NOAA forecast shows lows into the 30’s and 40’s for much of the norther and western USA will likely continue. Where’s that global warming when we need it?
| Total Records: | 1295 |
| High Temp: | 47 |
| Low Temp: | 451 |
| Low Max Temp: | 671 |
| High Min Temp: | 126 |
Source: http://wx.hamweather.com/maps/climate/records/1week/us.html?cat=maxtemp,mintemp,snow,lowmax,highmin
Here are the forecast lows:
:
Source: http://graphical.weather.gov/sectors/conus.php?element=T
Dennis Ray Wingo says:
July 30, 2013 at 9:54 pm
For those who watch these things, the temperature north of 80 is the lowest this summer than in the 54 years of the record…..
What would produce both low Arctic air temperatures and warm Arctic SSTs (in the summer), as well as cool SH SSTs (in the winter)?
Answer: Reduced clouds
Global cloud cover is currently at its lowest for 20 years.
http://c3headlines.typepad.com/.a/6a010536b58035970c017d412d54de970c-pi
Ignore the link above. The inverted scale confused me.
Here is global low level clouds, which are most influential in polar regions.
http://isccp.giss.nasa.gov/zD2CLOUDTYPES/B41B46B51B56B61B66glbp.anomdevs.jpg
>Where’s that global warming when we need it?
It’s moved to England where we’re having a decent summer for the first time in a decade.
The Sage says:
July 31, 2013 at 12:24 am
Where’s that global warming when we need it?
It’s moved to England where we’re having a decent summer for the first time in a decade.
Well, parts of England anyway. In my bit of Wiltshire it has rained every day for a week (so far).
Meanwhile in Australia, we’re apparently suffering from global warming…..
There may have been some hotspots here in Oz during July but it’s been damned cold where I live and just about everywhere else in the South West. I don’t think there has been too much warming in Oz. For about a fortnight it hardly got above 11C.
I have exactly 2 tomatoes that have set. I need a 70 degree night please. Front Range, CO… just a little warmth please.
That should have read “For about a fortnight it hardly got above 11C where I live.”
jeff allen sez: ‘Low temperature records don’t indicate an end to climate change’
So climate change only goes in ONE direction, jeffy?
Just from observation watching the jet stream: http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=jetstream;sess= and the weather predictions from my location in West Germany (NRW) and my chili pepper plants: Fast changing weather conditions due to a chaotic jet stream pattern, Jet stream South, cold and wet, Jet stream North, warmer weather but…. still relative low night temperatures, even during the official five day heatwave we experienced last week (previous heat wave 2006) which ended with a night temperature of only 11 degrees last Friday.
Anyhow, my chili pepper plants absolutely need a minimum temperature of 15 degrees Celsius. The number of nights this summer with night temps of 15 degrees or higher can be counted on one hand. Last year the plants did very well outdoors. This year the plants simply refuse to grow and as it looks right now they won’t carry any chili peppers before the summer ends.
In reply to:
Malcolm Miller says:
July 30, 2013 at 9:01 pm
Here in Canberra, Australia, we have just had a record warm month of July. Of course, it’s simply weather. Always has been variable; always will be.
William:
Howday Mate,
I agree weather is weather except when it isn’t. There are scientific reasons to expect cooling climate change. If I was the betting type and I had a farm I would bet the farm on significant global cooling. I suppose I would also bet on food shortages due to the global cooling and the extreme rainfall.
There is now peculiar cooling in the Arctic. (Check the past years when there was record sea ice in the Arctic.) http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.php There is now record sea ice in Antarctic for every month of the year. http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/S_stddev_timeseries.png
There was been a significant change to what could be the mother of all climate forcing variables, the sun. There is a very long list of reasons to expect the planet will cool due to the current change to the sun. Here is the Coles note summary.
There is in the paleo climate record a series of warming and cooling cycles that correlate with solar magnetic cycle changes, These warming and cooling cycles are called a Dansgaard-Oeschger cycle. There are nine (9) warm periods (D-O cycles) in this interglacial (same pattern of warming observed as warming in the last 70 years). It is known that in the past the sun was in a grand solar maximum during the nine (9) warm periods. The warming observed in the D-O cycle was completed reversed by cooling when the sun went into a Maunder like grand minimum. The D-O cycles continue into the glacial period and there are matching solar magnetic cycle changes in the glacial period. The specialists have traced 23 D-O cycles.
