I thought I’d save a few forecast graphics now, to see how they hold up when the snow event is over. First, here’s the one from NWS Boston. I can’t say I much like their color scheme, as it gives a reverse visual impression (IMHO) to what the numbers say.
![StormTotalSnowFcst[1]](http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2013/02/stormtotalsnowfcst1.png?quality=75)
The probability map color scheme makes more visual sense to me:
![ProbSnow12[1]](http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2013/02/probsnow121.png?quality=75)
This is from the NWS Facebook Page:
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…MAJOR Blizzard Expected for Boston and New York City…
Total accumulations of 18 to 24 inches are expected for southeast Maine, eastern and southeast Massachusetts (including the Boston metro area), northern Connecticut and all of Rhode Island. Further south across eastern New York to Northern New Jersey, total accumulations of 8 to 15 inches are expected, including the New York City metro and Long Island. Light snow will develop by Friday morning, becoming heavy late in the day into the evening commute. The heaviest snowfall, particularly along the Interstate 95 corridor, will fall Friday night into Saturday. North-northeast winds gusting up to 60 mph will lead to blizzard and white-out conditions, creating life-threatening travel conditions. Damage to trees and structures with scattered power outages are anticipated.
In addition, moderate to major coastal flooding is expected from Portland, Maine to the east facing coastline of Massachusetts.
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Take a look at HPC’s Day 1-2 QPF. Although all eyes are on New England with the impending major winter storm, the East Coast is expected to get a good amount of rainfall over the next day or two. To see more information about this, visit our QPF page: http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-2.shtml
And for more information on the winter storm to affect New England, please visit the local Weather Forecast Office’s websites and our winter weather page: http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/winter_wx.shtml
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Blizzard Warning
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 1200 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013 ...A POTENTIAL HISTORIC WINTER STORM AND BLIZZARD IS EXPECTED TO DROP AROUND 2 FEET OF SNOW THROUGH SATURDAY... MAZ005>007-012>023-NHZ012-RIZ001>008-090100- /O.CON.KBOX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130209T1800Z/ CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA- SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA- SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA- WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA- SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA- EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI- SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI- BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE... GLOUCESTER...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD... CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH... FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH... PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...FOSTER... SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL... NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND 1200 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SATURDAY... * LOCATIONS...EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...RHODE ISLAND INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND...AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW...BLOWING AND DRIFTING AT TIMES... QUARTER MILE VISIBILITIES...AND WINDS GUSTING NEAR 60 MPH. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION AROUND 2 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HEAVIEST OF SNOW ANTICIPATED BY THE EVENING COMMUTE INTO SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY FOCUSED ALONG THE I-95 CORRIDOR. * IMPACTS...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS TRAVEL WITH VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO IN WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS AND WINDS GUSTING AROUND 60 MPH. IN ADDITION...ANTICIPATE DAMAGE TO TREES AND STRUCTURES ALONG WITH SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OVER 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH CONSIDERABLE FALLING AND/OR BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITIES WILL BECOME POOR WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. THOSE VENTURING OUTDOORS MAY BECOME LOST OR DISORIENTED...SO PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO STAY INDOORS. && $$
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Now here’s some private forecasts from WeatherBell/Dr. Ryan Maue, first a radar projection:
And accumulation from the Canadian RGEM model:
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Connecticut live coverage:
http://www.wtnh.com/subindex/video/watch_us_live
Upwards of 25,000 without power in CT …
WCVB TV (Boston MA) now announcing almost 200k w/o power and the wind continues …
clipe says:
Your comment is awaiting moderation.
February 8, 2013 at 7:04 pm
clipe says:
February 8, 2013 at 6:20 pm
[snip – waaaaaaaaay off topic]
Yes. But when discussing ‘climatology’ isn’t that the whole point? It’s off topic.
Juxtapose Cold Trail and Blizzard Hamper Search for Ex-Officer in California Killings
Very heavy snow here in Southern New Hampshire. Roaring wind. Too bad this is happening at night, because it’s hard to see much. Just an amazing bright, sideways swirling out towards a street light, with fat flakes like white feathers, and the snow between the porch and the streetlight so thick it looks like a lot of black feathers between us and the bright feathers. An even heavier snowband is on the radar, south of us. Temperature here is 14 degrees. Pressure is 29.68, and falling fast, and we are far from the center of the storm.
