Rasmussen poll: 69% Say It’s Likely Scientists Have Falsified Global Warming Research

From Rasmussen Reports, some bad news for Al Gore and the Hockey Team:

The debate over global warming has intensified in recent weeks after a new NASA study was interpreted by skeptics to reveal that global warming is not man-made. While a majority of Americans nationwide continue to acknowledge significant disagreement about global warming in the scientific community, most go even further to say some scientists falsify data to support their own beliefs.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of American Adults shows that 69% say it’s at least somewhat likely that some scientists have falsified research data in order to support their own theories and beliefs, including 40% who say this is Very Likely. Twenty-two percent (22%) don’t think it’s likely some scientists have falsified global warming data, including just six percent (6%) say it’s Not At All Likely. Another 10% are undecided.

(To see survey question wording, click here .)

The number of adults who say it’s likely scientists have falsified data is up 10 points from December 2009 .

Fifty-seven percent (57%) believe there is significant disagreement within the scientific community on global warming, up five points from late 2009. One in four (25%) believes scientists agree on global warming. Another 18% aren’t sure.

Republicans and adults not affiliated with either major political party feel stronger than Democrats that some scientists have falsified data to support their global warming theories, but 51% of Democrats also agree.

Men are more likely than women to believe some scientists have put out false information on the issue.

Democrats are more likely to support immediate action on global warming compared to those from other party affiliations.

The national survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on July 29-30, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC . See methodology .

Voters have been almost evenly divided on whether human activity or long-term planetary trends are to blame for global warming since May of last year .

Full story here at: Rasmussen Reports

h/t to Jer at Skeptics Corner (click and give him some hits)

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August 3, 2011 4:00 pm

The media must be well aware of this poll by now, and I’m thinking they will be in a bit of a panic over the results. What this poll demonstrates quite clearly is that people no longer believe what they are being told by the “legacy” media. Others that will take note of this will be advertisers — that is what terrifies the AGW lobby the most.

kadaka (KD Knoebel)
August 3, 2011 4:00 pm

In equally important polling news (/sarc), coming from an innovative online method, it has been reported that Internet Explorer users ‘have below-average IQ’.
Note that if you switch to Firefox (or a variant like Iceweasel for Debian Linux), you can install CA Assistant which will give you a handy Preview button as well as HTML formatting assistance. Thus you can see if the formatting is correct before posting, thus avoid unseemly errors that make you appear to be less intelligent than otherwise.
(It also has the beneficial side-effect of reducing premature aging among the moderation staff caused by aggravation from correcting common HTML formatting mistakes, the sort that may make them think the poster really isn’t that smart.)

David Falkner
August 3, 2011 4:11 pm

Actually, Andrew30, the Pope believes in evolution. You can google this to confirm. Enough about that.
69% of people is a lot of people! Of course, this doesn’t really say anything about the etnire body of work, the questions were about whether they think someone had fabricated data. Of course, I would say it’s probably likely, also. Why would science be the only human endeavor free from human failings, like falling prey to the temptation to fabricate data?

Adriana Ortiz
August 3, 2011 4:14 pm

has jo anne nova been hacked? cant access
REPLY: Works just fine for me – Anthony

Robert of Ottawa
August 3, 2011 4:18 pm

The nonsense will continue until government funding of the scam is halted.

KnR
August 3, 2011 4:22 pm

results like this are partly down to the total failure to effectively investigate the CRU and Mann over their actions. The white washes really where the worst of both worlds for all sides . Arrogance or ignorance of the public and its concerns, you take your pick over how they could fail to understand the way they managed the ‘reviews’ would be seen outside of their own little world.

alan
August 3, 2011 4:25 pm

Well, it seems that the public has reached CONSENSUS on the question of whether Al Gore and AGW climate scientists have faked their data, the issue is SETTLED!

pat
August 3, 2011 4:35 pm

That is because the science has been sold as a Democratic Party solution to a number of their wants.It was an easy way to get money and influence.

manicbeancounter
August 3, 2011 4:37 pm

It is remarkable such a high result occurs, as this is quite a strong question. A lesser one is whether they exaggerate or are selective in the use of data. Or take a short trend, be slightly out over modelling that trend, and then project over a long period, and you get totally false or misleading results.
Anyone encountered Tamino of “Open Mind”? He used a “model” to try to debunk an article on Australian Sea level rise recently. Extrapolate his “model” of sea level acceleration and those sea levels will eventually reach the sun.
http://manicbeancounter.wordpress.com/2011/08/01/tamino-on-australian-sea-levels/

timetochooseagain
August 3, 2011 4:37 pm

Andrew30-Your calling the Pope a “static creationist” is a little odd. The Catholic Church’s position on evolution is in fact not at all “creationist” especially when compared to the positions of many evangelical Protestants.
But how this is in anyway relevant to people’s understanding of the academic dishonesty of climate scientists is totally unclear. As far as I can tell, this is blatant misdirection.

