They actually spent money studying this: Hurricanes with female names more deadly than male-named storms

Evil girl posterFrom the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, and the department of bad baby names, something sure to piss off somebody, somewhere.

In the coming Atlantic hurricane season, watch out for hurricanes with benign-sounding names like Dolly, Fay or Hanna. According to a new article from a team of researchers at the University of Illinois, hurricanes with feminine names are likely to cause significantly more deaths than hurricanes with masculine names, apparently because storms with feminine names are perceived as less threatening. 

An analysis of more than six decades of death rates from U.S. hurricanes shows that severe hurricanes with a more feminine name result in a greater death toll, simply because a storm with a feminine name is seen as less foreboding than one with a more masculine name. As a result, people in the path of these severe storms may take fewer protective measures, leaving them more vulnerable to harm.

The finding indicates an unfortunate and unintended consequence of the gendered naming of hurricanes, which has important implications for policymakers, meteorologists, the news media and the public regarding hurricane communication and preparedness, the researchers say.

“The problem is that a hurricane’s name has nothing to do with its severity,” said Kiju Jung, a doctoral student in marketing in the U. of I.’s College of Business and the lead author on the study.

“Names are assigned arbitrarily, based on a predetermined list of alternating male and female names,” he said. “If people in the path of a severe storm are judging the risk based on the storm’s name, then this is potentially very dangerous.” The research, published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, examined actual hurricane fatalities for all storms that made landfall in the U.S. from 1950-2012, excluding Hurricane Katrina (2005) and Hurricane Audrey (1957) because they were much deadlier than the typical storm.

The authors found that for highly damaging storms, the more feminine the storm’s name, the more people it killed. The team’s analysis suggests that changing a severe hurricane’s name from the masculine “Charley” to the feminine “Eloise” could nearly triple its death toll.

“In judging the intensity of a storm, people appear to be applying their beliefs about how men and women behave,” said Sharon Shavitt, a professor of marketing at Illinois and a co-author of the report. “This makes a female-named hurricane, especially one with a very feminine name such as Belle or Cindy, seem gentler and less violent.”

In a follow-up set of experiments, Jung and his colleagues examined how the gender of names directly affected people’s judgments about storms. They found that people who were asked to imagine being in the path of “Hurricane Alexandra” (or “Christina” or “Victoria”) rated the storm as less risky and intense compared to those asked to imagine being in the path of “Hurricane Alexander” (or “Christopher” or “Victor”).

“This is a tremendously important finding. Proof positive that our culturally grounded associations steer our steps,” said Hazel Rose Markus, a professor in behavioral sciences at Stanford University, who was not involved in the research. Hurricanes in the U.S. formerly were given only female names, a practice that meteorologists of a different era considered appropriate given the unpredictable nature of the storms. According to the paper, an alternating male-female naming system was adopted in the late 1970s because of increased societal awareness of sexism.

(The names of this year’s storms, alternating between male and female names, will start with Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal and Dolly.) Even though the “gender” of hurricanes is pre-assigned and arbitrary, the question remains: Do people judge hurricane risks in the context of gender-based expectations?

“People imagining a ‘female’ hurricane were not as willing to seek shelter,” Shavitt said. “The stereotypes that underlie these judgments are subtle and not necessarily hostile toward women – they may involve viewing women as warmer and less aggressive than men.”

“Such gender biases are pervasive and implicit,” said Madhu Viswanathan, a professor of marketing at Illinois and a co-author of the study. “We found that people were affected by the gender of hurricane names regardless of whether they explicitly endorsed the idea that women and men have different traits. This appears to be a widespread phenomenon.”

Hurricanes kill more than 200 people in the U.S. each year, and severe hurricanes are capable of producing casualties in the thousands, according to the paper. Even with climate change increasing the frequency and severity of storms, hurricane preparedness remains a challenge for officials.

Although the negative effect of gender stereotypes is well-known in hiring decisions and other evaluations of women and men, this research is the first to demonstrate that gender stereotypes can have deadly consequences.

###

Joseph Hilbe, of Arizona State University, also was a co-author of the paper.

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LearDog
June 3, 2014 9:14 am

Natural selection at work…..

noloctd
June 3, 2014 9:18 am

If the University of Illinois is looking for a place to save money, I would suggest the Marketing faculty as a good place to start. The two professors who are co-authors of this “study” in particular. The U of I business school used to be pretty good back in the days before Gender Warror Princesses got on the faculty. To quote the immortal Roberto Duran “No mas.”