Greenland ice temperature, last 11,000 years determined from ice core analysis, Richard Alley’s paper.
http://www.climate4you.com/images/GISP2%20TemperatureSince10700%20BP%20with%20CO2%20from%20EPICA%20DomeC.gif
It has been observed that the magnetic field strength of newly formed sunspots is decaying linearly. In the space age that has never been observed. There are not only less sunspots on the surface of the sun, the sunspots are becoming smaller and smaller and the lifetime of the each sunspot group is becoming less and less. There are no observed sunspots on the surface of the sun that have a magnetic field strength that is less than 1500 Gauss. That threshold – when sunspots will have a magnetic field strength of less than 1500 Gauss – will be reached by 2015. There is no physical, theoretical explanation for what is happening to the sun. The sun it appears is entering a peculiar Maunder like minimum. It is known that the solar magnetic cycle from time to time after a grand maximum (series of very active solar magnetic cycles) enters a grand minimum (no sunspots, very weak solar magnetic cycle, solar wind is reduced by a factor of two) for a period of 50 to 100 years. The typical cooling period is longer as the sun is slow to start up, 100 to 150 years.
The following graph, a comparison of the past solar cycles 21, 22, and 23 to the current peculiar solar magnetic cycle 24.
http://www.solen.info/solar/images/comparison_recent_cycles.png
The regions that cool will be similar to the cooling that occurred in the Little Ice age. Due to the mechanisms the cooling will be more rapid and more sever.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_Ice_Age
The Little Ice Age (LIA) was a period of cooling that occurred after the Medieval Warm Period (Medieval Climate Optimum).[1] While it was not a true ice age, the term was introduced into the scientific literature by François E. Matthes in 1939.[2] It has been conventionally defined as a period extending from the sixteenth to the nineteenth centuries,[3][4][5] or alternatively, from about 1350 to about 1850,[6] …. ….Hubert Lamb said that in many years, “snowfall was much heavier than recorded before or since, and the snow lay on the ground for many months longer than it does today.”[24] Many springs and summers were cold and wet, but with great variability between years and groups of years. Crop practices throughout Europe had to be altered to adapt to the shortened, less reliable growing season, and there were many years of dearth and famine (such as the Great Famine of 1315–1317, although this may have been before the LIA proper).[25] According to Elizabeth Ewan and Janay Nugent, “Famines in France 1693–94, Norway 1695–96 and Sweden 1696–97 claimed roughly 10% of the population of each country. In Estonia and Finland in 1696–97, losses have been estimated at a fifth and a third of the national populations, respectively.”[26] Viticulture disappeared from some northern regions. Violent storms caused serious flooding and loss of life. Some of these resulted in permanent loss of large areas of land from the Danish, German and Dutch coasts.[24]
Kreutz et al. (1997) compared results from studies of West Antarctic ice cores with the Greenland Ice Sheet Project Two (GISP2) and suggested a synchronous global Little Ice Age.[46] An ocean sediment core from the eastern Bransfield Basin in the Antarctic Peninsula shows centennial events that the authors link to the Little Ice Age and Medieval Warm Period.[47] The authors note “other unexplained climatic events comparable in duration and amplitude to the LIA and MWP events also appear.”
The area where the records were set is roughly the shape of the last glaciation.
I for one am grateful for that orb in the sky that Raincouver has missed so often.
“Vancouver has surpassed its previous record for sunniest month ever after racking up more than 388.1 hours of glorious sunshine by 8 a.m. PT Tuesday morning.
According to Environment Canada, Vancouver’s previous record for the sunniest month was set in July of 1985.
Assuming there is no rain on Wednesday, this July will also be first time on record a whole calendar month was completely dry in Vancouver.
Although a few showers have been noted on the North Shore today, none have reached down to the Vancouver International Airport weather station, where the record run is underway.
After that, the next record to shoot for is the longest dry spell. The record of 58 days was set in 1951.
So far this summer the city of rain has had no preciptation for 33 days in a row, Environment Canada confirmed on Tuesday morning, but there is rain in the forecast for the end of the week. ”
http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/story/2013/07/30/bc-weather-sunshine-month-record.html
“Vancouverites have been walking on sunshine for the whole of July as the month breaks records Wednesday and becomes the sunniest and possibly the driest the city has ever been.
Vancouver has had almost 400 hours of sunlight in July, surpassing the 388-hour record set in 1985.
And if not a single drop of rain falls by 11 p.m. Wednesday, July will also become the city’s driest month ever.
“This has been the most ideal weather I’ve ever experienced. We get to walk, cycle and garden all day,” said Garry Wolfater, who moved to Vancouver 38 years ago. “I wouldn’t mind having this until November.”
Like Vancouver, Victoria is also on the brink of breaking its record for sunniest and driest month ever recorded with 422 hours of sun and a rainless July.
But while the dry, sunny spell has allowed residents to bask under the sun longer, Environment Canada meteorologist David Jones said the extreme weather has had some negative effects on the environment.
