Labeling People ‘Climate Change Deniers’ Merely Reveals the Attacker’s Ignorance

Guest post by Dr. Tim Ball

A common fallback position when losing an argument is to assault your adversary personally. Known as ad hominem, it involves “attacking an opponent’s motives or character rather than the policy or position they maintain.”

In climate science, those who employ this rhetorical tactic attack individuals who ask probing scientific questions. The attacks indicate that they know how inadequate their science is. It often works because of a deliberate campaign to exploit basic sensitivities: fear the sky is falling, guilt about not protecting the environment, guilt about the damage already done, fear and embarrassment of showing ignorance.

People who challenge the claims of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) are often labeled “global warming skeptics”. Skeptics do not deny that warming occurred in modern times, but, sensibly, questioned the cause. The IPCC said it was due to human production of CO2. This is driven by a political agenda, not science, so any opposition is considered troublesome and requires silencing.

The IPCC claim is an unproven hypothesis. Science advances by proposing hypotheses that other scientists challenge in their proper role as skeptics. The word skeptic has markedly different public and scientific connotation; negative for the former and positive for the latter. Scientists act as skeptics by trying to disprove the hypothesis. Global warming skeptics are acting appropriately.

The IPCC hypothesis was untested. Professor Richard Lindzen, professor of meteorology at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology said that consensus was claimed before the research even began. The IPCC tried to prove the hypothesis, putting them in the untenable position of eliminating, ignoring, or manipulating anything that showed the hypothesis was wrong. They had to shoot the skeptics who were the messengers of the problems.

Evidence showing that the hypothesis was wrong continued to emerge. But the IPCC and the vast majority of mainstream media simply ignored it. IPCC projections were wrong because the hypothesis was wrong. That the skeptics were correct was verified as CO2 levels continued to rise, while temperatures leveled and declined. But instead of amending the science, as is proper science, alarmists simply changed the terminology. They stopped talking about global warming and started talking about climate change. Leaked emails from the Climatic Research Unit for 2004 explained:

Asher Minns, Communication and Centre Manager at the Tyndall Centre:In my experience, global warming freezing is already a bit of a public relations problem with the media.”

Bo Kjellén, former Chief Climate Negotiator, Sweden; senior research fellow, Stockholm Environment Institute: “I agree with Nick that climate change might be a better labeling than global warming.”

Climate change was an ideal label because activist scientists could use it to explain any weather event; hotter, colder, wetter, drier, it was all climate change. The public would not know that such events are normal, so alarmists would have an endless supply of frightening examples. The public also does not know that climate change in general is normal. It has often occurred more quickly and with greater magnitude than most people are aware. Current conditions are well within normal.

Those who knew how much climate changes naturally were those previously called global warming skeptics. They now became climate change deniers with all the holocaust connotations of that word. The fallacy is that they were anything but deniers. Indeed, they spend their careers educating people about the amount of climate change that has and is occurring.

Next time you witness personal attacks on scientists, call the attacker to answer for this despicable tactic. Ask them to address the outstanding science questions only. A hand wave toward the IPCC in response is insufficient.

Soon, when someone calls a person a global warming skeptic or climate change denier, informed observers will come to see it as conclusive proof that the abuser knows nothing about climate or scientific method. Then, the attacker, not the scientist being attacked, will be shunned

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Bruce Cobb
December 20, 2012 7:03 am

In theory, I should be a millionaire by now. Wait! Maybe I am! Excuse me while I go crunch some numbers. Some of them may need “encouragement”.

G. Karst
December 20, 2012 8:04 am

Bruce, if the alarmist are able to enact even 50% of their proposed actions (agenda) – We will all be millionaires. The problem is that a million dollars will be required to buy a loaf of bread. This will be an opportunity to invest in wheel barrows, to replace wallets. GK

izen
December 20, 2012 8:28 am

@- richardscourtney
That you are unable to perceive the overwhelming consilience and support for the AGW theory in the history of the theory’s’ development and the weight of contemporary research relegates you to the tiny minority, less than 10%, who are scientificly literate but reject the AGW theory.
I predict that within a decade you will join the other footnotes of history who rejected the role of SOx emissions in acid rain, lead in IQ damage, CFCs in ozone destruction and tobacco in cancer/heart disease.
Of course, three years in succession with temperatures below the century average and I would at least doubt, and would be looking for alternatives to the AGW theory.
Is there ANY evidence that would cause you to doubt or reassess your position ?

