Guest essay by Jim Steele,
Director emeritus Sierra Nevada Field Campus, San Francisco State University and author of Landscapes & Cycles: An Environmentalist’s Journey to Climate Skepticism
While alarmists try to enshrine climate scientists as pure and unbiased, those familiar with real life science understand a scientist’s opinion should always be challenged- challenged because personal bias taints their interpretations and challenged because a small minority will fudge the data in order to gain peer acceptance, status and funding.
Read the NY Times piece Crack Down on Scientific Fraudsters
Scientific fraud is found in the field of medical science because results can be quickly checked. In climate science, dooms day predictions are cast far into the future and alarming predictions go untested. As seen in the diagram below negative ecological disruptions are highlighted as the deadly consequence of climate change while ignoring thriving populations just a few meters away.
Unfortunately the few climate alarmists that constitute the “consensus” have circled the wagons to protect obviously flawed publications as documented in How the American Meteorological Society Justified Publishing Half-Truths
http://landscapesandcycles.net/American_Meterological_Society_half-truth.html and seen in the Climate gate emails.
They should be concerned.
The crack down is coming.
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Scientific fraud is found in the field of medical science because results can be quickly checked.
Wanna bet? We’ve been watching our LDL cholesterol and saturated fat for 60 years due to some of the worst science ever. Ancel Keys is the Michael Mann of medical science.
MSM all subscribe to Reuters, but who will publish the following?
11 July: Reuters: UK court shuts 2 firms over carbon, diamond investment schemes
A British court has ordered two firms into liquidation after an investigation found they had made nearly 2 million pounds ($3.4 million) through selling carbon credits, diamonds and other commodities to investors using false and misleading information.
Pinecom Services Limited and Pine Commodities Ltd were ordered closed by the UK High Court on July 2 after they were found to have continued a business operated by three firms that were shut in the last two years for similar reasons, Britain’s Insolvency Service said on Friday.
“The grounds for winding up the companies arise from the connections to companies that this court has previously wound up, namely Tullett Brown Limited, Foxstone Carr Limited and Carvier Limited, all of which were engaged in the trade of selling carbon credits to members of the public,” registrar Christine Derrett of the court said in a ruling, which the Insolvency Service cited in a statement.
“The companies appear to have been incorporated to take over the trade of those other (three) companies once they had been wound up. The two companies are, to use the colloquial term, ‘phoenix’ companies,” she added.
Attempts by Reuters to contact the firms were unsuccessful…
The agency said Pinecom Services and Pine Commodities sold carbon credits generated by 11 clean energy projects around the world, storing the revenues in a bank account in the Seychelles.
It added that the firms made over 1.8 million pounds from cold-calling potential investors and selling them carbon credits as well as diamonds, precious metals and storage units as investments.
“Contrary to the companies’ claims, their services, in plain English, were designed to rip off investors,” Chris Mayhew, company investigations supervisor at the Insolvency Service, said in the statement…
Some 37 firms have been ordered into liquidation by courts since 2012 over claims that they collectively made more than 45 million pounds using high-pressure techniques to sell illiquid and over-priced carbon credits.
The Insolvency Service has estimated that at least 1,500 British investors have been defrauded by carbon credit sellers.
http://in.reuters.com/article/2014/07/11/britain-carbon-courts-idINL6N0PM41C20140711
MSM will, however, probably pick up the following:
11 July: Reuters: Ben Garside: Germany wants aid for emission-cutting projects in poor countries
Germany is advancing plans for rich countries to encourage the developing world to cut greenhouse gas emissions by subsidising projects, replacing the funding after a United Nations programme has run out of cash.
Such a move could yield cuts of around 5 percent of the gap between current government pledges and the amount needed by 2020 to prevent climate change that would lead to rising seas, droughts and flooding.
It also could throw a lifeline to owners of those projects that would destroy particularly potent industrial gases who are unwilling to pay for the measures themselves and do not expect their host countries to introduce regulations for years…
“Some of the cheapest options available for cutting emissions are at a real risk of stopping for purely political reasons,” said Silke Karcher, an official at Germany’s environment ministry.
“We are now looking at what is politically and financially feasible to act, with money spent wisely and in a way that does not create perverse incentives.”
