And here’s the stagecraft coming.
Here’s how the rest of it might go down.
By William M. Briggs Source: courtesy of Pajamas Media
First, some good news.
A lefty organization sent me an indignant press release stating that the Danish police have “aggressed on protesters outside the Bella Center.” By this, they mean that the agitants, who moments before were shouting “Push the police away!,” were physically held back from entering an already crowded room.
It is true that it is depressing to see the heretofore useful word aggression turned into another mouth-numbing verb. But it’s heartening to hear that a group of professional whiners were told “No.” True to form, when turned away the perpetually petulant started screaming “Rights! [1],” by which they mean, as they always do, “My desires, not yours.”
And can it be a coincidence that we now hear from Russia — the land where the Climategate emails were first posted — accusations that the Hadley Climate Research Unit fiddled Siberian temperature data [2]? The charge is that scientists only considered stations which showed warming, and tossed those which did not fit their preconceptions.
What makes this delicious is that the stations Hadley chose had large chunks of missing data, and the stations ignored had uninterrupted records. This makes sense: it’s easier to homogenize [3] data that isn’t there. The explanations to come will no doubt provide for some light comedy.
The best news of all are the rumors that “progress has been halting [4]” in Copenhagen. The word stalemate is showing up with increasing frequency in news reports.
Government ministers can’t agree on the best way to take money from their own citizens, give it to an opaque, above-the-law organization, and yet still control it; because, of course, with all that money comes power. Negotiators are skittish about how they can ensure that the money pledged will actually be paid into the pot, and if it does, who gets to dole out the funds. Everybody wants a piece of it, but nobody trusts anybody.
However, I believe this is only a spate of temporary sanity.
The forces of darkness will realize that some deal is better than no deal. Lord Monckton, on a guest appearance on the Glenn Beck program a month ago, had it right. He predicted the early stalemate, but said it would end at the last possible minute, after an all-hours marathon session:
From which the bureaucrats would emerge, their ties over their heads, where they will announce, “We’ve done it. We’ve come to an agreement.”
My money is on Viscount Monckton. The Russian revelations about data manipulation, like the rest of the Climategate story, will be resolutely ignored by negotiators. Some kind of real-money deal will emerge. There’s too much momentum and too much vanity on the line. The One himself will even appear on the icy slopes of Denmark. You simply cannot have so many celebrities and political will in one place, and expect them to concede defeat. It is just not in their nature.
But that’s an easy prediction. What about what comes after?
First, the greeny groups will smell blood in the water. They will use the Copenhagen deal, here in the U.S., to claim that cap and trade must be passed. They will say: “The world agrees something has to be done!” Weak-minded politicians — of which there is never a shortage — will find this argument convincing. Still, the best the greens will do this year will be a publicly stated “commitment” to “tackle the issue,” right after the new year, after the left secures its health care power grab. “You’re right, it’s devilishly important” will assuage some greenies, and will quiet them enough so that the Democrats can mount some sort of campaign counterattack in 2010.
Democrats know they’re going to lose a good chunk of seats by passing health care — they don’t want to start a riot by tacking on another tax so soon afterwards. They will wait to see if they lose their filibuster-proof majority. If so, they will be able to blame the failure of cap-and-trade legislation on “uncaring, denialist” Republicans.
Meanwhile, back at the UN, it will be broad smiles and CO2-emitting champagne toasts. “To humanity!” they will cry, but as they place their glasses on the salvers, not a few of them will twist their mustaches and think to themselves: “Money!”
Of which, it will be gradually revealed, some will have gone missing.
Shock! Horror! Who could possibly have known! It will, of course, have gone to brothers-in-law in various countries. Most organizations receiving our coerced largess will turn out to be “green consultancies,” of the kind that spend a ton of money (by hiring cousins and other familia) but produce nothing.
After a decade of global temperatures stubbornly refusing to play nice, and things turning out to be not nearly as bad as predicted, the Copenhagen-created program will not die.
No government created entity ever kicks off simply because it isn’t needed.
It will morph into an ossified, entrenched behemoth whose mission will, through time, quietly morph into “environmental justice.” Climate change, the original impetus, will have been long forgotten.
Place your bets now.
Eh. Copenhagen is an example of the politics of cultural despair. None of the Western leaders there is sure what he or she believes in – on what platform can they agree? Some carbon-blood money will be given to poorer countries, lots of handshakes in front of the cameras – otherwise, words, words, words.
Still a depressing spectacle, though.
See “Copenhagen and the politics of cultural despair”
Commenters on here will remember Monckton’s point that the Copenhagen treaty isn’t just about cranking up the $2 Trillion per year Carbon Trading scam but is also about moving to World Government.
