From the “WUWT never reports warm events” department: After a drop last month, this is not unexpected, given the time of year. With an El Nino present the tropics and southern hemisphere warmed the most.
November 2009 UAH Global Temperature Update +0.50 deg. C
by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.
2009 1 +0.304 +0.443 +0.165 -0.036
2009 2 +0.347 +0.678 +0.016 +0.051
2009 3 +0.206 +0.310 +0.103 -0.149
2009 4 +0.090 +0.124 +0.056 -0.014
2009 5 +0.045 +0.046 +0.044 -0.166
2009 6 +0.003 +0.031 -0.025 -0.003
2009 7 +0.411 +0.212 +0.610 +0.427
2009 8 +0.229 +0.282 +0.177 +0.456
2009 9 +0.422 +0.549 +0.294 +0.511
2009 10 +0.286 +0.274 +0.297 +0.326
2009 11 +0.496 +0.418 +0.575 +0.493
The global-average lower tropospheric temperature anomaly rebounded from +0.29 deg. C in October to +0.50 deg. C in November. Both hemispheres, as well as the tropics, contributed to this warmth. The global anomaly for November of +0.50 deg. C is a period record for November (since 1979); the previous November high was +0.40 deg C. in 2004.
Following is the global-average sea surface temperature anomalies through November 2009 from the AMSR-E instrument on NASA’s Aqua satellite:
As usual, the trend line in the previous figure should not be construed as having any predictive power whatsoever — it is for entertainment purposes only.
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If anyone out there is interested in true science, you must read the following report:
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/images/stories/papers/originals/Monckton-Caught%20Green-Handed%20Climategate%20Scandal.pdf
Well, as much as I hate to admit it, it looks like we are re-entering a warming trend. The up side of that is, I believe, that warmer earth=better earth. And my jetski likes warm weather!
Wasn’t the satellite data at some point calibrated using surface readings? Makes me wonder if maybe even the satellite measurements are skewed positively.
Satellite data is calibrated with balloons. Balloon data is highly accurate, if I recall correctly. Obviously, we can’t send ballons up four times a day at 100 miles equidistances across the earth. Not sure where surface readings come into play.
One month does not make a trend.
We’ve been pretty much all over the place in 2009… unusually cool summer, a warm spike in September, unusually cool October, pleasantly warmer November, and we’re going into December with nothing but cold in the forecasts.
Seems to me there IS no trend. Overall, my lake thawed and froze within a few days of average, according to my personal 15 year record of it. It’s December, we can expect snow. Purely from a local standpoint, I welcome and encourage any El Nino activity we can get. Temps go up, temps go down. Welcome to “weather”.
From a local aspect here, it has definitely been warm for a couple three weeks now, after a generally cold year.
lars…
thanx for the link explaining the correction.
I followed global sst images last month. November did get warm, but as of now the El Nino is being encroached with expanding cool waters. I’m new to this, but it appears El Nino will weaken from now on.
I don’t know that this has any significance, but my weather widget from WUWT is showing that CO2 went DOWN to 387.75 ppm last month. That is the first time I’ve seen it go down in the time I’ve been paying attention to this stuff. Any real significance to that?
REPLY: Normal variation, only a small drop from last month, negligible .25 PPM -A
Caleb (23:40:52) : said
In New Hampshire November was a blessing, after a cold October with two snowfalls scared my socks off. Concord, N.H. was +4.1 for November. after being -2.4 for October and -1.8 for September.
The warm November allowed me to get some important outside chores done.
I know some folk pray for cold weather, because cold and snow irritates the heck out Alarmists. However have some mercy on us old fools who farm. If you must pray, pray for snow on Copenhagen…
That is why this old fool moved out of the NH/MA area to NC. I HATE chipping ice out of my stock tanks and draining water hoses. I do not have heaters here as I did in NH. Even so I am praying for snow in Florida, California and Texas and a month long blizzard in Washington DC.