June 3, 2014 9:18 am

Also, anybody who didn’t already know this simply hasn’t bothered to read the relevant literature: http://www.ling.upenn.edu/courses/hum100/female.html

Billy Liar
June 3, 2014 9:19 am

TerryS says:
June 3, 2014 at 6:59 am
Kiju Jung, a doctoral student in marketing – lead author.
Sharon Shavitt, a professor of marketing – co-author.
Madhu Viswanathan, a professor of marketing – co-author.
Enough said.

Candidates for the B-Ark?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Places_in_The_Hitchhiker%27s_Guide_to_the_Galaxy#Golgafrincham

Evan Jones
Editor
June 3, 2014 9:20 am

Lucretia (or do too few people know L. Borgia?)
Just pen pals, I swear.

June 3, 2014 9:31 am

Consensus hearts are bursting with the things they want to say,
But the Hurricane Gaia gave them isn’t theirs to give away.
For when Al Gore meets his Faithful, all confirm the Warmist’s tale –
That the female of the species is more deadly than the male.
Profound Apologies, Rudyard Kipling, (1865 – 1936)

June 3, 2014 9:38 am

How much did these pearls of wisdom cost the American taxpayer?

tmitsss
June 3, 2014 9:48 am

Why give it a name when it won’t come when you call

michael hart
June 3, 2014 10:04 am

“This is a tremendously important finding. Proof positive that our culturally grounded associations steer our steps,” said Hazel Rose Markus.

Yes. There are no stupid questions. Only stupid people.
It’s worse than we thought.
I suppose the next question is “What names do we have to use to make the damage go away completely?”. There will then be no need for EPA to save the world from carbon dioxide.

wobble
June 3, 2014 10:20 am

“This is a tremendously important finding. Proof positive that our culturally grounded associations steer our steps,” said Hazel Rose Markus.

How could anyone call this study “Proof positive”? Someone needs to educate poor Hazel before she embarrasses herself again.

Zeke
June 3, 2014 10:26 am

“The authors found that for highly damaging storms, the more feminine the storm’s name, the more people it killed. The team’s analysis suggests that changing a severe hurricane’s name from the masculine “Charley” to the feminine “Eloise” could nearly triple its death toll…Although the negative effect of gender stereotypes is well-known in hiring decisions and other evaluations of women and men, this research is the first to demonstrate that gender stereotypes can have deadly consequences.”
The World Empire (UN) has already taken many measures to save us from the “deadly consequences” of “gender differences.” How?
1. Through radical changes in the Educational system: the Convention on the Rights of the Child, a treaty which was signed but has not been ratified, and through the Convention for the Elimination of all forms of Discrimination Against Women (CEDAW):

“While this treaty sounds harmless, if ratified by the U.S. Senate, it would allow the federal government to supervise all curriculum, teaching methods, and education in all schools to eliminate any “gender bias.” This could lead to regulation and control on homeschoolers under the guise of “eliminating
bias.””

2. Through the destruction of modern agriculture: Paradigm Shift Urgently Needed In Agriculture
UN Agencies Call for an End to Industrial Agriculture & Food System
“A rising chorus from UN agencies on how food security, poverty, gender inequality and climate change can all be addressed by a radical transformation of our agriculture and food system”

Dr Mae-Wan Ho


I will give you a her-icane if that Maoist siren gets near my children’s education or diet.

noaaprogrammer
June 3, 2014 10:30 am

mf mezzo-forte moderately loud (moderately strong tropical storm)
f forte strong (cat. 1 hurricane)
ff fortissimo very strong (cat. 2 hurricane)
fff forte fortissimo very very strong (cat. 3 hurricane)
etc. etc.
f5 Get-Out-of-Dodge Hurricane

Louis
June 3, 2014 10:32 am

As in “Monsters vs. Aliens,” a monster named “Susan” just isn’t as scary, neither is Hurricane Susan, it seems.

June 3, 2014 10:53 am

http://edition.cnn.com/2014/06/03/us/female-hurricanes-deadlier/index.html?hpt=hp_t3
“But not everyone buys the team’s hypothesis. Jeff Lazo of the National Centre for Atmospheric Research said the pattern is most likely a statistical fluke, according to National Geographic.
“He notes that all hurricanes had female names until 1979 — meaning the study included 29 years without male hurricane names.
“That’s significant because hurricanes have generally gotten less deadly over time, Lazo told National Geographic.”
“This year’s list of names include “Omar” and “Sally.” It’s unclear how people might prepare differently if caught in the paths of those storms.” How about Omie and Scare-Ya? I think that maturity of name is also a factor. Too many female names are diminutive and baby-fied.

tadchem
June 3, 2014 10:53 am

Example of a coincidence: “The decrease in the mortality of tropical storms is due to improved forecasting and improved preparedness” temporally coincides with “the appeasement of feminists upset because of the exclusive use of female names for hurricanes is accomplished by adding male names to the mix”.
Infer a causal connection at one’s own peril.

