By Paul Homewood
From YAHOO News:
The UK is on course to experience the warmest and one of the wettest years since records began more than a century ago – sparking fears that future droughts and flash floods could cost lives.
New figures published by the Met Office show the period from January to October this year has been the warmest since records began in 1910 while it has also been the second wettest.
Unless November and December are extremely cold, 2014 will enter the record books as the hottest ever.
Experts say the increase is the result of climate change and warn that it could place a burden on the NHS as Britons struggling to cope with predicted heatwaves end up in hospital.
Bob Ward, policy director at the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change at the London School of Economics and Political Science, said the elderly and those with health problems are particularly at risk and could end up dying in the heat.
He warned that as Britain warms up it will also grow wetter – raising the spectre of flash floods with could cost lives and cause billions of pounds of damage to households and businesses.
Only a paid propagandist for global warming could warn us of droughts, after such a wet spell!
As for Yahoo, I am not sure why a “warning” needs to be issued. Either way, both they and Ward miss the point totally. There have been no heatwaves; on the contrary it has been a very pleasant summer, ranking 15th warmest since 1910.
When the statistics come in later this month, we are likely to see premature winter deaths much lower than last year. Meanwhile, a mild winter has enabled everybody to save on energy costs.
But the biggest news story of the lot has been the fantastic news that agricultural yields and output have hit record highs, thanks to the mild, wet winter, early spring and sunny summer.
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/sep/05/hot-dry-weather-cereal-harvest-british-farmers
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/oct/14/ideal-weather-brings-bumper-uk-apple-harvest
DEFRA have now published full, provisional statistics for this year’s harvest.
And they comment:
Wheat yields now stand at record high levels, recovering from low levels last year (cold spring) and 2012 (cold,damp summer).
All of this is excellent news for farmers, the nation and families who will benefit from lower prices.
Of course, none of this has the slightest to do with “climate change”. With three of the last four years being the coldest since 1996 in the UK, this year’s warm weather has been just that – weather.
No month this year has been the warmest on record. It is simply that nine out of ten months this year have been above average. As the Met Office say,
“Things like climate change you look at over a long period of time because we look at trends. So we can’t say it is warmer than other years because of climate change. It could just be natural variation”
But with the Met Office projecting milder, wetter winters and sunny, dry summers, it seems clear that climate change will bring significant benefits to the UK. Not that you will hear any of this from the “expert” Bob Ward!
When did regional weather become an indicator of global warming? And when has balmy weather ever been unwelcome in Great Britain? Has rye madness returned to the green fields of mother England?
Well, if the UK starts getting warm summers like it did 1,000 years ago, it might be able to revive its old wine industry.
Too late for that that’s been going for sometime now, over 450 commercial vineyards now, award-winning sparkling wines!
Phil:
Are all the grapes domestically grown?
Yes that’s what the vineyards are for.
http://www.englishwineproducers.co.uk/background/stats/
Well Phil.,
How about it. Do you rejoice at nature and her bountiful providence or do you gnash your teeth because climate change is supposed to bring misery?
Where are you on this?
You have some very strange ideas, why on earth would I be gnashing my teeth?
Phildot, I’d assume it’s from the climate-teeth-gnashing on your “astronomy” website.
The non-existent ‘astronomy’ website?
Note also the comment in the article about
the second wettest since records began in 1910
Of course, the England & Wales Precipitation Series began in 1766, and, on this series, 2014 so far is only 19th wettest.
http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2014/11/07/more-misleading-claims-from-the-met-office/
My Mum went home to England one summer in about 1961… First week of July I think it was… (she was there for a few weeks 😉 Said it rained almost ever day, but one day was sunny and dry…. well, less wet… still damp…
She enjoyed her trip greatly, but was suddently thankful for California sun…
Good news for UK consumers? Some of you need a lesson on the Common Agricultural policy. If there is a glut of produce, the EU will step in and start buying until the price is forced up to the minimum. A “grain mountain” may result, which will be disposed of somehow, outside the EU.
Vince you are absolutely right about how it used to be done: Weapons-grade stupidity.
Not that the European administration is any less stupid now; why did they pay out all that agricultural support when grain prices recently went through the roof ! ????
In the US farm belt we had a very mild summer. warm days, cool evenings just enough rain and bumper crops or corn and soy beans. How did “climate change” cause that? Should I be scared??!
In regard to “Unless November and December are extremely cold, 2014 will enter the record books as the hottest ever.”:
http://www.express.co.uk/news/nature/520672/Winter-weather-2014-UK-forecast-cold-snow-November
“Winter 2014 set to be ‘coldest for century’ Britain faces ARCTIC FREEZE in just weeks”
LOL!!
The Daily Express said the same last year! (Well it does sell papers!)
http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2013/10/30/to-snow-or-not-to-snow/
“… it does sell papers! …” – and winter tyres (their weather gurus are neck deep in snow chain sales etc).
This is an interesting page about climate in north America and the mind-set of the new colonialists. It has parallels with today’s expectations of ‘steady climate’ with no change. Assumptions that killed.
My online news says a monster storm up in Alaska, is about to bring some record cold to the mainland.
Satellite pictures look kinda hurricane like.
That’s because it is or was a typhoon:
milodonharlani
November 7, 2014 at 9:21 am
Big Chill headed for Pacific NW & Midwest:
http://news.yahoo.com/remnant-typhoon-nuri-headed-aleutian-islands-232035931.html
Freezing WX & snow expected in NE Oregon by Monday.
