George Monbiot probably burst a blood vessel when he read this. Congratulations to Piers, who doesn’t need a teraflop class supercomputer to render a forecast. This passage tells the story:
I have not a clue whether his methods are sound or not. But when so many of his forecasts seem to come true, and when he seems to be so consistently ahead of the Met Office, I feel I want to know more.
Maybe that’s why Mr. Johnson says London is prepared for snow, where others are not.
Here’s some excerpts:
Do you remember? They said it would be mild and damp, and between one degree and one and a half degrees warmer than average. Well, I am now 46 and that means I have seen more winters than most people on this planet, and I can tell you that this one is a corker.
Never mind the record low attained in Northern Ireland this weekend. I can’t remember a time when so much snow has lain so thickly on the ground, and we haven’t even reached Christmas. And this is the third tough winter in a row. Is it really true that no one saw this coming?
Actually, they did. Allow me to introduce readers to Piers Corbyn, meteorologist and brother of my old chum, bearded leftie MP Jeremy. Piers Corbyn works in an undistinguished office in Borough High Street. He has no telescope or supercomputer. Armed only with a laptop, huge quantities of publicly available data and a first-class degree in astrophysics, he gets it right again and again.
And this:
The question is whether anthropogenic global warming is the exclusive or dominant fact that determines our climate, or whether Corbyn is also right to insist on the role of the Sun.
Full story here. Boris John is the Mayor of London, more here.
h/t to WUWT reader “Roger” aka “Old England”
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Remember his feature in the ‘Great Global Warming Swindle’. When I saw that documentary, and the quality of the skeptics, and after inquiring into the science here @ur momisugly WUWT, i knew AGW was in serious trouble. Piers is the smart guy; making cash out of observations of the real driver of climate…The Sun. But how does it do it?
We still havn’t cracked the connection. Fortunately for Piers, he doesn’t need the ‘how’.
Ah, troubles abound when one starts asking questions.
So how many years later and Piers finally gets the recognition he deserved all along ?
Enjoy your just dessert, Mr. Corbyn… you deserve every bite. That Einstein hairdo of yours will get you into the history books one of these days !
Anthony check the last sentence it should read “Boris Johnson is the mayor of London.”
Chris
Norfolk, VA, USA
Unfortunately this won’t change any minds because Boris is a Conservative, therefore an Unperson. His opinions do not exist.
This situation will only change if a large number of the Aristocrats of the Left dramatically change their minds, or die. A few reformed Aristocrats won’t do the job, because they can be Unpersoned easily. It will have to be nearly all at once, leaving the followers bereft of guidance. At that point the followers may finally put their own hands in the snow and feel the cold, rejecting the automatic instinctive “Cold is Hot.”
And one other type-o….title should read “Piers Corbyn”
[Thannx, Sharks. Fixed. ~dbs, mod.]
“Nothing he says, to my mind, disproves the view of the overwhelming majority of scientists, that our species is putting so much extra CO₂ into the atmosphere that we must expect global warming.”
====================
Of course….even in the face of the frigid winter….the mayor has to put in this CAGW plug!
Drop it, mayor Johnson!
CO2 rise is a result of global warming….not a bl**dy cause.
Chris
Norfolk, VA, USA
And today’s sunspot number is … zero.
James Delingpole might have led the way with this article trying to pursuade Boris Johnston to be the first Conservative Party politician to stand up to the AGW nonsense.
“You saw through the EU, Boris. When are you going to see through AGW?”
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/jamesdelingpole/100068044/you-saw-through-the-eu-boris-when-are-you-going-to-see-through-agw/
Good on you James.
George Monbiot probably burst a blood vessel when he read this.
Leif too.
Hehe…
The best part is the ending. Only the British would call the climate after the sun goes out a “bit nippy.”
John Kehr
johnnythelowery says:
December 19, 2010 at 7:09 pm
Eventually, we’ll understand why the Sun does what it does to Earth. Who knows how long we’ll have to wait.
In the meantime, Ol Sol is snoring again.
