How long before somebody blames it on global warming? Who will be first? Romm? McKibben? AP Science writer Seth Borenstein?, some clueless politician?
New York has received measurable snow before Halloween only 3 times since 1869. These events were never more than one inch. If the forecast holds, this would be the earliest 1″ snowfall in New York City since the Civil War.
Here’s NOAA’s snowfall forecast map for the area:
And the warning is out:
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 855 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...A MAJOR EARLY SEASON SNOWSTORM FOR THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY...INTERIOR SOUTHWEST CONNECTICUT...AND NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY... NJZ002-NYZ067-068-291000- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0008.111029T1200Z-111030T0600Z/ WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM- 855 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM SATURDAY TO 2 AM EDT SUNDAY... * LOCATIONS...ORANGE AND PUTNAM COUNTIES. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY WET SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW...HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. HIGHEST GUSTS WILL BE SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN 1/2 MILE AT TIMES. * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN AFTER DAYBREAK SATURDAY...THEN BECOME MODERATE TO HEAVY IN INTENSITY LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING. THE SNOW WILL THEN TAPER OFF LATER SATURDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND SNOW COVERED ROADS. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY WET SNOW WILL RESULT IN DOWNED TREES...TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. THE DAMAGE COULD BE QUITE EXTENSIVE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR AN AREA OF WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD... AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 855 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...A MAJOR EARLY SEASON SNOWSTORM FOR THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY...INTERIOR SOUTHWEST CONNECTICUT...AND NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY... NJZ002-NYZ067-068-291000- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0008.111029T1200Z-111030T0600Z/ WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM- 855 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM SATURDAY TO 2 AM EDT SUNDAY... * LOCATIONS...ORANGE AND PUTNAM COUNTIES. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY WET SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW...HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. HIGHEST GUSTS WILL BE SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN 1/2 MILE AT TIMES. * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN AFTER DAYBREAK SATURDAY...THEN BECOME MODERATE TO HEAVY IN INTENSITY LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING. THE SNOW WILL THEN TAPER OFF LATER SATURDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND SNOW COVERED ROADS. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY WET SNOW WILL RESULT IN DOWNED TREES...TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. THE DAMAGE COULD BE QUITE EXTENSIVE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR AN AREA OF WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD... AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.
I think it has been snowing all day at Joe Bastardi’s house. You know Joe is loving this.
Also, I wonder what Dr. Michael Mann thinks as he gazes over his campus catching up on a little work over the weekend, seeing all of that global warming covering the still-green Pennsylvania ground…
http://146.186.123.229/axis-cgi/jpg/image.cgi?resolution=352×240
Chris
Norfolk, VA, USA
Caught CNN this AM. News with Fredrika Whitfield.(also known as the Prozac version).
Of course, FW and the supposed meteorologist chit chatted about this snowstorm. The latter noted that it was the earliest snow for decades (60 years as I recall) before mentioning the extremes of climate change and then stating that it was UNPRECEDENTED.
Do these AGW parrots even know what their talking point words mean?
And now Manhattan is in on the WSW! What was just a day ago, a “brief changeover to snow” is now a winter storm warning.
Mother Nature always has such a sense of humor with protests! If I were a betting man, I would guess that 90% the Zuccotti Park tent city population…are global warmers.
Batten down the tents!
… Winter Storm Warning in effect until 2 am EDT Sunday…
The National Weather Service in Upton has upgraded the Winter
Weather Advisory to a Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow and
wind… which is in effect until 2 am EDT Sunday. The Winter
Weather Advisory is no longer in effect.
* Locations… the New York City metropolitan area.
* Hazard types… heavy snow and wind.
* Accumulations… 6 to 10 inches of snow.
* Winds… north 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.
* Temperatures… in the lower 30s.
* Visibilities… one quarter mile or less at times.
* Timing… heavy snow will continue through the evening hours. The
snow will taper off from west to east late tonight. In addition
to the heavy snow… winds will increase by evening… and last
through most of the night.
* Impacts… widespread downed trees and power outages can be
expected. Travel will be extremely hazardous… especially after
dark.
==============================
Chris
Norfolk, VA, USA
Luther Brixton,
You sound just like one of those “scientists” with “facts”.
And exactly which corporation am I the spokeperson?
And….the almost century-and-a-half record book of Central Park has NEVER recorded an inch or more of snow there…until now.
The Gore Effect is no longer a localized effect. It is a worldwide teleconnection. Gore could be anywhere in the world, but every time this happens I think Mother Nature is sticking it to him even though he is not around. LOL
“… Record October snowfall amount set for Central Park NY…
As of 2 PM today… Central Park recorded 1.3 inches of snowfall.
Since snowfall records began in 1869… an inch of snowfall has never
been recorded in the month of October. The last two times that
measurable snow fell in the month of October was… October 21 1952
with 0.5 inches and October 30 1925 with 0.8 inches.
Therefore… this breaks the daily record for snowfall in October and
the most snowfall ever recorded in the month of October.”
============================================
Chris
Norfolk, VA, USA
Well, I will just have to post this again. UK Independent Newspaper:
“Snowfalls are now just a Thing of the Past”
http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/snowfalls-are-now-just-a-thing-of-the-past-724017.html
Quote:
“Global warming, the heating of the atmosphere by increased amounts of industrial gases, is now accepted as a reality by the international community. According to Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia,within a few years winter snowfall will become “a very rare and exciting event”.