Check out:-
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,580496,00.html
OK, I must confess. Fox News isn’t actually my favourite. (Although they leave BBC for dead on news). But have a look at this article. And check out the links to the “Belgrade Process”.
How cool will this be? Do we get to go to Bali in February to see what’s next in store for us? Should be warmer than Copenhagen!
According to another posting:-
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,499244,00.html
“So tangled is the U.N.’s environmental organizational structure, and so disorganized the central control, that the report says is not even possible to know how much money the U.N. system is spending on simply managing its environmental actions. (Such records, the report demurely states, “are not available.”) But even a “rough estimate” is breath-taking: about $1.65 billion in 2006, the last year for which statistics were apparently available.”
And won’t it be great when Rwanda and Iran and Zimbabwe and Columbia and Equatorial Guinea and The Maldives can all get in the act of making sure we’re ‘Sustainable’? No doubt at our expense?
Just though I’d ask.
Here is Pres. Obama’s speech at COP15:
http://www.berlingske.dk/klima/laes-hele-obamas-tale-til-cop15
“what comes afterwards?”????
Blizzard of course! Forecast for DC:
heavy snow with accumulations of 5 to 10 inches through sunset Saturday.
Winds… 10 to 20 mph through the event… with gusts of 25 to 30 mph Saturday and Sunday.
http://www.wunderground.com/auto/wtop/DC/001.html?
I live in fairfax 🙂 Ex-xc skier, now in the south..CAN”T WAIT!!!!!!
You couldn’t make this up? They did?
UnReal Climate are asking scientists to show them their code?
My post which will be censored no doubt
Show us your code?
This is priceless coming from you lot at UnReal Climate?
It does not matter one jot about these papers because the leaked emails show that there is man made up global warming.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/8420057.stm
Enjoy the UK basking in snow, sunshine!
That’s weather not climate it has been piss poor peer reviewed?
I strongly prefer Professional wrestling. It is much more honest. It is less rigged and safer. More intellectual for that matter.
Here is a video of President Obama’s COP15 speech
http://politiken.tv/nyheder/udland/klimatv/article863584.ece
Gordon Brown and Al Gore star in “An Inconvenient Turn”
What comes afterward, it appears, is a new round of Climategate – a peer reviewed study suggesting much of the historical temp record cannot be trusted.
http://briefingroom.typepad.com/the_briefing_room/2009/12/nz-study-may-hold-key-to-faulty-world-temp-data.html
Luv it!
O.T.
Sea ice extent now greatest for 5 years!!!
http://www.ijis.iarc.uaf.edu/en/home/seaice_extent.htm
Symbolic gestures should be made only with symbolic resources, not real ones.
Fact 1: governments of developed countries around the world are increasingly strapped for cash. Prediction 1:This situation is not going away, as the realities of demographics and the relentless growth of bureaucracy combine to grind government finances into finer powder.
Fact 2: a cold hungry populace is not as cooperative as a warm well-fed populace. Prediction 2: Look for some counter-vailing force to emerge fuelled by growing reaction to climategate, UN malfeasance and greenie extremism. A mainstream media channel will both aid and profit immensely by this.
Fact 3: we are in the midst of ongoing debasement of currencies and a continuing developed-country currency crisis. Prediction 3: These will provide justifications for amending commitments to the Copenhagen wealth transfers, and eventually all foreign aid, even existing programs, will be re-labeled as Copengeld.
I agree with the morphing of labels predicted in the original post. Global Warming became Climate Change is becoming Climate Justice will become Biosphere Justice. It’s just too easy.
GOD, give us men! A time like this demands
Strong minds, great hearts, true faith and ready hands;
Men whom the lust of office does not kill;
Men whom the spoils of office can not buy;
Men who possess opinions and a will;
Men who have honor; men who will not lie;
Men who can stand before a demagogue
And damn his treacherous flatteries without winking!
Tall men, sun-crowned, who live above the fog
In public duty, and in private thinking;
For while the rabble, with their thumb-worn creeds,
Their large professions and their little deeds,
Mingle in selfish strife, lo! Freedom weeps,
Wrong rules the land and waiting Justice sleeps.
Josiah Gilbert Holland
Copenhagen is not different from health care. Health care legislation is not about health care and Copenhagen is not about climate change.
It’s ALL about control and redistribution of wealth.
Not many paid attention when Obama claimed he was about to engage in a “fundamental transformation” of this this country.
He wasn’t kidding.
ThousandsOfMilesAway (03:06:33) :
“How can they broadcast this with a straight face?”
