Guest post by Dr. Vincent Gray
NZCLIMATE TRUTH NEWSLETTER NO 308
APRIL 25th 2013
I have been neglecting you. Things have quieted down. I am 91 and it is high time I retired, like my friend Will Alexander in South Africa or my major protagonist, former Professor Martin Manning.. I thought I would call it a day on Newsletter No 300.
When I began, in 1991 I was still in China. I got involved in commenting on the Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and I just completed those on the Fifth Report which will surely be my last.
To begin with I was the only critical voice in New Zealand. Last week I attended a packed meeting of the Press Club in Wellington to hear Lord Monckton tear apart the IPCC and everything connected with it. The University scientists will not listen to him. But one of the organisers of the meeting was from the Music Department.
But, surely, we are at the beginning of the end.
The globe has stopped warming; even when measured by the botched-up biased system that they favour.
The Kyoto Protocol is dead. Emissions by former members are in steady decline compared with those from non-members
The support literature has dried up. I used to go to the University every month and photocopy the latest scientific outrage for these Newsletters. The only recent feeble attempt was the rapidly discredited attempt by Marcott to fabricate yet another Hockey Stick at
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/03/13/marcotts-proxies/
The “Economist” magazine has expressed doubts
http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21574490-climate-change-may-be-happening-more-slowly-scientists-thought-world-still-needs
A recent report by the Influential [Norwegian] Research Institute SINTEF at
http://www.sintef.no/upload/Teknologi_og_samfunn/Teknologiledelse/SINTEF%20Report%20A24071
has shown that there is a genuine scientific controversy that should be encouraged; that it is by no means, “settled”
The Emissions Trading scheme is in retreat. European prices have headed for the bottom and they.are about to ditch their scheme. I do not know what has happened to our prices but you can all be assured that whatever happens to the Mighty River Power shares the incentives to go in for windmills and solar power will disappear and we can, eventually have a sensible, economical power policy which will include fracking, coal and small scale nuclear.
But you would hardly think so, listening to all of our politicians, or if you read the newspapers or watch TV. So let me finish by encouraging you all with this article by James Delingpole
Cheers
Vincent Gray
Wellington
New Zealand
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@ur momisugly Jimbo says:
April 26, 2013 at 1:55 am
This is the sort of stuff that needs to be collected, collated, and highlighted. There is, on the record, sufficient in the way of claims and actions for significant numbers of these people – Pachauri among them – to be discredited.
The whole AGW program can be rejected purely on the basis of previous statements and revised statements, which illustrate the emptiness of any scientific claims and the character of those making them.
SINTEF is a Norwegian institute. It is a pity that neither politicians nor journalists will read this important paper
GuestBlogger, Vincent or Moderator: Could you please fix the part about SINTEF being “Swedish Research Institute”? It is definitely not Swedish. SINTEF is Norwegian (www.sintef.no), it is the largest non-profit, independent research organisation in Scandinavia. It is a matter of pride for us Norwegians, and I would like you to fix it. What this piece says is comparable to calling MIT a Canadian research institute. You would not like that.
[Done. Mod]
Dr Gray, happy, long, healthy retirement. Many thanks for all your hard work.
“Whether or not it is the beginning of the end or just the “end of the beginning,” VICTORY is assured.”
I wish I shared your enthusiasm. While there are many indications that the general population is becoming less trusting and accepting of the hype, most in government are forging ahead, as their endeavors yield both votes and power. Policies rarely make sense, and they are not something that we, as a population, get to vote on or control.
California?…full steam ahead.
Mass?…full steam ahead.
Obama?…full steam ahead.
etc, etc.
Look at ethanol? Scientifically shown to be at best neutral to the environment, and pretty good consensus that it’s in fact harmful, no only to the environment, but many other aspects of the economy. Yet the U.S. gov is getting ready to INCREASE the mandate from 10% to 15% ethanol content in gasoline. Does the majority want this to happen? No. Would anyone with knowledge of the facts want this to happen? No. Will the government do it anyway? You bet.
And I’m an optimist.