Better hope next year is as bountiful. 2016+ looks to be nasty, even if the L(y)I(ng)B(astard)Dems/CONservatives make up a government that less than 50% of the people vote for. Or LIEbor. Jeesh are we spoiled for choice when it comes to politicians over here?
Bob Ward……. Expert…………..Hahahahahahahaha, Friday funny….Hahahahahahaha……
But are they comparing raw data adjusted downwards with raw data that has been adjusted upwards?
Has anyone got a record of raw unadjusted data against raw unadjusted data in countryside locations where there is no local urban heat pollution.
I live in a small country town in the North of England and have recorded local temperature for over 40 years. My own unadjusted figures do show a record warm year so far, but my highest maximum has only been 26.1c in July. What has been a feature of this warm wet year for us has been a lack of very cold frosty days earlier in the year, not extreme summer heat,
I am sure other local amateur weather recordings sites will confirm that.
Regards
Keith Gordon
Weather ≠ Climate.
The predicted trend has not occurred. The models were wrong. So what we have gotten must be spun as a sign of the coming apocalypse.
But if every little thing is named a wolf the villagers won’t listen to the sheepWARDen forever.
I like this bit;
“Unless November and December are extremely cold, 2014 will enter the record books as the hottest ever.”
Is comment really necessary? ……Just extrapolate my sarc…….
It looks like it will be record year for grain (corn, wheat, soya, etc.) production around the world. Joe Bastardi used the term “garden of Eden summer” to describe this year’s growing season in much of the U.S. The one exception is California!
I wouldn’t read too much into a bumper cereal crop. The yield will be good if one gets the right amount of rain at exactly the right time, whereas the exact same amount of rain, but at a different point in the growing cycle will result in far lower yields. Ditto the right temperatures. To get bumper crops you need the correct coincidence of rain, warmth and timing. Looking at aggregates of these won’t be very good predictors of yields.
I know whose relatives lives and grows corn in Mexico…she said because of the rains there this yr..they had a bumper crop this yr. She said the plants were as tall as the ceiling of the place we were in..
This is terrible news for climate science professionals!
When I’m not fixing computers, or worrying about warmist propaganda, I’m brewing beer, or baking. Every day on my way to work I cycle past fields of wheat and barley. Looks like a bumper malting barley crop here in Scotland. Lovely dry weather at harvest time too, which means lots less energy wasted drying grain. (Green warmist irony). Nothing gives me greater pleasure than to see the grain crops being cut in the late summer, stoor (look it up) rising as the combine harvesters work round the clock. A real human achievement, in contrast to the acres of warmist bullsxxt.
Family wins $32M lottery, now irrationally terrified about their future.
That’s about the same headline, right? The only people I know of that can turn both mundane and good news into an angst filled bout of terror are climate change alarmists.
Climate change produces lots of bumpers. Who knew?
To me that just reads as a non sequitur.
Sigh… I just need to get with the program.
In the United States, record smashing corn and soybean yields……..by a wide margin. From the USDA:
http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/usda/current/CropProd/CropProd-10-10-2014.txt
“Based on conditions as
of October 1, yields are expected to average 174.2 bushels per acre, up
2.5 bushels from the September forecast and 15.4 bushels above the 2013
average. If realized, this will be the highest yield and production on record
for the United States. ”
“Soybean production is forecast at a record 3.93 billion bushels, up slightly
from September and up 17 percent from last year. Based on October 1
conditions, yields are expected to average a record high 47.1 bushels per
acre, up 0.5 bushel from last month and up 3.1 bushels from last year.”
We constantly here about the negative consequences of extreme weather that humans are causing and how it will continue to get worse based on model projections. The projections start with assumptions that don’t accurately represent the world our crops are growing in.
Anybody that is unable to dial in the tremendous benefits of increasing CO2 to plants, crops/food production, the vegetative health and booming biosphere of our planet in their projections will be wrong.
The response to this is often “well warming so far may not have hurt our crops much but model projections are that it will in the future”
In 1994, projecting 20 years into the future was……….today.
The imminent disasters that can only be avoided if we take aggressive and immediate actions to severely cut CO2 emissions have not been happening for 20 years. In fact, the authentic science shows conclusively, based on observations that increasing CO2 is providing tremendous benefits to our world.
I’d thought “snow and ice” meant global warming. Now we’re back to “warmer” means global warming? It’s just so confusing! Why don’t we quit horsing around and just agree that “whatever happens” means global warming? Then we could logically conclude that “whatever happens” is impossible to either predict or prevent and go back to devoting our time and resources to something productive.
“Experts say the increase is the result of climate change and warn that it could place a burden on the NHS as Britons struggling to cope with predicted heatwaves end up in hospital.”
So one year is now a trend? I guess we can all ignore the fact that temps are where they were in the early 90s and we’ve seen less than a degree celcius since the mid 1600s when CET records began. And a 400 year temp record which is mostly pretty cold when compared against an extended warm period where the wine industry in the north of the country boomed just doesn’t cut it.
As for the NHS struggling to cope with heatwaves, i’m sure i’m not the only one that would love to see the records for emergency hospital admissions in the summer to back up that crap claim.
Somerset Floods: Village submerged after alleged tampering of sluice gate