June 3, 2014 11:04 am

I grew up on the east coast. Never once in my entire life did I hear someone say that they were less worried about a storm because it had a female name. Not once. Ever. Storms such as Hazel were legend when I was growing up. The notion that someone doesn’t take a storm seriously because it has a female name is absolute baloney.

June 3, 2014 11:10 am

Waste of money or not, I’m coming down on the side of giving all tropical storms, regardless of severity, the most terrifying names possible. That way we can just scare the Hell out of people, so they do what the wise powers-that-be think is best for them.
Some examples: Klaus Von Mutilator, Dick Molesterio, Wilhelmina Facecancer, Rod Manglebaby
/Of course, this post is dripping with sarcasm. Giving storms names was intended to make them easier to talk about and familiarize them (make them less terrifying.) And, of course, naming hurricanes after women was a play on “hur” sounding like “her”. It was cute and fun — and then certain segments of the world lost their sense of humor… Worst of all is the suggestion that we give them serial numbers… Instead of “I had to rebuild my deck after Irene came through.” we’ll have “I had to rebuild after atch-four-oh-one-kay!”

June 3, 2014 11:18 am

“…dripping with sarcasm.” I thought it looked like rain. 🙂 I really want to steal “Wilhelmina Facecancer” I can’t love this enough! LOL

Mac the Knife
June 3, 2014 12:14 pm

wws says:
June 3, 2014 at 7:10 am
I think we should name the next hurricane “Ass-Hammer!” That’ll make people pay attention!!!
And I would love to watch the weatherman talking about that one on the big screen.

wws,
OK – ya ‘got me’! Twice!!
First, I busted up laughing on THAT name!
Then, I read your second line….. and I could immediately visualize the weatherman studiously referring to a satellite image of the hurricane while lecturing us “Here we see well developed eye of Hurricane Ass Hammer”….. and I completely lost it!!! Had tears leaking out of my eyes, I was laughing soooo hard……
You win the Kewpie Doll…. for masterful ‘set up’, plot’, and ‘visual effects’!
Mac

GregL
June 3, 2014 12:46 pm

Update: The Ignoble Awards group is aware of this paper and have had a flood of people nominate it – we may have a winner in it! Time will tell.
http://www.improbable.com/2014/06/02/count-the-tempestuous-assumptions/

June 3, 2014 12:58 pm

I’ve never heard a person admit to being a racist or misogynist but that doesn’t mean they don’t exist. There may not be enough data to confidently say female-named hurricanes are more dangerous but that doesn’t mean they aren’t.

Data Soong
June 3, 2014 1:21 pm

DaveA, thanks for the link to the critique. William Sears, thanks for the link to the useful graph. For those able to read the paper itself through an online subscription through your work, here is the link: http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2014/05/29/1402786111.full.pdf+html

Berényi Péter
June 3, 2014 1:31 pm

I propose a simple naming scheme. Let’s call every single hurricane “Barack” from now on. It is masculine, easy to remember &. scary enough to save untold number of lives. Problem solved.

June 3, 2014 2:02 pm

I said this on Dr. Spenser’s blog just now.
Gunga Din says:
June 3, 2014 at 2:57 PM
There’s potential here.
You could name hurricanes based on who you wanted to save.
You want to save CAGWers, Hurricane Carbon!
You want to “Save the Children”, Hurricane Homework!
You want to “Save the Trees”, Hurricane Mann! (How do you get a tree ring?)
You want to save the Mannequins, Hurricane FOIA!
You want to save the taxpayers and/or Tea Partiers, Hurricane IRiS!
The list could go on and on….

DD More
June 3, 2014 2:03 pm

DaveA says: June 3, 2014 at 6:50 am I also thank you for the link. Did you note one of the authors reply had –
What’s more, looking only at severe hurricanes that hit in 1979 and afterwards (those above $1.65B median damage), 16 male-named hurricane each caused 23 deaths on average whereas 14 female-named hurricanes each caused 29 deaths on average.
Sometime I like to look at the opposite data, how many people lived. So if each storm only affected 100,000 people = 3,000,000 for the 30 storms. A difference of 6 deaths??