With luck Obama will get snowed in and they will not be able to chip him out until April.
Since Mother Nature seems to have a sense of humor perhaps we will get the snow we need to cool of the Global Warming hysteria.
Someone asked what this meant. These are all British Research Councils. Publicly funded bodies which channel research money. Sometimes they do the research themselves; sometimes it is done by, or in collaboration with, the universities. The most relevant one to climate science I would have thought was NERC (Natural Environment Research Council )
EPSRC=Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council
ESRC=Economic and Social Research Council
RAL=Rutherford Appleton Laboratory (mainly high energy physics, technology and engineering); nowadays forms part of the STFC – Science and Technology Facilities Council – from its website:
However, when that email was written, RAL was part of CCLRC – Council for the Central Laboratory of the Research Councils.
What it all means in this context (Climategate), I haven’t a clue 🙂
I’ll take all the tinfoil helmets you can locate ChasMod. Tin is a valuable commodity, and any time you can get your hands on some it is way better than Dollars; particularly paper dollars.
Now aluminum foil helmets; you can keep those.
From the UAH website:
From Nov. 16, 1978, through June 30, 2007, the global lower troposphere has warmed about 0.4 Celsius (about 0.72° Fahrenheit), or global warming at the rate of approximately 1.4 C (about 2.52° Fahrenheit) per century.
Most of the warming that accounts for that trend, however, has happened since January 1998 in the northernmost third of the globe.
There has been little or no net warming in the tropics over the past 28+ years, while there is very slight warming in the southernmost third of the globe.
While this warming is within the range of natural climate variation, some of the warming is consistent with human effects — especially warming in the coldest air over the Northern Hemisphere, according to Christy. “That cold air has very little water vapor in it, so if you add another greenhouse gas you have an opportunity to trap more heat.
“When you go to the tropics, where there’s lots of water vapor, the extra carbon dioxide doesn’t have as much effect. As a greenhouse gas, carbon dioxide’s greatest effect is in the driest, coldest places.”
apologies, slightly off topic…as theres NO contact ability.
check this out re antarctic warming/ozone waffle, and the comments are…classicly warmie
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/dec/01/ozone-antarctica
now I would have thought ozone closing stopped the force of the suns rays a tad? so how the hell is it supposed to make it warmer?
and
the ice shelf is IN the water…so how? again would it make the sea rise? ie the ice in a glass doesnt change the level.
blondieBC (06:29:01) :
Does anyone know why Hudson bay is freezing slower than normal this year?
The whole 18 million square mile Arctic region on average is freezing slower, too. After a 2009 Arctic sea ice minimum that was ~1 million square miles greater than 2007 Arctic sea ice minimum & at times was close to the 2005 Arctic sea ice extent, the 2009 Arctic sea ice extent steadily reached & became less than the 2008 Arctic sea ice extent. 2009 Arctic sea ice extent steadily continued right over to the 2007 sea ice extent, too! Most times the 2007 sea ice extent has been a bit of a wall for later periods. But 2009 sea ice extent cut through & became less than the 2007 sea ice extent! Since then, 2009 sea ice extent has weaved itself around the 2007 sea ice extent.
Supposedly, north flowing winds from Siberia have delayed Arctic sea ice freezing north of Siberia.
2009 Arctic ice extent seems to be normal: click
But in any discussion of global warming/cooling, both hemispheres have to be considered. Antarctic ice cover is above average: click
for blondie bc.. umm maybe One reason is… there is a ruddy great volcanic vent somewhere up that way…
iceagenow.com has some clips of them happening, quite speccy:-)
and Ian Plimer also mentions theres one in antarctic area too, NO warmists mention that:-)
how…par for course.
This is likely too late to be read, but the post incorrectly identifies November 2004 as the previous record for a November UAH anomaly. Actually, the previous record was in November 2005, toward the end of the El Nino cycle that started in January 2005. Most of the monthly UAH records were set in the El Nino years of 1998 and 2005.