Global temperature still headed down- UAH: negative territory

You guys are forgetting about the feedbacks! It’s like you believe the temps instead of the models!

RGates says :
Interesting update…even mentioning such short term ENSO ups and downs in the context of longer term global warming seems like talking about apples and oranges. Such declines are to be expected when transitioning from a decent El Nino to La Nina.
Likewise, RGates, such increases are to be expected when transitioning from La Nina (or La Nada) to El Nino. Furthermore, a long term increase is to be expected when in a Warm PDO because El Nino’s are stronger and more frequent (1980’s – 2000), and a long term decrease is to be expected when in a Cold PDO because La Nina’s are stronger and more frequent (1950’s – 1970’s). In addition, these increases or decreases will be squelched or exacerbated depending on the phase of the AMO.
So please spare us your hypocrisy.

And Australia had its coldest March on record (or at least for the past 60 years).

R. Gates, One interesting thing to note is the anomaly was near zero when the most recent el Nino began. The entire AGW movement had all its marbles riding on the peak of that el Nino.

Last year I kept telling the Warmists about the coming cooling and they just didn’t want to know. It will be interesting to hear how the narrative changes over 2011. It may warm up next year though.

I just posted this at Notrickszone

Joe Bastardi
“No No to el Nino ( till 2012)”
http://www.weatherbell.com/jb/?m=20110404
Joseph D’Aleo
“El Nino cheerleaders will be disappointed”
http://www.weatherbell.com/jd/?p=576

An unrepentant global coolist still at work with speculation since the 1970s:

Professor George Kukla – March 28, 2011
“What happened then was that the shifting sun warmed the tropics and cooled the Arctic and Antarctic. Because the tropics are so much larger than the poles, the area-weighted global mean temperature was increasing. But also increasing was the temperature difference between the oceans and the poles, the basic condition of polar ice growth. Believe it or not, the last glacial started with ‘global warming!‘”
——————-
George Kukla, 77, retired professor of paleoclimatology at Columbia University and researcher at the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory
http://www.helium.com/items/2125333-prepare-for-new-ice-age-now-says-top-paleoclimatologist

Jack Linard
Try Campbell Island from well South of New Zealand.
The data can be found at the NIWA (National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research for New Zealand) website. When you get there log onto the cliflo database which is maintained by NIWA. You will have to register but the NZ data is free and searchable.
There are about 100 datatypes to chose from in the database. Mean daily air temp (given as a monthly and annual average) is the 02 dataset. The mean max daily temp (given as a monthly and annual average) is the 03 dataset. The mean min is the 04 set. Other relevant sets are 05, 06, 07, 08 including grass max and grass min. Soil temps are the 10, 11, 12, 13, 14 and 47 sets (5 cm, 10 cm, 20 cm, 30 cm, 1 m, 50 cm).
Campbell Island data is divided into two stations (basically the same site but different equipment). The “agent numbers” that identify the sites and data in the database are 6172 and 6174. Fortunately there is a 3 year overlap. The data commences in 1941 and goes through to 2011.
The data should be the raw data though you probably will not be able to get the actual daily reports (to check) unless you make a special request to NIWA

mike g says:
April 5, 2011 at 3:03 pm
R. Gates, One interesting thing to note is the anomaly was near zero when the most recent el Nino began. The entire AGW movement had all its marbles riding on the peak of that el Nino.
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I think you are quite confused. By the “AGW movement”, I suppose you mean those who believe that it is more likely than not that CO2 could have a long-term climate positive forcing (warming) effect. The educated of those in this “movement” would certainly understand the short-term natural variations that come with ENSO, PDO, solar cycles, and such, and would not, in any way have “all its marbles riding on that El Nino”.
If such a long-term effect such as AGW warming is occurring, it would be most visible and the most earliest visible in the areas most sensitive to such NET global energy changes. Those areas would be the polar regions, with the the N. Hemisphere being even more sensitive than the S. Hemisphere due to the vastly different physics of the regions (i.e. the large mass of ice at the S. Pole, the differences in total insolation, the southern ocean heat sink, etc.)
Currently, the trend in Arctic sea ice, the earliest of the “bell weathers” for AGW is proceeding in the long-term way that GCM’s have indicated would happen when factoring in the long-term NET forcing of anthropogenic CO2. 2011 should give 2007 a good run for being the lowest summer sea ice extent on record. These longer term trends are far more important that what a short-term ENSO cycle is doing.

Jimbo says:
April 5, 2011 at 3:04 pm
Last year I kept telling the Warmists about the coming cooling and they just didn’t want to know. It will be interesting to hear how the narrative changes over 2011. It may warm up next year though.
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Any “warmist” who has been around a while knows that temps rise and fall on a short term basis with ENSO cycles. It is the longer term that is important in looking at the NET forcing from CO2, and the first sign of that would be in the Arctic– exactly as is occurring.