And here’s the stagecraft coming.
Here’s how the rest of it might go down.
By William M. Briggs Source: courtesy of Pajamas Media
First, some good news.
A lefty organization sent me an indignant press release stating that the Danish police have “aggressed on protesters outside the Bella Center.” By this, they mean that the agitants, who moments before were shouting “Push the police away!,” were physically held back from entering an already crowded room.
It is true that it is depressing to see the heretofore useful word aggression turned into another mouth-numbing verb. But it’s heartening to hear that a group of professional whiners were told “No.” True to form, when turned away the perpetually petulant started screaming “Rights! [1],” by which they mean, as they always do, “My desires, not yours.”
And can it be a coincidence that we now hear from Russia — the land where the Climategate emails were first posted — accusations that the Hadley Climate Research Unit fiddled Siberian temperature data [2]? The charge is that scientists only considered stations which showed warming, and tossed those which did not fit their preconceptions.
What makes this delicious is that the stations Hadley chose had large chunks of missing data, and the stations ignored had uninterrupted records. This makes sense: it’s easier to homogenize [3] data that isn’t there. The explanations to come will no doubt provide for some light comedy.
The best news of all are the rumors that “progress has been halting [4]” in Copenhagen. The word stalemate is showing up with increasing frequency in news reports.
Government ministers can’t agree on the best way to take money from their own citizens, give it to an opaque, above-the-law organization, and yet still control it; because, of course, with all that money comes power. Negotiators are skittish about how they can ensure that the money pledged will actually be paid into the pot, and if it does, who gets to dole out the funds. Everybody wants a piece of it, but nobody trusts anybody.
However, I believe this is only a spate of temporary sanity.
The forces of darkness will realize that some deal is better than no deal. Lord Monckton, on a guest appearance on the Glenn Beck program a month ago, had it right. He predicted the early stalemate, but said it would end at the last possible minute, after an all-hours marathon session:
From which the bureaucrats would emerge, their ties over their heads, where they will announce, “We’ve done it. We’ve come to an agreement.”
My money is on Viscount Monckton. The Russian revelations about data manipulation, like the rest of the Climategate story, will be resolutely ignored by negotiators. Some kind of real-money deal will emerge. There’s too much momentum and too much vanity on the line. The One himself will even appear on the icy slopes of Denmark. You simply cannot have so many celebrities and political will in one place, and expect them to concede defeat. It is just not in their nature.
But that’s an easy prediction. What about what comes after?
First, the greeny groups will smell blood in the water. They will use the Copenhagen deal, here in the U.S., to claim that cap and trade must be passed. They will say: “The world agrees something has to be done!” Weak-minded politicians — of which there is never a shortage — will find this argument convincing. Still, the best the greens will do this year will be a publicly stated “commitment” to “tackle the issue,” right after the new year, after the left secures its health care power grab. “You’re right, it’s devilishly important” will assuage some greenies, and will quiet them enough so that the Democrats can mount some sort of campaign counterattack in 2010.
Democrats know they’re going to lose a good chunk of seats by passing health care — they don’t want to start a riot by tacking on another tax so soon afterwards. They will wait to see if they lose their filibuster-proof majority. If so, they will be able to blame the failure of cap-and-trade legislation on “uncaring, denialist” Republicans.
Meanwhile, back at the UN, it will be broad smiles and CO2-emitting champagne toasts. “To humanity!” they will cry, but as they place their glasses on the salvers, not a few of them will twist their mustaches and think to themselves: “Money!”
Of which, it will be gradually revealed, some will have gone missing.
Shock! Horror! Who could possibly have known! It will, of course, have gone to brothers-in-law in various countries. Most organizations receiving our coerced largess will turn out to be “green consultancies,” of the kind that spend a ton of money (by hiring cousins and other familia) but produce nothing.
After a decade of global temperatures stubbornly refusing to play nice, and things turning out to be not nearly as bad as predicted, the Copenhagen-created program will not die.
No government created entity ever kicks off simply because it isn’t needed.
It will morph into an ossified, entrenched behemoth whose mission will, through time, quietly morph into “environmental justice.” Climate change, the original impetus, will have been long forgotten.
Place your bets now.
But isn’t it just amazing how stupid the … Americans … can be sometimes?
It’s really just those folks who think they can get somebody else to pay their bills
Pascvaks (06:57:21) :Remember they lost the war….and then they were obliged to drink “kool-aid”…
I’ve always thought Presidents are supposed to be smarter than me. I have stopped laboring under that naive assumption.
My bet is on another false flag event. If you’re going to talk conspiracy, you might as well go all the way. To assume this large scale corruption and collusion is simply an isolated event surrounding climate change… well, that’s simple thinking.
