Global Food Prices Jump To Record Level Because of Higher Corn Prices – or the alternate title: Cornholing the future

There’s lot of gloom and doom being pushed, trying to link food prices to climate change by the usual howlers. As shown above, food prices surged to record levels in February despite February wheat and rice prices being essentially flat. Yet, February corn prices are up significantly even with 2010 being the 3rd largest U.S. corn crop ever. Why? Well part of the reason is that our cars now have a mandated, growing and voracious appetite for corn based ethanol.
Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. writes:
When certain information proves challenging to entrenched political or ideological commitments it can be easy for policy makers to ignore, downplay or even dismiss that information. It is a common dynamic and knows no political boundaries. Global Dashboard catches the Obama Administration selectively explaining the causes for increasing world food prices:
“The increase in February mostly reflected further gains in international maize prices, driven by strong demand amid tightening supplies, while prices rose marginally in the case of wheat and fell slightly in the case of rice.”
“In other words, this is mainly about corn. And who’s the biggest corn exporter in the world? The United States…And where is 40% of US corn production going this year? Ethanol, for use in US car engines.”
So here we having wailing and gnashing of teeth by the usual suspects over global food prices, and they are using this as an example of the supposed “climate change drive food prices” link. Of course there isn’t any link in this case. It’s the corn stupid.
The simple solution: stop burning food for fuel, drill for more oil, work on alternate energy system that actually might work, like thorium based nuclear power.
h/t to C3 headlines
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Curiousgeorge says:
March 5, 2011 at 3:38 pm
I’m not a fan of ethanol, but you should know that there are several varieties of corn specific to the end use. The corn you get for dinner is not the same as the corn you feed to cattle or chickens, and there is a specific GM variety coming on the market that is tailored for ethanol. To proclaim that we are taking food out of the mouths of people by producing corn for ethanol is simplistic at best. If you wish to refine your claim that corn produced for ethanol uses up land that would otherwise grow corn for feed or people, then I’d be ok with that. But please realize the issue is far more complex than your headline would indicate.
Instead of corn being grown for food, corn is being grown for fuel.
or
Less corn is being grown for food because more corn is being grown for fuel.
Stated either way, I believe that that is the point.
A point on which I agree.
The last thing responsible for a rise in global food prices is climate change. The single largest factor however is U.S. Monetary policy,
QE2 Fuels a Global Fury (Mark Thornton, Ph.D. Economics)
“The Federal Reserve has been busy the last three months pumping up the money supply by $300 billion dollars, with much more promised in the months ahead. Some of the results have been painfully predictable, …Higher food prices set off the revolutions in Tunisia and Egypt and the mass protests in countries like Algeria, Jordan, Yemen, Bahrain, and Iran. People in these countries buy more unprocessed foods and spend a much higher percentage of their income on food, so they have been severely impoverished by Bernanke’s QE2. Bernanke claims that monetary policy cannot change the quantity of wheat by one bushel and that higher food prices are the result of bad weather conditions in Russia and Australia. However, bad weather does not explain why the prices of virtually all food and nonfood commodities have increased substantially in recent recessionary times. This is clearly a case of too much money chasing too few goods.”
Food inflation and QE2: the correlation is undeniable (International Business Times)
“Experts can argue all they want about the causality relationship between food inflation and the Federal Reserve’s second round of quantitative easing (QE2). What cannot be denied, however, is the correlation. Indeed, ever since QE2 was clearly signaled by the Fed, the price of food commodities surged.”
Gotta love the government.
Curiousgeorge says
“The corn you get for dinner is not the same as the corn you feed to cattle or chickens, and there is a specific GM variety coming on the market that is tailored for ethanol.”
I don’t follow the logic. If the fields were not diverted to corn for ethanol, wouldn’t they be dedicated to food instead?
The argument that the corn is not suitable for food doesn’t hold. The fields would be used for food if the crazy insane ethanol mandate/subsidy did not exist.
