Spring, sprang, sprung

Over on the EU Referendum, Richard North points out the absurdity of media coverage on the arrival of  spring. We’ve seen this before, for example at the Union of Concerned Scientists, they have this essay:

Early Warning Signs of Global Warming: Spring Comes Earlier

Even the daffodils are confused, though in that article the writer cites weather, not climate.

Here’s what North has noted about the confusion of the press:

Almost exactly three weeks ago, the press release queen, Louise Gray, was prattling about early springs as a result of global warming.

Fortunately for her, her kindly employer has spared her blushes, not requiring her to write the piece today, which tells us: “For those celebrating St David Day on Monday, there will be a noticeable absence of daffodils as the country’s growers say the cold snap has left their crops a month behind schedule.”

Britain’s “Arctic winter”, incidentally, was officially declared the coldest in 30 years “as parts of the country were lashed by gale force winds and torrential downpours.”

Strangely enough, almost exactly a year to the day, little Louise was writing under the headline, “Latest spring bloom at Kew for 20 years” – the strap reading: “After a succession of early spring blooms, flowers came out later this year than for 20 years because of the recent cold snap.”

Read the rest here at the EU Referendum

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Gary Hladik
March 1, 2010 10:19 am

OMG, if [cue sinister music] Global Warming is happening, then winters will be shorter and milder!!!! It would be The End of Life As We Know It!!!
Oh, wait, I remember now: I moved to California for shorter, milder winters…

Henry chance
March 1, 2010 10:23 am

An Ideologues spring time. Where is the chart, map or graphic that tells us when the ideologues have us expect spring?
When do daffodils bloom in utopia?
I asked at one point in time if Dallas had snow in utopia on climate progress and it was one of many thousands of deleted questions.

Editor
March 1, 2010 10:33 am

Today, I decided there was little enough snow at home (near Concord NH) to declare the end to the main snow coverage streak. A couple years ago that didn’t happen until April, but that was an amazing snow year. At this rate….
Yesterday I went up to our yurt on the side of Mt Cardigan to check for wind damage from Thursdays storm and expected I’d have to shovel 2-3″ of snow from the deck. It turns out 1600′ altitude was enough for the rain I had at home to be 2-3 _feet_ (60-80 cm)
The snow was heavy enough so my dog could walk on it and the pile by the yurt was so deep my dog nearly climbed onto the roof over the fire wood. A 40 mile (65 km) difference, but the real effect is the 1000+’ (300 m) gain in altitude.
Oftentimes it’s the storm track going by New England that determines if we have a snowy, rainy, or dry winter. This year with the southerly storm track, some of the storm that hit us start south, miss us to the south and east, but wrap warm around and come at us from the north.

kim
March 1, 2010 10:35 am

Pingo 9:41:43.
My impression of the Jones thing was of policymakers who’ve realized they’ve been betrayed. Jones and UEA’s chief officer said some disgraceful things.
==============================

Viv Evans
March 1, 2010 10:35 am

Not having Welsh daffodils flowering on St David’s Day is a serious issue here in Wales! The farm who supplies them near where I live has hardly any daffs out – its a field of green, not bright yellow. Daffs stop growing when the temperature falls below 6 C.
Today we were told by none less than a Met Office weather person on the early news on the BBC that Spring would be five weeks late …
Well, I could have told him that: the daffs are only about 5 inches above ground, with a hint of flower buds, where, in the exact same place, a year ago, they were flowering punctually on March 1st. Two and three years ago, they’d already been at it for two weeks.
But hey – any self-respecting daffodil would be very circumspect in regard to putting out flowers after the deep freeze we’ve been having.

mike sphar
March 1, 2010 10:39 am

Early spring, the best powder falls come to the Northern Sierra. Saturday was just such a day with a good foot of fluffy softness on the ski runs. There are hints of more snow coming Tuesday and Wednesday. Come on, El Nino do your thing! The best of skiing lasts deep into April even after the lifts close, due to lack of crowds. It’ll be time to switch to skins and let the climbing begin.

rbateman
March 1, 2010 10:44 am

So the warmists are saying the Weather is too cold because of Global Warming.
That must mean that in the 70’s, the Weather was too hot because of Global Cooling.
Somebody forgot to tell them that the bulb on the thermomoter goes on the bottom.

