People send me stuff. This email from the White House comes courtesy of WUWT reader John B. You’d think they’d have learned something after the disastrous “AskDrMann” hashtag debacle, but nooooo.
Message: White House warning of extreme weather, Nov 19, 2014.
From: info@mail.whitehouse.gov
To: xxxx@xxxx.xxx
Subject: Make sure your community is ready for climate change
Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2014 11:51:17 -0600
The White House
Make sure your community is ready for climate change
Climate change is happening now — and we’ve got to be ready because we’re going to see more extreme weather.
That’s why we’re taking action. Last Tuesday, the President made a historic announcement with China that sets new targets for carbon pollution reductions.
And on Monday, the Administration released the Climate Resilience Toolkit to help our communities respond to our changing climate.
Check out these easy-to-use tools, including interactive maps and visualizations, that will help prepare your community for the impacts of climate change. See how you can help your community or business get ready.
Whether you’re a small business owner, planner, farmer, policy leader, or an interested resident, these tools can help you make sure that you have a climate-ready community or business.
Have questions about what climate change means for you, why it matters, and what we can do to fight it? Last Thursday, Dr. John P. Holdren, Director of the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, announced that he wants to answer your questions.
Ask Dr. Holdren your questions on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, or Vine with the hashtag #AskDrH — and he’ll answer some of them on camera.
This email was sent to xxxx@xxx.xxx
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Please do not reply to this email. Contact the White House
The White House • 1600 Pennsylvania Ave NW • Washington, DC 20500 • 202-456-1111
I have been carrying on an email conversation right across this wide brown land with a friend who now lives in Tasmania. The latest concerns “peak stupid”. He tells me about people he knows who are so stupid I can not believe what he says; about people who dislike the “carcinogenic” gas Nitrogen, and who can not believe that 78% of the atmosphere is Nitrogen.
Where he lives, the problem is heating for much of the year. Where I live, in sub-tropical Northern Australia, the major problem is summer ventilation and cooling. Heating? we have no heaters in the house. But we have a house which is over 100 years old, with verandahs and many doors, and on high stumps, so we can ventilate. And when the temperature gets above 30C, and the humidity gets to be like a bear’s armpit, we turn on the A/C, set at 24C (75F) to cool and de-humidify. Feels good to me.
But what will happen if the cost of electricity gets to where these numpties like O’Bambi want it to be?
These people are living in fairy land.
If he is open to questions start with this one (and yes I know we are technically in an ice age).
The Earth goes through periodic ice ages. What should we doing to prepare?
There’s a new change to US tax law for 2014. The IRS has just announced that a federal tax credit of $2,500 will be available for the purchase of a 2014 Toyota Prius, however you must purchase the GRASS FED model to qualify for the credit.
The problem with my GRASS FED model is it eats too much hay. And, according to the EPA, emits too much methane and H2s.
Maybe if you baked it in brownies it would digest better.
Where ya’ been? This is old news. There was much sport about the Ask Holdren gig on the internet when this came out. Not sure it went all that well….
That is what defines stupid. They never learn!
Future historians will one day call this time, The Age of Stupidity.
Prime example of Machiavellianisn.
How do you want that climate change? Extreme or extra-crispy?
http://i57.tinypic.com/2e4afix.png
Dang, almost wasted a perfectly good cup of coffee and ruined a keyboard at the same time!
Climate change is happening now — and we’ve got to be ready because we’re going to see more extreme weather.
Rain will be wetter!
Winds will be windier!
Snow will be snowier!
And the Sun will be sunnier!
Oh, wait… the Sun has absolutely nothing to do with our climate.
Never mind.
/sarc
Stop all the snark! They are cereal! They’re super-cereal!
2014’s “Duck and Cover”
China just surpassed U.S.A as an economic power. In 16 years we can look forward to China being six times larger than U.S. if Obama’s “Historic agreement with China” holds up. Check out: China, the powerhouse of the world. Check the CO2 statistics.
http://lenbilen.com/2014/12/06/china-the-powerhouse-of-the-world-check-the-co2-statistics/
#Holdrenisan idiot.
I’ll consider the advice of the White House when the POTUS grounds Air Force One because of ‘climate change’
Have questions about what climate change means for you, why it matters, and what we can do to fight it? Last Thursday, Dr. John P. Holdren, Director of the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, announced that he wants to answer your questions.
Is anyone going to ask the following question:
What exactly are the targets, over what period of time, how exactly will this target be achieved, what is the estimated reduction in world temperature that will result, and at what cost?
If the answer is fluffy and non-specific/non-testable, then you know you are dealing with a sophist and a charlatan.