Andy Wehrle
December 20, 2012 8:41 am

“When a label is used, not to identify a position, but, to paint the holder of that position in an unfavorable light, then we’ve entered the PR/political arena.”
Many who claim they are skeptical of CAGW are guilty of this premise. If you use terms like alarmist, warmista, Climate Change Terrorists, etc. it seems to me you have trespassed the same principle.

izen
December 20, 2012 8:42 am

@- philincalifornia
“Come on Izen, there’s a crowd gathering for you.
If you can’t come up with twelve, why not shoot for three ??”
I think you are missing the point of consilience. It is not a case of a few specific bits of research, its the overwhelming majority of all or it pointing in one direction, AND the consistency of that research with the established knowledge in all other fields of scientific study that convinces.
Think of it like an army. it is not twelve, three or thirty particular soldiers that convinces you there is a war, its thousands all advancing in the same direction with the same intention.

DirkH
December 20, 2012 9:03 am

izen says:
December 20, 2012 at 8:42 am
“I think you are missing the point of consilience. It is not a case of a few specific bits of research, its the overwhelming majority of all or it pointing in one direction, AND the consistency of that research with the established knowledge in all other fields of scientific study that convinces.
Think of it like an army. it is not twelve, three or thirty particular soldiers that convinces you there is a war, its thousands all advancing in the same direction with the same intention.”
Izen, all the thousands of computer users in the warmist institutes (granted, they are thousands; whether we shall call them scientists or whatever – pour a few billion a year into ANYTHING and you get some job creation, it’s hard to avoid) – use the same computer models to prognosticate the future, and they ALL suffer from the same principal problems (can’t simulate chaotic systems with finite precision models, should better start with a correct starting state, have never been validated, are fudged with invented aerosol histories to reproduce 20th century, can’t simulate the QBO, can’t simulate local processes like cloud formations,, don’t get latittudinal distribution of clouds right (ever), …)
So by multiplying these research jobs you just achieve to squander the potential productivity of more young people. Scream loud enough and it becomes true?
Must… try … even … harder… does it become twice as true when you double the amount of young people forced to use the same climate models again?
You could try by giving twice as many Nobel peace prices for a start. That’s pretty cheap.

December 20, 2012 9:20 am

Andy Wehrle says:
December 20, 2012 at 8:41 am
“When a label is used, not to identify a position, but, to paint the holder of that position in an unfavorable light, then we’ve entered the PR/political arena.”
Many who claim they are skeptical of CAGW are guilty of this premise. If you use terms like alarmist, warmista, Climate Change Terrorists, etc. it seems to me you have trespassed the same principle.
===============================================================================
None of us are lily white. I have used “alarmist”. I haven’t used the other terms you’ve listed. I have used terms you haven’t listed. (Mannequins, etc.) But I’m not a journalist or scientist. And, for the most part, I’ve only used them here on WUWT and they did identify the PR/political positions of those I was refering to as well as implying my position regarding climate “science” and how it has been used.
PS Would you say Mann’s lawsuit against Dr. Ball or any of his other lawsuits are scientific endeavors?