***The U.N.’s Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) channelled over $400 billion into projects over the last decade, but the funding has dried up as nations wrangle over a new global deal to tackle climate change…
An Oeko-Institut study commissioned by Germany found that additional funding for CDM projects and others outside the CDM could prevent emissions of 800 million tonnes by 2020 at an average cost of 0.47 euros a tonne of carbon dioxide equivalent…
Owners are wary of disclosing their projects’ status, said Carsten Warnecke of consultancy Ecofys, which Germany has commissioned alongside auditor TUV SUD to survey so-called “zombie” projects that were registered with the CDM but never applied for credits.
Only a third of the 7,789 registered CDM projects have applied for credits, Thomson Reuters Point Carbon data shows…
The Oeko report suggested that HFC-23 could be regulated under the U.N.’s Montreal Protocol, including possible financing from richer nations under its multilateral fund…
Alternatively, funding could be channelled through an expansion of the World Bank’s Auctioning Facility, which is due to launch later this year to buy credits from projects that cut methane emissions at landfill waste sites.
http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/07/11/un-carbon-idUKL6N0PK4GS20140711
In Antarctica, the Emperor wears a tux.
It seems as though there are a few more groups cooking the books on the peer review process in the science and Engineering arena. A scholarly journal has retracted 60 papers due to fraud in the peer review process.
“The reason for the mass retraction is mind-blowing: A “peer review and citation ring” was apparently rigging the review process to get articles published.”
“You’ve heard of prostitution rings, gambling rings and extortion rings. Now there’s a “peer review ring.”
“The publication is the Journal of Vibration and Control (JVC). It publishes papers with names like “Hydraulic enginge mounts: a survey” and “Reduction of wheel force variations with magnetorheological devices.”
“It’s field is highly technical:”
“Analytical, computational and experimental studies of vibration phenomena and their control. The scope encompasses all linear and nonlinear vibration phenomena and covers topics such as: vibration and control of structures and machinery, signal analysis, aeroelasticity, neural networks, structural control and acoustics, noise and noise control, waves in solids and fluids and shock waves.”
JVC is part of the SAGE group of academic publications.
“An announcement from SAGE published July 8 explained what happened, albeit somewhat opaquely.”
“In 2013, the editor of JVC, Ali H. Nayfeh, became aware of people using “fabricated identities” to manipulate an online system called SAGE Track by which scholars review the work of other scholars prior to publication.”
http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/morning-mix/wp/2014/07/10/scholarly-journal-retracts-60-articles-smashes-peer-review-ring/
I think Jim Steele is being a bit generous when he suggests that a minority of scientists are fraudsters.
In numbers of scientists deliberately fraudulent he is probaly somewhere near correct but take a look at there the main centres of fraud in the climate alarmist business exists.
We only have to look at the highest echelons of climate science such as the CRU Climate Gate mails and the subsequent dismemberment of Hockey Stick as a rank fraud by Steve McIntyre [ who should be the one to be in line to get a Nobel ] on the Hockey Stick , a scientific fraud and debacle that has few equals in both past science history and in it’s entirely negative impact on every aspect of our society as the ideologically and crassly bigoted sectors of our society took the Hockey Stick up with gusto and tried to use it to enforce their dictatorial ideology and dogma onm to the rest of our society across the globe.
Now we are seeing a similar performance from the NCDC [ and GISS ] in the manner in which it is constantly “adjusting” both today’s temperatures and the temperatures from many decades past on a daily basis.
It is using “estimated” temperatures for stations that have not operated for decades. It is infilling temperatures for places where there are no records. It uses hypothetical stations, Zombie stations as a part of the supposed temperatures reigning today and it does all of this “adjustment” “estimation” and inventing of temperatures while selling the public the claim that these are the real actual recorded temperatures which have been recorded over the decades past.
If that type of deliberate fraud, the quite deliberate claims directed at the public aby the
NCDC and GISS about the accuracy and the actuality of the supposedly recorded data when that temperature data is entirely based on constantly adjusted, kreiged, infilled, zombied and etc data is deliberately sold to the public without any caveats or explanations about the data’s origins then that ranks as outright fraud .
And this from the central clearing house for global temperature data, the NCDC.
And then on the basis of those often spurious adjustments, infilled, zombied, krieged and etc included stations any and all temperatures that are supposedly higher than the NCDC and GISS adjusted temperature data for any particular day in any particular location are immediately hailed as proof of some sort of catastrophic warming under way.
As one ages we start to look back on our lives and what we have done and accomplished and for many, wonder as to how history will regard us.