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/10/31/blind-faith-in-climate-models/#comment-1462890
An Open Letter to Baroness Verma
“All of the climate models and policy-relevant pathways of future greenhouse gas and aerosol emissions considered in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) recent Fifth Assessment Report show a long-term global increase in temperature during the 21st century is expected. In all cases, the warming from increasing greenhouse gases significantly exceeds any cooling from atmospheric aerosols. Other effects such as solar changes and volcanic activity are likely to have only a minor impact over this timescale”.
– Baroness Verma
I have no Sunspot Number data before 1700, but the latter part of the Maunder Minimum had 2 back-to-back low Solar Cycles with SSNmax of 58 in 1705 and 63 in 1717 .
http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/stp/space-weather/solar-data/solar-indices/sunspot-numbers/international/tables/
http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/stp/solar/image/annual.gif
The coldest period of the Maunder was ~1670 to ~1700 (8.48dC year average Central England Temperatures) but the coldest year was 1740 (6.84C year avg CET).
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/download.html
The Dalton Minimum had 2 back-to-back low SC’s with SSNmax of 48 in 1804 and 46 in 1816. Tambora erupted in 1815.
Two of the coldest years in the Dalton were 1814 (7.75C year avg CET) and 1816 (7.87C year avg CET).
Now Solar Cycle 24 is a dud with SSNmax estimated at ~65, and very early estimates suggest SC25 will be very low as well.
The warmest recent years for CET were 2002 to 2007 inclusive that averaged 10.55C.
I suggest with confidence that 10.5C is substantially warmer as a yearly average than 8.5C, and the latter may not provide a “lovely year for Chrysanths”.
I further suggest with confidence that individual years averaging 7.8C or even 6.8C are even colder, and the Chrysanths will suffer.
So here is my real concern:
IF the Sun does indeed drive temperature, as I suspect, Baroness Verma, then you and your colleagues on both sides of the House may have brewed the perfect storm.
You are claiming that global cooling will NOT happen, AND you have crippled your energy systems with excessive reliance on ineffective grid-connected “green energy” schemes.
I suggest that global cooling probably WILL happen within the next decade or sooner, and Britain will get colder.
I also suggest that the IPCC and the Met Office have NO track record of successful prediction (or “projection”) of global temperature and thus have no scientific credibility.
I suggest that Winter deaths will increase in the UK as cooling progresses.
I suggest that Excess Winter Mortality, the British rate of which is about double the rate in the Scandinavian countries, should provide an estimate of this unfolding tragedy.
As always in these matters, I hope to be wrong. These are not numbers, they are real people, who “loved and were loved”.
Best regards to all, Allan MacRae
Turning and tuning in the widening gyre,
the falcon cannot hear the falconer…
– Yeats
What sprang to mind when I read the hashtag #AskDrH was Preparation H
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Preparation_H
Can’t think why!
The only cure for ignorance is education.
The only cure for breath-taking ignorance is a plan followed by education.
The only cure for extreme ignorance is a change in world view, a plan and then education.
Skeptics are not going to succeed in bringing into place a change in world view, a plan and education if they don’t stop with the endless and divisive harping about minor matters like trying to find a favourite whipping boy.
Skeptics-with-a-persecution-complex is not a new world view. Opposing anything global is simply not going to fly with the billions of people on this planet who want global solutions to global problems. If the skeptic community doesn’t face up to the fact there are global problems like human health, air and water quality, animal disease and financial regulations requiring global rules and global enforcement, people will not listen, even if skeptics cluster together. That’s why there are so many international regulatory bodies. They are needed. The fact that some of them are a little nutty doesn’t mean they are not required. You can’t advocate ‘no international controls on anything’ as a solution to global problems just because some climate nuts or military nuts or public education nuts have taken control of this or that sector of this or that government.
Skeptics have to come in from the cold. You can’t stand in front of someone and ask them nicely to please stop infecting my population with Ebola or bird flu or pharmaceuticals in my water supply. The UN is corrupt, underfunded and unworkably undemocratic. It needs reformation, not elimination. To do that we need creative input, not creative snark.
CO2 is the WMD of the current US administration. Rally the troops, misdirect vast resources. *Yawn*. It looks so-o-o familiar. Opposing corrupt green politics requires a plan to reform the UN because no one country is acceptable as a global policeman however great they are in their own eyes. Democracy for some is not an option. Darkness is opposed by light, not rage.
Hello Crispin and thank you for your comments.
Cold weather (aka Winter) kills many more people every year than warm weather. That is why there is a parameter called the Excess Winter Mortality Rate. This winter across Europe and Russia, Excess Winter Mortality will probably exceed 500,000 souls.
