Failed Mirth Earth Day predictions

The Earth flag is not an official flag, since ...
Earth day flag - Image via Wikipedia

Via iHateTheMedia, here are a few of the predictions made on the first Earth Day. Don’t these sound like the predictions today that fail, like the 50 million climate refugees by 2010 followed by the moving of the goalposts to 2020?

“We have about five more years at the outside to do something.”

• Kenneth Watt, ecologist

“Civilization will end within 15 or 30 years unless immediate action is taken against problems facing mankind.”

• George Wald, Harvard Biologist

“Population will inevitably and completely outstrip whatever small increases in food supplies we make. The death rate will increase until at least 100-200 million people per year will be starving to death during the next ten years.”

• Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist

“By…[1975] some experts feel that food shortages will have escalated the present level of world hunger and starvation into famines of unbelievable proportions. Other experts, more optimistic, think the ultimate food-population collision will not occur until the decade of the 1980s.”

• Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist

“It is already too late to avoid mass starvation.”

• Denis Hayes, chief organizer for Earth Day

“Demographers agree almost unanimously on the following grim timetable: by 1975 widespread famines will begin in India; these will spread by 1990 to include all of India, Pakistan, China and the Near East, Africa. By the year 2000, or conceivably sooner, South and Central America will exist under famine conditions….By the year 2000, thirty years from now, the entire world, with the exception of Western Europe, North America, and Australia, will be in famine.”

• Peter Gunter, professor, North Texas State University

“Scientists have solid experimental and theoretical evidence to support…the following predictions: In a decade, urban dwellers will have to wear gas masks to survive air pollution…by 1985 air pollution will have reduced the amount of sunlight reaching earth by one half….”

• Life Magazine, January 1970

“At the present rate of nitrogen buildup, it’s only a matter of time before light will be filtered out of the atmosphere and none of our land will be usable.”

• Kenneth Watt, Ecologist

“Air pollution…is certainly going to take hundreds of thousands of lives in the next few years alone.”

• Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist

“By the year 2000, if present trends continue, we will be using up crude oil at such a rate…that there won’t be any more crude oil. You’ll drive up to the pump and say, `Fill ‘er up, buddy,’ and he’ll say, `I am very sorry, there isn’t any.’”

• Kenneth Watt, Ecologist

“Dr. S. Dillon Ripley, secretary of the Smithsonian Institute, believes that in 25 years, somewhere between 75 and 80 percent of all the species of living animals will be extinct.”

• Sen. Gaylord Nelson

and this classic:

“The world has been chilling sharply for about twenty years. If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder in the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age.”

• Kenneth Watt, Ecologist

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DirkH
April 23, 2011 5:28 pm

Mr Green Genes says:
April 23, 2011 at 9:24 am
“So? JM’s comment is the appropriate one here; mad Charlie didn’t mention which planet. And as almost all of we Brits know, he is one of the most deranged public figures we have to put up with.”
Sorry – didn’t know about his other predictions. Difficult to stay up to date with that guy.

andy
April 23, 2011 5:58 pm

The ice age is coming, the sun’s zoomin in, engines stop running, the wheat is growing thin ! Who remembers

Jose Suro
April 23, 2011 6:19 pm

“DirkH says:
April 23, 2011 at 5:26 pm
Hmmm…. the brain produces its own cannabinoids… and paranoia is a known side-effect of caffeine…”
LOL! If the brain cannabinoids and coffee were as potent as the stuff people smoke the Colombians and Mexicans would be out of business overnight! Well, maybe not the Colombians because they do make great coffee :).
Best,
J.

April 25, 2011 12:43 pm

Jim Cole says:
The only slack I might cut these guys is mentioned in Ken Watts’ last “prediction”. In 1970, the climate had been cooling for nearly 30 years and wheat harvests in Canada and USSR were declining, so there was at least some justification for the gloom-and-doom scenarios of mass starvation.
But isn’t it a WARMER climate that’s going to wipe out all our food crops and cause mass starvation? That’s what they keep telling me…

George E. Smith
April 25, 2011 2:08 pm

May I suggest that everybody take a clsoe look at that wiki earth day photograph of planet earth.
Note first that the earth is almost a full hemisphere, so the sun is pretty much directly behind the viewer. That means that the low altitude angle reflectance off the Antarctic ice, is directed mostly AWAY from the observer out into the space beyond earth.
So the photo is a phony, because the only light that would be visible coming off the antarctic ice pack, would have to be backscatter. Now I don’t have a problem with high backscatter off the cloud tops; that’s where the cloud albedo comes from; but not so for either the arctic ocean or Antarctic land ice.
So that earth day flag is photoshopped to exaggerate the antarctic reflectance; and they have deliberately enlarged the Antarctic area, it is only 8.3% of the area of just the southern hemisphere.