Dan in Nevada
December 20, 2012 9:43 am

Poptech says:
December 19, 2012 at 6:43 pm
“`Dan in Nevada says: For example, I had no problem believing Saddam was a vicious tyrant, but thought it completely unlikely that he was either behind 9/11 or possessed WMDs.’
You can still be against the war and not be intellectually dishonest about the irrefutable fact that Saddam did have WMDs”
Thanks for the response, Poptech. I was aware of this “amazing find”. From your link, “The munitions addressed in the report were produced in the 1980s, Maples said. Badly corroded, they could not currently be used as originally intended…”, so I don’t think I was being dishonest. The international weapons inspectors were completely correct that there was no ongoing research or development in WMDs and certainly nothing that threatened the United States.
My point, of course, was that we were scammed by our rulers over Iraq in exactly the same way that the establishment is attempting to scam us with CAGW. I wasn’t trying to be deliberately provocative using Iraq as an example – I know there are strong feelings on the part of those who have served in the military or have loved ones who have (or are). However, the parallels are just too strong to ignore. Start with a nugget of truth (Saddam’s an a**hole; CO2 is a greenhouse gas), stir in exaggerations and outright lies (Himalayan glaciers; yellowcake uranium), and top it all off with lots of hysteria and pretty soon you’ve got a lot of people convinced that ‘something needs to be done, dammit’.
A trillion dollars, ~4500 US military deaths, and ~120,000 civilian deaths later, all we’ve got is a place where al quaeda has free reign, where they didn’t before, and a region with an intense hatred of all things American. Meanwhile, Dick Cheney, Halliburton, and others made out just fine, thank you very much. Following the warmists’ agenda will cost a heck of a lot more in both lives and treasure for average people while at the same time a select few, many of whom will be the same folks that profited from Iraq, will accumulate much more power and wealth.
Getting back on topic, you labeled me as intellectually dishonest, which could be paraphrased as someone who denies the evidence, and this was the subject of Dr. Ball’s post. I don’t think I was dishonest at all – others can follow your link and decide for themselves. The point is that societies can be, and are, hoodwinked into spending vast sums by establishing an “everybody knows” meme based on willful lies and distortions. When those untruths start becoming evident, ad hominem attacks (unpatriotic, denier, etc.) replace real argument.
Just so we’re clear, I voted for G.W. in 2000, back when he purported to be against “nation-building” and for free markets. Also, you were polite and not hostile to me – I hope my tone is the same.
Mods – sorry if this is a double post. First attempt appeared to have failed miserably.

Greg House
December 20, 2012 10:03 am

izen says, December 20, 2012 at 8:28 am: “That you are unable to perceive the overwhelming consilience and support for the AGW theory in the history of the theory’s’ development and the weight of contemporary research relegates you to the tiny minority, less than 10%, who are scientificly literate but reject the AGW theory.”
=======================================================
This is so not true.
The Doran&Zimmerman study (2008) demonstrates that 70% of the more than 10,000 Earth scientists polled refuse to confirm AGW: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/04/30/consensus-argument-proves-climate-science-is-political/#comment-972119

john robertson
December 20, 2012 10:56 am

Say it izen so, That you are unable to perceive the Emperors beautiful new clothes…They are so magnificent, airy and bright……
Izen please keep up the fine work. I have been ignoring your posts but now I read them for the humour. Are you sure you are not working for the Big Oil Demons?

Andy Wehrle
December 20, 2012 11:08 am

“None of us are lily white. I have used “alarmist”. I haven’t used the other terms you’ve listed. I have used terms you haven’t listed. (Mannequins, etc.) But I’m not a journalist or scientist. And, for the most part, I’ve only used them here on WUWT and they did identify the PR/political positions of those I was refering to as well as implying my position regarding climate “science” and how it has been used. PS Would you say Mann’s lawsuit against Dr. Ball or any of his other lawsuits are scientific endeavors?”
Those lawsuits are, drum roll please, lawsuits.
My point is that if you use the terms alarmist or warmista or whatever, then according to Dr. Ball you have merely revealed your ignorance. His conclusions apply to all individuals engaged in public discourse – not just those we don’t agree with – indeed Dr. Ball is hoist on his own petard for he uses the term warmista.
If we don’t want to be painted with the same brush as those with whom we disagree then we should refer to them without the perjoratives. I’m just sayin…

Carter
December 20, 2012 11:23 am

FAO richardscourtney
‘It confirms that you are not able to provide any evidence that AGW exists at a discernible degree’ well watch this.
Global warming and co2

Rob Crawford
December 20, 2012 11:43 am

“I think you are missing the point of consilience. It is not a case of a few specific bits of research, its the overwhelming majority of all or it pointing in one direction, AND the consistency of that research with the established knowledge in all other fields of scientific study that convinces.”
But what does any of that matter when the theory fails to predict reality?
You could likely find 10,000 people who will tell you — with supporting documentation — that the sun will not rise on any given day. When the sun rises that day, they are quite simply wrong.
The failure of the “consensus model” to predict what we’re seeing in reality means that the “consensus model” is wrong.

