This might be a bit overzealous per Morano’s unique writing style, but compared to some of the stuff we’ve seen from warmists, pretty mild. Lots of useful links and notes – Anthony
By Marc Morano – Climate Depot
Below is the Introduction to the report. Full report is available here. (PDF)
INTRODUCTION:
Many of the proponents of man-made global warming are now claiming that climate change is worse than they predicted. According to an October 18, 2011 Daily Climate article, global warming activists claim that the “evidence builds that scientists underplay climate impacts” and “if anything, global climate disruption is likely to be significantly worse than has been suggested.”
But this exclusive Climate Depot exhaustive A-Z Climate Reality Check report on the scientific reality of the failure of man-made global warming shatters any such illusions that the climate is “worse than we thought.” As the real world evidence mounts that global warming claims are failing, the climate activists have ramped up predictions of future climate change impacts to declare that it “worse than we thought.” But a prediction or projection of 50-100 years into the future is not “evidence.” Recent scientific data and developments reveal that Mother Nature is playing a cruel joke on the promoters of man-made climate fears.
The scientific reality is that on virtually every claim — from A-Z — the claims of the promoters of man-made climate fears are failing, and in many instances the claims are moving in the opposite direction. The global warming movement is suffering the scientific death of a thousand cuts. This Climate Depot special report categorizes and indexes the full range of climate developments in a handy A-Z reference guide. The A-Z report includes key facts, peer-reviewed studies and the latest data and developments with links for further reading, on an exhaustive range of man-made global warming claims.
The Antarctic sea ice extent has been at or near record extent in the past few summers and the ice is expanding, the Arctic has rebounded in recent years since the low point in 2007, polar bears are thriving, sea level is not showing acceleration and is actually dropping, Cholera and Malaria are failing to follow global warming predictions, Mount Kilimanjaro melt fears are being made a mockery by gains in snow cover, global temperatures have been holding steady for a decade or more and many scientists are predicting global cooling is ahead, deaths due to extreme weather are radically declining, global tropical cyclone activity is near historic lows, the frequency of major U.S. hurricanes has declined, the oceans are missing their predicted heat content, big tornados have dramatically declined since the 1970s, droughts are not historically unusual nor caused by mankind, there is no evidence we are currently having unusual weather, scandals continue to rock the climate fear movement, the UN IPCC has been exposed as being a hotbed of environmental activists, former Vice President Al Gore is now under siege by his fellow global warming activists for attempting to link every bad weather event to man-made global warming and scientists from around the world continue to dissent from man-made climate fears at a rapid pace.
Proponents of anthropogenic climate change have been reduced to making outlandish claims of a mythical 97% or 98% consensus. See: Global Warming: A ‘98% Consensus Of Nothing’: ‘Only shameless activists or statistically ignorant claim that survey of 77 anonymous scientists’ is proof of 98% ‘consensus’. Once esteemed science groups like the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) have now corrupted and have used taxpayer money to lobby for the passage of climate bills. See: Ralph Cicerone’s Shame: NAS Urges Carbon Tax, Becomes Advocacy Group — ‘political appointees heading politicized scientific institutions that are virtually 100% dependent on gov’t funding’ & NAS Pres. Ralph Cicerone Turns Science Org. into political advocacy group: $6 million NAS study is used to lobby for global warming bill & MIT’s Richard Lindzen: ‘Cicerone of NAS is saying that regardless of evidence the answer is predetermined. If gov’t wants carbon control, that is the answer that the NAS will provide’
Movement ‘was bound to fail’
A movement that had Al Gore – one of the most divisive political figures – as the face of the movement, was bound to fail. A movement that utilized the scandal ridden United Nations – which is massively distrusted by the American people – as the repository of science, was doomed to fail. Gore and the UN IPCC are now reduced to pointing to every storm, flood, hurricane or tornado as proof of man-made global warming. The UN has been reduced to blaming man-made global warming for prostitution. See: Climate Astrology — ‘It Has Been Foretold’ of Extreme Weather: ‘UN IPCC science has a status similar to interpretations of Nostradamus and the Mayan calendars’ & Climate Astrology borrows from the past: ‘Before That Witch Moved Into The Neighborhood, We Never Had Bad Weather Or Disease’
But a scientific moment of clarity is now prevailing: The UN and the U.S. Congress do not have the power to legislate, tax or regulate the weather. See: Princeton University Physicist Dr. Will Happer: ‘The idea that Congress can stop climate change is just hilarious’ – Warns of ‘climate change cult’ – July 8, 2009 – Prominent scientists continue to challenge the alleged “consensus.” See: Nobel Prize-Winning Physicist Who Endorsed Obama Dissents! Dr. Ivar Giaever Resigns from American Physical Society Over Group’s Promotion of Man-Made Global Warming
‘Climate change is governed by hundreds of factors, or variables’
The idea that CO2, a trace essential gas in the atmosphere that humans exhale form their mouth, is the main climate driver is now being challenged by peer-reviewed studies, data and scientists from around the globe. It is not simply, the sun or CO2 when looking at global temperatures, it is the Sun, volcanoes, tilt of the Earth’s axis, water vapor, methane, clouds, ocean cycles, plate tectonics, albedo, atmospheric dust, Atmospheric Circulation, cosmic rays, particulates like Carbon Soot, forests and land use, etc. Climate change is governed by hundreds of factors, or variables, not just CO2.
