It’s not like there haven’t been clues. Like for example as I pointed out the Arctic Oscillation has gone strongly negative.
The article says:
“The cold weather comes despite the Met Office’s long range forecast, published, in October, of a mild winter. That followed it’s earlier inaccurate prediction of a “barbecue summer”, which then saw heavy rainfall and the wettest July for almost 100 years.”
Excerpts:
Britain is bracing itself for one of the coldest winters for a century with temperatures hitting minus 16 degrees Celsius, forecasters have warned.
They predicted no let up in the freezing snap until at least mid-January, with snow, ice and severe frosts dominating.
And the likelihood is that the second half of the month will be even colder.
Weather patterns were more like those in the late 1970s, experts said, while Met Office figures released on Monday are expected to show that the country is experiencing the coldest winter for up to 25 years.
On New Year’s Day 10 extreme weather warnings were in place, with heavy snow expected in northern England and Scotland.
Despite New Year celebrations passing off mostly unaffected by the weather, drivers in parts of the country, particularly areas of Northumberland, Cumbria and the Scottish Highlands, were warned not to travel unless absolutely necessary.
The continued freezing temperatures did not signal bad news for everyone however. CairnGorm Mountain said it has had its best Christmas holiday season in 14 years.
With heavy snow in the area, the resort said that over a four-day period following Christmas Day it has had more than 8,000 skiers and snowboarders using its runs – including 800 on New Year’s Eve.
h/t to David Corcoran
photon without a Higgs (11:15:39) :
It was a joke – yesterday was the first day of the decade of the 2010s.
TWC
“The Weather Channel Companies are owned by a consortium made up of NBC Universal and the private equity firms The Blackstone Group and Bain Capital.”
@ur momisugly Philip T. Downman (11:06:31) :
Danes, look out! Remember 1658 when Karl X of Sweden came over the sea ice. Any day Carl XVI Gustaf of Sweden may come the same way.
——–
re.: GARS, Gustavo Adolpho Rex Suissa,
there is an alternative history series from David Weber/Eric Flint, “1632”/”Ring of Fire”,
and the sequels (some of them are for free, some have snippets to download
at http://www.baen.com) [@ur momisuglyOperator, that’s no ad, I’m a reader]
In the alternative history, Gustav Adolf will not die at the Battle of Luetzen,
he will create the Confederate States of Europe, accompanied by a bunch of
Miners from West Virginia (don’t like to link to wikipedia, but that’s my
exception: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1632_series
Really interesting to read, especially because it comes from authors who are
history buffs.
During World War II weather forecasts in North America were classified information, so only the most general weather forecasts, devoid of important information, so no particulars on cloudy weather, precipitation, temps, etc. were printed in newspapers. In a similar situation, the MET would be encouraged to go all out on its current course; the problem is that nobody would believe the forecasts anyway.
O/T sort of, but T & N is crashing me
More Climategate in MSM
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/opinion/boffins-may-be-illegal/story-e6frg6zo-1225815349833
this just in……
[ The Met Office gives us the warmist weather.
By Christopher Booker
Published: 7:12PM GMT 02 Jan 2010
“Shortly after midnight on Friday morning, as 200,000 merrymakers were departing from the Thames after enjoying a spectacular fireworks show in sub-zero temperatures, flakes of snow began to fall on Whitehall. In light of the Met Office’s prediction that this would be a “mild” winter, with temperatures above average, it seemed an apt way to start the New Year. But hasn’t the time come for us to stop treating the serial inaccuracy of Met Office forecasts as just a joke and see it for what it is – a national scandal?” ]
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/columnists/christopherbooker/6924898/The-Met-Office-gives-us-the-warmist-weather.html
Maybe, just maybe, if more news like this can get circulated around the world and into the homes of those sitting on the fence, the rising numbers of global warming skeptics will become impossible to ignore.
Might we see a return of the Frost Fairs to the Thames?
The cold is hiding the warming? Then it is exceptionally alarming…
It’s posted at Drudge, I tipped them this 12 hours ago. I’m sure others have to.
As I’ve been saying, unless the Met Office cleans its house, it’s going to remain the Mother of laughing stocks.
How stupid must one look before waking up?
