As readers have seen here and here, Monckton presented a presentation to committee members of the California Assembly yesterday at the invitation of Assemblywoman Shannon Grove of Bakersfield. There were no Democratic members present during the presentation that I was aware of, as they made their intentions known early on.
The slide show in entirety is presented below, click to download and view the PDF file.
Monckton_ca_assembly_presentation (PDF 11.2 MB)
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And here’s the summary:
Testimony of
The Viscount Monckton of Brenchley
California State Assembly
21 March 2012
IN the 6 decades since 1950 the world has warmed at a rate equivalent to 2 F°/century. The IPCC’s central estimate is that in the 9 decades to 2100 the rate will be 6 F°/century, three times the observed rate.
Two-thirds of the warming predicted by the IPCC’s (non-peer-reviewed) models is supposed to arise from temperature feedbacks. None of these feedbacks can be measured. There is no consensus about how big they are. There are powerful scientific reasons to suspect the IPCC has very greatly overstated them.
The principal conclusions of each of the four IPCC Assessment Reports are questionable:
- 2007: The IPCC twice concludes that the rate of warming is speeding up and we are to blame. But it uses a false statistical technique to reach its conclusion.
- 2001: The IPCC concludes that today’s temperatures are warmer than in 1300 years. How it reached this conclusion is under criminal investigation.
- 1995: The scientists had concluded that no discernible human effect on climate could be found. Just one man rewrote the report to say the opposite.
- 1990: The IPCC predicted rapid warming. A generation has passed and the predicted warming has not happened. This and many other predictions are overblown:
- Global temperature is rising more slowly than IPCC’s least estimate;
- Sea level has been rising for eight years at just 1.3 inches/century;
- Ocean heat content has barely risen in 6 years;
- Hurricanes and tropical cyclones are quieter than for 30 years;
- Global sea-ice extent has changed little in 30 years;
- Methane concentration is up just 20 parts per billion since 2000;
- The tropical hot-spot the IPCC predicts as our footprint is absent;
- Outgoing radiation is escaping to space much as usual.
California’s carbon tax, with other statewide measures to curb CO2 emissions, will cost $450 billion by 2020. Even if 25% of California’s emissions are abated by 2020, just 0.4% of global emissions will have been abated; CO2 concentration by 2020, instead of the business-as-usual 413 parts per million by volume the IPCC predicts, will be 412.9 ppmv; just one-thousandth of a Fahrenheit degree of warming will be abated; the cost of abating the 0.3 F° warming the IPCC predicts to 2020 by measures as cost-(in)effective as California’s policies would be $180 trillion, or $25,500 per head of global population, or a third of global GDP over the period; and the cost of preventing the 6 F° warming the IPCC predicts by 2100 would be $2700 trillion, or more than 10 times the maximum 3%-of-GDP cost of climate-related damage arising from not mitigating this predicted 21st-century warming at all.
Environmental over-regulation, cap-and-tax, “renewable”-energy mandates, and a 40-year ban on most offshore drilling are crippling California. The Monterey Shale holds 15 billion barrels of oil, yet over-regulation has cut production by more than a third to just 200 million barrels a year. Now 11% are jobless in California, second only to Nevada in the US (50% are jobless in construction); the 2012/13 State deficit is $6 billion; unfunded pension liabilities are $250 billion; 50,000 rich Californians (one-third of them) fled in 2007-2009, taking their businesses and jobs with them: twice as many firms fled the once-Golden State in 2011 as in 2010; Intel says it will never build another plant here; Globalstar, Trizetto, and eEye fled in just one month; Boeing, Toyota, Apple, Facebook, and DirecTV have all fled. The wagons are heading East.
The bottom line: No policy to abate global warming by taxing, trading, regulating, reducing, or replacing greenhouse-gas emissions will prove cost-effective solely on grounds of the welfare benefit from climate mitigation. CO2 mitigation strategies that are inexpensive enough to be affordable will be ineffective; strategies costly enough to be effective will be unaffordable. Focused adaptation to any adverse consequences of any warming that may occur is many times more cost-effective. Since the premium greatly exceeds the cost of the risk, don’t insure. Every red cent spent now on trying to stop global warming is a red cent wasted. Don’t mitigate: sit back, enjoy the sunshine, and adapt only if and when and to the extent necessary. That, however unfashionable, is the economically prudent and scientifically sensible course.
WMO annual statement confirms 2011 as 11th warmest on record
Posted 23 March
Climate change accelerated in 2001-2010, according to preliminary assessment
http://www.wmo.int/pages/mediacentre/news/index_en.html
They do not give up their purposes!, It´s as Lord Monckton said: They want GLOBAL GOVERNANCE now!
