More from the “weather is not climate” department in the “hottest year so far ever”.
Our previous article on this here, illustrated the scope of the event in human terms, but we didn’t have a map to show extent of the cold air mass. One was needed given the revelation that the cold had crossed the equator from the South, a rather rare event.
Now we have a map that illustrates the magnitude, see below. Thanks to Joe D’Aleo of ICECAP.
Image of surface temperatures departure from normal for July 17, 2010 for South America, from NOAA NCEP:
NOAA being an American government operation, the scale is in °F
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PS to above post:
The BBC may give the Sydney estimated MAX as 15C but it will never say that the previous days actual measured temps barely managed 12C and attained that for only a short time nor will they explain the average temps and minimums. Its like a pea and shell game really.
Norseman says:
July 21, 2010 at 9:47 am
It usually happens. Cold winds from the south pole are called the “pamperos” (wind of the plains) which blow from Antarctica northwards along the unobstructed by mountains plains of Argentina and the Amazon jungle; these winds can not usually cross over the high altitude andean mountains to the pacific coasts, which, btw, are much more tempered by the southern seas. These coasts are deserted because of the cold Humboldt’s current running from the south pole northwards, with the exception of those epochs when the El Nino counter current appears, and which runs north-south in the opposite direction, which is not the case right now.
Cassandra King says:
July 21, 2010 at 10:12 am
Really. What it is happening now here in SA is that minimum temperatures and maximum temperatures are closer to each other, so the final effect is that heat loss is increased.
Norseman writes:
“The 2009 – 2010 was brutal by Floridian standards, and much colder than I have ever experienced while living in Florida, just south of Tampa for the past 30 years.”
Right on the money, Norseman. If it is colder this winter, all the vegetation in my yard including the grass will be dead. In the last two winters, we lost all the ornamental bushes even though they were covered. We lost an ornamental tree that was about twelve feet tall. Coats were required from December through mid-April. The old timers say 1974 was the most recent year of similar temperatures. Heat in the house was also required. Usually, winter is perfect. What we had for the last two years is disgusting.
Whatever are we to do with NOAA? Check out that temp scale for the map. Each mark should represent ±0.75. And, since only every other tick mark has been labeled, it should read:
0.75
2.25
3.75
5.25
6.75
8.25
9.75
11.25
Notice that there are no extra ticks on the scale; it just jumps from 5.25 to 7.50 (instead of 6.75), an extra 0.75.
Well — hell’s bells. No wonder there’s all this talk of global warming or climate change or whatever. The silly critters can’t even do the math. For the American audience who watches the show on Fox: nope, they ain’t smarter than a fifth grader.
There was clearly a drop in the solar signal in the 2nd week of July. This resulted in a sharp drop in S.H. temp`s and a lower drop in the N.H. but enough to increase rainfall considerably, much like mid July 2009. The warmth has returned from around the 15th, which the N.H has responded to quickly being summer, and the S.H. is taking longer to recover due to it being winter, and having to make back up a bigger temp` difference; http://wxmaps.org/pix/temp8.html
The mid month warm up provided the increase in S.H. precipitation that gave the heavy snow falls.
Additional factors to the extent of S. America cold in particular recently, is incursions of polar air, and high levels of ozone over S. America.
It’s the Sun Stupid.
Steveta
It was here http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/hi/news but it’s gone now.
Cassandra King says:
July 21, 2010 at 10:12 am
Absolutely true. What is also interesting is that they stop using normal or average although these words have started to trickle back. In the old days they also used a descriptive range from very cold, cold, rather cold, average, warm, rather warm very warm. Now it’s just HOT even when the predicted/exagerated temp is only 2°C above norm and that in centrel London which is always 3°C above the surrounding countryside on average. Devious little devils.
Cassandra King,
notice – no picture on the BBC article on cold in Latin America – that would make it too memorable.
Danish media are running a story about dead penguins washed ashore in Brazil because of cold water…..
With such a large land mass multi-degrees below normal and half the US, Russia, China, Canada and Africa below normal, where is all the heat that is making for a record hot globe?
I’ve checked several weather stations in the region (Argentina, Chile, Paraquay, Uruguay), and all of them show average or only slightly below average temperatures for this July, so there have been just a couple of very cold days. However, in central and eastern Europe the average temperatures for this month so far are above or near record levels, and the heat is going to continue. Anybody see the difference?
“Hundreds of dead penguins washed up in Brazil”
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-10707906
“They say autopsies carried out on some of the carcasses suggest they could have starved to death, as their stomachs were completely empty.
They are now trying to establish if strong currents and colder temperatures may be to blame.
Thiago do Nascimento of the Peruibe Aquarium says the cooler than usual temperatures off the coast could have driven away the fish and squid the penguins feed on.
But he did not rule out that overfishing could have decimated the penguins’ food sources.”
Dear Peter Sorensen ,
Have they ever been at the Brazilian coast ? It seems to me that all the garbage including the industrial one of Riodejaneiro and Saopaulo is dumped untreated in the Atlantic Ocean and oh my goodio the water is discolored and stinks over there .
Compared to the atlantic ocean at Brasils shoreline the North Sea , previously a big industrial dump is like an excellent aquarium nowadays . The dead pinguins should be autopsied immediately for the cause of death , but that may be exactly the thing the brasilian government does not want . What is easier than to claim global warming being the cause and to find billions of believers distracting the audience from a probable very saddening reality ?
It is called disinformation. Cold is hot, cooling is warming.
Brazil is one of the larger dairy producers.
I think one of those articles posted references 2 million dead bovines?
Is there or does anyone have a link to data on if they are for meat or milk?
What percentage of their farm animal population are affected?
That could have significance on regional demand for food.
TIA
Tesla_x says:
July 21, 2010 at 12:54 pm
It is called disinformation. Cold is hot, cooling is warming.