Professor Emeritus of Biogeography Philip Stott of the University of London explained the crux of the entire global warming debate when he rebutted the notion that CO2 is the main climate driver.
“As I have said, over and over again, the fundamental point has always been this: climate change is governed by hundreds of factors, or variables, and the very idea that we can manage climate change predictably by understanding and manipulating at the margins one politically-selected factor (CO2), is as misguided as it gets,” Stott wrote.
Even the global warming activists at RealClimate.org admitted to this key climate reality in a September 20, 2008 article. “The actual temperature rise is an emergent property resulting from interactions among hundreds of factors,” RealClimate.org explained.
The global warming movement continues to lose scientists, many formerly with the UN IPCC. See: More Than 1000 International Scientists Dissent Over Man-Made Global Warming Claims – Challenge UN IPCC & Gore
The future does not look bright for global warming activists as more scandals continue to rock the movement. See: Climate Depot’s Exclusive Round Up of Climategate 2.0 – Read about the most comprehensive report on the latest global warming scandal – Even warmists are lamenting that Climate 2.o may be ‘devastating’: ‘These [emails] sound worse than I thought at first – their impact will be devastating’
MIT climate scientist Dr. Richard Lindzen has observed that “Ordinary people see through man-made climate fears — but educated people are very vulnerable.”
A-Z Climate Reality Check (Editor’s Note: This A-Z report will be regularly updated and will serve as a handy reference guide to man-made global warming claims.)
Full PDF report is available here.
if its worse than we thought, then the delegates don’t agree:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-16080539
To support such thinking during the COP17 revelry at Durban, Seth Borenstein, Associated Press, has published an article claiming:
.
“Billion-dollar weather disasters smash US record. By SETH BORENSTEIN | AP – 10 hrs ago.”
One of the items of disinformation included in his article is the inclusion of the wildfire disasters in the Southwestern U.S. being the consequence of Global Warming. Unmentioned in the article is the role of illegal immigrants setting fire to these areas as a part of their illegal border crossing activities. This is yet another example of how Seth Borenstein and his ilk have the perfect opportunity to show the world a genuine example of anthropogenic activities warming the planet’s landscape with deliberate arson, and he neglects to do so and hides the real world instances of AGW.
it must be happening, must be, the BBC says so, even David Attenborough says so. I have the highest regard for David, he is a giant amongst his profession, The BBC have put a tarnish on his latest work, with the help of WWF et al. Dam shame!.
Ammonite;
Any 5th grade science student can read the below set of graphs and see that the tiny-tiny-tiny recent warming is nothing but a blip of noise in a very noisy past set of temperatures.
http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2009/12/noaa_gisp2_icecore_anim3.gif
When I show ALL Engineers and scientists this animation they shake their heads and say—That’s’ it? That’s what this global warming scare is all about? A tiny 0.6C blip of warming over the past 100years? That’s what we are trying to convince people to spend huge parts of the planets GDP—trillions of dollars to fix?
So now basically we have a gaggle of “Climate Scientists” mostly from universities who have never had to design a real thing like a bridge or like life saving drugs and be responsible for the outcomes of their predictions. In the cliamtegate emails they have now been caught to acknowledge these simple facts. Heck they don’t even want anybody checking their simulations with positive feedback fudge factors. So when I see trolls like you and other chicken little’s running around like the sky is falling and want to spend MY money on this technical misleading garbage I get really pissed at your foolishness!
You just know that all this Global climate warming cooling extreme weather change theyre constantly promoting is hogwash for one simple reason: Its the high pressure sales technique they use to try and sell it.
