From the “weather is not climate department. Oh the weather outside is frightful….
Prisoners used to shovel snow-bound US capitol
Here’s the roundup of cold and snow records for the past 7 days. While there is a handful of new high temp records, it is clear where the bulk of the statistics is. Note the new record lows in Florida.
Here’s a few other recent news stories:
Maryland Reports 4 Cold Weather Deaths
Cold weather kills scores in India
Dublin airport suspends flights after heavy snowfall, cold weather
Once in generation cold snap forecast for North Carolina
Record low blows into Siouxland
Recent global cool-down challenges validity of climate change models
National Weather Highlight for 12 / 29 / 09: Record snow falls in Dallas / Fort Worth area
Recent global cool-down challenges validity of climate change models
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ralph (00:46:37) :
For the UK, this is quite unprecedented. We normally get a cold snap or two in Jan or Feb, just for a few days with lots of warm weather in between. To have very cold followed by cold and then very cold for more than three weeks in Dec/Jan is quite unprecedented.
Hardly unprecedented Ralph.
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporate/pressoffice/anniversary/winter1946-47.html
I have been looking at the released Met-Office/CRU data and the related code. I am absolutely astonished. They use methods which a second year engineering student could demolish.
The methods they use can be be shown formally to be wrong. It can also be shown to produce substantial artifactual trends.
I am not entirely surprised in the light of this that the Met Office predictions may be slightly at variance with current weather.
Also, the data it self is extraordinary. I had expected continuous records from say 1900. In fact there are gaps in the records and some stop before the present.
Please, somebody reassure me that this is not the standard of grossly underperforming science on which we are supposed to de-industrialise our economies.
It snows in Lincolnshire as I type this!
Promises of -5C tonight, doubtless it will be lower, as the forecast is for the city of Lincoln, so drop a couple of degrees off that fir us poor peasants out in the frozen mud.
Today’s The Daily Telegraph has a page of predictions for the coming decade. Their “Warmist” columnist, Geoffrey Lean, says ” It will be the warmest decade ever as global warming continues…………..Continued shrinkage of the Arctic ice-cap could provide the first climate “tipping-point”
I think the only bit he gets right, is that nuclear power will not make a real contribution, as any new reactors won’t come on stream before the endof the decade.
Something else to thank Gordon Brown for !
Well I spent my teenage years growing up in Yorkshire in the north east of England in the sixties, and I can tell you that this is pretty mild temperature wise.
You haven’t seen nothing yet. And this is only the start.
I hope I’m wrong, but I doubt it.
Forget about Western crops. The west can look after itself . The real problem is in the majority rice eating populations of the world.
Only a year or two back there were severe shortfalls of rice production by the major producers and exporters due to cold and snow conditions in the rice production areas. This resulted in riots and deaths in those poorer rice eating population countries. (Do you remember the chaos in China during the traditional Chinese New Year celebrations and the hundreds of thousands stranded at rail stations due to Snow and cold?) The Chinese New Year coincided with the major rice harvest in those producing countries.
Wonder if someone could put me wise? Did they used to put molasses with the grit to stop it being washed away by winter rain? I heard one councillor stating that the roads were gritted (salted) but it was not their fault that subsequent showers washed away the grit. Then a listener rang up and stated it was because they no longer included molasses with the grit? (Talking about England here).
Back in June 2008 I dealt with the weather/climate and jet stream issues and this seems to be an appropriate time to draw attention to that article to be found here:
http://climaterealists.com/index.php?id=1458
Barry Foster (01:33:50) : re San Francisco temperatures recently,
The entire Bay Area has been around 2 deg F cooler than normal for December, see http://www.calclim.dri.edu/
[snip waaaaaaaaayyyyyyy off topic, in subject, in content, in relevance. …people just putting the words “off topic” or OT at the beginning doesn’t give license to clutter the thread with irrelevant subjects. We have the tips and notes page for this – A]
Oh please – ” … is monotonic — constant” is such a ‘load’ when we *know* that the amount/the ppm varies locally and latitudinally and seasonally and even diurnally quite a bit*!!!
How do the ‘models’ handle this aspect? I’ll bet they don’t: one factor is probably used for all CO2 ‘interactive effects’ in the GCMs …
*See http://www.klima2009.net/de/papers/4/6 for starters.
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Does anybody else see this as needing a great big:
“Duh!”
(MOST of us are adults here, ‘friend’.)
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Somewhat OT, but have you seen this:
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1240025/Not-bright-idea-Flawed-government-scheme-leaves-homes-swamped-180-million-unwanted-energy-saving-light-bulbs.html
A European energy company is distributing millions of energy efficient light bulbs to people who didn’t request them and will not use them. Since the power company knows that most of the bulbs won’t be used, they are consciously *adding* to net carbon emissions (after all, manufacturing, packaging, and distributing millions of light bulbs obviously produces some carbon output) because in doing so, they are complying with a government mandate to reduce emissions. You can’t make this stuff up!
ralph wrote: “For the UK, this is quite unprecedented. We normally get a cold snap or two in Jan or Feb, just for a few days with lots of warm weather in between. To have very cold followed by cold and then very cold for more than three weeks in Dec/Jan is quite unprecedented.”
