UPDATE: The subject of this article, Mojib Latif, has challenged the Daily Mail article and it’s interpretation. In another story at the Guardian, Latif says the interpretation by the Daily Mail and a similar story in the Telegraph is wrongly interpreting his work.
Read the Guardian story here and decide for yourself. If anyone knows of a contact for Dr. Latif, please leave it in comments as I’ll make this forum available to him should he wish to elaborate further.
h/t to WUWT reader Werner Weber for notifying me.
UPDATE2: Werner Weber writes to me in email:
> I have send him an e-mail, pointing out what happened during the night
> and invite him to take the oportunity to present his views in one of the
> leading sceptics blogs.
=====================================
We’ve been covering a lot of the recent cold outbreaks under the “weather is not climate department” heading. This story however is about both weather and climate and what one IPCC scientist thinks is headed our way.

The cold this December and January has been noteworthy and newsworthy. We just posted that December 2009 was the Second Snowiest on Record in the Northern Hemisphere. Beijing was hit by its heaviest snowfall in 60 years, and Korea had the largest snowfall ever recorded since record keeping began in 1937. Plus all of Britain was recently covered by snow.
The cold is setting records too.
Oranges are freezing and millions of tropical fish are dying in Florida, there are Record low temperatures in Cuba and thousands of new low temperature records being set in the USA as well as Europe.
There are signs everywhere, according to an article in the Daily Mail, which produced this graphic below:
According to IPCC scientist Mojib Latif in an article for the Daily Mail, it could be just the beginning of a decades-long deep freeze. Latif is known as one of the world’s leading climate modelers.
Latif, is a professor at the Leibniz Institute at Germany’s Kiel University and an author of the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report. Latif is a prominent scientist in the UN’s IPCC climate research group.
Latif thinks the cold snap Americans, Brits, and Europeans have been suffering through is the beginning of another cycle, this one a down cycle. He says we’re in for 30 years of cooler temperatures. While maybe it is a harsh prediction, he calls it a “mini ice age”. That phrase is sure to stick in the craw of more than a few people. His theory is based on an analysis of natural oscillations in water temperatures in the oceans.
According to his He believes our current cold weather pattern is a pause, a “30-years-long blip”, in the larger cycle of global warming, which postulates that temperatures will rise rapidly over the coming years.
At a U.N. conference in September, Latif said that changes in the North Atlantic Oscillation could mask over any “manmade global warming” for the next few decades. He said the fluctuations in the NAO could also be responsible for much of the rise in global temperatures seen over the past 30 years.
In a stunning revelation, he told the Daily Mail that:
“a significant share of the warming we saw from 1980 to 2000 and at earlier periods in the 20th Century was due to these cycles – perhaps as much as 50 percent.”
Quite a revelation, and a smack down of much of the climate science in the last 30 years that attributes the cause mostly to CO2 increases.
In other news, Arctic sea ice is on the rise too.
According to the U.S. National Snow and Ice Data Center Arctic summer sea ice has increased by 409,000 square miles, or 26 per cent, since 2007.I’m betting that summer 2010 will have even more ice retained.
Right now, there doesn’t appear to be much of that “rotten ice” that one Canadian alarmist researcher squawked about to the media just a few weeks ago. In fact, we aren’t looking bad at all compared to 30 years ago.

Note that 30 years ago, the technology didn’t exist to display snow cover on the left image, but today we can see just how much our northern hemisphere resembles a snowball.
Now, watch the warmists throw Latif under the bus.
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Don’t you just love these guys. He’s one foot off the AGW bandwagon but just can’t let the other one go. Talk about fence sitting for Europe.
That photo of the Earth on the right has been doctored – we all know that Britain is covered in white!
Surely that is just rotten snow isn’t it?
Throw him under the bus??? They should put him on a pedestal. He just gave them cover for 30 more years of erroneous predictions.
I don’t know what Latif’s politics are, but if he thinks the public will stand for 30 years of cold while backing legislation to make it stay colder then he is walled off from reality indeed.
It’s a step-by-step process. He says half of the last 30 years’ warming is natural. We have to give them a little time to wean them off the bandwagon.
Actually scrub that – that’s the wrong date you have their!!! It’s 2010 now! Fix before you get loads of comments! The 2010 is even ‘worse’.
REPLY: press refresh for an updated image
Half o the warming is natural, the other half is getting it’s ass kicked.
since when has an IPCC computer modeller had any cred?