Bruce Cobb
August 3, 2011 4:42 pm

The jig is 69% up, and counting for these “scientists”. The smart ones will be looking for, and taking any exits available. I’m reminded of how the Nazis tried to cover their tracks as the Allied troops began to overrun their positions. Only a question of time now.

August 3, 2011 4:43 pm

Human cannot contribute to any GLOBAL warming; there is no such a thing as a GLOBAL warming. 2] Yes human is contributing to climatic changess; climate can change for better and for worse; climate never stops changing, nobody can stop climate from changing; doesn’t need any global warming for climate to keep changing. Puting the phony GLOBAL warming with the real climate changes is not something to be proud off. Soon one day will have stigma atached to it

Ben D Hillicoss
August 3, 2011 4:48 pm

I have never, never, ever…in a million years, ever exaggerated. I swear on my sainted mothers rubie slippers I will never, ever in ten billion years stretch the truth
Ben Darren Hillicoss

J. Felton
August 3, 2011 5:01 pm

” Think Progress” is already claiming that Fox News helped Rassumusen do the poll, and that the numbers are inaccurate. They sure jumped on that one.

thingadonta
August 3, 2011 5:07 pm

Yeah, but you only use public polls to drum up support for climate change action, not the other way around. (from Squealer’s little red book).

Frank K.
August 3, 2011 5:15 pm

Hmmmm. So “69% Say It’s Likely Scientists Have Falsified Global Warming Research”. And the U.S. government just pushed up the national debt limit because we’re broke. The government is paying for most of this junky global warming “research”. Hmmmm. What, conclusion can I draw here…thinking…thinking…

ROM
August 3, 2011 5:17 pm

There have been a few, a very few commenters in the past who have forecast that the data falsifying , the hiding of data and refusal to follow the accepted protocols of making data and computations readily available for others to repeat and verify, the deliberate fraudulent incorporation of suspect or made up data by climate science and scientists will drag the whole image of all of science down into the gutter with very serious long term implications for the public funding and advancement of science as a whole.
Scientists have been placed on a very high pedestal since the end of WW2 as they were seen by all sides in that great conflict as making an immense contribution to their side’s ability to wage war and were seen in the end to be one of the most important contributing factors to the victory of the allied nations over the axis nations.
Then came the Cold War and the Race to Space where again the superiority of the science and the calibre of the scientists were seen as critical factors in the final outcomes of both those historical interludes.
And then for each of us the personal angle where science and scientists are seen as the great contributors to the health and medical professions that have done so much in the western world to ameliorate so much suffering and have lengthened lives in a way that for the most part, those longer lives can and still are productive and enjoyable.
Now through hubris and disgraceful dishonour in the way they interpret science and the way they practice their so called science, a coterie of very influential and powerful AGW climate scientists are dragging the profession of science deep into the muck of the fecal pit as seen by an increasing number of the public who are forced to pay for that corrupted climate science and corrupted climate scientists.
And as James Lovelock of Gaia fame said in a Guardian interview mid 2010;
[quote”]
Lovelock’s reaction to first reading about the stolen CRU emails [he later clarified that he hadn’t read the originals, saying: “Oddly, I felt reluctant to pry”:
I was utterly disgusted. My second thought was that it was inevitable. It was bound to happen. Science, not so very long ago, pre-1960s, was largely vocational. Back when I was young, I didn’t want to do anything else other than be a scientist. They’re not like that nowadays. They don’t give a damn. They go to these massive, mass-produced universities and churn them out. They say: “Science is a good career. You can get a job for life doing government work.” That’s no way to do science.
I have seen this happen before, of course. We should have been warned by the CFC/ozone affair because the corruption of science in that was so bad that something like 80% of the measurements being made during that time were either faked, or incompetently done.
Fudging the data in any way whatsoever is quite literally a sin against the holy ghost of science. I’m not religious, but I put it that way because I feel so strongly. It’s the one thing you do not ever do. You’ve got to have standards.
You can make mistakes; they’re helpful. In the old days, it was perfectly OK to make a mistake and say so. You often learned from it. Nowadays if you’re dependent on a grant – and 99% of them are – you can’t make mistakes as you won’t get another one if you do. It’s an awful moral climate and it was all set up for the best of reasons [end]
[ http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/blog/2010/mar/29/james-lovelock ]
Science has been on the high pedestal of public opinion for nearly three generations and as in all things this will eventually come to an end and science will and maybe already is being brought back down to earth, to the level of the common people who pay for it, from that pedestal of high public esteem.
Perhaps it is a necessary requirement for all of science to now take a long hard look at itself, review what has happened to science, clean out it’s Augean stables of the filth that has accumulated therein and renew it’s charter and agreement with society who pays so generously for that science.
If scientists and science don’t do this on their own accord and do it very soon it will be done for them and the end result may be one that science and scientists might well be appalled by.