Decent video of heavy snow down in Connecticut here:
http://www.facebook.com/photo.php?v=556052897751870
Sorry clipe but this is weather not climate. It’s unusual but not nunprecedented.
Along coastal New England this looks pretty bad. I thought Irene and Sandy cleared the weak, dead wood but I was mistaken. The snow is wet and heavy and the wind gusts are impressive. There are downed limbs and trees everywhere. Imagine sagging pine trees drooping against howling, swirling wind. Tim Burtonesque.
A quick tour of my driveway and the neighborhood suggests that this storm is more substance than hype. The power outages are widespread and will last for several days IMHO. Thanks to Joe B and the weatherbell team I am well prepared.
We are 30mi West of Beantown. Made it through the night with no power loss…YET. Just let the dogs out for their morning “ritual”, they never left the front porch. They’re always AMAZED when this happens, and look back at you with that “HUH???” look 😉 No idea on accumulation yet, other than “a bunch”.
Jim
Ric, it will be a long night (and next day).
About 15 inches right now, 12 hours to go, or so they say.
Cheers.
Lazy frenchman says
This is one of the moments when I can rejoyce to live in France. Civilized weather over here. Light breeze. I could even have lunch outside, frog sandwiches of course and snail cocktail, with my friend, the red in teeth and claws socialist mayor of my hometown. We will go to church together on Sunday morning (yes the socialist believes in God) and remember you in our prayers. Sincerely asking the Lord to help you out of this. COURAGE;
I’m along the MA/NH border near Nashua, and we will probably break a foot here. The snow is about a good as you can hope for – it has as much in common with sand as snow. “Dry powder” that blows easily so I’m not expecting any power outages. Wind never really kicked up either, 30Mph gusts at most. But it’s blowing enough that it will be hard to keep the roads clear or determine how much fell. It’s like, bare ground here, 1 foot over there, and 2 feet just head.
With the mild winters we have had in this area this is no big deal. I was here for the 100″ winter in the 90’s and by the middle of it we had nowhere to put the snow.
We were in New England in 96 and experienced your snow and -30F temperatures. Good skiing though. You have the right idea during snow. All the locals with a 4×4 put a blade on to help clear the roads. Wish we were allowed to do that in the UK. Local authorities act too late here, if they know how to react at all that is, and do not allow independant action.
Here in the Boston area, compared to the 78′ blizzard, this one is looking to be a walk in the park for three main reasons, timing, timing and time. The heaviest rates happened in the wee hours of the night not at rush hour. The storm surge was not happening at a time of astronomically high tides. We had far more advance warning this time around. On top of those I think this will be less snow and lower peak winds.
Of course Dictator Deval will crow that his edict banning travel was the essential difference when in fact all he should have done was shut down licensed businesses such as liquor stores, bars and restaurants and politely ASKED big stores and other large businesses to close early on Friday unless they feel that they offer some essential service/product in a blizzard.
What about people who need to take someone to dialysis this morning Duval? What if someone’s 95 year old uncle living alone 10 miles away doesn’t answer his phone and they want to check on him? ETC… Who is going to do those things Deval? You?
Last night I was watching the live composite radar feed and southern CT seemed to be getting the highest snowfall rate. This map suggests that they got the highest amounts (as I anticipated) with many reports of over 30″ – http://www.erh.noaa.gov/hydromet/erEventDisplay.php?event=stormTotal_12&element=snow¢eron=BOX
For example, Hamden CT – 34″ & Madison CT – 32″
Logan airport/Boston reports 21.8″ of snow and it’s not over …
Well, the storm’s all but over here in western New Hampshire and we got about a foot of powdery snow all told (where I live). Meh. I’ll have it blown off my driveway in no time. The skiing is going to be fantastic if the winds aren’t too bad (no major winds right now).
Did someone say this was global WARMING? Hahahahahahahahahaha…………………..
About 20″ here in Pittsfield NH and it’s still snowing, so we could end up with around 2 feet. Areas a bit west and southwest are already reporting over 2 feet. So, it appears the forecasts were pretty much dead-on.
Some of the drifts are well over 3 feet. The front of our car sitting in front of the house vanishes completely, the snow drifting right up over the top of the car. It is a light, fluffy snow, and I managed to dig out our front door, the porch, and a path to the shop, and one to the shed out back, where the snowblower awaits.