Dan in Nevada
December 20, 2012 12:20 pm

Andy Wehrle says:
December 20, 2012 at 11:08 am
I understand your point, but believe that labeling isn’t inherently wrong as long as it doesn’t mischaracterize your opponents’ position or attempt to associate them with disagreeable ideas they don’t necessarily hold. “Denier” does both; it explicitly identifies skeptics as denying obvious truth or facts and implicitly (and deliberately) associates them with Holocaust deniers.
I kind of like “warmist” as an easy to grasp label that only characterizes, er, warmists as people that believe the planet will inevitably warm due to CAGW. It’s not insulting and serves as an easy shorthand that is readily understood. “Alarmist”, well, that depends on who you’re talking about. Al Gore, for example, certainly is attempting to raise the alarm about global warming. To skeptics, who doubt Al’s sincerity and grasp of science, “alarmist” is more accurate than “scientific spokesman”.
I’m a fairly ardent pacifist, believing force should always be a last resort. If somebody wants to call me a “peacenik”, I’ve got no problem with that even if they mean it pejoratively. “Pinko commie bastard”, on the other hand, is both inaccurate and insulting.
Clearly, “skeptic” is a word that is easy to use and that adequately and fairly describes people who have doubts, rightly or wrongly, about a position such as CAGW. Using denigrating words like “denier” completely demolishes any claim to holding the high ground. Warmists can use terms like “misinformed” or “mistaken” if that’s what they mean.

December 20, 2012 12:30 pm

Andy Wehrle says:
December 20, 2012 at 11:08 am
Gunga Din: “None of us are lily white. I have used “alarmist”. I haven’t used the other terms you’ve listed. I have used terms you haven’t listed. (Mannequins, etc.) But I’m not a journalist or scientist. And, for the most part, I’ve only used them here on WUWT and they did identify the PR/political positions of those I was refering to as well as implying my position regarding climate “science” and how it has been used. PS Wo
uld you say Mann’s lawsuit against Dr. Ball or any of his other lawsuits are scientific endeavors?”+++++++++
Andy: Those lawsuits are, drum roll please, lawsuits.
===================
Me: So were they scientific endeavors?
++++++++++++++++++++
Andy: My point is that if you use the terms alarmist or warmista or whatever, then according to Dr. Ball you have merely revealed your ignorance.
====================
Me: I reveal my own ignorance far for often than I’d like.
My favorite secular quote:
“Everybody is ignorant, only on different subjects.”
Will Rogers
++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Andy: His conclusions apply to all individuals engaged in public discourse – not just those we don’t agree with – indeed Dr. Ball is hoist on his own petard for he uses the term warmista.
If we don’t want to be painted with the same brush as those with whom we disagree then we should refer to them without the perjoratives. I’m just sayin…
===================================================
“Public discourse.” Is that PR? Political? Shouldn’t the science actually be settled before the public is forced to pay for the supposed remedies? (How’s Al Gore’s porfolio been doing since CAGW became political?)
Dr. Ball has been thrust into the PR/political side of this by those who brought and finance the lawsuits against anyone who dares to disagree with CAGW.
If scientific discussion is to bring a bit more certainty to any hypothesis, then why the lawsuits?
So, I ask again, “Would you say Mann’s lawsuit against Dr. Ball or any of his other lawsuits are scientific endeavors?”
Or are thy political?

