Over on the EU Referendum, Richard North points out the absurdity of media coverage on the arrival of spring. We’ve seen this before, for example at the Union of Concerned Scientists, they have this essay:
Early Warning Signs of Global Warming: Spring Comes Earlier
Even the daffodils are confused, though in that article the writer cites weather, not climate.
Here’s what North has noted about the confusion of the press:
Almost exactly three weeks ago, the press release queen, Louise Gray, was prattling about early springs as a result of global warming.
Fortunately for her, her kindly employer has spared her blushes, not requiring her to write the piece today, which tells us: “For those celebrating St David Day on Monday, there will be a noticeable absence of daffodils as the country’s growers say the cold snap has left their crops a month behind schedule.”
Britain’s “Arctic winter”, incidentally, was officially declared the coldest in 30 years “as parts of the country were lashed by gale force winds and torrential downpours.”
Strangely enough, almost exactly a year to the day, little Louise was writing under the headline, “Latest spring bloom at Kew for 20 years” – the strap reading: “After a succession of early spring blooms, flowers came out later this year than for 20 years because of the recent cold snap.”
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Yep, My Daffodils still haven’t breached the surface yet. In prior years they are out of the ground in mid-Feb.
Just a side note about temps in the DC area. Jan high temps averaged 6.3F below the seasonal average, high temps in February averaged an ‘unprecedented’ 12F BELOW the seasonal average. Looking at Accuweather through mid-March we’re going to be at least 5-7F below average.
Since when did we need a warmist to tell us what spring is like? I sure don’t need one to tell me it is snowing. Yes it is difficult to cover the ground with snow and increase soil temps.
I can tell you one thing, if “spring” has arrived early up north, then winter has arrived early down under too.
I kid you not, it is cold here in Sydney, Australia tonight, 2 days into Autumn, and I think we had about 8 days of summer this year.
Next sunday won´t be a spring day for sure.
Which part of “average” don’t you understand?
The springs in the UK gradually and erratically came progressively earlier from 1975 to 2000 or thereabouts and then stopped getting earlier.
Since 2007 they have been coming progressively later.
In the space of four seasons we are now already back to a spring which promises to be later than for many a year and possibly will not have an equivalent until one looks back to the late 70’s.
The key is the predominating wind direction which is intimately connected to our latitudinal position relative to the mid latitude jet stream tracks.
Those tracks would appear to be dictated by the balance between oceanic temperatures affecting the width of the tropics and the activity level of the sun affecting the strength of the temperature inversion in the stratosphere which affects the strngth of the Arctic Oscillation.
The more active the sun the weaker the AO and vice versa.
You gotta love natures sense of humour 🙂
I monitor spring in the SW of England by the start of mating activity of frogs in my pond. Last year they were a couple of weeks later than normal and this year they appeared last week, about a month later than normal.
I shake my head, and I wonder, “who is in denial?”
Late fall, early spring, cats and dogs living together… the world’s gone CRAZY!
DUH… if it supports AGW it’s climate, if it doesn’t it’s weather, what’s not to understand?
Now *some* people might think that’s a textbook case of confirmation bias, but *some* people also buy their gas from “big oil” and have homes powered by “big coal” so it’s safe to ignore their opinions.
/sarcoff
Trouble is you don’t understand the difference between weather and climate: weather getting colder but climate getting warmer. Now then, gettit
Patchy1 to Control tower: “Request permission to land L93R?”
Control Tower: “Negative Patchy1. permission denied”
Patchy1: “do you know who we are. i’ve got Patchy Morals on board.”
Control Tower: “we’ve run out of carbon credits and can’t except jets”
Patchy1: “No problem. He’ll just print some when he lands for you!”
“Even the daffodils are confused….”
I can certify that daffodils are are ‘rarely’ confused. This is not their problem. When they sprout and bloom too early it’s the Sun what did it, and the absence of sufficient cloud cover. It’s always the Sun what did it! And I don’t care what Leif says what done it.