Looks like about 24-28″ h,ere, west of boston. still coming down, but not hard….
I heard on the radio that one spot in Conn that got 12 inches in 90 minutes last night!!! My new task this morning is to lead a couple of bobcats around and “open up” the streets in my area that we “lost” last night. The snow got too deep for a plow to get through without hitting any of the cars Parked on both sides of the street!!!! Grrrrr.
Probably looking at about 20 inches now. Wind was amazing last night, there are some really amazing urban snow drifts today.
16.5″ on the ground just north of Concord NH. Still snowing, but will wind down midday. As long as I can keep the wind at my back it will be easy snowblowing.
I got up this morning to let the dog out. The door to the yard was snowed in. Tried the other door to the yard, also snowed in. Then the door to the garage, snowed in too. So, I put on my snow gear and went out the front door. The steps had 2.5 feet of snow drifted onto them. It was a looong walk to the garage to get a shovel and dig out a few spots. After 1/2 hour I had the six feet between the back door and garge dug out plus a 10 foot path into the yard for the dog. He was a very ungrateful beagle. He walked out, tried to swim through the snow which is over his head, turned around and came back. Not even a wag of his tail before going back to bed for a snooze.
Smart dog. Who knew that NOT having opposable thumbs would have it’s advantages? 😉
Jim
We spent the last few days atn our shore house in south/central NJ (approx 3-4 “snow ) and I was trying to findout the snow accumulation at our northern residence in NJ about 40 Mi west of NYC, which got much more snow.
Can anyone advise me what Web site to go to to get accumulations at various locations after the storm. The media is all about New England and NYC.
Here in northernmost Vermont they were forecasting 8-14″ but the storm basically fell apart over most of N-VT around 9PM and it stopped snowing. We ended up with 6″ and are laughing at the media hype. I can’t tell you how many times in the last 20 years that we’ve had 3′ out of a single protracted storm, but well over a dozen.
How long before the “average citizen” recognizes just how full of bull the MSM has become?
Speaking of snow cover, look at snowcover in China:
http://www.natice.noaa.gov/pub/ims/ims_gif/DATA/cursnow_asiaeurope.gif
That’s pretty dang far south at sea-level for snow.
Where I grew up we called this regular winter weather.
I was watching news online last night, late. The reporters were standing in a gentle wind, with very light snow, and about 1 of snow on the sidewalks. They were reporting how “phenomenal” the snow/wind was! One was shown “being spun” by the wind, this while her hair was hardly blowing at all.
I keep seeing reports of 2-3 feet of snow, but all the videos from this morning show from 3-8″ of snow on top of cars, sidewalks, etc.
So. Some possibilities. One: the reporters can’t won’t go to the areas of really deep snow (and no citizens have managed to send videos from their homes??). Two: the 2-3 feet of snow are being measured in really tiny, unusual conditions-perhaps in drifts, even.
Three: lies, damn lies, and statistics.
I’m going to go way out on a limb, and prognosticate NOT on the blizzard itself, but on the outcome: This SUPER DOOPER POOPER SCOOPER MEGAMAGNIFICENT, RECORD BREAKING NEMO STORM was caused by-you guessed it-ANTHROPOGENIC GLOBAL WARMING!
You can’t run; you can’t hide. From Global Warming MSM reporting.
One other possibility: I just saw a photo at http://www.weather.com/ The photo’s caption was “38 inches of snow!” And, yes, there was what appeared to be that much snow on top of the car in the foreground, which had been buried by snowplow. But the car that was a few yards behind it, sheltered a bit from the snowplow, had about 8 inches on it.
Record snowplow blizzard?
I guess we amerikanos just get bored, love a little excitement, and are too trusting to see what MSM has done to entertain us with what they call “news”.
jimmaine, would you please post a photo of your “24-28” of snow, west of Boston? I believe you, but considering the lack of any other photos showing that much, I think we all would like to see the real thing.
I just took a pic of my HHR still covered in snow. Sun has been out here for about 2hrs, with some melting and compaction. I don’t think we can post pics here, but shoot me an email at jim_brocade@yahoo.com and I’ll send it along 🙂
I just clicked on my own link-to the shot of “38” of snow. I noticed that the house in the background has but 7-8″ of snow on the roof. Could be lousy insulation, I suppose, except that the porch roof has the same amount.
Amazing. Let the spin begin vis a vis global warming!