And here’s the stagecraft coming.
Here’s how the rest of it might go down.
By William M. Briggs Source: courtesy of Pajamas Media
First, some good news.
A lefty organization sent me an indignant press release stating that the Danish police have “aggressed on protesters outside the Bella Center.” By this, they mean that the agitants, who moments before were shouting “Push the police away!,” were physically held back from entering an already crowded room.
It is true that it is depressing to see the heretofore useful word aggression turned into another mouth-numbing verb. But it’s heartening to hear that a group of professional whiners were told “No.” True to form, when turned away the perpetually petulant started screaming “Rights! [1],” by which they mean, as they always do, “My desires, not yours.”
And can it be a coincidence that we now hear from Russia — the land where the Climategate emails were first posted — accusations that the Hadley Climate Research Unit fiddled Siberian temperature data [2]? The charge is that scientists only considered stations which showed warming, and tossed those which did not fit their preconceptions.
What makes this delicious is that the stations Hadley chose had large chunks of missing data, and the stations ignored had uninterrupted records. This makes sense: it’s easier to homogenize [3] data that isn’t there. The explanations to come will no doubt provide for some light comedy.
The best news of all are the rumors that “progress has been halting [4]” in Copenhagen. The word stalemate is showing up with increasing frequency in news reports.
Government ministers can’t agree on the best way to take money from their own citizens, give it to an opaque, above-the-law organization, and yet still control it; because, of course, with all that money comes power. Negotiators are skittish about how they can ensure that the money pledged will actually be paid into the pot, and if it does, who gets to dole out the funds. Everybody wants a piece of it, but nobody trusts anybody.
However, I believe this is only a spate of temporary sanity.
The forces of darkness will realize that some deal is better than no deal. Lord Monckton, on a guest appearance on the Glenn Beck program a month ago, had it right. He predicted the early stalemate, but said it would end at the last possible minute, after an all-hours marathon session:
From which the bureaucrats would emerge, their ties over their heads, where they will announce, “We’ve done it. We’ve come to an agreement.”
My money is on Viscount Monckton. The Russian revelations about data manipulation, like the rest of the Climategate story, will be resolutely ignored by negotiators. Some kind of real-money deal will emerge. There’s too much momentum and too much vanity on the line. The One himself will even appear on the icy slopes of Denmark. You simply cannot have so many celebrities and political will in one place, and expect them to concede defeat. It is just not in their nature.
But that’s an easy prediction. What about what comes after?
First, the greeny groups will smell blood in the water. They will use the Copenhagen deal, here in the U.S., to claim that cap and trade must be passed. They will say: “The world agrees something has to be done!” Weak-minded politicians — of which there is never a shortage — will find this argument convincing. Still, the best the greens will do this year will be a publicly stated “commitment” to “tackle the issue,” right after the new year, after the left secures its health care power grab. “You’re right, it’s devilishly important” will assuage some greenies, and will quiet them enough so that the Democrats can mount some sort of campaign counterattack in 2010.
Democrats know they’re going to lose a good chunk of seats by passing health care — they don’t want to start a riot by tacking on another tax so soon afterwards. They will wait to see if they lose their filibuster-proof majority. If so, they will be able to blame the failure of cap-and-trade legislation on “uncaring, denialist” Republicans.
Meanwhile, back at the UN, it will be broad smiles and CO2-emitting champagne toasts. “To humanity!” they will cry, but as they place their glasses on the salvers, not a few of them will twist their mustaches and think to themselves: “Money!”
Of which, it will be gradually revealed, some will have gone missing.
Shock! Horror! Who could possibly have known! It will, of course, have gone to brothers-in-law in various countries. Most organizations receiving our coerced largess will turn out to be “green consultancies,” of the kind that spend a ton of money (by hiring cousins and other familia) but produce nothing.
After a decade of global temperatures stubbornly refusing to play nice, and things turning out to be not nearly as bad as predicted, the Copenhagen-created program will not die.
No government created entity ever kicks off simply because it isn’t needed.
It will morph into an ossified, entrenched behemoth whose mission will, through time, quietly morph into “environmental justice.” Climate change, the original impetus, will have been long forgotten.
Place your bets now.
Dave UK (01:42:04) : “You Americans are lucky that gun ownership is a right. Trust me.”
Dave UK (01:47:01) : “God I wish we had guns.”
Ah yes, my across-the-ponder friend! They’re as important and useful as…as… as a cellphone, a fork, a knife, etc!
Anyway, here’s the problem as I see it. Liberty-loving folks are too spread out. But if many more could concentrate in one place… Well, together we just might make an authoritarian-proof stronghold, or at least a much more resistant one.
