Bob Tisdale shows us that GISS is once again, “way out there” in 2009 compared to other global temperature data sets. It is not surprising, we’ve come to expect it.
Was 2009 The Warmest Year On Record In The Southern Hemisphere?
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale
Figure 1
http://i50.tinypic.com/alq6wy.png
Figure 2
The annual NCDC Land+Sea Surface Temperature anomalies from 1982 to 2009, Figure 3, also do not show the record levels in 2009, but the NCDC does not infill with the 1200km smoothing like GISS.
http://i45.tinypic.com/2h2ghdy.png
Figure 3
GISS has used OI.v2 SST data since 1982. Figure 3 is an annual graph of SST anomalies for the Southern Hemisphere, and it illustrates that 2009 was not a record year for SST anomalies. That leaves the GISS land surface temperature anomaly data as the culprit.
http://i50.tinypic.com/2eceu74.png
Figure 4
Hadley Centre data is still not available for December, and they’ve been running late recently. The NCDC and GISS data through KNMI Climate Explorer data should be updated within the next few days, so we’ll be able to do some comparisons and try to determine which of the continents is responsible for the new record GISS Southern Hemisphere temperatures.
SOURCES
OI.v2 SST anomaly data is available through the NOAA NOMADS website:
http://nomad3.ncep.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/pdisp_sst.sh?lite
The GISTEMP Southern Hemisphere Land Plus Surface Temperature data is available from GISS:
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/SH.Ts+dSST.txt
The NCDC Southern Hemisphere Land Plus Surface Temperature data is available here:
ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/anomalies/monthly.land_ocean.90S.00N.df_1901-2000mean.dat
The UAH MSU TLT anomaly data was retrieved from the KNMI Climate Explorer:
http://climexp.knmi.nl/selectfield_obs.cgi?someone@somewhere
Posted by Bob Tisdale at 9:06 PM
After enduring a very cold autumn (coldest may on record), cold winter, cold spring and a non-summer in NZ I will be particuarly miffed if they declare it was the “warmest year on record”!
Figures from NIWA for NZ show it was cooler than mean, so it shouldnt be NZ doing it.
Hansen, et al have absolutely no shame (nor credibility). How many times does Peter have to cry, “Wolf” before the people stop paying attention.
It’s Darwin airport, it’s always Darwin airport. betcha.
On a geological time frame, it’s thirty years of weather.
Who’s in charge of the GISTEMP, Dr. Bernie Madoff I presume?
I would hazard a guess and say it’s Africa since just about the entire middle section of that continent is devoid of data.
I made the Animation in this video by making Anomaly maps from the GISS site. They are Jan-Dec, 1951-80 Normals but instead of using the 1200km “smooth” its set to the 250km option. Once you do that you see that the SH is really lacking in readings. Africa almost none, South America has a blank spot and if you do a polar view on the 250km scale Antarctica is very sparse in data.
Is it just me? All these rises and falls in temperatures of mere fractions of a degree. So what? They mean nothing. They certainly don’t mean man is causing global warming. The changes are too small to qualify and quantify the effects of man-made greenhouse gases and pollution. AGW alarmist in particular are treating everyone as fools to believe otherwise. If the temperature had risen by say 4 C over the past 100 years then I’d be listening to AGW alarmists. But something like 0.6 C rise? That’s nothing in the overall scheme of things. Common sense please!
Anthony, about when will the surfacestations summary come out?
Thouth I know you’ve been busy since the outbreak of Climategate and other stuffs, many folks probably await it.
Bob Tisdale – Are we seeing the end of El Nino this southern summer?
The latest report from BoM seems to be suggesting it.
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/
I note that Jan 2010 is looking to be very hot according to the satelite readings.
Maybe Feb also…
I have to agree with Peter of Sydney, and in actuality, that 0.6 C is probably 0.3 +/- 0.4C. The signal of the measurement is just insignificant compared to its noise.
Although NCDC does not show a record, isn’t it’s ending anomalie higher? Is that due to a different baseline?
Probably boring as hell but how much of the +0.6c to +0.7c is attributable to the recovery from the little ice age?
If we say the LIA ended in 1850 then the temp either goes up or we face a further reduction in temp.