How can a skilled potter throw a pot perfectly in about a minute, whereas most of us would have a mess of clay rotating eccentrically, and looking nothing like a pot, no matter how long we took? Practice.
The BBC have lots of practice.
“…the Copenhagen-created program will not die.
No government created entity ever kicks off simply because it isn’t needed.
It will morph into an ossified, entrenched behemoth whose mission will, through time, quietly morph into “environmental justice.” Climate change, the original impetus, will have been long forgotten.
Place your bets now.”
Well, yes, William M. Briggs, it will become an ossified, entrenched behemoth. However, let those who want to remainwithin its grasp, do so.
My bets:
1. The anti-U.S.A. President Obama will be found to be ineligible to be President. (Even Nancy Pelosie signed one document that would not affirm his eligibility.) All laws and proclamations and executive orders he signed will be null and void.
2. Elected members of the House and Senate will be required to read and debate all bills, and to discuss all bills with their constituents before voting on them. They will receive no pensions after leaving office.
3. The U.S. will leave the United Nations and send its headquarters elsewhere, perhaps to China, or Venezuela.
4. This time the U.S. will not save Europe’s bacon. Those who want to live in a free world can emigrate to the U.S. (or other representative democracies) and live a life of careful study, apprenticeship, and hard work for reasonable affluence. We have known from the beginning that there are “problems” in Europe.
5. People and businesses of the U.S. will turn forthrightly to developing its abundant natural resources, forgetting wind turbines and other environmental nightmares.
6. With its new found affluence, the U.S. will support those countries, and only those countries, whose governments either are or are moving toward representative democracy. No more “help the poor people of the world” with a glassy-eyed, unrealistic, I-am-so-moral-and-righteous piety. Globalization, gone.
7. Government bureaucracies will be downsized severely and universities will be off the federal trough and will be prevented from contributing to political contests.
8. And of course, national security will once again become a priority.
Perhaps science will flourish once again.
Turnabout is fair play. Here in the USA, “W” left Obama a financial mess to clean up. Obama is creating a large number of other messes that the next Republican president will have to clean up.
Sigh.
It’s all so depressing. Even if you win, you lose. I still hold a vision from Logan’s Run in my head. Just as those who reached the old age of thirty rose up in the air and went ‘poof’ in a spectacle viewed by all, I see these radical lefties doing the same. Up, Up, and POOF, they’re gone.
It hasn’t happened yet, though.
BTW, looks like Old Sol is roaring back to life! Flux is up to 87! About a week ago it was as low as 70.
The “Plan” in 1975 was to melt the Arctic icecap with soot to prevent global cooling. But we didn’t act…
http://www.denisdutton.com/cooling_world.htm
“- There are ominous signs that the Earth’s weather patterns have begun to change dramatically and that these changes may portend a drastic decline in food production
– with serious political implications for just about every nation on Earth.
– evidence in support of these predictions has now begun to accumulate so massively
– Last April, in the most devastating outbreak of tornadoes ever recorded
– they are almost unanimous in the view that the trend will reduce agricultural productivity for the rest of the century
– the relatively small changes in temperature and sunshine can be highly misleading.
– causes an increase in extremes of local weather such as droughts, floods, extended dry spells, long freezes, delayed monsoons and even local temperature increases
– Climatologists are pessimistic that political leaders will take any positive action to compensate for the climatic change, or even to allay its effects.
– the more spectacular solutions proposed, such as melting the Arctic ice cap by covering it with black soot or diverting arctic rivers
– But the scientists see few signs that government leaders anywhere are even prepared to take the simple measures
– The longer the planners delay, the more difficult will they find it to cope with climatic change once the results become grim reality.”
Predictions of a deal seem to be very premature. If you watch the live news they are reporting that major obstacles (thank you China and India) still remain to any binding agreement.
Even if they do get a deal, there is no way that the Senate is going to pass Cap and Trade.
But there’s no way these one world socialists are going to give up even if they fail in Copenhagen. Way too much money to be grabbed.
There seems to be a misconception that bureaucrats and politicians are gifted with some sort of magical powers of seriousness and decisive intelligence.
They are not. They are bananas. After this farrago of nonsense in Copenhagen is over, it will be time to push the climategate button again and again and again
wow.. Obama demands a deal in wich the USA does not have to make any commitments.. the time for talking is over, he declares.
I am the new world order leader of the UN!!! (whining, stamping his feet on the ground like 6 year old, who doesnt get what he wants.. )
I voted for an idiot.