Endquote.
The Independent has never apologised for this article, and nor has Dr David Viner. And neither of them have apologised for the chaos they caused at Heathrow last year, by convincing airport managers that snow will be their lowest priority. Needless to say, last winter the UK was blanketed with snow and Heathrow closed for three days.
These Warmists are a danger to the economy and to the nation.
.
Three hours in and the trees in our backyard are already breaking under the weight of the snow. Had a brief power outage concurrent with the bzzzzzzzt sound of a tree falling on the lines somewhere.
Just got finished shoveling 7.5 inches of global warming south of Allentown PA
“I would guess that 90% the Zuccotti Park tent city population…are global warmers.”
I would guess 99%. It fits their philosophy that free enterprise, especially the Koch brothers, are the root of all evil. They would be the last people to consider a natural explanation. They will sit in their 33 degree tents and rationalize how this snowstorm was caused by CO2.
Supposedly they are prepared for these white global warming events. After all, all have been warned, right?
Snow did not used to be for sledding only. It has always been beautiful, and destructive: http://bit.ly/sg7xD1
“joshua says:
October 29, 2011 at 6:34 am
And what’s the global anomaly looking like these days?”
According to
http://www.drroyspencer.com/2009/01/daily-monitoring-of-global-average-temperatures/
the mark at 14000 feet is at least 0.11 C lower than for any other year for October 27 since 2002.
Some Photos from New York:
http://www.nbcnewyork.com/weather/stories/Dramatic-Photos-October-Snow-Storm-132854018.html?fb_comment_id=fbc_10150347142171527_19394431_10150347150851527#f21a63f3a421dc
Washington DC:
Now
Light snow…occasionally mixing with rain…will continue across the metropolitan areas of Washington DC and the city of Baltimore this evening. Through 8 PM…additional accumulations along the Mason Dixon line of around an inch will be possible…but elsewhere little or no additional snowfall accumulation is expected. “ http://classic.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=Washington%20DC&wuSelect=WEATHER
I really hope Mother Nature sticks it to them and dumps a few inches on DC.
It seems she must have been reading WUWT for the past week or so and wanted to add her two cents to the Pre-Durbin propaganda spin we have been seeing of late.
North Carolina is also getting FREEZE warnings.
Oh, the irony!
I think schadenfreude is what I’m feeling for those libiots w/ the OWS crowd.
Lets see…
Snow. On leaves. On trees. In parks. Over tents. …
Wonder where those falling limbs will go?…
Try as they might to cast this as ‘climate chaos’, it’s just gonna make them look incredibly stupid and gullible. Gotta love it 😉
Can’t wait for Hansen to try to pronounce this the “Warmest October EVER!!!”.
“But it’s a warm snow” 🙂
Can you imagine how cold it would be if we hadn’t been warming the planet?
It is certainly conceivable that this early snowfall is the result of global warning. No way we can tell for sure, but unusual weather patterns, whether they bring warmer than usual or colder than usual weather, is consistent with global warming.
This snow is rotten.
Final snowfall accumulation measured at 10 locations around my property: solid 9 inches at all spots. This would be an unusual amount of snow at any time during the entire winter. This early in the season is unprecedented. But I wouldn’t doubt over the past several hundred years it’s happened a couple other times.
.
CNN is reporting snowfalls of up to 58cm. Yes, cm !!
I did think they had mixed their units, but apparently there were some major falls of snow.
.
The freakiest thing going on now to me is the 14k and 25 k temps which are at 10 yr record satellite lows. While 3 inches of snow in NYC when normals are 60 is extreme ( try 3 inches in Brownsville at Christmas 2004, when normals are 70!) those 14k and 25 k temps are not freak accidents, but some real live mid and upper tropospheric cooling against the means. That is a big story, and I am surprised there is not more comment on it
Noon, Monday, October 31. We just got our power back, in southern New Hampshire on the Massachusetts border, after an amazing two feet of snow. It was hard to measure the snow depth, because the ground was so warm it was melting up from below. At five AM there was around two feet, but by nine there was around eighteen inches. My snowblower did not handle the slush well at all. The later it got the more slushy it got, and with temperatures getting up to around fifty the snow was soon shrinking from the top as well the bottom. On the south side of my barn the snow shrank to eight inches by sundown, while on the north (shaded) side there was still eighteen inches. We didn’t get the tree damage they got not far to our south, as the trees are more leafless here. Only the oaks and beeches still have leaves, and look astonished, rusty green in the snowscape.
It’s amazing how hooked on WUWT I am. Two days without it was rough.
Most climate models have predicted that some regions in the middle latitudes will see increased snowfall as a result of global warming. These are the regions where it is still cold enough to snow, with a warmer atmosphere holding more moisture than before.
Here in the Boston area, it has been an unusually warm autumn. We didn’t have to turn the heat on in our house until the third week in October — about two weeks later than usual. Then we had a big wet sloppy snowstorm.
Theory and experience seem to agree, at least around here, that snow can follow closely on unseasonably warm temperatures.
Jesse Fell says: October 31, 2011 at 5:37 pm
Nice try, Jesse, but you make an assertion without a citation. If you are tempted to reply, make sure your citation predates the snowy winters.
As for your assertion that you usually start heating your home in the first week of October… I’m 150 miles south and generally don’t have to start my heating until the first week of November. I’ve had to start ten days early this year. Maybe you’re using too much oil?