AndyG55
December 20, 2012 1:08 pm

izen “Think of it like an army. it is not twelve, three or thirty particular soldiers that convinces you there is a war, its thousands all advancing in the same direction with the same intention.””
Ahh, the drone army..or is it the clone army……. or maybe the zombie army ………..approaches. 🙂

philincalifornia
December 20, 2012 1:13 pm

izen:
Thankyou for your post at December 20, 2012 at 1:42 am.
It confirms that you are not able to provide any evidence that AGW exists at a discernible degree.
We all knew that, but your confirmation of it is appreciated.
phil
(Apologies for the blatant plagiarism Richard)

December 20, 2012 2:25 pm

Dan in Nevada says: “Thanks for the response, Poptech. I was aware of this “amazing find”. From your link, “The munitions addressed in the report were produced in the 1980s, Maples said. Badly corroded, they could not currently be used as originally intended…”, so I don’t think I was being dishonest. The international weapons inspectors were completely correct that there was no ongoing research or development in WMDs and certainly nothing that threatened the United States.”

I am well aware many people are completely ignorant of the irrefutable fact that WMDs were found in Iraq. And you are now changing your argument. Nice cherry picking the article, here is the rest,

…the agent remaining in the weapons would be very valuable to terrorists and insurgents, Maples said. “We’re talking chemical agents here that could be packaged in a different format and have a great effect,” he said, referencing the sarin-gas attack on a Japanese subway in the mid-1990s.
This is true even considering any degradation of the chemical agents that may have occurred, Chu said. It’s not known exactly how sarin breaks down, but no matter how degraded the agent is, it’s still toxic.
“Regardless of (how much material in the weapon is actually chemical agent), any remaining agent is toxic,” he said. “Anything above zero (percent agent) would prove to be toxic, and if you were exposed to it long enough, lethal.”
Though about 500 chemical weapons – the exact number has not been released publicly – have been found, Maples said he doesn’t believe Iraq is a “WMD-free zone.”

I am sure you will volunteer your children to determine the lethality of such weapons?

James Allison
December 20, 2012 2:30 pm

izen says:
December 20, 2012 at 1:42 am
You are funny. A quick look at your second link shows what seems to be a huge collection of papers containing opinions, individual perspectives and policy implications derived from computer modelling. Many written by members of The Team. LOL – Why don’t you sift through your pile of papers and cite one showing evidence of CAGW.

Roger Knights
December 20, 2012 3:04 pm

Brian H says:
December 19, 2012 at 8:02 pm
Calling the very people who acknowledge continual climate change (natural) ‘climate change deniers’ is of a piece with the rest of the One Worlder/Warmist position: assert a blatant untruth loudly and repetitively to enforce acceptance. It one-ups the Goebbels tactic, graduating from the Big Lie to the Flood of Big Lies.

Here’s a funny quote wrt that:

TerryS says: April 3, 2011 at 6:47 am
One day they might apply the term “climate-change deniers” to the correct people.

Roger Knights
December 20, 2012 3:19 pm

izen says:
December 20, 2012 at 8:42 am
“I think you are missing the point of consilience. It is not a case of a few specific bits of research, its the overwhelming majority of all or it pointing in one direction, AND the consistency of that research with the established knowledge in all other fields of scientific study that convinces.
Think of it like an army. it is not twelve, three or thirty particular soldiers that convinces you there is a war, its thousands all advancing in the same direction with the same intention.”

But most of that consensus stuff isn’t in dispute or is irrelevant. I.e., there’s lots of proxy studies that indicate the world is warming, there’s studies showing that CO2 is a greenhouse gas, there are studies showing that increasing CO2 will cause increasing temperatures, and there are studies showing that this or that effect will happen if things continue warming. But we don’t deny those things. (Well, we think that a lot of the “impact” studies are overstated.) Warmist proselytizers often (intentionally?) mislead the public into thinking that we contrarians deny those things. We don’t, generally.
The dispute is about the sensitivity of the climate to increases in CO2 (that’s what the furor over Nic Lewis’s paper is about) and about the amount of positive feedback, if any, that will occur if temperatures rise. The warmist case there is much thinner and shakier.