The way I see it, 4 years of low to very low solar activity is the penalty box.
Funnily enough, James Delingpole – in a recent thread on his DT blog – challenged Boris Johnson to ‘open his eyes’ as far as CAGW was concerned. It seems Boris may have heeded his advice.
Need a “son” on the end of the last John in the article.
Last winter in the UK the reports were much the same. This on 5th January 2010…” The current cold weather gripping the UK does not undermine the fact the world is warming, experts said today. Stephen Dorling, of the University of East Anglia’s school of environmental sciences, said it was not surprising the cold period raised questions over climate change – but the snowy weather should not be used as evidence against it.”
http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change/no-conflict-between-big-freeze-and-climate-change-1858530.html
I wonder just how many ‘cold’ winters are needed before they can be used as evidence.
Just as a sidebar we are seeing snow on our south east Australian hills again this year! http://ski.com.au/snowcams/australia/nsw/thredbo/thredbo7.html
Anthony.
I believe his name is Piers Corbyn…with a “y”.
This Piers Corbin sounds like a very inconvenient fellow, even a very dangerous fellow. One has to wonder whether the wisdom of allowing such a fellow access to means of mass communication has been discussed in the halls of government.
Perhaps the Met Office needs some more money ?
Boris, Mayor of London comments that…..”Nothing he says, to my mind, disproves the view of the overwhelming majority of scientists, that our species is putting so much extra CO₂into the atmosphere that we must expect global warming.” …. it seems Boris is a British lemming or has a closed mind.
Boris should read Jo Nova’s recent excellent commentary ….”The swelling ranks of sceptical scientists is now the largest whistle-blowing cohort in science ever seen. It includes some of the brightest: 2 with Nobel Prizes in Physics, 4 NASA astronauts, 9000 PhD’s in science, and another 20,000 science graduates to cap it off. A recent Senate Minority Report contained 1000 names of eminent scientists who are skeptical, and the term “professor” pops up over 500 times in that list.” http://joannenova.com.au/
Maybe later this winter ‘gritty’ Boris will be skating to his office when the Thames freezes over.
A number of us in Canada and I think other places have been doing this kind of thing for years, using the Sun, ENSO a few other oscillates and a good handle on history. I myself do not predict white or brown seasons but I do predict certain commodity prices of specific natural resources for my clients. These predictions need to be within ±10% over a five year running average. It can be done and is being done. The one thing we do not do is pay any attention to anything that even smalls of a deterministic numeric model.
HMM. Our Boris is a conviction greenie but highly, indeed over, intelligent for a politician. He also has very considerable political nous and some sympathy with more traditional Conservative right wing views. Unlike the current leadership.
I set little store by his words other than that they might mean he has detected a change in the political wind and is throwing a sop in that direction to cover his backside. And of course he is outside the Whitehall loop and so more open to shifts in public opinion.
Also remember he is the most powerful single politician in the entire UK and he doesn’t intend to give it up unless perhaps Cameron falls when he probably could not resist trying for leadership and possibly PM. And the Telegraph is the paper of the Conservative party: so no harm in ingratiating himself.
So I wouldn’t read too much into it but it is very interesting just the same.
Kindest Regards
Piers predicts a mini-ice age? Part of me hopes he’s right, if for no reason other than to shut up Al Gore and the warmers. On the other hand I’m not keen on living under a glacier, so that part of me hopes he’s wrong.
Well….one thing to be said for sure, 2008, is no 1954.
Or….2011…is no 1957.
Why is the F10 .7 being so obstinate?
http://www.leif.org/research/F107%20at%20Minima%201954%20and%202008.png
Chris
Norfolk, VA, USA
Congratulations Piers Corbyn!
Congrats on the recognition here and from your mayor, Mr. Corbyn. I’ve been convinced after skeptically viewing one of your global forecasts in the early summer of 2009 and watching it eerily (to someone who was then skeptical) play out in the eastern Pacific and elsewhere several weeks later. It would be nice to have another forecast for North America made public this winter, like the one you proffered late last fall.