So it has come to this? Cornholio:ing each other.
Well, however, as a sceptic, I’ve been through worse. :-()
I see this as another attack on people of the world, destroy the food supply, create shortages based on flawed science, devalue the money supply to to further imbalance society, pit the have’s against the have not’s and blame it on nonsense. Will all these ongoing attacks on freedom, values, progress, resources for one reason to benefit the liars and the cheats. So I say “save the humans”.
“work on alternate energy system that actually might work, like thorium based nuclear power.”
Exactly!
One of these two things has to be more disastrous: Global Warming or Nuclear Power Plants in the US. I wish the trillion dollars in stimulous money had gone to nuclear power instead of the stupid solar panels popping up at all the schools in California, and programming our kids with unproven global warming beliefs.
Curiousgeorge,
We know that there are different strains of corn, and that’s not the issue. The issue is that corn, regardless of variety, takes cropland to grow, and corn for fuel takes cropland that could otherwise be used for food production.
Even more obscene is 2 additional points lost on many…
1. If corn was used for the fuel it takes to grow the corn for fuel, cropland usage would increase from no less than 1 acre to 1.6 acres. As it is, oil is used by the system in place to generate the ethanol.
2. Ethanol is hard on an engine and requires more frequent oil changes to mitigate the effects of ethanol on lubrication oils.
#2 is, IMHO, of equal importance, because I believe that the mandated increase of ethanol concentration in fuel is a left-handed way of increasing the number of cars sold. Even if the increase is only a few percent, that’s a few percent more cars sold that translates into big dollar signs for the auto industry. Why wouldn’t they love that? It’s the equivalent of a hidden bail-out.
The really sad fact is that the corn to ethanol fiasco results in increased CO2 emissions vs. gasoline from crude oil. So, along with the larger dead zone in the Gulf, increased corn prices, poorer mileage, etc., the only accomplishment is wealth transfer.
@CuriousGeorge
I don’t get it. It’s reducing cropland that could be used for grain for livestock or people food. Obviously prices are going to go up if that cropland is removed. I don’t see the complexity here at all.
LET THEM EAT BOURBON!
Curiousgeorge says:
March 5, 2011 at 3:38 pm
“If you wish to refine your claim that corn produced for ethanol uses up land that would otherwise grow corn for feed or people, then I’d be ok with that.”
That’s the point, Curiousgeorge. If government was not subsidizing ethanol, then farmers would be using their land to grow corn for feed or people, not ethanol. The type of corn is irrelevant. One does not have to have a degree in Economics to understand how government distorts a free market.
“I’m drilling as fast as I can!”
And I’m backing you. Long CVX, RDS, and BEXP (Austin in Bakken).
All are great hedges against rising gasoline prices.
Alternatively created a genetically modified supercrop for Ethanol production that isn’t for any human or animal consumption and is separated from international food markets.
Curiousgeorge at March 5, 2011 at 3:38 pm
I’m not a fan of ethanol, but you should know that there are several varieties of corn specific to the end use. The corn you get for dinner is not the same as the corn you feed to cattle or chickens, and there is a specific GM variety coming on the market that is tailored for ethanol. To proclaim that we are taking food out of the mouths of people by producing corn for ethanol is simplistic at best. If you wish to refine your claim that corn produced for ethanol uses up land that would otherwise grow corn for feed or people, then I’d be ok with that. But please realize the issue is far more complex than your headline would indicate.
You are merely splitting hair, and your second last sentence suggests that even you recognize that. A long time ago (at least as long ago as 1999 – and probably even before that if one were to sift carefully through Adam Smith’s tome) it was recognized that if there is a new demand for a product of the land then it would, if anything, increase food prices. The higher the prices paid for this new product, the greater the shift of resources toward making that product rather than food. It doesn’t make a difference whether the product is edible either to man or any other species.