Buy now! One only! Never to be repeated! Dont lose yours! and all that familar stuff so beloved of con artists across the globe.
“Do it now or youre doomed, sign here”…. and the moment that familiar stink wafts around the media and up your nostrils you just know its all bull.
Offering up the “scary scenarios” to get “something” done about a none problem was always doomed to fail.
It might well stir up a hornets nest in the first instance, but after a while, it all settles down and because their predictions of doom ( Harold Camping style) fail to live up to expectations then theyll continue to keep losing any semblance of credibility (not of course that they had much to spare, i mean, GIGO models? c’mon fellas you can do better than that….cant you?), but then what do they expect? Reading the bones and tea leaves as opposed to proper scientific study and rigor was always going to end badly for them and rightly so.
We’ve had the end of the world via hot methods, and high sea level methods, and unbreathable air methods, im quite looking forward to some pestilence.
I was just wondering if all the scientists theyve excluded and done dirty deeds on couldnt form their own scientific group to promote real science instead of this garbage pseudoclaptrap we keep getting from the whackjobs at cru and uea …….et al?
THE TRUTH ABOUT SEA LEVELS
An interesting article in the Spectator by Nils-Axel Morner trashes completely all the scare stories about rising sea levels from the BBC, Gore, the IPCC, and all the other lying propagandists.
See the whole article here http://www.spectator.co.uk/essays/7438683/rising-credulity.thtml
Here is part of it –
“…But the IPCC’s Fourth Assessment Report (2007) tells a different story about sea levels worldwide and is worth quoting in some detail: ‘Even under the most conservative scenario, sea level will be about 40cm higher than today by the end of 21st century and this is projected to increase the annual number of people flooded in coastal populations from 13 million to 94 million. Almost 60 per cent of this increase will occur in South Asia.’
“This is nonsense. The world’s true experts on sea level are to be found at the INQUA (International Union for Quaternary Reseach) commission on Sea Level Changes and Coastal Evolution (of which I am a former president), not at the IPCC. Our research is what the climate lobby might call an ‘inconvenient truth’: it shows that sea levels have been oscillating close to the present level for the last three centuries. This is not due to melting glaciers: sea levels are affected by a great many factors, such as the speed at which the earth rotates. They rose in the order of 10 to 11cm between 1850 and 1940, stopped rising or maybe even fell a little until 1970, and have remained roughly flat ever since.
“So any of the trouble attributed to ‘rising sea levels’ must instead be the result of other, local factors and basic misinterpretation. In Bangladesh, for example, increased salinity in the rivers (which has affected drinking water) has in fact been caused by dams in the Ganges, which have decreased the outflow of fresh water.
“Even more damaging has been the chopping down of mangrove trees to clear space for shrimp farms. In one area, 19 square miles of mangrove vegetation in 1988 had by 2005 decreased to barely half a square mile. Mangrove forests offer excellent protection against the damage of cyclones and storms, so inevitably their systematic destruction has drastically increased local vulnerability to these problems.
“At Tuvalu in the Pacific, I found no evidence of flooding — despite claims in Al Gore’s An Inconvenient Truth that it was one of those ‘low-lying Pacific nations’ whose residents have had to ‘evacuate their homes because of rising seas’. In fact the tide gauge of the past 25 years clearly shows there has been no rise.
“But the best-known ‘victim’ of rising sea levels is, without doubt, the Maldives. This myth has been boosted by the opportunism of Mohamed Nasheed, who stars in a new documentary called The Island President. The film’s tagline is ‘To save his country, he has to save our planet’. It is a depressing example of how Hollywood-style melodrama has corrupted climate science. Nasheed has been rehearsing his lines since being elected in 2009. ‘We are drowning, our nation will disappear, we have to relocate the people,’ he repeatedly claims.
“If this is what President Nasheed believes, it seems strange that he has authorised the building of many large waterside hotels and 11 new airports. Or could it perhaps be that he wants to take a cut of the $30 billion fund agreed at an accord in Copenhagen for the poorest nations hit by ‘global warming’? Within two weeks of Copenhagen, the Maldives foreign minister Ahmed Shaheed wrote to the US secretary of state Hillary Clinton to express support for the accord.
“The IPCC’s Fourth Assessment claimed that ‘there is strong evidence’ of sea level rising over the last few decades. It goes as far as to claim: ‘Satellite observations available since the early 1990s provide more accurate sea level data with nearly global coverage. This decade-long satellite altimetry data set shows that since 1993, sea level has been rising at a rate of around 3mm yr–1, significantly higher than the average during the previous half century. Coastal tide gauge measurements confirm this observation, and indicate that similar rates have occurred in some earlier decades.’