For many high profile alarmist climate scientists and for their innumerable running dogs in the media and green eviro-loon movement, if and as now seems probable, a significant global cooling gets under way over the next few decades, history is going to treat the reputations of so many of those ideologically and dogma fixated scientists very harshly indeed.
If that cooling is confirmed within the next half a decade or so then most of them will go to their graves with the full knowledge that they were utterly wrong in their climate catastrophe fixation and were responsible for one of the worst debacles of corruption of science’s basic principles and impartiality that modern science and the world has ever been seen .
Plus creating untold misery and innumerable quite avoidable deaths from the very corrupted cause they so heavily promoted, that of a catastrophic global warming.
Very few of them indeed will have had the cojones and honesty to admit they were dramatically wrong and have the courage to humbly apologise and try and make good the immense harm they have done to society, to economies of entire nations, to individuals and to humanity by their rigidity and fixation with a claimed phenomena for which there never ever was any proof that it ever existed.
And that is scientific fraud on a scale that has never been seen before with only the Ozone hole affair approaching it where as James Lovelock has claimed, an estimated 80% of science papers had fraudulent and altered and made up data included.
Perhaps it would be wise for climate scientists if they ever wish to try and retrieve a semblence of their reputations to take cognizance of Phaedrus and Sophocles
“Whoever is detected in a shameful fraud is ever after not believed even if they speak the truth”.
Phaedrus
“Rather fail with honor than succeed by fraud.”
Sophocles
“NYT: Crack Down on Scientific Fraudsters”
So Mr.Steele. When are the supeonas and handcuffs coming out? I can’t remember who said it,however to paraphrase….Justice must not only appear to be done,Justice MUST be done. Same as I once thought that freedom meant I did not have to make a choice.I now know that freedom is the fact I CAN make a choice.
Okay, I just did a test. The comment was immediately deleted.
WUWT is still deleting comments that reflect “real science”.
I just need to keep a record of screen shots.
(Sorry rogerknights, you are just a victim.)
@Latitude “Jim, they are also parroting data, charts, graphs, science, formulas……building on science that wasn’t true….”
I agree with you and Green Sand the problem is ongoing citation.
Honesty was the ultimate virtue in my family. I was told the story of how a lie was like a bag of feathers that once dropped on someones doorstep will be swept away by the wind, not amount of effort or apology can put those feathers (lies) back in the bag.
My point is that only a minority of scientists willfully spread their lies to the wind, and it is those people who we must crack down on. Many scientists who accepted their arguments on hearsay are embarrassed when the truth becomes more apparent and they will become allies. Deliberate amputation of evidence to promote an argument must be exposed which is why I will continue to point out such tactics in the Parmesan paper http://landscapesandcycles.net/American_Meterological_Society_half-truth.html
I sincerely believe most scientists treasure the truth above all, and are committed to the notion that we only arrive at the truth after rigorous cross examination and testing.We truly believe “let the truth lead us where it may!”
Although it is maddening to see some parrot dubious speculation and gross misinterpretations, such behavior will always be a fact of human nature we can never change. All sides are blinded by our beliefs, and only respectful debates and evidence can bring the greater truth into the light. The motto of the oldest scientific society when Sir Isaac Newton presided warned, “Nullius in Verba”, take no one’s word. But our biggest enemies of science, of truth seekers, are those who try to squash that debate, liike Trenberth labeling all skeptics as the biggest threat to the earth, or Michael Mann’s attempts to argue that anyone criticizing his hypotheses are “anti-science” and other alarmists like Slandering Sou who attempt to label honest skeptics as deniers. Unfortunately their tactics are not as illegal as they are dishonest. Legally we can only crack down on the deliberate lies, knowing eventually it will erode the support of the Trenberths and Manns and their ilk.
Re Dr Parmesan’s nomination: Isn’t there a Nobel Prize for hiding inconvenient data? Who would not proudly receive a prize that Yasser Arafat, Al Gore, and Barack Hussein Obama got?
Crackdown and doomsday are each one word. “Meterology” as found in the link is the study of what? Meteorology or metrology? Two different fields, of course. Otherwise, an interesting read, although it’s a tad disturbing to see obvious spelling errors in a NYT piece.
@David L.
The most dishonest segment of the interview with Mann for Moyer’s website was
“Mann: I wrote an op-ed in The New York Times earlier this year in which I made a very strong and impassioned plea to my fellow scientists to be willing to advocate for an informed public discourse. Not that they need to advocate for specific policies to deal with climate change, but to be willing to step up and participate in the larger public discourse over what we know about the scientific evidence.”