Jim
It will never be “over”. Coming soon to a school near you;
http://therevolutionmovie.com/
I love the assertion that the ocean is 30% more acidic than 200 years ago.
The hydra just raises a different head.
I hope we are at the beginning of the end. Every time I speak with a poor person who cannot pay their utility bills, I want to ask what they think about climate change/global warming. Instead, I recommend a charity that offers help to those who can’t afford their bills. (No, Legal Aid can’t pay your bills; No, we can’t sue the power company for you; and No, we can’t stop them from turning off your electricity (outside of the very limited exceptions to that policy.)) On one hand, for those in that situation, the end can’t come soon enough. On the other, much of the damage is already done economically. My thanks to Dr. Gray, Anthony, and all those who speak out much more forcefully that I do.
And a new low springtime record low iin Houston on the 20th: 5 degrees below the 1901 record of 41, degrees Fahrenheit of course.
Money, money, money, follow the money, for that’s what the global warming crowd has done for years. As long as tax dollars flow to global warming schemes, the parasites will swarm to those schemes.
Conversely, if the taxpayers wise up (and they are currently doing just that), they are likely to quite suddenly boot from office everyone complicit in raising their taxes for the past few decades while raising the price of all energy sources at the same time. When that day comes, and it will, the newly-governing parties will need to do one thing to put an end to the entire matter.
Cut off the global warmist’s lifeblood, i.e., cut off the money. Zero out every budget that is supporting a warmist, whether that be a builder of windmills or solar panels, or a university professor building hockey sticks, or an environmental agency in full cahoots with the crowd for years, or an advisor advising more green projects, or a manufacturer of green cars. Zero them all out, no matter how crucial their services appear.
Then, as it becomes obvious that their departments were doing at least some good, somewhere, gradually add back funding to only those functions. But first, go to zero. It’s the only way to clear out the rot. Otherwise, they will just lay low and fester, screwing things up to the best of their abilities, certain to rise again when the politics change and funding loosens once more.
Leftist love government, and are perfectly willing to spend significant portions of their miserable lives laying in wait, performing no useful function as long as they receive a taxpayer-funded check, so long as a shot remains at regaining power once again. Zero them out. No funding. Zero, Nada, Zilch. A zero budget is the only wooden stake that will work for a Leftist.
As just one example of the futility of making modest cuts, observe the present air traffic control fiasco in the U.S. as a result of a mild attempt to simply restrain the growth of Leftist funding. A devout Leftist will risk your life, or at least your livelihood, for funding dollars in a heartbeat. Zeroing out the funding of the Left is the only practical solution in the end.
Thank-you Dr. Vincent Gray on your astonishing long time efforts to address the many issues related to climate ‘change’ and the extreme AGW paradigm.
Best wishes,
William
Comments:
The beginning of the end of the extreme AGW movement and paradigm is occurring for three reasons:
1) Scientific analysis and observed temperature rise does not support the extreme AGW warming paradigm. The warming due to a doubling of atmospheric CO2 will be less than 1C with most of the warming occurring at high latitudes which will cause the biosphere to expand (Lindzen and Choi 2011). The so called ‘skeptic’ scientists and bloggers have been able to make the facts known to the technically astute. There is no global warming crisis. Commercial greenhouse operators inject CO2 into their greenhouse to increase yields and reduce growing times (optimum CO2 for plants is 1000 ppm to 1200 ppm). The yield for cereal crops increases by roughly 40% for a doubling of CO2 levels from 280 ppm to 560 ppm which will occur towards the end of this century. The increase in atmospheric CO2 is causing the biosphere to expand and to be more productive. CO2 is beneficial not a problem.
2) Western governments have run out of deficit money to spend. Unavoidable budget cuts will be required. Western governments do not have sufficient funds to pay for current entitlements. Entitlements, government programs, and government departments will be cut. There is no other option. There is no money left to spend on scams which have not reduced local and certainly not world CO2 emissions. If one is aware of point 1 point 2 is particularly important. The public’s attention is and will be jobs, taxes, and entitlements cuts. Governments will do whatever is required to get elected.