(but let’s not kid ourselves….A strong, growing, and enduring pocket of enlightenment in a Dark Aging world would accomplish (given an exodus of the productive class from the various Sheeplevilles over the world, given how the oppressors would predictably manage things in their rotting kingdoms) a relatively instantaneous victory).
We’ve got the rights here in the ‘states, we just lack the solid support of numbers. Better take advantage of this while you still can…
Green Bubble?? I sure hope so –
I see this runup, and grouptalk, and billions being squandered hopefully having similarities (at least in the US) to first, the dotcom bubble, and then the housing valuations bubble. Someone much wiser than me said that when the people at cocktail parties only discuss the vaule of their portfolio, the dotcom bubble had arrived and you should get out. It popped just when there were millions of internet investors. Next, the cocktail party discussion was how high the value of their home had risen – then POP, the housing valuation bubble. Well, all the talk this holiday party season is how green everyone is, and what is being done to curb greenhouse gasses.
Well, evident to those who actually look at the data crtically, and give a hoot, the wheels are falling off this green wagon. Climategate, Russian station cherry picking, inaccurate computer modeling, just to name a few, demonstrate that the rationale for all of this climate change legislation and regulation is just as faulty as the rationale for stock prices on dotcom companies in 1999, and the rationale for housing prices in 2006. Let’s hope this green bubble pops under the weight of all this snow falling in Copenhagen now, and DC this weekend.
However, and for sure, they will sign the Kommisariat for Climate Change which will allow the UN to have an international court to punish those countries/individuals which does not follow what the “Qliphots” elite has decided to impose on all of us. With such a compromise all independent states will gradually disappear from the face of the earth, and finally, our grandchildren will drink the “Soma” of oblivion (a kind of specially formulated “kool-aid” which will make them feel happy all the time)…….
This brings a new meaning to “New World Order” …
“This is not a climate-change negotiation,” said Janos Pasztor, director of the U.N. secretary-general’s climate-change support team. “It’s about something much more fundamental. It’s about economic strength.” Countries, he added, “just have to slug it out.”
Frankly, this is now sounding more like a negotiation on setting a World Industrial Plan with climate change as a pretext. More or less locking in industrial output and market share globally. Given the the two largest up and coming industrial countries, China and India, are trying to opt out, it seems pointless if at least the underlying pretext has no validity. It seems that the EU (and(I guess the US) thought they could sucker them in, but these folks are no fools.
Time will tell, but if there is an agreement .. were China & Russia just playing the part of “bad cop” while the US & EU played “good cop” in an attempt to get the CRU e-mails out there .. making it look like the “global consensus” was falling apart, so the “developing” nations would grab a hold on any money that may be offered, believing that if AGW is eventually “debunked” that they could keep the money anyway and walk away from the agreement. But since this is really a World Industrial Plan, they really don’t get to walk away.
I keep trying to imagine what happens as 2nd and 3rd world countries realize that they have been dupped or mislead or just plain negotiated badly. We are talking trade wars, the likes of which have not occurred in over a century, and that means quite possibly real wars as well. Using a phony pretext, like AGW, will only make this possible outcome even more likely.
DoJo (03:04:41) :
I’m inclined to agree, although with a rather more jaundiced perspective. This has all the hallmarks of tyranny and the potential to initiate major conflict in so many ways. We in Europe are now virtually powerless to prevent it. Our only hope is that the sun won’t play ball and you guys can use the freedoms you have left to put a stop to it peacefully. I never thought I would ever see the day where science was subverted for the advancement of minority political pressure groups but such is the caustic nature of the third-way. Truly evil.
http://hotair.com/archives/2009/12/17/leaked-document-emission-targets-at-copenhagen-could-still-produce-catastrophic-global-warming/
So, has anyone seen this document?
Mann’s excuses sounds kind of lame, like former President Clinton just before the hammer went down
pyromancer76 (05:53:19)
Rosy forecast! Wishful thinking I fear. But I hope you’re right.
/Mr Lynn
There needs to be a revival of that classic Brit comedy skit – spitting image. So many of the characters in climategate, and the situations, and behaviour, demand that they be torn limb from limb by such vicious pertinent humour.
” Wormsnapper (01:05:20) :
It’s a total reality disconnect. No melting ice-caps, no sea level rise, no warming for ten years, minus 4 in Copenhagen. Hey, perhaps their beloved ‘Mother Nature’ is trying to send a message to the greens.”
——————————
The greens don’t do listening to nature. Irony of ironies.
They only do repression of humanity and try to enforce a disconnect between humanity and nature.
@ur momisugly Stephan: It is a repeat—the original was broadcast months ago.