Brazil is one of the larger dairy producers.
I think one of those articles posted references 2 million dead bovines?
Is there or does anyone have a link to data on if they are for meat or milk?
What percentage of their farm animal population are affected?
That could have significance on regional demand for food.TIA
The pictured animals are Brahman-cross meat animals. Bred to withstand the heat. Grown as crossbreds in the USA in the southern reaches, also for meat http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brahman_(cattle). Not an economical milk producing breed. Milking animals mostly have European ancestry, as in Holstein, Jersey, Guernsey http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dairy_cattle .
Roald says:July 21, 2010 at 12:40 pm
Image of surface temperatures departure from normal for July 17, 2010 for South America, from NOAA NCEP:
I’ve checked several weather stations in the region (Argentina, Chile, Paraquay, Uruguay), and all of them show average or only slightly below average temperatures for this July, so there have been just a couple of very cold days. However, in central and eastern Europe the average temperatures for this month so far are above or near record levels, and the heat is going to continue. Anybody see the difference?
Since the AGW debate concerns global averaged temperatures, the first difference I note is the difference in land mass between South America and central and eastern europe. Have you taken that into account?
Norseman says:
July 21, 2010 at 9:47 am
Reply; Meridional flows like that are a result of lunar declinational atmospheric tides, in this case the Moon crossed the equator on the 15th headed South, it pulled a large mass of cold air up the lee side of the Andes to form the total tidal bulge.
When this happens in the USA in Texas they call them blue northers, weaker ones are called all sorts of names in the northern plains states. There are several papers on global circulation patterns crossing the equator .
http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/72516565/abstract?CRETRY=1&SRETRY=0
“”Meridional transport of air masses between the tropics and midlatitudes in South America are the most intense in the entire Southern Hemisphere, mainly due to the presence of the Andes. The incursions of tropical air into midlatitudes occur on the eastern side of the Andes in two preferred regions. The first is located in the tropical latitudes, close to the mountains between 20° and 30°S, and the second is a function of the position of the South Atlantic Convergence Zone (SACZ). All year long, the two preferred regions maintain their behaviour, with only small variations of their position or relative importance in different seasons of the year. The variability of the meridional transport is larger on the eastern side of the Andes, due to the presence of the mountain barrier, which favours baroclinic activity and allows an active exchange of air masses in both senses, especially during winter.””
Tim Clark says:
July 21, 2010 at 1:22 pm
‘Course I have. This is why I suggested a couple of cold days in South America count for nothing in comparison to the extended heat wave in Eurasia (Yes, it’s also very hot in the Asian part of Russia).
So let’s recapitulate. The warmest winter, spring, Jan-Jun period globally on record, heat waves from North America to Asia, etc (perhaps a short cold snap in América do Sul) despite the sun being in a minimum. Have the sceptics been lying to us?
Although no mention is made of the lunar declinational atmospheric tides, (because they wanted to get funded) Rest of abstract;””The importance of the air mass transport is evident in the precipitation and surface temperature fields. During summertime, the Chaco Low (25°S and 65°W) intensifies due to the positive net radiation, favouring the transport of tropical air masses towards the south and the presence of strong convective activity, which is fed by moisture from tropical regions. During winter, the penetration of tropical air towards higher latitudes is more sporadic. The displacement of midlatitude air towards tropical latitudes occurs on both sides of the Andes. On the western side, the air associated with the subtropical Pacific anticyclone flows northward channelled by the Andes. On the eastern side, incursions of polar air towards lower latitudes are linked to cold fronts whose trajectory and movement is also favoured by the presence of the Andes. In particular, during wintertime the cold fronts are more intense and faster, and sometimes even reach tropical and equatorial latitudes which produces freezes in subtropical regions, such as the coffee growing areas in southeastern Brazil. In contrast, the incursions of cold air are notably weaker and less frequent in summer, and during these events the active cold fronts move northwards merging with the SACZ, which becomes more intense. Copyright © 2000 Royal Meteorological Society””
Thanks for the input Tim.
Wondering if any of their Holstein population was affected?
Tesla_x says:
July 21, 2010 at 12:54 pm
It is called disinformation. Cold is hot, cooling is warming.
Brazil is one of the larger dairy producers.
I think one of those articles posted references 2 million dead bovines?
Is there or does anyone have a link to data on if they are for meat or milk?
What percentage of their farm animal population are affected?
That could have significance on regional demand for food.
TIA
_____________________________________________________
From a quick look at the picture I would say meat.
Brazil is a huge exporter of beef. JBS- Swift, the biggest international meat packer in the world, is based in Brazil and owned by the Batista family. see: http://www.meattradenewsdaily.co.uk/news/230909/brazil___jbs__swift.aspx
Cold in South America? What a pity you’ve never heard of southern Australia, where we are having unusual cold that’s lasted for weeks in July, when August is normally the coldest month.
Roald says:
July 21, 2010 at 1:37 pm
So let’s recapitulate. The warmest winter, spring, Jan-Jun period globally on record, heat waves from North America to Asia, etc (perhaps a short cold snap in América do Sul) despite the sun being in a minimum. Have the sceptics been lying to us?
_________________________________________________________
Funny I am in North Carolina and I though winter would never end. It has been the coldest spring I can remember. Didn’t get hot till mid June and certainly has been much cooler than 2004 so far this year. I have also heard California and the west coast has been very cold, the guys in Florida just finished complaining about their plants freezing, Australia has had record lows and the Arctic temp map has been below normal all summer…
Oh and do not forget all the livestock that froze in Mongolia in February this year or the penguins freezing to death in South Africa just recently or all the manatees that froze in Florida.
By golly you are right it has been a record breaking WARM year this year, I sure hate to see it when it actually gets cold…