Early springs could well be because of the increased amount of CO2 in the air, not warming.
I actually saw some ground by the side of the road where the massive amounts of basic metal salts lowered the melting point enough that sublimation caused the seasonal ice cap to withdraw a few inches.
We’ve had more than 70 days straight of more than 11″ of snow ground cover.
Holy crap!?!
You mean it’s going to get warm soon?
I’m scared.
It’s St. David’s Day today, the Welsh national saint’s day. We of the Cymru wear daffodils to celebrate – though I personally prefer the leek alternative, a symbol which you can eat and which, at need, can also be used as a weapon against the English (qv Shakespeare’s Henry V). The absence of the daffs is very noticeable and unusual, even here in extreme southern Britain (Sussex), though they are now starting to poke their greenery up a bit and should be out in a week or so I assume. A small matter forsooth, but how will farmers and agriculture fare as a result of this winter and the possibly non-barbecue summer? Is there anyone here who can enlighten me on this?
Most obvious among the Warmists’ tactics, is the release of warming stories in spite of the reality around them. Hence we learn that 2009 was the warmest year on record, 1999-2009, the Warmest Decade In History, July 2009 the warmest July on record, and Spring now in early March. All of these assertions are patently false. All rely upon the perception of the reader that while they may be cold, that is a regional manifestation of AGW.
This is puzzling – are we supposed to believe that one late spring somehow trumps 20 early ones (or whatever the figures are)?
Snowdrops are only now coming into full flower, ditto crocuses. Daffodils are barely visible here; the odd flower bud is just starting to show. There was ice on the water trough around midday, despite the sun. This is in the Cotswolds.
Louise is probably away in Fantasy Land.
Late spring together with warmest global Jan temp, doesn’t make sense unless there are record temps in southern hemisphere or some is telling porkies.
That’s funny. This week-end I was musing to the mate that we were certain to see a few articles on the delayed arrival of spring being due to global warming! I should have blogged on it.
In the Irish prss today:
SPRING begins today, March 1, and, compared to its premature arrival over the past decade and a half, the natural world is awakening bang on time this year.
http://www.independent.ie/national-news/nature-is-springing-into-action—-bang-on-schedule-2084146.html
Offically it was the coldest winter since 1962/1963 in Ireland
http://www.met.ie/climate/monthly_summarys/winter10.pdf
As you point out, the evidence for AGW just keeps piling up.
Science News
Warming has already boosted insect breeding
Museum records, publications suggest extra generations at same time as temperature increases
By Susan Milius
Web edition : Thursday, December 24th, 2009
http://www.sciencenews.org/view/generic/id/51528/title/Warming_has_already_boosted_insect_breeding
From Reuters:
“January, according to satellite (data), was the hottest January we’ve ever seen,” said Nicholls of Monash University’s School of Geography and Environmental Science in Melbourne.
“Last November was the hottest November we’ve ever seen, November-January as a whole is the hottest November-January the world has seen,” he said of the satellite data record since 1979.
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE61O16A20100225
Well, weather depends on where you are, as well as climate.
In Greece around Athens we have had a mild winter ( no ice in the water barrel in the country cottage) and spring seems to have come early, unless a cold March kicks in ( has happened before). We got winds from the Sahara, accompanied by the desert red dust.Not enough rain to wash it away well.
Anemones bloomed in December ( not usual), almond trees are on course and even the pomegranate bush has started budding. Dandelions and rockets are blooming. Fortunately the other fruit trees, apricot and tangerine and lemon and olive have not budded yet. If a frost comes in March it will destroy the fruit.
The pine trees have started their pollen though . This is good, if rains come in March it will flush it all away and we will not get the yellow stuff all over the place.
Gionis, a night bird that winters in Egypt has come, so he is not expecting more cold. We have to see if the swallows come early.
On the other hand our summer was cool, practically naturally air conditioned so I suppose the average temperature will be constant.