It’s pretty brutal but not unprecedented as anybody who lived through the 1962/3 winter will tell you. Snowfall began on Boxing day and the same snow was still there at Easter. And that was on the south coast. After a few weeks there was a newspaper headline: “Temperature rises to zero”.
In the spring all of the main UK parties will be campaigning for the General Election about who will best be able to make the world colder! Anybody who calls at my door will get an earfull!
I have two comments related to the preceding. First, the Telegraph article had a headline about the coldest UK winter for 100 years, but that was naughty as the actual text said one of the twentiest cold winters in 100 years. I’ll wait until March to see how this one really shaped up against 1963 and 1947. In Gloucestershire it has been disappointing as we had 2 days of continuous rain at 2degC and snow only on the top of the hills (but plenty in Wales), and then a dusting at valley level last night. It’s great that it’s cold but I want snow!
Second, the jet stream position is IMHO equivalent to the tracking latitude of the depressions which exchange heat between the tropics and the poles. If the globe is cooling, then the war between pole and tropic moves southward (in the NH).
Here’s a question – how long can the run of cooling winters continue, as measured by the Central England Temperature maxima? 2008 was colder than 2007, 2009 was colder than 2008, and 2010 is looking like it will be colder than 2009 (certainly Dec09 beat Dec08 by 0.5 degrees – but a mild February could overturn that).
Rich.
On the Perth Council fiasco ref gritting lorries stuck in the Depots, the Diesel was turning to wax in the tanks so the engines could not start. Can’t blame the Met Office for that one, in Perth Scotland you expect low temps so any lorries used for gritting should have tank warmers fitted.
A new one for me, defending those MET idiots but the truth must be told.
Last Feb the Met office was to blame for the lack of gritting, Councils had relied on the Met office forcasts and ran out of salt, this year they ignored the forecast and have plenty of salt in stock. Shame some of them did not plan for a long spell of sub zero temps which saps heat from large fuel storage tanks.
ralph (01:01:51) :
“Regards the European cold weather.
This has been caused by a lowering of the jet-streams.
This year, the jet=streams are way down in the Mediterranean”.
Empirical (I love that word) data here is Cyprus showed a huge amount of contrails yesterday as the jets followed the the stream.
Call me a sadist… but I say “bring on the global cooling”
Shut these alarmists up for at least a little while…
O/T, but Arctic sea ice figures at stuck on 29th December. http://www.ijis.iarc.uaf.edu/en/home/seaice_extent.htm
Could IJIS be having similar sensor problems as DMI, because their graph line has dipped and flattened?
http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/icecover.uk.php
OT:
Just noticed that on an obscure UK satellite channel – Information TV: Sky 166- there’s a screening this afternoon – 1.30pm of “A Convenient Truth” which is billed as Dr Steven Hayward’s response to Gore’s film. Haven’t seen it yet so I don’t know how good/bad it is.
The nature of the channel means that the film will probably be repeated endlessly.
In comment @ur momisugly 00:58 John H linked to another excellent piece in the Telegraph (a good news source for those of us on the US side of the big pond who occasionally like to get a balanced UK perspective).
Lead from that piece in the Telegraph is:
”Britain is bracing itself for one of the coldest winters for a century with temperatures hitting minus 16 degrees Celsius, forecasters have warned. ”
Couldn’t help but chuckle:
That’s about 3 degrees F. above zero. Here at the ranch in northern ND in January, if the sun is shining and there isn’t much wind that’s a very nice day. . . .
Meanwhile:
Yesterday morning just as the sun was coming up, outdoor temp reading here in ND was minus 30 degrees F. = minus 34.4 degrees C.
Weather is not climate, but eventually you start to see a trend. . . .
Ho w is the Dec 2009 anomaly shaping up?
With all the incredibly cold weather throughout the northern hemisphere, I wouldnt be surprised to find out it is the warmest December ever.
“It’s worse than we thought!”
Observer:
It could be because of the relative paucity of weather stations in the SH. Slightly above-average summer temperatures at some of these stations could conceivably bias the global average.
I wonder why the prisoners are shoveling snow instead of the “green” workers. I suppose there is a severe unemployment rate among the incarcerated class.
Another AGW protest falls victim to global cooling:
http://myloc.me/show.php?id=2xbZC
Lol.
REPLY: Looking through the full Twitter feed it appears to be just a joke among friends http://twitter.com/GoodnzHood
– A