“Participate in the larger public discourse”??? ROTFLMAO Mann and his ilk have steadfastly boycotted all attempts to have a well moderated climate debate. The closest thing to a debate by Mann’s RealClimate cult was Gavin Schmidt’s appearance on Stossel’s show. But Gavin would only appear if Dr. Roy Spencer was banished offstage so that Gavin could speak without being challenged. The Moyer article is such a propaganda piece, and symptomatic of the distortions being pushed and the attempts to enshrine Mann as the pure and innocent scientists who objectively challenges his own beliefs. But these articles are attempts to re-instate a fallen high priest who was exposed in the climate gate emails as a vengeful prideful man(n) who will denigrate his opponents by any means necessary!
jim Steele says:
July 11, 2014 at 5:32 pm
=====
agree 100%…..that was a nice read, thank you….I like your style
geran says:
July 11, 2014 at 5:23 pm
Okay, I just did a test. The comment was immediately deleted.
WUWT is still deleting comments that reflect “real science”.
I just need to keep a record of screen shots.
(Sorry rogerknights, you are just a victim.)
_________________
I don’t believe you. While deleted comments are exceedingly rare at WUWT, the one or two I have seen were the most scurrilous sort of defamation, or what might be considered egregious lies, after warnings to stop.
Did your post ever appear,or is it stuck in moderation?
[Reply: It was in the spam folder for some reason. Rescued & posted. ~ mod.]
American Meteorological Society, American Association for the Advancement [Ha Ha] of Science [is THAT what they call it] and the American Geophysical Union (the once respected Journals of Geophysical Research and Geophysical Research Letters amongst more who expunged the words Geophysics and Geophysical from their “by-laws” [Ah … the hand of Mann]) need strong legal complaints against them followed by convictions and Federal Prison sentences [very unfortunate that the “Executive” and “President” of the AGU cannot be killed if convicted … what about … killed by drone (?) through …. Executive Order … Ah Ha !] in order to out their “Executives”, “President”, “Council,” i.e. Legal … but … NO, and “Religion” Editors from their Ponzi scheme they are and live 24.
Good work to come for the Legal Sciences [time to invest]. 🙂
A critique of the US False Claims Act would be a wonderful subject for a few science conferences. It should scare the wee wee out of some well know scientists. See: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/False_Claims_Act
I was so proud to become a member of the AMS when I was in college. 25 years later, I let the membership go and haven’t regretted it for the last 10 years. Thanks to its stance on global warming, it is no longer a reputable organization. I do hope the day of reckoning is coming.
rogerknights says:
July 11, 2014 at 4:59 pm
=========================
+ a few points up
Any crackdown via statutory or regulatory avenues is a very slippery slope. When questions of policy are involved, law often becomes the tool to stifle dissent, even unto stuffing the unbelievers into real, deep dark, holes when they insist in speaking out.
Without fraudsters the NYT would lose the source of their best material.
Typical NYT – right problem, wrong solution. They’re talking about people committing criminal acts and they’re proposed solution is to give yet another agency “bigger teeth”. No. I think we’ve all seen what happened when you gave the EPA “bigger teeth”.
If they have reason to suspect that there is criminal fraud, they turn that investigation over to the Department that already has the teeth. The United States Department of Justice.
Scientific opinion should always be challenged. What has been happening on climate change however is that opinion, and fact, are being confused, and fact is often being challenged, usually with opinion.
I was once a practicing lawyer, and a good one, and know that If you want to believe something hard enough, or simply argue for it, you can come up with anything. Here is a classic example http://goldminor.wordpress.com/2014/03/14/the-spirit-of-the-atlantic-surveys-his-realm/, where the author (a commenter above on this very post) goes on for several pages, sounding like a highfalutin scientific adventurer of centuries past, yet says absolute nothing of scientific relevancy, let alone relevant to the actual issue of climate change itself, and then out of that morass makes a startling leap of conclusion that has no more basis than if it were uttered in a meaningless simple sentence “uh, the earth is warming because of solar cycles. Or his neighbor’s cat. It belies no understanding of the issue. And yet sounds great. So if you want to believe, why, read this highfalutin piece, and here is yet more great sounding (but meaningless) “evidence” of what a bunch of crockheads the many scientists who say “hey, um, we shouldn’t be changing our atmosphere this way,” really are; just — even those not grabbing any research funding — a bunch of research funding grabbing do do heads!