Andrew Harding
Editor
August 3, 2011 5:17 pm

“You can fool some of the people some of the time, but you can’t fool all of the people all of the time”. This quotation summarises AGW “science” perfectly. I cannot remember who said it, can anyone help me out, please?

chris1958
August 3, 2011 5:19 pm

Question 5 of the survey is interesting:
“In order to support their own theories and beliefs about global warming, how likely is it that some scientists have falsified research data?”
Do they mean scientists who support the AGW consensus or scientists who reject the consensus? Or both? The wording is ambiguous (deliberately or accidentally so?).
BTW, in response to Andrew30, it might surprise you to find out that the Pope is not a static creationist but much more in the mode of Darwin. I think you might be confusing the teachings of the Catholic Church with that of some Evangelicals (though of course, some individual Catholics would be static creationists and some Evangelicals equally “creationists” in the Darwinian mode). Darwin of course was a clergyman by training though he never practiced as a minister of religion.

pat
August 3, 2011 5:25 pm

Adriana Ortiz –
u r right about google hiding sceptical views re CAGW. several pieces i looked for this week were found only after going through ten to thirty-plus pages of results, on Bing as well as Google, even tho i had all the necessary search terms.
just followed your comment and searched for global warming + rasmussen and while the latest rasmussen poll – from 2009? – came up tops in the results, there was only a single google news result – and i do mean ONE news item only – this ridiculous piece by richard black (BBC):
22 July: BBC: US heatwave raises climate complexity
The Yale/George Mason survey, and another from Rasmussen Reports, showed that about 60% think the world is warming, but are about evenly split on whether humanity or natural forces are the primary factor…
This is why columnist Thomas Friedman advocates the term “global weirding” rather than “global warming”, because it includes the apparently contrary impacts that can result from an overall increase in global temperatures, such as cold snaps.
But other elements of the media have not been so keen to make clear distinction between weather and climate; and overall, the scientists who blame the media for the conflation may have a point.
Another of their common complaints is over “false balance” – an issue that the BBC Trust has just addressed in its review of BBC science coverage…
In the US, the Yale/George Mason survey showed that 40% of Americans believe “there is a lot of disagreement among scientists about whether global warming is happening”.
This is clearly not the case, as illustrated by surveys of scientists themselves; yet, somehow the perception of much doubt in the ivory towers has been promulgated, for which again the media – or parts of it, at any rate – must take part of the blame…
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-14254856

Mike
August 3, 2011 5:30 pm

The wording on the question does not differentiate fudging data to disprove AGW and fudging data to prove AGW.

Robert M
August 3, 2011 5:34 pm

WillR says:
August 3, 2011 at 2:58 pm
It’s OK to make that speculation (I guess.) — but don’t you have to know the truth before you can formulate a lie? Or are some people (some climate scientists anyway) “just making stuff up” — as Steve McIntyre has recently speculated….
——————————————————————————————————————————–
Yes, the “It’s not fraud, we are just stupid!” Defense… I don’t think that is going to work out for them.

Steve Schapel
August 3, 2011 5:34 pm

Adriana – Jo Nova’s site has been down for me all day as well.

August 3, 2011 5:36 pm

So 6% of those sampled think it is Not At All Likely that climate scientists are faking data. I think Rasmussen must’ve screwed up and heavily oversampled folks who happen to be climate scientists making stuff up, since the only people who would’ve answered with that selection are members of The Team.

August 3, 2011 5:40 pm

@adriana
Jonova not working here in uk for several hours, cannot access database. Probably nothing to worry about, but things are getting ugly in oz so who knows?