Roger Knights
December 20, 2012 3:32 pm

Andy Wehrle says:
December 20, 2012 at 8:41 am

“When a label is used, not to identify a position, but, to paint the holder of that position in an unfavorable light, then we’ve entered the PR/political arena.”

Many who claim they are skeptical of CAGW are guilty of this premise. If you use terms like alarmist, warmista, Climate Change Terrorists, etc. it seems to me you have trespassed the same principle.

“Warmista” is a venial sin. It’s a diminutive intended to indicate that warmists are just “fans” of warmism, without any real depth. which is true in most cases. As long as it’s not used to poison debate with an opponent in the public sphere, but just for in-house use in our echo chamber, it’s not an offense against civility. (I haven’t used the term myself.)
“Alarmist” easily fits people like McKibben, Gore, Hansen, the folks at the Potsdam Institute (authors of the recent World Bank report), Monbiot, Kongressman Murkey, etc.

December 20, 2012 4:46 pm

izen says: The weekly flow of research is also monitered at some sites, here is a typical example. I suspect that some here are unfamiliar with the sheer weight of evidence that is published weekly in the field.
http://agwobserver.wordpress.com/index/

You seem to be unfamiliar with the sheer weight of peer-reviewed evidence supporting skeptic arguments,
http://www.populartechnology.net/2009/10/peer-reviewed-papers-supporting.html
http://www.nipccreport.org/reports/2009/2009report.html
http://www.nipccreport.org/reports/2011/2011report.html

I expect there are some here that are closer to Lindzen and Spencer, they accept the basic science, but are holding out for as yet undiscovered details that will ameleorate the severity of the projected effects of AGW.

You seem really confused as both considered themselves skeptics,
“I’m sure the majority (but not all) of my IPCC colleagues cringe when I say this, but I see neither the developing catastrophe nor the smoking gun proving that human activity is to blame for most of the warming we see.” – John R. Christy
“Given that the evidence strongly implies that anthropogenic warming has been greatly exaggerated, the basis for alarm due to such warming is similarly diminished.” – Richard S. Lindzen
Dishonestly trying to associate them with your position is a desperate tactic.

December 20, 2012 5:46 pm

Andy Wehrle says: Many who claim they are skeptical of CAGW are guilty of this premise. If you use terms like alarmist, warmista, Climate Change Terrorists, etc. it seems to me you have trespassed the same principle.

“Alarmist” is an accurate description of an AGW proponent who insists on action to prevent [insert climate related disaster]. You can recognize an alarmist by their use of the words “consensus” and/or “denier” when trying to make an argument.

December 20, 2012 5:56 pm

OT:

Dan in Nevada says: The international weapons inspectors were completely correct that there was no ongoing research or development in WMDs and certainly nothing that threatened the United States.
My point, of course, was that we were scammed by our rulers over Iraq in exactly the same way that the establishment is attempting to scam us with CAGW.

My point is your analogy is completely invalid as not only were over 500 WMDs found in Iraq but there is evidence that WMDs were moved to Syria prior to the invasion,
CIA can’t rule out WMD move to Syria (The Washington Times, April 27, 2005)
Former Top Military Aide to Saddam Reveals Dictator’s Secret Plans (Fox News, January 26, 2006)

“Well, I want to make it clear, very clear to everybody in the world that we had the weapon of mass destruction in Iraq and the regime used them against our Iraqi people. It was used against Kurds in the north, against Arabs — marsh Arabs in the south. […] up to the year 2002, in summer, they were in Iraq. And after that, when Saddam realized that the inspectors are coming on the first of November and the Americans are coming, so he took the advantage of a natural disaster happened in Syria, a dam was broken. So he announced to the world that he is going to make an air bridge. […] I know it because I have got the captains of the Iraqi airway that were my friends, and they told me these weapons of mass destruction had been moved to Syria. […] They were moved by air and by ground, 56 sorties by jumbo, 747, and 27 were moved, after they were converted to cargo aircraft, they were moved to Syria.” – Georges Sada, former Iraqi National Security Advisor and retired general officer of the Iraqi Air Force

Next time use a better analogy.

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