If those elected officials who now manage California’s state government honestly believe, in a truly serious way, that carbon emissions threaten the planet, they need to fish or cut bait on global warming. They need to demonstrate in a very positive and very proactive way that they honestly believe the theoretical dangers of carbon pollution to be a real and immediate threat to California’s citizens.
If these officials actually want to demonstrate the courage of their convictions regarding the supposed danger of carbon emissions to the planet’s health and survival, and also to demonstrate that their own actions do indeed follow their own words — then they should declare a carbon pollution emergency in California, and they should immediately take those steps needed to effect a quick and significant reduction in California’s carbon emissions, using a program of enforced energy rationing if that’s what it would take to meet their emission reduction targets.
For these politicians to do otherwise is to demonstrate that they are merely pandering to the environmentalist community for votes, as opposed to doing what the situation would seem to demand, and that is to press for immediate implementation of the kinds of difficult and unpopular actions which are necessary to effect a significant reduction in California’s carbon emissions — including a program of government-enforced energy rationing, if nothing else works.
In the meantime, the rest of us can stand well back from the situation and observe the political and economic fallout from what would be the nation’s first truly serious attempt at achieving significant carbon emission reductions.
It looks to me that he localizes the economic insanity example for his each audience. The Australian presentation used Australian examples/numbers, the California presentation used California numbers, etc.
Rob Crawford says:
March 23, 2012 at 9:01 am
…
I’ve never before heard a AGW alarmist express concern over this.
_________________________
My opinion is that skeptics should fight emotional abuse with reason, not with another emotional abuse.
Anthony,
As a native of New Jersey, I can make the following recommendation without having “a dog in the fight”: Texas.
I spent 18 months on assignment there, and it’s a great state. People are friendly, hard working and alway say “hello” with a smile. Lots of space, and I hear tell it’s very pro-business. If my wife ever convinces me to move, Texas will be at the top of the list of places to look at.
Let me preface this by stating that I’m a staunch Tea Party supporter and life-long conservative. But I think we should stay away from blindly characterizing the CAGW issue as a political left/right divide. I know, I know, in many ways it is. But living in Maryland and working in DC, I have many liberal friends (kinda unavoidable in this area unless you just don’t want to have any friends). Believe it or not, a pretty large proportion of these “liberal socialist morons” you’re mis-characterizing recognize the CAGW alarmism for what it really is.
What will finally kill this scam, the only thing that will finally kill this scam – is when the throwing of the BS flag crosses party lines. At that point, it’s done. We should reach out, not push away.
In reply to TomB,
TomB says:
March 23, 2012 at 10:34 am
William Astley says:
March 23, 2012 at 9:05 am
“What will finally kill this scam, the only thing that will finally kill this scam – is when the throwing of the BS flag crosses party lines. At that point, it’s done. We should reach out, not push away.”
I fully and completely support your point. A scam is a scam regardless of a person’s political affiliation. The extreme AGW fiasco crosses party lines. It is a threat to the economic viability of all Western countries. Billions and billions of dollars have already been wasted. It is impossible that trillions and trillions will be wasted on the extreme AGW scams as there will be complete economic collapse early in the program.
The tide may be changing. I have notice a number of the extreme AGW scientists starting to discuss the scams as scams. For example the food to biofuel scam.
When a group of people standup in a theater and yell FIRE, FIRE, FIRE!!! It is natural that some people will panic, trusting the honesty of those making the statements. It is very, very, difficult for those scientists who yelled FIRE, FIRE, FIRE!!! to admit that they were absolutely incorrect.
The warming due to a doubling of atmospheric CO2 will be less than 1C with most of the warming occurring at high latitudes. The biosphere will and is expanding due to the increases in atmospheric CO2 and the warming majority of which is a high latitudes. CO2 is not a poison.
Men and women go mad as a crowd. They regain their senses one by one.
Concern troll. Get lost.
[snip . . this is more than oblique . . it’s opaque . . kbmod]
You within easy drive of these guys?
Lawrenceville Plasma Physics Inc.
128 Lincoln Blvd.
Middlesex, NJ 08846-1022
Phone: (732) 356-5900
If so, please drop around, get the tour. Report back to us. Could be hugely important to the climate issue, among many other things.
Anthony,
Yes, both Apple and Facebook have datacenters outside of California (its worth noting that Apple doesn’t actually own any factories in China, they just contract with suppliers there). I suppose you could argue that expensive electricity is one of the reasons why datacenters are not being (primarily) built in California. However, both Apple and Facebook are not only staying headquartered here in the Bay Area, but both are actively expanding their campuses as they move into new headquarters. Insinuating that the restrictive business environment is causing them to flee the state is misleading at best.