I expect that global temperatures will start to cool substantially within a decade (probably sooner), and Excess Winter Mortality Rates will increase. That will put an end to global warming mania, after trillions of dollars have been squandered and many lives needlessly lost.
Last winter was colder than seasonal norms and this winter is projected to be similarly cold in central and eastern North America, all the way to northern Mexico. This winter is projected to be much colder than norms all across Russia and cold in countries on its western and southern borders.
Most people are sensible – they know when they are cold and miserable, and when grannie dies during the winter they tend to take notice. That is the sad destiny that has been set in motion, especially for the poor and elderly, by acolytes of global warming mania.
Yes, education is required, and I suggest it will include some very hard lessons. As usual, I hope to be wrong …
A belated Happy St Crispin’s Day.
Regards, Allan
Previously posted [excerpt]:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/11/21/will-green-politics-soon-be-a-thing-of-the-past/#comment-1796208
This winter in the Northern Hemisphere is predicted to be quite cold in North America (Eastern and Central), Western Europe and very cold all across Russia, compared to seasonal norms.
Energy costs in Europe are much more expensive than in North America, due to imbecilic European green energy policies to “fight global warming” and irrational green opposition to shale fracking. Many elderly and poor in Europe will not be able to keep warm this winter, due to the unnecessarily high cost of energy.
I am concerned about a significant increase in excess winter mortality rates. Winter cold kills many more people than summer heat – typically about 15% more people die monthly in Europe during the four winter months than in the eight non-winter months. Excess Winter Mortality in Europe and Russia amounts to over 500,000 souls per year – these are real people, not just statistics.
While other factors such as flu deaths contribute to Excess Winter Mortality rates, I suggest that the inability to heat their homes in winter due to high energy costs is a significant cause of death and illness, particularly among the elderly and the poor.
I suggest we can thank the greens for causing widespread suffering and death among the elderly and poor. I further suggest that the greens should be held accountable as the consequences of their irresponsible conduct become fully apparent.
Regards to all, Allan
Excess Winter Mortality in Europe: a Cross Country Analysis Identifying Key Risk Factors
http://jech.bmj.com/content/57/10/784.full
Table 1 – Coefficient of seasonal variation in mortality (CSVM) in EU-14 (mean, 1988–97)
CSVM 95% CI
Austria 0.14 (0.12 to 0.16)
Belgium 0.13 (0.09 to 0.17)
Denmark 0.12 (0.10 to 0.14)
Finland 0.10 (0.07 to 0.13)
France 0.13 (0.11 to 0.15)
Germany 0.11 (0.09 to 0.13)
Greece 0.18 (0.15 to 0.21)
Ireland 0.21 (0.18 to 0.24)
Italy 0.16 (0.14 to 0.18)
Luxembourg 0.12 (0.08 to 0.16)
Netherlands 0.11 (0.09 to 0.13)
Portugal 0.28 (0.25 to 0.31)
Spain 0.21 (0.19 to 0.23)
UK 0.18 (0.16 to 0.20)
Mean 0.16 (0.14 to 0.18)
Further evidence of extreme bad faith is the brownshirt tactics of global warming acolytes.
Below is a list of those forced from their institutions due to global warming thugism.
I have heard from credible sources, but have no proof, that John Holdren was involved in one of these dismissals.
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/11/27/a-big-goose-step-backwards/#comment-1800850
Re Richard M’s post above:
“People have lost their jobs for having a skeptical opinion.””
Here is a list of those forced from their institutions due to global warming thugism
George Taylor – Oregon State Climatologist
Sallie Baliunas – Harvard University
Pat Michaels – University of Virginia
Murry Salby – Macquarie University, Australia
Caleb Rossiter – Institute for Policy Studies, USA
Nickolas Drapela, PhD – Oregon State University
Henrik Møller – Aalborg University, Denmark
David (?) Legates also had quite a story to tell. (There’s a wuwt thread devoted to it.)
Are governments really idiots? Or is there really something wrong with the voters who vote for them? After all Obama was reelected, Cameron was reelected, senators and representatives and MPs have been there for decades.
You delude yourselves.
Hello George,
In any delusional cult movement such as global warming mania, there are scoundrels and there are imbeciles – and the two terms are not mutually exclusive.
Regards, Allan
Excerpt below from my 2009 post:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/05/08/more-maunder-than-dalton/#comment-129231
What worries me is that the scoundrels and imbeciles of the global warming cult are driving society in the wrong direction, and wasting trillions of dollars in scarce resources to fight their favorite fantasy – humanmade global warming.
If this foolish and destructive direction is not reversed soon, I fear that humanity will suffer greatly.
We are completely unprepared if severe global cooling happens.
“We have this new toolkit…..bend over.”