Obviously the temp increased slightly over the next 150 years but what was a reasonable assessment of the LIA temp decline from 1350 to 1850.
Most of the info I have seen attributes the average decline to be -1.0c over that 500 year period.
Therefore if we have recovered say 0.7c in the next 150+ years what is the panic about?
Peter of Sydney (19:02:12) : Is it just me? All these rises and falls in temperatures of mere fractions of a degree. So what?… If the temperature had risen by say 4 C over the past 100 years…
You can add me in, Peter; and I would expect millions of rational beings the world around.
Hey folks, just finished a post which I believe provides proof (or at least a clear way to prove) the AGW theories are mathematically invalid.
http://strata-sphere.com/blog/index.php/archives/12246
Comments welcomed!
The NCDC and GISS data through KNMI Climate Explorer data should be updated within the next few days, so we’ll be able to do some comparisons and try to determine which of the continents is responsible for the new record GISS Southern Hemisphere temperatures.
I think I smell an assumption here… As of now, a large percentage of pacific basin thermometers are at airports. So take an island with a patch of tarmac and a bunch of jet engines. No UHI “correction” will be done since there are not enough “nearby” stations (GIStemp just passes the data through if there are not enough “nearby”. So that Airport Heat Island will now be used to fill in a 2400 km diameter circle of ocean with “abnomal” heat anomalies…
Compare a 2400 km diameter circle with, oh, Australia.
Now count the number of islands in the sun …
Then there is always The Bolivia Effect…
I’d hate to see these people attempt to drive. Their reactions to the trees and rocks moving, let alone other vehicles, must be frightening. What happens when a bug hits the windshield???
http://www.flickr.com/photos/22364639@N07/3075281852/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/23094963@N08/2298533435/
http://image.motorcyclecruiser.com/f/8827875/WS-Lead-xl.jpg
http://image.motorcyclecruiser.com/f/8827933/WS-bug-tite-lg.jpg
Sorry it wasn’t a movie… 🙂
Ameteur vote: Darwin Station. (I read that great article last month, about how the hockey puck’s hockey stick was replicated, by a step-by-step process.)
OT: In France a story is developing about skyfall.fr, a skeptics French language site, that was hosted on the “free” server. Skyfall has been unavailable now for few days and a letter has been sent to the CEO of Iliad the mother corp of “free” in order to find out what’s the problem.
http://www.objectifliberte.fr/2010/01/indisponibilite-du-site-skyfal-mail-ouvert-a-xavier-niel-president-du-groupe-iliad.html
To be continued…
boballab (18:59:57):
Good Work! Yours is a very important video, for it shows not only the very sparse global coverage in the early years, but also the massive drop-out stations post 198–not only in Africa. This glaring lack of a uniform geographic basis is what allows the construction of a “global anomaly series” to suit one’s taste.
OOPS! That should read: “drop-out of stations post1980…”
The Australian Bureau of Meteorology “high quality” data for land temperatures in Western Australia are relevant since this jurisdiction, at 2.5 million square kilometres, comprises a reasonable chunk of the southern hemisphere.
Chart of BoM data from 1979 to 2009
http://www.waclimate.net/1979-2009.html
Comparing 1979-1989 with 1999-2009, the average mean temperature across Western Australia increased by 0.197C over the 31 year period. Comparing 1990-1999 with 2000-2009, the average mean temperature increased by 0.013C – if the “high quality” data is considered accurate.
The only way we are going to get a global 6deg C rise in temperatures by 2100 is if we cover almost all of the land in cities, so it is all covered in an 8 degree UHI effect to bring up the overall average.
Or as they have done move all of the thermometers, into cities which seems cheaper, and easier.
ajstrata,
Run that posting through a spell checker, and a style checker, and get back to me.
Day-2-day
Fickled
There instead of Their
identofy
I wonder where the 0.1C added at start of 2007 came from? Before and after that date the trace appears to be constant.
Peter of Sydney (19:02:12) :
A little restraint is certainly in order for some. Even with the 0.6C rise, it does not mean that it is 0.6C warmer everywhere. It does not even mean that it is, on average, 0.6C warmer everywhere. It could be 4.6C warmer in one place, and 1C colder in 4 places. At least, insofar as I understand the way they average.