In your reply, both examples you pointed out were foreign facilities. If California’s restrictive business environment were the reason why these facilities were located abroad (rather than, say, in a neighboring state with less restrictive business practices), than it would say something about the US regulatory environment in general rather than something specific to California. Chinese manufacturing is a whole ‘nother story entirely, and no state (California’s regulatory environment notwithstanding) could compete with the supply chains over there. Speaking as someone who has started a tech company and is based in San Francisco, there is really no other place in the country that I would rather be located. Having talked to friends who are executives at both Facebook and Apple, there is no place they would rather be headquartered either.
@Lew Skannen:
This is about buying Carbon /ton at :US$0.00054545454545 (US$3.- per hectare/year, actual amazon jungle price paid to “Apus”-pronounced Ahpoos- -tribe´s chiefs-) and selling it at US$23.19 = a “poor revenue” of 4´251,500 %
If you are not being paid, at less a small fee for it, you are playing a fools game.
Edit: one of them has to be positive. Pick one. Hint: it’s not the first.
😀
kbmod, No, you need to re-read. He calls both “resists” and “amplifies” negative. Wrong-O.
>:(
Brian H says:
March 23, 2012 at 12:09 pm
We should ask Lord M. if he could hear the giant sucking sound while he was there …
😉
[snip . . this is more than oblique . . it’s opaque . . kbmod]
That’s an expression often used when something is going down the drain, as in the economy of California, and the businesses leaving. Sorry it exceeded your comprehension level!
<;-(
10 – California’s high corporate tax rates….
9 – Hostility from government agencies — local, county and state employees often view business owners as “the enemy,” according to Vranich’s clients.
8 – Costly, business-killing regulatory measures…..
……………………………..
3 – California’s Alternative Minimum Tax…
2 – Litigious environment in California …
1 – General quality of life…
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There are also many hidden costs to living in CA. For example, I drive a 24 year old Toyota MR2 that I keep in great shape. It recently flunked the biennial smog check (CA has smog checks, but no safety inspection) I had the mechanic replace the Cat Converter. The 49 state version was $250 but the CA version was $600. This for a car I drive 4000 miles/year. Endless examples………………….
There is certainly no warming in this part of the State of California. Darn cold and windy.
And that is well within the normal range of variance over the last 140 years.
Last summer was late and short, with many gardens under-producing.
I WISH we had the warming we had the last 30 years, but, like a mind which is a terrible thing to waste, it’s GONE.
I’m afraid that few of us here actually get this.
It’s all politics, there is NO science involved, there never was!
Global temperature… Bovine excrement. Do you really believe that they don’t understand that without humidity, temperature is irrelevant?
We win battles but they will win the war! They rely on the ignorance of the public and the public are so engrossed in the various reality TV programs, they have taken their eye off the ball.
Add to that things like this…
[youtube http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qhm7-LEBznk&w=420&h=315%5D
Who can wonder why, despite the battle victories, we are losing?
DaveE.
The important thing about Lord Monckton is that he gives the alarmists no where to hide. The alarmists can ignore real world physics by retreating into their own physical fantasy world and pretending that actual physics does not exist. However, Lord Monckton goes into their physical fantasy world and plays by their rules and uses clear logic to show them how wrong they are. They cannot ignore this and cannot go anywhere because Lord Monckton is already in their house and not yelling from the outside saying that the foundations of their house is flawed.
The universe only works one way and it really does not care what anyone thinks.
Time to leave California and come here to Tennessee. We need California’s richest people and the jobs they will bring to this state. Cost of living is lower and so are taxes. Beautiful country in all parts of the state. I live in Knoxville. It is similar to Sacramento. Take a look.
Well, yesterday I found out that Monckton is a birther – that doesn’t bode too well. Anyway, I just couldn’t think of any good reason why he would comment on the subject in the first place, as I have never heard him speak outside of climate affairs.
WE CAN’T WIN!
If the Warmistas can get any plans to lower CO2 approved and temperatures drop as Coolistas believe the Warmistas will claim that they’ve saved the world and there’ll be nothing we can do to stop this B$. We need a goal line stand long enough to see a significant drop in temperatures before they take credit where none is due.
The viscount comes from a very accomplished family.
http://peeragenews.blogspot.com/2006/06/2nd-viscount-monckton-of-brenchley-cb.html
And he inherited his ancestor’s balls.
-Joe
David A. Evans,
Thanks for the Travis and Chelsea yt link.
The sad part is Chelsea is working on her PhD in Climate Science.
or is it Physics?
Monckton will hopefully find the time to come back to WUWT and be ready to debate his critics.
Looking forward to it.
REPLY: While I can’t hear what Hadfield is saying (he sounds like a British mumble to me) they seem totally infatuated with their manhunt, so much for Hadfield’s repeated claims of being “dispassionate and logical”. Thanks for posting this. When he starts colluding with that hateful “greenman”, all semblance of rational debate is destroyed.
This video then cements my decision not to provide any further space to Hadfield here. – Anthony