“Almost every word of this is untrue.
“Satellite altimetry is a wonderful and vital new technique that offers the reconstruction of sea level changes all over the ocean surface. But it has been hijacked and distorted by the IPCC for political ends.
“In 2003 the satellite altimetry record was mysteriously tilted upwards to imply a sudden sea level rise rate of 2.3mm per year. When I criticised this dishonest adjustment at a global warming conference in Moscow, a British member of the IPCC delegation admitted in public the reason for this new calibration: ‘We had to do so, otherwise there would be no trend.’
“This is a scandal that should be called Sealevelgate. As with the Hockey Stick, there is little real-world data to support the upward tilt. It seems that the 2.3mm rise rate has been based on just one tide gauge in Hong Kong (whose record is contradicted by four other nearby tide gauges). Why does it show such a rise? Because like many of the 159 tide gauge stations used by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, it is sited on an unstable harbour construction or landing pier prone to uplift or subsidence. When you exclude these unreliable stations, the 68 remaining ones give a present rate of sea level rise in the order of 1mm a year.
“If the ice caps are melting, it is at such a small rate globally that we can hardly see its effects on sea level. I certainly have not been able to find any evidence for it. The sea level rise today is at most 0.7mm a year — though, probably, much smaller.
“…The true facts are found by observing and measuring nature itself, not in the IPCC’s computer-generated projections. There are many urgent natural problems to consider on Planet Earth — tsunamis, earthquakes, volcanic eruptions not least among them. But the threat of rising sea levels is an artificial crisis.”
Strangely, although this article was published a while ago, there has been no mention of it anywhere in the British MSM.
“promoters of man-made climate fears”
I like this term.
We need more articles like this, the alarmists are going to be moving the goalposts as their dire predictions fail.
JEM:
Thanks for that, but i am still having the same problem. No matter, I have followed the link provided by the other guys and i’m guessing this must be where Mark got his data from. Thanks all.
No matter what you throw at them, they won’t give up.
Now we are endangering humankind
Sen. Boxer to climate-change deniers: ‘You are endangering humankind’
http://thehill.com/blogs/e2-wire/e2-wire/197815-boxer-to-climate-deniers-you-are-endangering-human-kind
Gary & Mike:
Thanks for the links. I had a good look but could not find a straightforward chart showing sea ice volume; all the graphs and charts just seemed to concentrate on sea ice extent & coverage. Obviously it is the overall volume that is the more important factor here and I assume it is this that Mark Morano is refering to in his paper. It’s possible I have missed something as I am not altogether scientifically literate so can you point me in the right direction if this is the case. Many thanks.
Climate catastrophe has postponed due to lack of funds.
“It’s worse than we thought!”
Yes, global warming and then climate change didn’t work for long and now global climate disruption is failing to hold their attention and we’re fast running out of terminology to frighten them with.
This type of manipulation is not new, nor is it surprising. It is demonstrative. However, it brings up the question: What has the INQUA commission and yourself done, since 2003 or AR4 to correct the IPPC or expose the fraud since. Informing sceptics is a start however your organization should be squalling at the top of their collective voices. Otherwise, what good are they, if they are superseded by the IPCC. Y’all are an authority or NOT. GK
Ammonite,
If you think that after people follow that link they are gonna think “OMG, he’s dead right – the warming is real and consistent,” in a Damascean conversion, then I can only say that you must have a very poor understanding of WUWT bloggers. There is nothing in that graph on RC that nobody here hasn’t seen over and over.
The problem we sceptics have is a) on a larger timescale, temperatures have risen (Roman, medieval warm periods) then fallen (dark ages, little ice age) then risen, so in what way is this current warming unprecedented? b) Why has the warming stopped despite higher than ever co2 levels? c) Where is the missing heat that Trenberth is on about? d) Why is there more warming in the northern hemisphere than southern if co2 is a well mixed gas?
If you want to convert sceptics, provide convincing answers without resorting to magic, and we’ll see how that works out.
Durban Current Weather
Yesterday (Wednesday) really felt like summer had kicked in. That has all changed today. A most unsummer-like and bitter wind has come up from the South, and today it has been wet and thoroughly miserable. Rest assured — none of the Delegates will be stretching out on any beach today.
Incidentally, our local weekly rag came out this morning with its main headline being “Climate talk detractors land on ‘Toti beach”. (The main beach of Amanzimtoti, abbreviated ‘Toti, was where Lord Monckton and his little party parachuted down a couple of days back). So, a new one, — we are now “detractors”!