The plain fact, hidden to some, is that there is a lot of drive to believe that Radical Atmospheric Change is overblown. Then interpretations slotted in to reinforce and support that belief. (Again, I refer you to the above link,which while well written, and a fun read, serves as a caricature; a mind struggling, reeling, to find a way to believe, to justify, that climate change is nary much more than a hoax of overblown hooey, and convincing itself of that fact that it wants to know, and thus does know, in the process.) The argument that the belief based drive extends in the other direction, is often far fetched, and when valid, a mere pittance of the enormous corporate interests with a short term fealty toward not upsetting their nice imbalance, and leveling the playing field for energy processes and sources whose true costs are a micro-fraction of theirs, but that don’t get integrated into our economic picture.
The opposite argument, that money drives scientists on this, is akin to saying all science is bad, because scientists (unique, I guess, among human professions) are paid. Book writers and researchers, are never to be believed, because, well. “they are writing a book.” The reality being that only of course applies to those one does not want to believe. Otherwise this argument applies equally to all. To everything. And everybody.
I am also often a dissenter from, and challenger of, conventional wisdom. I disagree with some of the conventional wisdom on this atmospheric problem, as well. The basic underlying issue however is one of fact, and it’s somehow been turned into one of opinion by scientists who don’t really understand the issue, and those who don’t want to accept that, yes, we can radically if inadvertently alter the world that houses us, in ways that might be extremely counter productive. And that, yes, based upon very basic facts that are almost never properly articulated, we are doing that, right now, on a geologically radical level.
This is something that few people understand, because they don’t understand the basic issue; because it is almost never properly explained, and what little cogent assertion exists, is drowned out in a sea of both anti science propaganda (or heart felt but misinformed belief) or dismissive, conclusionary, belittlement rather than illumination, by those who know about and are thus legitimately concerned over the issue, speaking to others who are so, rather than instead, as they should, to everybody, at large.
Does the author of this post even know what the real “Climate Change” issue is? I would heavily doubt it — as most people don’t, and almost all detractors do not. All of which is understandable in a world where anything can be printed on the Internet and called fact, and amidst the sea of misinformation we are awash in on this topic, the sea of rhetoric posing as sound logic, or worse, scientific reasoning, and where the sea of desire to push a point, and the unfortunate tie to heavy political interpretation, even economic belief, about what is in fact a purely scientific (and fascinating) issue, is enormous. But I challenge the author of this piece, or really of just about any post on here, to an open discussion, or debate, on the the actual issue itself; what it is, what it is not, why it is a problem, and why, it is not. With everything written down, and presented unedited. With time to check sources, evaluate the logic and the science given, and respond to what has specifically been written, and hold it all, accountable.
It just might be too revealing, or too scary, for a site that is profoundly convinced that it has the big truth that the majority of the world’s scientists don’t see (which does happen from time to time) but that yet repeatedly and continually misconstrues, and misrepresents on, the basic issue, time and time again. IS this not true? Then let’s have that open discussion, and get down to the nitty gritty of what this issue is, what it is not, and what is fact, and what is not, and what “opinions” that may be had, are actually based on, and their scientific logic, and let us see.
And to those who really want to learn about the issue, and not push an agenda, I ask you to join me, and others, in learning about it.
Lament not. Fight. Go to the front. The kids are all right.
NYT :”Criminal charges against scientists who commit fraud are even more uncommon.”
Yes. Still waiting to hear why Peter Gleick was not arrested ( or even interviewed ) having ADMITTED what amounts to wire fraud and intentity theft.
It would not seen hard to justify a prosecution when the perp admits what he did.
May be the fact the current encument of the White House is a lawyer from Illenois may mean he has close contacts there ?
JimSteele “….because a small minority will fudge the data in order to gain peer acceptance, status and funding.”
I guess you are trying to err on the side of caution, not to be conspiratorial, etc. But I am sceptical of this claim.
Do you have any data to suggest it is just a “small minority”?
Since career development , professional status and funding are all basically determined by publishing record and citations and there is very little chance of much more than a slap on the wrist if caught, I would say ‘bending’ results to fit requirements is much more widespread than is recognised.
To promote political Agendas, radical change of society, global governance, etc..they have put huge piles of money on the table for those willing to produce policy based science results that support UNFCCC and EPA lookalike agencies?