Remember this BBC story? Turns out it is another one for the Climate FAIL file.
All sorts of wailing came from that by climate alarmists. The New Scientist claimed there were megatonnes of methane bubbling out at that time. It was even billed under “Arctic Climate Emergency” All of this came from a single paper published in the AGU Geophysical Research Letters. In January 2012, perhaps sensing that it really was hyped up, an essay at RealClimate “Much ado about methane” said:
Methane is a powerful greenhouse gas, but it also has an awesome power to really get people worked up, compared to other equally frightening pieces of the climate story.
Yep. I can recall lots of terrified comments here at WUWT about this, plus some emails along the lines of “if you don’t pay attention to this you’re going to denialist hell”.
Well, a new more comprehensive on-site study has been done, and it has just been announced by the Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel:
Gas Outlets off Spitsbergen Are No New Phenomenon
Expedition to the Greenland Sea with Surprising Results
Marine scientists from Kiel, together with colleagues from Bremen, Great Britain, Switzerland and Norway, spent four and a half weeks examining methane emanation from the sea bed off the coast of Spitsbergen with the German research vessel MARIA S. MERIAN. There they gained a very differentiated picture: Several of the gas outlets have been active for hundreds of years.
Frequent storms and sub-zero temperatures – nature drove the marine researchers that were assessing gas outlets on the sea bed off the coast of Spitsbergen for four and a half weeks to their limits. Nevertheless the participants were very pleased when they returned: “We were able to gather many samples and data in the affected area. With the submersible JAGO we even managed to form an impression of the sea bed and the gas vents” summarised the chief scientist Professor Dr. Christian Berndt from GEOMAR | Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel.
The reason for the expedition was the supposition that ice-like methane hydrates stored in the sea bed were dissolving due to rising water temperatures. “Methane hydrate is only stable at very low temperatures and under very high pressure. The gas outlets off Spitsbergen lie approximately at a depth which marks the border between stability and dissolution. Therefore we presumed that a measurable rise in water temperature in the Arctic could dissolve the hydrates from the top downwards” explained Professor Berndt. Methane could then be released into the water or even into the atmosphere, where it would act as a much stronger greenhouse gas than CO2.
In fact, what the researchers found in the area offers a much more differentiated picture. Above all the fear that the gas emanation is a consequence of the current rising sea temperature does not seem to apply. At least some of the gas outlets have been active for longer. Carbonate deposits, which form when microorganisms convert the escaping methane, were found on the vents. “At numerous emergences we found deposits that might already be hundreds of years old. This estimation is indeed only based on the size of the samples and empirical values as to how fast such deposits grow. On any account, the methane sources must be older” says Professor Berndt. The exact age of the carbonates will be determined from samples in GEOMAR’s laboratories.
“Details will only be known in a few months when the data has been analysed; however the observed gas emanations are probably not caused by human influence” says Berndt. There are two other possible explanations instead: Either they are symptoms of a long term temperature rise or they show a seasonal process where gas hydrates continuously melt and reform.
Another interesting observation made on the expedition, was that a very active microbial community that consumes the methane has established itself on the sea bed. “We were able to detect high concentrations of hydrogen sulphide, which is an indication of methane consuming microbes in the sea bed, and, with the help of JAGO, discovered typical biocoenoses that we recognised from other, older methane outlets” explained microbiologist Professor Dr. Tina Treude from GEOMAR, who also took part in the expedition. “Methane consuming microbes grow only slowly in the sea bed, thus their high activity indicates that the methane has not just recently begun effervescing.”
Colleagues from Bremen, Switzerland, Great Britain and Norway worked alongside marine scientists from GEOMAR and from the Cluster of Excellence “The Future Ocean”. “The study of the gas outlets in the Norwegian Sea is a good example for combined European research” stressed Professor Berndt. Hence German scientists recovered an ocean floor observatory, installed by the British research vessel James Clark Ross a year ago during a joint expedition of the National Oceanography Centre Southampton and the Institut français de recherche pour l’exploitation de la mer (Ifremer). “Understanding the ocean as a system is a challenge that only works in international co-operations” emphasized Berndt. The analysis of the gathered data will also be carried out internationally.
The expedition at a glance:
FS MARIA S. MERIAN journey: MSM21/4
Head of Expedition: Prof. Dr. Christian Berndt (GEOMAR)
Length of Expedition: 13th Aug. 2012-11th Sept. 2012
Place of Departure: Reykjavik
Research Area: West of Spitsbergen
Place of Arrival: Emden
Further Information on the GEOMAR expedition page
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The bottom of the ocean leaks oil, methane, heck, even tar / asphalt all over the globe. They are such natural materials that specific forms of life have evolved to live off of such seeps over millions of years.
http://chiefio.wordpress.com/2012/09/16/theres-oil-on-that-ocean-bottom/
It has probably been part of the planet since before life existed:
http://chiefio.wordpress.com/2012/03/25/did-crude-oil-rain-from-the-sky/
we also have liquid CO2 plumes on the ocean bottom…
http://chiefio.wordpress.com/2011/12/10/liquid-co2-on-the-ocean-bottom/
somehow I think that matters…
@Otter:
Yes. Japan and Canada:
http://chiefio.wordpress.com/2010/11/30/clathrate-to-production/
First production expected about 2018.
How much?
About 2 x ALL other fossil fuels:
http://marine.usgs.gov/fact-sheets/gas-hydrates/gas-hydrates-3.gif
So the ocean bottom is just covered in the stuff. It bubbles up in amounts we can’t even measure (as does CO2 from the ocean bottom). We have no clue if it has any pattern of growth, reduction, or cycles. But just assume all methane and CO2 changes are due to people…
It’s the end of the world as we know it!
http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2012/09/27/501221/arctic-methane-release-the-end-of-the-world-as-we-know-it/
Malcolm, actually, it’s even WORSE than “the end of the world as we know it!” When you get down to the tail end of that article you find this: “even if it is released into the ocean rather than into the air (it will still equilibrate with the atmosphere, after a few centuries, converging to the same “long tail” CO2 trajectory ” ) And then the first two commenters lead off their observations with: “Sorry to say that it appears Katey Anthony is being a bit too conservative.” and “this is what has me up nights!”
The hype and the fear. Check out the first 15 seconds of this video and you’ll learn that we are in the middle of public health crisis bigger than the Black Plague! :
http://ucsfbenioffchildrenshospital.org/news/2012/02/societal_control_of_sugar_essential_to_ease_public_health_bu.html
Can’t anyone just accept the idea that things might just possibly be NORMAL anymore?
– MJM
@PPugliano
I really appreciate that link to the Russian paper on the abiotic origin of oil. The lab experiment shows that the theory was correct, that the hydrocarbons formed in the predicted ratios and at the temperature and pressure theoretically required.
My buddy Philip The Chemist said, “Yup! And, as usual, the formal thermodynamics of the Russians stands them in excellent stead.”
Oil is not a fossil fuel. Neither is almost all methane. The pressure at which the ratios of CxHy are found in oil from the ground corresponds to 100 km deep, well into the mantle.