As noted in Wishful Thinking on Cellulosic Ethanol :
The logic is the same whether biofuels are made from sweetcorn, feed corn, cellulose, a special GM variety, or whatever. Of course, what is true for land and water is also true for all the other resources that are inputs for production, namely, capital (both financial and human). But, to continue to quote from that blog:
Events certainly seem to vindicate this prognostication.
Curiousgeorge says:
March 5, 2011 at 3:38 pm
Granted, not all of the 40% of the U.S.corn crop that is used for ethanol production is from cropland that is so diverted, but a lot of it is, and world corn-price trends have been impacted by ethanol demand.
For example, Mexicans on low incomes now can no longer afford tortilla’s, their main staple that they used to buy by the kg, but must now eat Ichi Ban noodles instead. I bet that the bakeries producing the tortillas feel the pinch as well.
The corn used to produce a tank-full of fuel could be used to feed a family of four for a whole year.
The federal moonshiners outdid themselves
For food in the store disappears from the shelves.
We stop exporting corn
And the hungry world scorn.
Soon we cannot supply food to ourselves.
Looks like there are actually politicians out there (Germany) that have there heads and facts screwed on straight. Nice to read, thanks:
Klimawandler says:
March 5, 2011 at 3:46 pm
“In Germany the consumers just brought a halt to this insanity: http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/0,1518,749199,00.html”
If only we could get some of those here in the USA…
Curiousgeorge????? Far more complex?????? Farmer has land which is suited to corn production. Farmer makes planting decision based upon revenue yield. Corn for ethanol yields more $$ than corn for food. Result: Less corn for food and thus higher price.
You may find this complex, most people don’t.
Short corn.
The inevitable outcome of this is the collapse of corn prices and a whole lot of farms going on the foreclosure list.
Thanks, crony capitalists.
Mike says:
“Wheat prices have not been flat.”
It’s the substitution effect. When one commodity becomes expensive, people purchase another commodity with essentially the same utility. This drives up the price of the substitute.
Ethanol is driving up the cost of food across the board.
What is realy important is to constantly let people know who is directly responsible for this global economic fiasco and the price rise in essential commodities and energy: “Green” politicians like Obama and the Democrat Party, which is owned and operated by the enviro crowd. Because we know they will try to blame everyone else for their failed policies.
We need a website with impact of ” wattsupwiththat” to take the “fossil” out of fossil fuels, once and for all. The idea that carbon based fuels are finite and rapidly dwindling is ridiculous, untill we know where it comes from and how it formed. We don’t need to starve the world to make fuel, but we are.
Curiousgeorge- it is more complicated, but every strand of this situation leads back to Cargill and ADM. Corn farmers and refineries collect rents from every driver because we’re forced to use not just ethanol but bioethanol. Plus the Corn Gang enjoys tariffs on cheap Brazillan ethanol and a quota on sugar so their other product, corn syrup, can collect higher profits. This is welfare for the rich.
The Corn Gang is so entrenched there is little hope the politicians will ever free us from the Corn Scheme. I hope we can drive the change from the bottom up before more of the world’s poor are harmed by rising corn prices.
Ethanol- the Fuel Worth Starving For!
This is easily the most idiotic thing I have ever heard of.
So when we get a major flood in the corn belt that some are predicting due to the snowy winter, we are going to be short on both food AND gasoline. BRILLIANT.
And today the administration announce it was going to appeal a court decision that forced them to get the permit process for drilling in the Caribbean. They are trying to shut down as many sources of energy as they can. They are strangling the country.
Simple solution, all grain exported outside of the US should be in exchange for crude oil.
Make this the law of the land and set the required exchange rate at one bushel of grain for each 100 barrels of crude, no exception/s f0r any reason!
Perfect. But in respect to the general surge of food prices, the principal factor is inflation caused by the huge increase of money supplies. And who is printing all of this money?…
Peter Schiff explains that very well, just at the beginning of the program 20110216 at http://www.schiffradio.com/
To understand real economy, and to be vaccinated against the keynesian delirium:
http://LearnAustrianEconomics.com