Greenland blows hot and cold while Europe freezes

There’s a colorfully sharp temperature contrast in Greenland, one might think it was “red hot” there. Hmmm where have we seen something like this before? The warm red pocket over southern Greenland and Eastern Canada is caused by a blocking high pressure cell, while all the cold Arctic air flows around it. Readers may recall that a blocking high was responsible for the Russian heat wave this summer also, despite many early erroneous claims that “global warming caused it”(look at the list at the end). NOAA’s analysis concluded it had everything to do with weather, and not greenhouse gases saying:

Despite this strong evidence for a warming planet, greenhouse gas forcing fails to explain the 2010 heat wave over western Russia. The natural process of atmospheric blocking, and the climate impacts induced by such blocking, are the principal cause for this heat wave.

We have the same blocking situation here. The difference? In Nuuk Greenland today, the temperature was not “red hot”, but a cool 6°C/42°F for the high. Hint: If you want to see current surface temps on the image below, download the Google Earth KMZ file link at the end of this story, then enable “weather” as an overlay in GE.

From NASA Earth Observatory: The first week of December was a chilly one for much of Europe and parts of the United States. This image shows the temperature of the land surface for December 3-10, 2010, compared to the average temperature for the same period between 2002 and 2009. The measurements are from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA’s Aqua satellite.

Clearly, 2010 was cooler than average in northern Europe and the eastern United States. Greenland and parts of northern Canada, however, were exceptionally warm. This temperature pattern was caused by the Arctic Oscillation.

The Arctic Oscillation is a climate pattern that influences winter weather in the northern hemisphere. It describes the relationship between high pressure in the mid-latitudes and low pressure over the Arctic. When the pressure systems are weak, the difference between them is small, and air from the Arctic flows south, while warmer air seeps north. This is referred to as a negative Arctic Oscillation. Like December 2009, the Arctic Oscillation was negative in early December 2010. Cold air from the Arctic channeled south around a blocking system over Greenland, while Greenland and northern Canada heated up.

The unusual cold brought heavy snow to Northern Europe, stopping flights and trains early in December. Cold temperatures and snow also closed roads and schools in the eastern United States and Canada during the first week of December. The diagonal path of a powerful winter storm is visible as a streak of cold across the Upper Midwest of the United States.

  1. References

  2. Associated Press. (2010, December 14). Bone-chilling cold plods into Northeast US. Accessed December 15, 2010.
  3. BBC News. (2010, December 3). Europe’s deadly cold snap maintains grip. Accessed December 15, 2010.
  4. Climate Prediction Center. (2010, December 15). Arctic Oscillation. NOAA National Weather Service. Accessed December 15, 2010.
  5. CNN. (2010, December 2). Heavy snow creates European travel chaos. Accessed December 15, 2010.
  6. NOAA National Climatic Data Center. (2010, December). State of the climate: National overview for November 2010. Accessed December 15, 2010.

NASA Earth Observatory image created by Jesse Allen, using data provided courtesy of the NASA/GSFC Distributed Active Archive Center. Caption by Holli Riebeek.

Instrument:
Aqua – MODIS
download large image (5 MB, PNG) acquired December 3 – 10, 2010
download GeoTIFF file (26 MB, TIFF) acquired December 3 – 10, 2010

download Google Earth file (KML)

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Editor
December 19, 2010 11:35 am

Looking at the map, it is clear that Northern Greenland and most of Northern Canada are colder than usual.
However are the nearest weather stations to the arctic ,that GISS use to extrapolate arctic temps, in these colder parts or further south in the warm bits?

CRS, Dr.P.H.
December 19, 2010 12:11 pm

@Pamela Gray says:
December 19, 2010 at 6:25 am
It’s almost worth a dime to get on those AGW sites and talk the game up to see just how far they will go to support their cause.
————–
REPLY: Heh! I’ve been blocked from RealClimate etc. for ages!!
However, I do pop over there once & a while to see what they are up to, this is a comment posted to RC regarding the cold weather, note Gavin’s brilliant & insightful scientific response:
It’s difficult for me to understand how one can evaluate the consequences of the Earth’s passage around the sun, if the local changes are so much unknown. The global consequences are just the sum of local consequences – if they are so many unknown in the local responses of seasons, rains, etc.. how can one evaluate any sensible figure ? and more generally, if the LOCAL variance is higher than the seasonal cycle (which can be true even if the GLOBAL one is not), how can it affect significantly the all day life of people living in some place?
In response, Gavin says:
“Indeed, it is truly a mystery. – gavin”
TRULY A MYSTERY?? I thought the CAGW crowd had all this nailed-down, in-the-box, scientific-consensus etc.!!
http://www.realclimate.org/?comments_popup=5596

DesertYote
December 19, 2010 12:34 pm

The map is showing the difference in one weekly average from the average of seven weekly averages, and this is supposed to tell us what? Or am I reading the map wrong?

wayne Job
December 19, 2010 1:56 pm

I seem to recall that during ice ages the arctic ocean stays ice free. This would explain the moisture in the air needed to create the ice sheets that engulf North America and Europe. The hot spots may be a foretaste of what is to come. Geologists on this site may have some idea as to the conditions in the arctic ocean during an ice age.

Ammonite
December 19, 2010 2:22 pm

Dan says: December 19, 2010 at 8:48 am
Greenland is too hot for me, I’m having Nunavut and I am going Nome.
I-nu-it! They should Nuuk the lot of it.

AusieDan
December 19, 2010 6:31 pm

sHx
I remember walking to church on Xmas eve in Sydney in the 1940’s, wearing a thick jumper and feeling cold.
Serves me right!
There’s nothing new in the climate.
We have just entered the cool part of the cycle again.
Last night and this morning it was very cold on our north facing balcony, with a chilly breeze blowing – where’s the cold coming from, north west of Sydney?
Can anybody tell me?

David L
December 20, 2010 2:45 am

If Greenland becomes tropical and the tropics become as cold as Greenland, and the average temperature between the two remains the same, is that Global Warming?

December 20, 2010 4:17 am

rbateman says:
December 19, 2010 at 10:15 am
Agreed… 4 spotless days on the wall. They had a darned penumbra-shaded pore stuck up there for 2 days to pad the count.
A poor pore. I have seen used car salesmen selling Lemons doing a better job than that.

Hi Robert, we can add another day to the toll. All this is happening 12 months after the start of the cycle up ramp. I wonder if this has occurred since Wolf began his count?

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