kwik
March 1, 2010 10:47 am

Yes, I suspect that the red-green-brown hydra called AGW will stick its uggly head out in the open again, and scream out DOOM, DOOM…
Idols, journalists, and members of the royal family will again travel to Spitsbergen, and spend an hour or two looking at melting ice. They will travel by jet and helicopters, and the magic moment will be covered by TV and media.
Spring is here.

phlogiston
March 1, 2010 10:53 am

Rob (10:00:47) :
What do you mean a cold snap, it is a bloody cold long winter here in the UK.
“Snap” is the only word the BBC weather presenters are allowed to use next to cold – still hoping people wont notice the cooling climate. When the cold snaps get long enough, they’ll be talking about the impending “ice snap”.

h.oldeboom
March 1, 2010 11:00 am

Living in the “non plus ultra” NW area of the Netherlands (roughly 53N. 5E), between tulip- and daffodil ackers, there is still nothing to see from any growing activity.

Leon Brozyna
March 1, 2010 11:09 am

Where have we read all this before? Hmmm…
Try Newsweek, April 28, 1975

The Cooling World
“In England, farmers have seen their growing season decline by about two weeks since 1950, with a resultant over-all loss in grain production estimated at up to 100,000 tons annually.”

Forget about global warming as a prod for funding; a few cooling years and the whole incentive for funding disappears. But cycles — now there’s an event that keeps on giving. ENSO changes, PDO or AO oscillations, solar changes, the list goes on. Tell the politicians that you need the funding to learn when there will be 7 years of famine or years of plenty, 20 years of increased snow removal budgets or 20 years when they can divert such mundane monies to pet projects. And since there are so many cycles as well as cycles within longer cycles, the need for funding will be open-ended, unlike Al Gore’s dead-end belief system.
As for when Spring will be sprung … I’m not even going to consider that problem for another month. I’m expecting another inch or two of gobal warming over the next couple days to freshen the covering we’ve had this year since, it seems, forever.

SandyInDerby
March 1, 2010 11:09 am

(Tongue in cheek)
Doesn’t one of the Milankovitch Cycles mean that in 12000 years northern hemisphere’s midsummer will be in December? This means spring should start 45 minutes earlier (or later) every year. Is this being factored into the results? Do any of the other natural cycles come into play here?
(Tongue to normal)

Sean Ogilvie
March 1, 2010 11:12 am

Weather not Climate alert…
Here in Stone Mountain, Georgia, USA the daffodils are yet to bloom. Last year I sent out an obnoxious e-mail to my Yankee friends announcing their bloom on February 11th. I think they normally bloom in about the third week of the month (I’ve lived here 23 plus years).
No doubt next year they will bloom in February again and we will be told that it is because of Global Warming.
PS: We don’t really expect much snow accumulation tomorrow.

kadaka
March 1, 2010 11:13 am

Hey, those flowers are lit from the wrong side. You can even see shadows where there is nothing between the pictured Sun and the shadow.
PHOTOSHOP! Deception!
Look Daddy! The deniers are making stuff up again, just like my teacher said they do! Mr. Gore would never lie like that. He has a Nobel Prize, that means you can trust him!
REPLY: Probably just a backfill flash on the camera, not worth worrying about. -A

Mike Fox
March 1, 2010 11:18 am

Here in beautiful, subtropical Eugene, Oregon, my daffodils are producing quite nicely, as are the forsythia and flowering plum trees all over town.
We’ve had a nice, mild, El Niño winter, I think. Well, it’s been mild, at least.
All of which proves something. Or doesn’t. With a high degree of certainty.
😉

Fudsdad
March 1, 2010 11:19 am

I am glad its not only me who has a problem with the completely witless tosh that is written by Louise Gray in the DT.
On BBC tv they had David Shuckman, another disciple of AGW, standing in a filed of crocuses saying how the report had said how early spring had become when we all know that it is late this year because it has been COLD.
How can he be so ignorant? How can his production team be so useless? No mention was made of the the study period having ended in 2005. God save us from this awful journalism!

March 1, 2010 11:23 am

OT sorry but Phil Jones admits hiding data because ‘it was standard practice’
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1254660/Climategate-expert-tells-MPs.html

jack morrow
March 1, 2010 11:24 am

Here in south Alabama I have been trotting my wife’s flowers in and out of the house all month to keep them from freezing. Also covering and un- covering some outside ones. My back hurts. Darn global warming causing all this cold. I’m writing a letter.