You’ve got Gruber Mail, you “stupid Americans.”
Is Holdren trying to pull a Gruber on us?
Do they know where I can get a good deal on a snowblower?
Ask Dr. Holdren your questions on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, or Vine with the hashtag #AskDrH — and he’ll answer some of them on camera.
i always ask Dr. Holdren and then do the opposite since he is always wrong. Head nitwit surrounded by legions of nitwits like Dr. Holdren who could not get a correct answer to if it was night or day,
Why does anything that is emitted from that Orwellian Animal Farm surprise anyone?
I recently read the RISKY BUSINESS REPORT on CLIMATE CHANGE. I noted that to me the report appeared to be flawed, exaggerated the threat and biased . It seemed to focus on global warming only and completely ignored other climate risks like the possibility of climate cooling in the future To illustrate my point I have taken just one state , namely ILLINOIS.
PER RISKY BUSINESS REPORT
FOR ILLINOIS, MIDWEST
BY 2020-2039 SUMMER TEMPERATURE S WILL BE 75.6 to 77.8 F( or ABOUT 1.6 TO 3.8 F rise above 1998-2013 AVERAGE
Number of days over 95.6F is 6-17 when it is too hot to go out
The projected increase in Midwest surface air temperatures won’t just affect the health of the region’s crops; it will also put the region’s residents at risk. Over the past 40 years, the Midwest experienced only 2.7 days on average over 95°F. If we stay on our current climate path, the average Midwest resident will likely experience an additional 7 to 26 days above 95°F each year by mid-century, and 20 to 75 additional extreme-heat days—potentially more than 2 additional months per year of extreme heat—by the end of the century. On the other hand, the region will also experience fewer winter days with temperatures below freezing.
LET’S LOOK AT WHAT IS HAPPENING IN ILLINOIS SINCE 1998 OR LAST 16 YEARS USING CLIMATE AT A GLANCE NOAA CLIMATE DATA BASE( US GOVERNMENT RECORDS)
THE AVERAGE SUMMER TEMPERATURE 1998-2013 IS 74 F
ANNUAL TEMPERATURE TREND IS DECLINING( -0.6 F/DECADE)
WINTER TEMPERATURE TREND IS DECLINING( -3.3 F /DECADE 17 YEARS)
FEBRUARY TEMPERATURE TREND IS DECLINING ( -6.6 F/DECADE) [TEMP DROPPED FROM 41F to19.4 F or a drop of 20 degrees since 1998]
SUMMER TEMPERATURE TREND IS SLIGHTLY RISING( + 0.7 F/DECADE)
FALL TEMPERATURE TREND IS DECLINING( -1.3 F/DECADE )
SPRING TEMPERATURE TREND IS DECLINING( -0.1 F/ DECADE)
120 YEAR SUMMER TREND SINCE 1895 IS ZERO 0.0 F/DECADE (FLAT
From Chicago Tribune, MARCH 3, 2014
The National Weather Service has gauged this season’s chills, in part, by noting the number of days with subzero temperatures from the start of November through the end of March. By that measure, the allegedly just-ended season had the fourth-most days with the mercury below zero. But add in days when the temperature sunk to exactly zero, and suddenly, this season is Chicago’s new No. 1.
What is of note is that the 4 month period from Dec1 to March 31 ,2014 was the coldest winter since 142 years ago or since records were kept completely opposite of what Risky Business predicts
COMMENTS
How one can look at what is happening to the climate in Illinois, with the annual, spring, winter, fall temperatures dropping and very severely in the winter and then only focus on a potential summer heat threat is grossly exaggerating and misinforming the public about what the real climate risks are for Illinois.
The latest or past 16 year summer temperature trend is slightly warming( 0.7 F/DECADE ) and the long term summer trend is zero warming. Yes there are periodic summer heat spells but this not the long term trend. Not to point out the severe winter trend which is the real climate risk where February or mid winter month has a cooling trend of 6.6F/decade and the complete winters have a cooling trend of 3.3F/decade, is even more troubling. Why are winter temperatures so important? Because very cold winters lead to cold spring and cold summers and lower the annual temperature as well. This pattern has led to 17 year pause in the rise of global temperatures and will lead to 2-3 decades of colder global temperatures .
The RISKEY BUSINES REPORT is just another example of misinformation being put out by the Democrats similar to the above letter. They exaggerate the climate threat beyond reason or what is rational
“Climate risk” is just one more lame effort on the propagandists’ part to reframe the message. Never mind the science, they’re saying, just look at the “risk”, which, by the way we know, because it’s based on “the science”, but you needn’t worry about that. Trust us, we’re from the government, and only want what’s best
for usfor you and for the planet.