Geoff Alder
Watching the local TV news in South Africa it seems there have been fisticuffs in the hall between African supporters of the Africa stance ( send us money ) and the Zuma stance of “let’s do a deal with the EU”.
Quite disturbing really.
http://www.news24.com/SciTech/News/Activists-claim-Zuma-supporters-attacked-them-20111208-2
Vince Causey says: December 8, 2011 at 7:48 am
The problem we sceptics have is a) on a larger timescale, temperatures have risen (Roman, medieval warm periods) then fallen (dark ages, little ice age) then risen, so in what way is this current warming unprecedented? b) Why has the warming stopped despite higher than ever co2 levels? c) Where is the missing heat that Trenberth is on about? d) Why is there more warming in the northern hemisphere than southern if co2 is a well mixed gas?
a) Check for qualifiers in the source statements when reading terms like “unprecedented” (eg. last 1000 years). Current warming is clearly not unprecedented on geological time scales. It is important to make distinctions between what scientists are claiming and what journalists are reporting.
b) ?? Warming is proceeding at ~0.16C/decade in all 5 temperature sets tested and has been consistent across the 1979-2010 period with 2009/10 being the two warmest years in all 5 cases. This is the point of Foster, Rahmstorf 2011.
c) A clear implication of Foster, Rahmstorf is that energy is accumulating in the atmosphere/ocean. Foster challenges Trenberth’s assertions on warming significance. Warming is significant with known short term influences removed .
d) Land/ocean ratio.
As I understand it water vapour is the most powerful Green House Gas. Also as I understand it when one combusts hydrocarbons, for example, methane, one molecule of CO2 is produced and two of H2O. What should we be doing with all of that nasty combustion water. Perhaps capturing it and injecting it into some deep formation? Could some people be chasing the wrong goose?
quiz hint: think about the effects of saturation.
Bob B says: December 8, 2011 at 4:26 am
Any 5th grade science student can read the below set of graphs and see that the tiny-tiny-tiny recent warming is nothing but a blip of noise in a very noisy past set of temperatures.
Hi Bob B. I keep getting thrown out of the interface, so mercifully for everyong I’ll keep this short. My intent is show the temperature trend is upward and consistent. Satellites measuring radiation escaping from earth in the CO2 absorption bands is falling year on year. As such, I anticipate the current temperature trend to continue. That temperature has had far wilder excursions in geological history does not negate current behaviour. Nor does it provide comfort that things must somehow be ok given that for most of the period depicted there were no humans on the planet.
fred berple
Dec 7, 2011 at 8:18 pm
Could this be our first example of the Gillard effect?
More Durban-influencing BBC nonsense – starving polar bears turn to cannibalism due to reduced ice cover.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-16081214
In the Second World War the Nazis were the bad guys and the United Nations were the good guys. Now, the climate alarmists are seen as the bad guys and the climate realists are seen as the good guys. Are we now at the stage of El Alamein? “Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end but it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning.” The climate alarmists are on the defensive. All around them they are besieged by the attacks of the climate realists. The area they occupy is getting smaller and smaller. Their troops are getting fewer and fewer. The Leader Gore has declared that no more territory must be conceded. He has declared that the Hockey Stick, the rising sea levels and the declining population of polar bears are all Festungen and must be defended to the death. A hideous fate waits any who surrender to the realists. The alarmists take refuge in bombastic propaganda but the people can see through this. The people know that sooner or later the climate alarmists will be defeated. And then the victorious troops can go home. But, just as after the end of the Second World War many on the victorious side found life in peacetime to be dull and boring compared to the excitement they had experienced during the War, will that be the feeling that many climate realists will feel as they shut down their websites and blogs and find that life is no longer the same? Will we all celebrate the final defeat of the climate alarmists but also feel that a lot of the excitement has gone?
So Ammonite, tell me why praytell the biggest heat storage place on the Earth–The oceans have been consistently losing heat?
Also Ammonite, UAH and RSS Satellites have shown 2009/2010 as NOT the warmest years. Surface station measurements have been shown to be pure steaming crap. UAH shows flat to cooling trend over the last decade!
” As such, I anticipate the current temperature trend to continue. That temperature has had far wilder excursions in geological history does not negate current behaviour. Nor does it provide comfort that things must somehow be ok given that for most of the period depicted there were no humans on the planet.”—–What planet are you living ON? and what current behavior has you so scared compared to past temperature noise blips?