3) To significantly reduce carbon dioxide emissions – as opposed to spending money on green scams which make almost no difference in total CO2 emissions – a massive move to nuclear power is required. The green fanatics have stopped the Western nuclear program.
The fanatics have created a dystopia fantasy in which they see themselves as heroes fighting a noble cause. They live in a bubble surrounded by other fanatics. They do not care that science and logic does not support the extreme AGW paradigm. They do not care that there is not global warming crisis to solve. They do not care that CO2 emissions are beneficial to the biosphere. There are fanatics.
Timothy Wirth, U.S. Undersecretary of State for Global Issues, seconded Strong’s statement: “We have got to ride the global warming issue. Even if the theory of global warming is wrong, we will be doing the right thing in terms of economic policy and environmental policy.”
“No matter if the science of global warming is all phony … climate change provides the greatest opportunity to bring about justice and equality in the world.” – Christine Stewart, former Canadian Minister of the Environment
“The models are convenient fictions that provide something very useful.”Dr David Frame, Climate modeler, Oxford University
“It doesn’t matter what is true, it only matters what people believe is true.” – Paul Watson,
Co-founder of Greenpeace”
“Unless we announce disasters no one will listen.” – Sir John Houghton, First chairman of the IPCC
“The data doesn’t matter. We’re not basing our recommendations on the data. We’re basing them on the climate models.” Prof. Chris Folland, Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research
Well funded fanatics will continue to push the AGW issue up until the time there is unequivocal planetary cooling. If and when there is cooling there will be a paradigm shift.
When I read happy climate stories like this, I always like to remind myself and review the ONLY cool thing the Global Warmunists ever actually produced (surprising there is even one valuable thing they produced since they are decidedly anti-productivity but here it is): Ladies and Gentlemen from LiveEarth 2007 (sponsored by Dow Chemical), The New Rebirth of Spinal Tap Mark 3 and every bassist in the known universe! http://youtu.be/iN42uzNFVmQ
jimmaine says:
April 26, 2013 at 4:55 am
David Ball says:
April 26, 2013 at 6:28 am
starzmom says:
April 26, 2013 at 7:04 am
Those were three very sobering comments right in a row, and my mood went from the attic to the cellar. Nevertheless, I thank you. It ain’t over ’til it’s over.
The picture accompanying this post reminded me of a sign I saw in Amarillo, Texas – oddly enough outside a private residence named “Toad Hall”:
http://www.texasescapes.com/TOWNS/Amarillo/AmarilloTxRoadDoesNotEnd0709BG.jpg
Oh well, if the organizer was from the music department then it must be true… /sarc of course
Thanks for your good work, Vincent. Much appreciated.
I have the same feeling that we are seeing a sea change in the debate at the moment.
The alarmists seem to be faltering, no news, now new books, no revelatory research. More and more they are getting caught trying to prop up their hypothesis through questionable methods.
Temperatures are not rising, climate sensitivity is on its way down. No extreme weather events to speak of. No climate refugees. No desertification. Sea level rises as it always has. No accelleration.
So one has to agree that we are seeing the beginning of the end of the climate paradigm.
A well chosen time for a well deserved retirement!
On today’s CFACT postings there are some very enlightening posts about how th EPOA is tyrannizing our country.
For myself, I would sum it up like this:
It is not quite correct to describe the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency as a rogue agency – it is way past the point of being a rogue agency. It has become a criminal enterprise.
The EPA does not serve the public – it oppresses the public
The EPA has become a hate group, little different from the American Nazi Party or the Ku Klux Klan. Its mission is to commit economic vandalism – sabotaging the economy – and thereby inflict hardships on citizens. It proceeds from the usual sorts of ignorance and messianic hubris characteristic of other hate groups. It is racist because the harm it does and intends to do will injure people of color the most, while further enriching white fat cats like Al Gore, Michael Bloomberg, Warren Buffett and George Soros.