Men in positions of extreme power have always proven themselves bloodthirsty. I look for some event which leads to the expansion of war upon the earth. This has been the pattern of human affairs for the entirety of history. Got broke? Whip the people into a hateful fearful stupor and lead them into conflict. Never fails.
You asked for my bet. I bet on history. Man will never change.
‘Save us from global warming’.
Huh? They said something? Ok, back to shoveling snow.
Here is what the goal of Voodoo economics looks like.
“The declaration will likely call for preventing global temperatures from going up more than 2.0 degrees Celsius compared to pre-industrial times, according to a participant in the meeting.
Small island nations, their very existence threatened by rising seas, have called for a cap of 1.5 degrees.
It will also tally up the pledges from rich nations on cutting greenhouse gases by 2020, and propose a target for all countries by mid-century.”
http://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/climate-draft-accord-agreed-20091218-l1jo.html
does this mean the poor countries (america is the poorest of all) will get rebates from warming and pay rebates if it gets colder?
“Pledges”
Like pledging to lose weight after the holidays?
These people are all crazy.
If you read the UNEP document spelling out the agenda from the ” Belgrade Process”
http://74.125.113.132/custom?q=cache:Qj7h3pqI45MJ:www.unep.org/environmentalgovernance/LinkClick.aspx%3Ffileticket%3DzG6SzFxbt8U%253D%26tabid%3D2227%26language%3Den-US+belgrade&cd=2&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us
you will notice some similarities and subtle references between what Obama say’s in this speech and the agenda described in the Belgrade Process. Anyone who thinks this is over simply because nothing firm has come out of Copenhagen had best think again. This fight is far from over.
Here’s Obama’s speech, http://www.cnn.com/2009/POLITICS/12/18/obama.copenhagen.tran…
Partial Excerpt:
* Quote:
So America is going to continue on this course of action no matter what happens in Copenhagen. But we will all be stronger and safer and more secure if we act together. That is why it is in our mutual interest to achieve a global accord in which we agree to take certain steps, and to hold each other accountable for our commitments.
After months of talk, and two weeks of negotiations, I believe that the pieces of that accord are now clear.
First, all major economies must put forward decisive national actions that will reduce their emissions and begin to turn the corner on climate change. I’m pleased that many of us have already done so, and I’m confident that America will fulfill the commitments that we have made: cutting our emissions in the range of 17 percent by 2020, and by more than 80 percent by 2050 in line with final legislation.
This is not a perfect agreement, and no country would get everything that it wants.
Second, we must have a mechanism to review whether we are keeping our commitments, and to exchange this information in a transparent manner. These measures need not be intrusive or infringe upon sovereignty. They must, however, ensure that an accord is credible and that we are living up to our obligations. For without such accountability, any agreement would be empty words on a page.
Third, we must have financing that helps developing countries adapt, particularly the least-developed and most vulnerable to climate change. America will be a part of fast-start funding that will ramp up to $10 billion in 2012. And, yesterday, Secretary [of State Hillary] Clinton made it clear that we will engage in a global effort to mobilize $100 billion in financing by 2020, if — and only if — it is part of the broader accord that I have just described.
Endquote
First of all, our Hilary said they were going to “mobilise” $100b, not donate it. Ask yourselves, why the careful choice of words?
Secondly she clearly qualified her announcement with the suffix “by 2020”. So nothing for ten years guys.
Vincent (07:23:19) :
“First of all, our Hilary said they were going to “mobilise” $100b, not donate it. Ask yourselves, why the careful choice of words?
Secondly she clearly qualified her announcement with the suffix “by 2020″. So nothing for ten years guys.”
Kicking the can down the road…
.
.
Good eye, Vincent. I missed those subtleties.
“This document shows that for all the U.N. spouts about 2°C, the plan comes nowhere near it,” says Bill McKibben, the environmental writer who runs 350.org, an environmental group that calls for far deeper carbon cuts. “This is the real Climategate, and it shows that any agreement we sign at this summit will be the equivalent of a suicide pact.”
One can only hope.
Neo (07:07:50) :
“It’s really just those folks who think they can get somebody else to pay their bills”
___________
Doesn’t that pretty much cover the vast silent majority?
JonesII (07:10:02) :
Pascvaks (06:57:21) :”Remember they lost the war….and then they were obliged to drink “kool-aid”…”
____________
How do you say Kool-Aid in Chinese? Oh well, if the kids today don’t care why should we.
photon without a Higgs (07:10:07) :
I’ve always thought Presidents are supposed to be smarter than me. I have stopped laboring under that naive assumption
You are touching a key issue. In the distant past the people in charge of governing over the peoples of our world not only were supposed to be the smartest, in intellectual terms, but more importantly, they were expected to be the most noble among the noblest, and the meaning of this word referred then to conscience, so they were expected to be the more conscious ( in emotional, ethical terms) people.