Good for Mojab Latif. He has joined the ranks of climate realists. Of course, Prof. Bill Gray has been saying much the same thing for 15 to 20 years. So have many others. I am just a meteorologist, but I have noted for many years that the ocean cycles must be responsible for at least 50 percent of the warming observed during the 20th century, and that the atmosphere must be at least 50% less sensitive to CO2 than the IPCC says it is. No other conclusion can be drawn from the facts, and those facts have been very evident for at least a decade.
They may try to through Mr. Latif under the bus, but it is getting awfully crowded under here. Soon, the bus will just tip over and perhaps we can all just go home.
The rats are running down the Hauser-after the Ice Berg hits the MV Copenhagen at
the dock….
It is not surprising that there was an “urgency” to make Carbo friendly business deals based on the IPCC warmist scenario… before the proverbial cold sheet hit the fan!
Didn’t Tamino just publish a paper that states that there is no cyclical pattern to the weather.
Just trying to keep some credibility. Some scientist still want to have a reputation of looking at actual science as opposed to belief.
It is called normal climate and weather.
If Boeing designed airplanes the way AGW promoters do climate science, would anyone fly a Boeing?
OT, but I wasn’t able to determine how to make a “Tips and Notes to WUWT” entry, where the following tip rightly belongs. (So please snip, and you may want to e-mail me back to tell me how properly to alert you to something you may want to include.)
Anyway, RealClimate has a post from Trenberth and others about Lindzen and Choi’s paper and about how they had trouble submitting a comment on it to the journal that Lindzen and Choi was published in.
Wonder what sort of tires the bus has?
Michelins
Goodyears
Dunlops
Pirellis
Bridgestones
Toyos
Continentals
I suppose we will find out soon enough.
Use this image to compare last year’s snow & ice to today’s:
http://www.robertb.darkhorizons.org/New%20Image.GIF
The sea ice is a lot thicker (more robust 🙂 ) and the snowcover if more extensive.
So cooler is better eh. I don’t see very many AGW’ers out there saying that this is better. All I hear are crickets chirping.
Wake me up in 30 years. I’ll take warmer over this any day.
I think this man’s brilliant.
The definitive let-out clause. “Masking global warming for 30 years”. So (1) politicians don’t need to wreck economies so fast because that can wait for the next election (2) scientists haven’t lost face because all-hidden, the sacred AGW continues (3) and anyway it’s not quite so bad because “half” the recent warming was natural (4) now we can concentrate on this WEATHER (5) by the time long-range pictures appear again, the current crusaders will be dead, senile, re-posted, in jail, retired with a good income, etc, and the next generation of braves will be in the driving seat. And by then, the recent horrors of scientific perversion may well have given rise to a decent return to Science. And who knows, we might even be able to explore the (ssh) ssb properly.
He presumably read the following, from UN’s FAO, page 50 graph:
ftp://ftp.fao.org/docrep/fao/005/y2787e/y2787e08.pdf
The ghost of Big Jim Cooley (11:40:20) :
That photo of the Earth on the right has been doctored – we all know that Britain is covered in white!
Mighty close to covered in white today, is Britain.
See my image link above
The image in the article is from 2009, not 2010.
The joke is going to be on a lot of people. I hope that people learn some lessons about being conned. There were a lot of people who never believed in AGW.
we have not had global warming in the last 10 years. some scientist say it is going to get cooler because of decreased sunspot activity.
then some “scientist” cooks up this hypothesis to explain why global warming isn’t happening and still be able to blame it on co2 and us. this sounds like something out of a day after tomorrow.
the only reason this ridiculous theory gets published is because it blames us.
how many times have scientist changed and come up with new agw theories?
they deserve no credibility.
Latif is a climate modeller, an IPCC scientist, and still a declared believer in AGW.
Sorry, but what we’re seeing here, from Mr Fifty Percent, is an example of how the alarmists will tippy-toe away from their slower fellow alarmists and keep their jobs. Their favourite word will be “mask”. (Remember: Thirty years was the perfect amount of time for the Global Coolists of the seventies to get the egg off their faces, and for Time and Newsweek to recast themselves as warming enthusiasts.)
Those who have propagated AGW should not be allowed to wriggle out of their position in this fashion. We should not be grateful to Latif for pointing out that natural forces and cycles are an influence on climate. There are people I know around my area who are so drunk they occasional sleep on the Pacific Highway…and they could have given you that information for free.