imagesInd3/sieMon.gif
(from WUWT Sea-Ice Page: http://wattsupwiththat.com/reference-pages/sea-ice-page/)
And see: http://wattsupwiththat.com/?s=NOAA+Arctic+Sea+Ice
Better yet (oops — wrong page linked), see: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/05/23/sea-ice-news-volume-5-2-noaa-forecasts-above-normal-arctic-ice-extent-for-summer/
Somebody should plot the un-adjusted data.
http://woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut3gl/from:2002/plot/hadcrut3gl/from:2002/trend
Does this one count?
This is what Mann needs for his important graphs :
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Etch_A_Sketch
lol — it IS what he uses!
[But isn’t even a broken etch-a-sketch write two times a day? …. .mod]
Thanks Mod, LOL I guess even the “Clock of Rome” right 2x a day ( but then again maybe 6x or 8x?)
This is Bob Barker for “The Splice is Right”. Come on down!
It’s a bugger getting an up-tick though!
Rarely have so many made so much over so little.
That’s right.
+1
When the Warmists can explain the presence of human habitations beneath the melting glacial fronts, then I might understand how this year is the “Hottest Year Evah”.
But, of course, they can’t
So, they lie. Lie. Lie. Lie! Lie!!
Oh, almost forgot (having so much fun):
GREAT CARTOON, JOSH! #(:))
Janice? what’s in the herb tea today LOL’s
Perhaps just a little tooooo much caffeine.
Well, for laughin’ out loud, A Sybot #(:)) (and Tom in Florida).
Just drinking bottled water!
That’s all it takes! That’s just me (I know it’s “I” but “I” these days sounds pedantic, so (shrug). At a church choir Christmas party one time, I was accused of drinking more than my share of the wine AND I HAD BEEN DRINKING ONLY POP!
Recently, I was talking with an engineer friend and I said, “Meh, just see that jerk supervisor for the bellowing hippotamus with both legs stuck in the same hole in his underwear that he is and LAUGH.”
Engineer: Janice, I cannot be silly about this.
So, I’m an anomaly! #(:)) (Don’t worry, I’m such an outlier that I will never affect WUWT’s “Serious” rating).
Always like to read your comments. Keep drinking the “water”. 🙂
Hey! Somebody read what I wrote! THANK YOU, Tom in Florida!
#(:))
Well isn’t Janice an early riser 🙂
Oh Boy. A bartender at Davos. Gore and his friends are tipping in Euros, was 1.39 on the dollar last year to 1.15 last week on the dollar. But when our hapless bartender exchanges them into Swiss Francs in two days, another hit to come.
Living in Davos and begging for Gore, “Poor poor pitiful me.”
Rigged markets verses rigged climates, one recovers, the other bakes.
“And the 2015 Broken Institutions Award goes to ….____________ for, ___________________!”
These criminal acts are beyond a joke now.
Severe case of thumb on the scale. Between the adjustments the station drop outs and myriad “corrections” the graph is a graph of fantasy with likely no connection to reality.
According to Hadcrut4, in 1944, the anomaly was 0.147. Prior to that, the previous times it was positive were in 1940 and 1941 when it was 0.017 and 1878 when it was 0.035.
What were the odds that the warm 1944 was natural? Was it also 1 in 27 million?
I caught two different MSM reports on this and oddly, they both followed the same format. First the anchor says something to the effect of “if you’ve been feeling like it is warmer these days, it is.” Then the standard hottest year ever blurb. I’m thinking so…. they think human beings can sense a temperature difference of two one hundredths of a degree? How stupid do they think people are?
Then I saw this…
http://www.cnn.com/videos/entertainment/2015/01/16/pkg-orig-qvc-isaac-mizrahi-argue-moon-planet-star.cnn
Darn there goes another keyboard,
I am continually dumbfounded by the ignorance of otherwise normal people, normal people who seem to function well in society, who drive automobiles, vote in national elections and successfully navigate long escalators.
One of my co-workers questioned me about stars. He did not know that they are other Suns, gigantic balls of incandescent matter. He thought they were just tiny lights, and did not understand why anyone would want to travel into space just to see some little lights.
davidmhoffer
January 17, 2015 at 7:56 pm
How stupid do they think people are?
David,
I believe the answer to that question is:
“as stupid as we will let them think we are”
which, unfortunately, for a lot of “we, the people”, appears to be “quite”.
Perhaps the gentleman was thinking of another kind of “moon” and thought of a planet, uh, Uranus?
Ba dum bump
And, too, Janice –
Your’e on the right track.
reading, knowing. What more. Thumps up!
Hans
Well, thank you, Hans. “What more” ? lol — who knows!
Warmists are addicts. They need their alarmist fix. This one will do for now. But, next year, they’ll need another one. “It’s not as hot as we expected” or “Maybe it won’t be so bad after all” just ain’t gonna cut it. This is not sober science; this is addiction. Hic.
They’re doing handsprings in the parking lot ‘cos it’s warmer (allegedly). I thought warming was supposed to be bad in their world ?
About a year ago, the warmists were falling all over themselves to explain the unusual cold winter we were having. Now it’s the warmest year ever?? Is it just me or does anyone else smell a rat?