Then it came an epoch when all that order was turned up side down and the ruling classes were replaced by the merchants, and, among these, the worst of their class, “clever” enough to not to be in charge they themselves but put instead their servants, selected among the meanest of them, individuals capable of killing their own parents or sons if their masters commanded them to do it. The hieratical order was fatally broken.
However there were atempts to revert this new order several times but in all these atempts the elite members were not properly identified and all those atempts ended in war among brothers killing each other while the elite became richer and richer, achieving more power everytime.
Clever leaders, hmm, yes..and that is why so many leaders of the Royal clans around the world are inbread, to keep the intelligentia within the family
Pascvaks (07:42:21) : How do you say Kool-Aid in Chinese?
Try the google translator☺
Give Chavez and Mugabe their climate “aid”—
In Zimbabwe dollars.
@gtrip (02:34:16) :
“I have to wonder: If these people are so intelligent, why would they schedule a conference on global warming in Copenhagen in December? Have they never heard of Murphy’s Law”
It’s becoming clear that ALL of these UN bureaucrats and their captured warmist ‘scientists’ aren’t all that smart.
Well summarised. A sad but predictable outcome is inevitable. This is exactly the way negotiations work. Nothing ever gets done until the eleventh hour when the “heat is on” (not due to global warming!). This must be the age of parasitic organisations that thrive on making money from producing nothing. Whether it is standards organizations like ISO or certification organizations like FSC, they produce nothing but manage to make a handsome living from collecting rent. Now we will have another who will be monitoring C and CO2, the 2 most ubiquitous substances responsible for life on this planet. It couldn’t get any weirder. As long as we are affluent enough to support these leeches I suppose the madness will continue.
I’m in favor of excluding from the recipient list of the global largess, all of the current and former members of OPEC.
Smoke that one Ugo C!
Actually I’m in favor of excluding from the list all governments the principle members of which have remained in office more than 8 years, as well as any organization which supports either through action or in-action, acts of piracy on the high seas. Of course, areas run by warlords are excluded as well.
You get the idea – let’s figure out how to eliminate the recipients list.
wsbriggs (09:19:35) : Who’s money are the developed coutries going to give?
Think they are in a position of receiving charity instead.
OT
Alan the Brit (04:31:41) :
A second thought. Was the fact that there was no heat exchange in sealed containers, as there would be in a real climate, rather than the primitive model in the experiment?
I guess there weren’t any thunderstorms going on in the CO2 bottle either?
Why didn’t they just show exploding Soda Pop cans heated by the Sun? The bicarbonate carbonation comes out of solution as CO2, gas pressure increases, and bango! I suspect what their “experiment” is doing is more dependent upon CO2 coming out of solution easier than water vaporizes as the solution heats up in a closed unexpandable space, increasing the pressure more, than on a “greenhouse” effect of CO2. But I don’t know for sure.
Here’s a discussion of their experiment at WUWT.
OT, further to the above OT: “increasing the pressure more which then translates to increased atmospheric temperature“
“Pamela Gray (06:09:08) :
I voted for an idiot.”
So did I. It just wasn’t THIS idiot.
JimB
“artwest (06:45:34) :
DocWat (03:02:56) :
A lot of your ROW patients come to the US for your healthcare. Why is that?
———————————–
Because there are fortunes to be made by providing rare treatments for those few who can afford it in the US.
“A lot” should actually read “relatively not many”, when it comes to UK citizens by the way.
On average, would you rather be poor and ill in the US or poor and ill in the UK or most other developed countries outside the US?”
Oh…sorry…I’ll take the U.S. any day. First, I cannot be refused treatment at any hospital I walk into, regardless of my insurance status. Many people use the terms healthcare and health insurance interchangeably, and they are quite different. People that don’t have health insurance can still get health CARE. People that I’m aware of travelled to the U.S. to get knee replacement surgery. That my be considered a “rare treatment” where you are, but it’s pretty commonplace here. We’re not told to wait until they both go bad, nor are we told that we’ll need to get in line and wait a year.
We can do this all day long, the bottom line is that healthcare in this country is pretty good, and has a few things wrong that need to be fixed, most of which are not addressed in a 2,000 page bill.
JimB
So, what progress will Copenhagen make?
A few more platitudes about saving the world.
Another step towards a world government.
The third world to be carved up between East and West.
A realisation by even more of the ordinary people of the world what this sham is really about. Money, power and the end of our already eroded personal freedoms.
I can’t wait to see how the accord document tries to confirm success while moving the goalposts on the original intent.
@lb “I wouldn’t compare it to health care if I were you, most developed capitalist countries have perfectly decent national health care without it being some kind of socialist plot”
Name one that does’t use the threat of force to make people pay for it.