Oh and what comes afterwards? the announcement of live outside our own planet and how we urgely need a one world government to protect us from evil aliens!
mark my words, 2010, the year we make contact…
The emperor’s new carbon credits
Dec 17, 2009 by Mark Steyn
http://www2.macleans.ca/2009/12/17/the-emperor%e2%80%99s-new-carbon-credits/print/
Nor are we allowed to make jokes about Rajendra Pachauri. I always love those experts who go on TV and say you can’t pronounce on this subject unless you’re a bona fide climatologist. Dr. Pachauri, the head honcho of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, is a graduate of the Indian Railways Institute of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering. He’s not a climatologist but a railroad engineer. So, if he ever avails himself of a free half-hour with a Copenhagen hooker, I’m sure, like the Bombay to Cochin express, he’ll pull out on time. But it’s hard to see why he should be presiding over a multi-trillion-dollar shakedown of the global economy. For one thing, Dr. Pachauri has one of the largest carbon footprints on the planet. He’s in favour of “hefty aviation taxes” to “deter people from flying,” but fortunately once you’re part of the transnational jet set nothing can deter you. He flew 443,243 miles on “IPCC business” in the year-and-a-half run-up to Copenhagen. I’m not sure whether that includes his two weekend round trips from New York to Delhi, once for a cricket practice, once for a match.
—
Answer: because after 1960 the tree rings show no express elevator up the thermometer, but in fact a decline. That’s the “decline” that Dr. Phil Jones, in his leaked email, is trying to “hide.” Because, if you don’t hide it, a basic truth emerges—that the Medieval Warm Period was warmer than today, and the planet managed to survive and indeed prosper during it. It took two dogged Canadians, Steve McIntyre and Ross McKitrick, to demolish the hockey-stick fraud, and the enraged priests of the Settled Science cult have spent the years since 2006 trying to stick it back together. Dr. Keith Briffa had a crack in 2007 for the IPCC report. As usual, the CRU refused, in defiance of basic scientific etiquette, to reveal its raw data, but eventually the Royal Society ordered them to. And, when they did, it emerged that Dr. Briffa had cherry-picked a few trees from the Yamal peninsula in Siberia to obtain the desired result.
—
It’s the speed that impresses. In 2008, carbon trading worldwide reached $128 billion. That’s why Morgan Stanley and Citigroup are hot for emissions schemes. According to the writer Jo Nova, carbon is on course to become the largest traded commodity—bigger than oil or gas. As she says, it’s the subprime mortgage of the commodities market. Like Al Gore, the world’s first carbon billionaire, it’s testament mainly to a kind of globalized gullibility. In the blink of an eye, the “settled science” of a small number of ideologues was propelled upwards into a “peer-reviewed” “consensus” and then an international fait accompli.
Had he been around this week, Hans Christian Andersen, that great son of Copenhagen, might have given us a sequel to one of his famous tales—“The Emperor’s New Carbon Credits,” perhaps. But an age in which the hookers are free but the British Parliament is proposing issuing each citizen with a “carbon allowance” is beyond satire.
Answer: The same way the Leninists in the old Soviet Union used to broadcast their lies about the glories of the Communist Party and the evils of Yankee imperialism. It’s the party line, and if you don’t repeat it, you’ll lose your job—if not your head. It’s amazing how hearty the average apparatchik’s appetite can be when his livelihood and social standing depend on swallowing the official swill.
So the Pretender Obambi is coming to bless the assembled dignitaries in Copenhagen with pontifical stiffness, banal platitudes, and egregious falsehoods, all in the name of the tyrannical ideology represented by thugs like Hugo Chavez, and convened under the pretense of saving the world from entirely fictional ‘climate change’.
Some innocents will ask, “How can the US and the other Western nations pledge billions of dollars to the ‘developing’ world in the name of this fictional crisis? How is it in their real interests?”
The answer, as usual, is to “follow the money.” It will go toward establishing a new bureaucracy under the aegis of the UN, which will then extend its regulatory, controlling tentacles into the economic life of every nation on Earth. And those tentacles will be manipulated by the very puppet masters who stand behind the Pretender Obambi.
It’s ‘global governance’ they want, not ‘CO2 mitigation’ and all the other nonsense that are the ostensible excuse for the Copenhagen charade. That’s why all the world’s ‘leaders’ are there, why Chavez is greeted enthusiastically for condemning capitalism and the USA, why the greenshirted enviros, the useful idiots, are encouraged to run rampant in the streets, to demonstrate a ‘popular movement’ against ‘climate change’.
It is all a charade, put on for public display. Watch the men behind the curtain, the ones in closed rooms wearing suits and ties. They are making deals, and they are not really about ‘climate’, but about power.
/Mr Lynn
PS It was 8.4 degrees F here in eastern Massachusetts this morning. And it’s only December 18th.