Piers Corbyn goes global cooling

Has anyone else noticed how Biblical this forum is? In effect, we are now debating whether the king should continue to use the “seers” that were duly appointed by the state religion, even though they failed three harvests running, or change to the prophet who seems to hear the voice of god.
Relevant conclusion? Science is dead or we have been deceived into debating as if science were dead. (Neither the “seers” nor the prophet represent science.) Whose fault is this? That has a simple and straightforward answer. It is the fault of the Warmista. They continue to present us with policy initiatives that they say are based on the best science, yet they fail to produce the science. The best that they produce are nothing more than learned hunches. They have yet to produce one reasonably confirmed hypothesis as an explanation of some phenomenon. But they adamantly refuse to discuss scientific method because they know they can only suffer from such a discussion. The whole problem, then, is that in pushing junk-science on the public, the Warmista have moved us away from science altogether.
If Corbyn has no hypotheses behind his work, he is no better than the Warmista on methodological grounds, but he might be far superior to them on observational grounds. Tycho Brahe’s observations of planetary motions were far superior to those of Copernicus though both men were equally committed to hypotheses that would prove false.

Oh good heavens! Since 1979??!?!?!!! Such a long time ago. Such a long record. Anything that long in existence must have significant information in it that can be used to predict what will happen in the future. For sure.
Whipper snapper.

R. de Haan, a nice blizzard does nothing to the reputations of long term weather forecasters and politicians. The former can have no reputation because longer term weather forecasting for over two weeks or so is impossible. And politicians? Well.
Piers Corbyn would have had some reputation to speak of had he predicted the first timer of a Hudson Bay not frozen over by the end of the year, or had he predicted the record warm northern hemisphere winter of 2009-2010.

I used Weather Action for commercial weather forecasting over a period of three years and found them to be accurate on the whole.- the forecasts were used for 60 day look-aheads for planning to move jackup drilling rigs- (the rigs cannot be jacked down into water with a swell greater than 3ft which can cause costly delays to the rig move)
Our Client company saved literally millions of US$ planning operations around weather Action’s forecasts.

Magnus says:
December 28, 2010 at 9:25 am
I’m skeptical that Corbyn’s prediction within a week is better than these from super
computers.
Modelers are losing money: There a big commercial niche for a “WII Climate”, “X-Box Climate”…etc.(of course just for fun, as the real models and modelers).

The Arctic OHC is dropping. How does that fit into the Arctic is “changing fast” meme?

“Corbyn believed global warming ‘is complete nonsense, it’s fiction, it comes from a cult ideology. There’s no science in there, no facts to back [it] up.'”
There is no global warming, but global thawing is very real. The Earth has been thawing since the last severe advance of ice about 11,500 years ago. And until the next major advance of ice, the planet, on average, will continue to thaw.
The thawing is punctuated by variations in solar behavior. Right now, we are experiencing a temporary cold spell that could last for about 150 years, but eventually we will return to planetary thawing.

R. Gates says:
December 27, 2010 at 7:35 pm
It will be most entertaining to watch Mr. Corbyn and his predictions over the next few years. Since ‘warmist’ scientists have shown why this winter’s cold and snowy Europe can also be attributed to AGW, we have a bit of a stalemate at the present time.
—–
R.Gates, I know you are one of the ‘honest warmers’ out there, but even you must be (or at least should be) uncomfortable with the malleability of AGW hypothesizing by now. Not once, anywhere in the mainstream AGW community, were more extreme, cold, and snowy winters forecast. Mild winters, with snow a thing of the past, were all we read about.
Now, with those predictions dashed, the hypothesis is revised to allow for a conceivable mechanism by which AGW could be causing this cold winter. But, given this revision, AGW must be reduced back to conjecture status, to allow for actual science (testing, measuring, verifying, reproducing, falsifying, rinse, repeat) to test this new proposed mechanism.
Yet, all we hear from the Believers is that AGW is as strong as ever, and there is no empirical evidence that will apparently falsify it (last night on Fox News, for example, an AGW supporter said the only thing that will falsify it will be stable, unchanging weather — a non-existent paradigm). I’m not sure how any clear-thinking person could ever get to even 75% certainty that AGW is happening. AGW as a legitimate scientific hypothesis would have died on the vine back in the 80s, under normal scientific methodology. Only political machinations kept it alive since, not sound science.

Play lots of poker or contract bridge. Learn about the theory of probability, and the nature of random distributions.
My wonderful teacher of physics (and math) in high school explained how “weather” works, and the randomness of wind flows, and why wind flows are random.
When H2O is entered into the mix, using temperature as a proxy for heat gain or loss is absurd.
I certainly can’t predict the future, and no one can. However, I can analyse the present. For instance, if I correctly set up a stick of dynamite with a 10 minute fuse and cap, and then light the fuse, it doesn’t take the ability of peering into the future to determine that 10 minutes into the future, there will be an explosion.

The Corbyn Effect:
Just when the Goliath AGW monster, backed by its equally horrific robo-predictor is threatening all in the village with certain death unless they turn over all their worldly goods, up from a gopher hole pops Piers (David) Corbyn, who with one swing of his sling hurls a deadly prediction that pierces the head of the Goliath, causing it to explode in a great snowstorm – to the absolute delight of the villagers, who commence dancing about and singing Ding Dong the Wicked Witch is Dead.
Just the fact that MET got it so disastrously wrong is not news. But when a little guy like Piers embarrasses all the “scientists” and politicians who are bent on extracting many pounds of flesh from the people, the public LOVES the story, which is now going international and viral. So now, Piers is getting ALL the press and isn’t afraid of saying straight up, no waffling, that AGW is rubbish. THIS is what people in the public are going to remember – that a little guy with no funding got it right, while all the other big shots, who are by the way, demanding payment for salvation, got it very, very wrong.
We may very well find that Piers has done more damage to the AGW cause among the general public in a week than all the scientific contention and email leaks combined.