Time for change.
http://climate.gi.alaska.edu/ClimTrends/Change/TempChange.html
My family and I live in the northern foothills of N C.We has 11 in of snow on Dec .18 .Even after a 1 1/2 of rain we received on Christmas day our yard for the most part is still white with snow and with high temps in the 20’s and low 30’s lt not going anywhere anytime soon.I know weather isn’t climate but isn’ t it odd when the temps are up the first thing you hear is climate change or global warming.You know i’m just glad we are having global warming because if we weren’t it would be cold like in 20’s and 30’s .Wait A minute it is that cold .I guess global warming must not be real after all and its just a cycle like back in the 70’s .
“Atmospheric carbon dioxide levels may have been lower in warm eras of the Earth’s distant past than once believed, scientists reported this week.”
http://www.nature.com/news/2009/091230/full/news.2009.1168.html
Now for a bit of reverse logic:
“Atmospheric carbon dioxide levels are rising today, and the new finding suggests that climate might be considerably more sensitive to changes in carbon dioxide than previously thought.”
Or, perhaps the Earth got warmer despite CO2 being low !
Photon without a Higgs….
I’m pretty sure that ShrNfr was using the populist definition of “decade”, rather than the logical definition. Therefore he/she would be regarding the current decade to start on 01/01/10 instead of what I regard it to be i.e. 01/01/01. Of course, the next decade will really start 01/01/11.
Ref – Rob Erhardt (12:46:37) :
“As a U.S. Federal Meteorologist for 30-years, what we are seeing is much more than “weather is not climate”…..”
___________________
Haven’t yet heard the forecast put quite the way you said. Any idea when the rest of the world is going to be informed? (Or at least “The Land of the Round Doorknob”?)
You need some perspective, I am certain in 4 or 5 years this winter will be much warmer than you think it is now while being mislead by raw temperatures. Once the temperatures have been properly adjusted you will see that this winter is too warm for snow.
“Another Ian (13:14:45) :
O/T sort of, but T & N is crashing me
More Climategate in MSM”
I think the CRU scientists, Mann et.al. should really be working on their communication strategy some more.
“It’s not like there haven’t been clues. Like for example as I pointed out the Arctic Oscillation has gone strongly negative.”
I think the 30 December is a litle late to be giving the Met clues. Perhaps if you had dug up something Joe had aid a couple of months earlier and then pointed that out , it would have helped the Met some.
But I’m sure with their super-computers and fine-tuned models, the Met will eventually get one forecast right.
Al Gore’s Holy Hologram (08:39:43) : “…When someone says global warming will continue when it hasn’t continued for a decade and then says mobile phones endanger health when there is no evidence for it, you know the guy has to be fired from his position.”
The heartbreak of proctocraniosis.
A small comet is grazing the Sun at spaceweather.com
stephen richards (11:40:19) : “What really annoys me and has done for nearly 2 years now has been the UK MetOff piping on about their wonderful £30m computer…”
Are they related to Bernie Metoff?
It seems to me that the UK could save a great deal of money by abolishing the Met and the CRU completely and using a small fraction of the money they had formerly spent by subscribing to Joe Bastardi’s service. I’m sure that Joe and his service would be willing to make whatever technical upgrades the UK would deem necessary.
Ed Murphy (13:36:32) :
“A small comet is grazing the Sun at spaceweather.com”
After carefully tracking back its position during last 24 hours (barely visible 24h ago),
http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/data_query_search_movie
and the angle it traversed during that time. I would dare suggest it is much closer to the LASCO orbit (and the Earth) than to the Sun. If it was anywhere near Mercury’s orbit it would be a really giant comet.
addendum to: KlausB (13:03:15) :
…accompanied by a bunch of Miners from West Virginia …
They are stranded there, due to a time slip … from 199x back to 1631 …
in the early time of the Thirty Years War…
OTOH, it’s getting freaking cold out here. Fortunately, I bought my heating oil
near a minimum price last year, it will lasting for 16 months on average. 2009 did end up with highest price for the year of ’09 here.
I’ve a decision tool for when to buy heating oil:
8-weeks running average of prices (heating oil),
15-weeks running average of prices (heating oil),
NAO/AO monthly averages,
32/33 months running average of Brent/WTIC,
12 months running average of monthly mean temperatures,
compared to the last 60 years,
freight rates of the Rhine and the Danube,
because freight rates from Rotterdam to refineries inlands
do influence prices by 5% to 15% .
Did use that model since ’98. It does give valuable decision points.
A working model.
Re: Comet
The link has failed: try this
http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/data_query
What do all those people actually do at the UK Met office? How many people does Joe or Piers have (or any of the other commercial forecasters who are getting it right?)
The number of people seem extraordinary to me.