Adam from Kansas
March 1, 2010 11:27 am

Intellicast is saying that Spring weather (showers included) will arrive here in Wichita in about 5 days according to their forecast, a welcome relief from the last two years where despite February being a bit warmer, Spring arrived late. Our daffodils are now growing and the fact we’ll have lows in the 40’s later this week will give them the all clear to finish growing and bloom.
Now we can look to Summer and see if it will be hot or cold. According to this at least-
http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/data/sst/anomaly/2010/anomnight.3.1.2010.gif
El Modoki seems to be under siege from colder than average waters just to the north and south from the ENSO region not to mention the growing and cooling area off of South America.

DeNihilist
March 1, 2010 11:31 am

OK – have to admit that this year on the left coast of canada, we are having a beautiful GW spring.
But here is the wierd thing, my pear tree is starting to bloom about 4 weeks early, yet my apple is just starting to puff out its’ flower buds, about right. But the weirdest of all is the cherry tree, still no sign of life in its’ buds! The cherry is a June producer, so it should be and usually is, first to bloom. Not this year.
Hmmmm………

jorgekafkazar
March 1, 2010 11:32 am

Rob (10:00:47) : “What do you mean a cold snap, it is a bloody cold long winter here in the UK.”
UK Warmists started referring to a “cold snap” back in December when Boreal cold descended on Blighty to stay. Webster’s New World College Dictionary says a cold snap is: “a sudden, brief spell of cold weather.” Nothing brief about this. Beware of anyone who uses words this way. They intend to do evil.

JackStraw
March 1, 2010 11:32 am

>>Max Hugoson (09:59:21) :
>>Repeat a LIE, loud enough…long enough…eventually most people will believe it is the truth.
>>Source – Unknown…
The source is for the quote you paraphrased is Joseph Goebbels, Hitler’s master of propaganda.

R. Gates
March 1, 2010 11:33 am

Let’s see…March in Denver, Colorado, where I live is warmer than Dec., Jan., or Feb., and also is our SNOWIEST month. How could warmer temps. mean MORE snow…well, it all has to do with the fact that warmer temps. mean more moisture is brought in off the pacific and gulf coast to be slammed up against the cooler air in the rockies…and what do you know…we get some big spring snow storms here in Denver. And so, warmer temps mean more snow…hmmm…
In general, storms represent a tremendous amount of energy being released from both the oceans and the atmosphere, thus storms=energy release. So for example, the last glacial period saw cooler temps and drier weather overall. So, if AGW is an accurate model, then we would expect to see bigger and bigger storms and more severe weather in general.
Also, Feb. 2010 looks like it may just miss (or just make) being the warmest globally in the troposphere on record…following closely on the heals of January 2010’s record temps. I know it’s all interesting reporting on the weather in our own back yard, but climate change is about what’s going on globally…and it’s been a very warm and stormy past few months, southern and northern hemispheres (when looked at from a global perspective).

March 1, 2010 11:39 am

According to the BBC, England has just had its coldest winter in 31 years whilst Scotland and Northern Ireland has had their coldest since 1962/63, which in itself is the third coldest in the entire 350 year CET record.
This table from another blogger;
2008 15.3°C 386 ppm
1998 15.5°C 366 ppm
1976 14.8°C 331 ppm
1944 15.1°C 309 ppm
1850 14.6°C 281 ppm
1700 14.0°C 280 ppm
900 16.0°C 280 ppm
So it looks as if natural variabilty can counter 50 ppm CO2 increase since the late 1970’s for England whilst natural variability in Scotland is able to counter an even more impressive 65 ppm increase since 1962/3.
So either natural variability is much greater than had previously been admitted, or perhaps Co2 is not as powerful a climate driver as is believed?
Looking at the huge variations in temperature throughout the CET record with temperatures as warm as today despite CO2 at only 280ppm, perhaps we need to re evaluate the relative potency of CO2?
(Yes I do know the difference between climate and weather, but the coldest winter for nearly 50 years-how can that be?) 🙂
Tonyb

maarten
March 1, 2010 11:51 am

Love reading those alarmist articles – wording is quite entertaining – lot of “may, can, are believed, suggests, can, growing concern, growing evidence suggests”. Pretty clever – not making any hard claims, but trying hard to appear to be credible to the gullible masses.