The EPA has become an agency aiding, abetting and acting on behalf of hostile foreign governments, in places like Venezuela and the Middle East, which are certainly cheering the EPA on for its mindless opposition to domestic energy development like the Keystone Pipeline, with the object of keeping the U.S. at their mercy.
The EPA doesn’t want the public to know that the pipeline will involve far fewer environmental risks than the current method of transport by tank truck and rail. The pipeline’s operation will release far less pollution into the air than vehicular transport. The EPA knows this, of course, but wants it hushed up so that it can proceed with tearing down the economy without hindrance.
The EPA also knows full well that global warming alarmist dogma is false and has been thoroughly discredited, and is rejected by a huge majority of scientists. This shows that the basis for its actions is conscious, deliberate, fully intentional lying – it is certainly not the public interest.
There is no such thing as “unintended consequences” of actions by government. The effects of government actions establish the intent of the actions. If harm is done, harm is intended.
Additionally, if government functionaries illegally extort money from citizens or illegally seize property, the persons doing the taking must necessarily be presumed to benefit personally from the takings. It is not only the agency that is committing extortion and theft, it is the functionaries themselves.
One can only hope that after their protector in the White House leaves office, the enemy agents now “working” at the EPA will find themselves facing criminal charges for misappropriation of public funds, fraud, extortion, perjury, conspiracy, trespassing, armed robbery, lying to Congress, and official oppression.
Thank you sir for continuing the struggle for truth.
I read the “Delingpole” link. I’d seen it,
I pressed “next” though and read a fabulous article about Margaret Thatcher recanting her initial fervor for global warming action. She saw the light, finally.
As an American, this was my only criticism of her. Now it’s gone.
RIP Margaret Thatcher, fellow truthseeker, (aka skeptic).
RE: Latitude says:
April 25, 2013 at 2:54 pm
dunno….Calif is still surging ahead…..
—————————————————-
California shouldn’t count, we are the STUPID Capitol of the world. ;-))
Thank you for this article. I have been flabbergasted by the silence from all us skeptics for so long now. The reason is that sensible, hard working people get on with their lives. Pompous, socialist, parasites have all the time in the world to spread their idiotic rubbish. Forget “hockey sticks”…… Bring out the baseball bats. I am truly concerned for the future my children face. Even the more sensible of the worlds leaders have been bullied into believing this drivel.
Dr. Gray, I would like to thank you for your contribution, but unfortunately I don’t share your optimism that we are near the end of this nonsensical religion called global warming.
Reblogged this on RONNIE JAMES SITE.
Mike Haseler says:
April 25, 2013 at 4:03 pm
The problem with us sceptics … is that we are fast becoming mainstream.
And that will be the end of us sceptics – for what role is there for sceptics when everyone agrees with us?
I’ll answer your question: I will focus on other important things like getting on with my life, happier. Sceptics like conclusion and truth, and what better feeling can one get than to know they stood against the tide, for good reason?
Most on-line debates now see alarmists very quickly resorting to the same few old standby arguments:
“….97% of climate scientists say …. “,
“…. you think it is a conspiracy….”
and “… Skeptical Science says…..”
Thankfully we are seeing fewer “…. superstorm Sandy…” and “…droughts and/or floods…”.
But, the “…ocean temperature…” and the “….sea level…” memes still pop up occasionally.
My guess is their ‘proofs’ are starting to ring hollow in their own ears.
Looks to be that account is _not_ now actually owned by the Prez, but rather by … let’s just post this excerpt containing a brief timeline to explain things:
“His Twitter account was created … on March 5, 2007, two months before he formally announced his presidential candidacy. Throughout that contest, his first term, and second campaign for the presidency, Obama’s campaign staff used it to share news about the president’s policy priorities and to try and engage Americans in his efforts. Then, in January [2013], it handed the reins to Organizing for Action, a new entity that took over much of Obama’s campaign apparatus: website, social media accounts, email list — even the abbreviated shorthand of “OFA.”
MORE from The Atlantic Wire:
“You’re Not Really Following @BarackObama on Twitter”
http://www.theatlanticwire.com/politics/2013/04/youre-not-following-barackobama-twitter/63930/
.