“It’s been a fabulous month for weather but for forest fires and water supply, not so much,” Jones said.
The number of wildfires in B.C. is on the rise.
Wildfire services have attended to 547 fires, which have burnt through a total of 5,770 hectares of land to date, said spokeswoman Navi Saini.
Vancouver is on high forest fire alert but parts of the Lower Mainland have been put under extreme alert.
Kamloops has even issued a campfire and open burning ban Tuesday since wildfires on the region have displayed “aggressive behaviour,” according to the Ministry of Forests, Lands and Natural Resource Operations.
Saini said they’re considering closing some parks and trails during the long weekend.
Water supply in Metro Vancouver, though still on normal range, is also slightly lower than previous years.
Currently at 85 per cent, reservoir levels are usually replenished by rainfall this time of year.
However, rain, which is the primary source for refilling reservoirs, has been sorely lacking in the city.
Despite the prolonged heat, crops like berries, cherries and vegetables have been surprisingly plentiful this summer.
“The sunshine has generally led to good results for B.C. farmers so far, with lots of local berries and vegetables for sale at farms and in the marketplace,” said agriculture minister Pat Pimm.
Environment Canada has not issued any air quality warnings through the month as the air’s been “fairly fresh,” according to Jones.
“Because we’re in the south coast, going 33 days without rain is pretty manageable for people,” Jones said.
Currently averaging between the low and upper 20s, the Lower Mainland’s climate has to rise to mid or upper 30s before it gets uncomfortable, he said.
But whether it’s good or bad, Vancouver’s current weather is still definitely one for the books, Jones said.
“It’s part of the ebb and flow of the south coast,” he said. “Meteorologists and probably lots of people will never forget this July.”
staguiam@theprovince.com
twitter.com/SarahTaguiam”
http://www.theprovince.com/news/Sunshine+records+broken/8728279/story.html
Using a hanging pot (plant projects from bottom) I have a single tomato plant that has set about 40. Vancouver, BC.
We had frost in Lake Placid NY on July 24th and then 2 more days of mid 30 degree mornings. The lakes and ponds are releasing heat like it’s fall.
I can’t find monthly records by state, but I’ve never see Iowa in the 30’s in July, in my life. 39 in Clarinda, IA on Sunday morning. That’s something I’ve only seen in northern Minnesota.
Coolest, wettest summer I’ve ever experienced here in the Mid-Atlantic. I hope that means a cold, snowy winter.
It could be 10 below zero in July in the US and still the crazy global warming nuts would somehow justify it being related to global warming.
tjfolkerts: As of July 27, low temperature records stood at 7178, while high temperature records stood at 6908. Low maxes are at 9681 and high mins are at 10084. So, the handwringing acolytes can say, “See, warm weather events are running 1.02 to 1 over cold weather events. Send your money to Tuvalu.”
tjfolkerts: Well, crap, I should’ve done this before I posted my last message. Updated through yesterday, low and low maxes are running at 1.02 to 1 over high and high mins. Sorry, I guess you’ll have to fall back on “It’s just weather.”
50F (10C) here several mornings during, what is on avg, the warmest period of the year. Yeah, I know, but the mid-Atlantic states in mid-summer shouldn’t be Scotland.
We’re enjoying a stretch of early Fall-like temperatures here in New Hampshire. Gardeners are complaining about all the wet weather we’ve had this summer though.
Doug says:
July 31, 2013 at 4:57 am
Doug – I was laughing to myself because it’s clear that tjfolkerts fell for the bait. Warmists ALWAYS conflate weather with climate when the weather is warm (aka Summer) …it’s in their DNA. [LOL]
And just think — without the urban heat-island effect, the number of record lows would be far higher (and record warm lows lower).
Dennis Ray Wingo says:
July 30, 2013 at 9:54 pm
For those who watch these things, the temperature north of 80 is the lowest this summer than in the 54 years of the record…..
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Mlo_ch4_ts_obs_03437.png
Not a trend, but just saying……
There is still probably some more legacy warm water from the recent el Nino decades flowing Arctic-wards for us to have the phenomenon of warm water in an atmospherically cooling Arctic, thus the very big swings we are seeing between high winter ice area and low summer ice minima in recent years. In a few years the warm water will run out and Arctic ice will recover. Even this year will be interesting to watch.
We spent all weekend and the early week here in KC with our AC off and our window open. That’s unheard of in late July and early August. It was comfortable, too. Unlike other years, I’m actually looking forward to that first football game at the end of August if the weather stays like this. I wonder how soon that first real cold snap is going to take to set in. We might be pulling out coats early this year.
Of course, when we go to MN for vacation next week, the kids may not be so comfortable swimming, but the fishing ought to be good with the cooler water and weather.