Very true, but such is the mindset of the BBC that ANYTHING they can do to push the hype and hysteria on AGW they will do with great telish.
Try to get some answers out of them about this institutionalised bias and you may as well try to swim to the moon. Believe me, I have been trying for over 3 years to get answers out of DG Mark Thompson and Trust Chairman Sir Michaels Lyons.
Still, when it all eventually goes tits-up for them, it will be interesting to see their reactions!
Each winter in the north seems harsher than the last lately, the arctic is at normal ice growth again, and soon will be above normal. The more the alarmists propagandize, the more people will see through the lies. A tide among men will come one day that will sweep the lies and these liars away. It will not be today, but it is not very far off. It happened with communism and it will happen with universal socialism’s green guise.
… too funny
When it gets colder I will move to this planet, recently discovered, called Pandora, you have all seen it on the telly, haven’t you?
But then again, it will pobably suck since the “cans” will be there with their guns killing stuff that move.
@ur momisugly Dominic: Gordon Brown and Al Gore star in “An Inconvenient Turn”.
Hilarious!
But what is the unelected moron Gore doing so close to the epicentre of the negotiations?
Pamela Gray (06:09:08) :
“I voted for an idiot.”
You voted… what else are you going to get nowadays? ;o)
Seriously, it is getting hard to find a good candidate to vote for now that politics is just another (very!) well-paid job and not a civic service/responsibility.
Today’s voters in the U.S. are only deciding whether to elect a Demlican or a Republicrat. Both parties are driving the U.S. down the same road. The only difference I see is that the parties disagree on whom to fleece to foot the bill for their fantasies.
H.R. (02:45:41) : Already China is changing US bonds into assets, making big investments in thirld world countries and companies. (like in Brazil Petrobras oil shares). What would anyone of us do about it ?, well they will do the same but in a bigger scale, say buying gold…they would buy gold mines instead, etc.
Obama has the worst poll numbers in his first year in office than any other president in the modern era—far worse than George Bush in his first year. He will get even worse poll numbers after his Copenhagen trip.
He is not popular in America. He was wildly popular just one year ago. No president has ever fallen so far so fast!
DocWat (03:02:56) :
A lot of your ROW patients come to the US for your healthcare. Why is that?
———————————–
Because there are fortunes to be made by providing rare treatments for those few who can afford it in the US.
“A lot” should actually read “relatively not many”, when it comes to UK citizens by the way.
On average, would you rather be poor and ill in the US or poor and ill in the UK or most other developed countries outside the US?
White house Gibbs is a mental midget. He whines about the communist Red China not agreeing to verification. Kinda like the climategate data, formulas and files not accessible for verification.
Cheaters don’t want transparency. This Copenhagen pulpit is is a tool for Obama to sloganeer and campaign. Lots of Nations are fed up with his platitudes.
“Ten to twenty years from now, when the papers are “discussing” the upcoming ice age (as they did 40 and 100 years ago) the same gov entities will be pumping out two things: 1) proofing that the next ice age is coming, and 2) denials that they even said global warming was really happening. Just like they did regarding the last “impending ice-age.””
I agree..except you left off #3 and 4
#3) It’s our fault
#4) We can fix it
#4) We can fix it by giving our money away.
geronimo (03:41:00) :
There will be an agreement and it will be around the $100Bn dollar mark to be paid in 2020 to the despots and their families in the third world
These 100 Bn should be adjusted to inflation!!!! Tell Hillary!
Don’t know if this has been posted yet, but I just saw that the conference will drag on into the weekend. So more champagne and caviar for our brave saviours of the world.
Except of course for the Greenpeace zombies and the other “useful idiots”, who will be freezing their privates off. Can’t say I’m sorry about that 😉
By the way, I’ve been following several blogs, MSM’s and online sites here in the Netherlands for the last six months or so, but I can’t help feeling there has been a dramatic shift in popular opinion regarding AGW. The (sometimes large) majority of the comments are, to put it mildly, not very favorable of our friend Al the Goreacle, and AGW in general. It looks as if more and more people are beginning to wise up to the fact that 1) AGW may not be happening and 2) Al Gore is a liar and just in it for the cash.
Of course I’ve been posting my opinions and links to that effect frequently on a number of sites, so I’d like to think that that may have helped just a tiny amount.
But the fact is, I’m not one of the few anymore. Maybe there’s hope yet.
The average Japanese and German never imagined the Emperor, the Kaiser and good old Adolf would end up destroying their countries and much of the world. The average American can’t imagine the President and the US Congress ever destroying the country and much of the world. But isn’t it just amazing how stupid the Japanese and the Germans and the Americans and everyone else can be sometimes?