It seems no matter where you look, “hockey stick” shapes pop out of data related to climate. Today, the most extraordinary day in climate science seen in quite some time, was no exception.
And, the day is not over. But honestly I’m too tired to continue. Thus I’m going to present the dataset gleaned today in raw form, but without the final endpoint. There’s no smoothing nor splicing of dissimilar datasets, but granted it is not a complete dataset. I’ll have complete data tomorrow.
Readers will recognize that even though the endpoint has not been established, the conclusion from the graph is clear. We are living in times of extraordinary data, never before seen. It’s accelerating, and worse than we thought.
UPDATE: the final number at midnight Nov 20th, 2009 was 187,988 hits.
Sometimes, there is irony.
In other news, WUWT’s post on the CRU data hack was the number one post on WordPress today, beating out CNN, People magazine, and other well known media outlet posts.
I wish to offer my sincerest thanks to the WUWT moderation team. Thanks also to readers who spread the word and participated in the largest ever thread.
Discover more from Watts Up With That?
Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.
$2000 a person each year till 2050.
When in the course of human events, it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve the scientific fraud which has threatened to subject the entire world . . . Let the revolution begin!
I wouldn’t have found out about the “CRUtape Letters” for a while longer had not the very left leaning Idaho Statesman printed a very brief article about the leak. What surprised me is that the New York Times (the Statesman’s source) bothered to publish anything at all about it.
Even odder was the Statesman ran the NYT article in the same spread as Thomas Friedman’s latest column, wherein the usually level-headed* fellow rants on about human caused climate change and overpopulation. Of course Friedman’s column got a lot more space. (Comments are closed on that article, wonder why?)
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/18/opinion/18friedman.html?_r=1&adxnnl=1&adxnnlx=1258852196-dv8o23NFDuyu/rAHNB/aBQ
*If you can, watch his show on “The other side of outsourcing”. A good one, IMHO.
I think these revelations are getting to one of the Real Climate’s blog hitmen. RC usually has him attack any skeptic as ignorant of science and then they delete any response. Now all Ladbury can do is keep babbling variations of one of his usual lines “All I can say is “Wow, these people are stupid!”” . Ladbury often typifies the RC mentality that they are the only smart people, that they are the only true scientists, and everybody else is wrong. No need to ask questions, or have scientific debate. He expects everyone to just fall in line behind him and his ilk no matter what they are ranting. Now that is not very smart!
Awesome work, Anthony.
Now that the ice is broken, so to speak, it’s time to follow up and prepare for the counter attacks that are sure to follow. Ironically, RC, perhaps inadvertently, will provide some guidance as to what the substance of such attacks will be. Skeptics have been given a strong boost, but the alarmists have too much money and professional careers invested in AGW to concede without a fight.
A few places to start would be with the editorial management of the professional journals as well as their counterparts in the popular scientific media. Hadley CRU may be at the epicenter of this gargantuan scam, but they’re only one node in a virtual network. Similar cabals exist at other academic and quasi-governmental institutions, many in the US, and these cannot be ignored.
Misinformation and disinformation abounds throughout the internet, especially among those sites that the public usually turns to for general as well as specific information. For example, the person responsible for monitoring and editing all climate-related posts on one of the most popular info sites is himself a charter member of RC.
Congratulations Anthony. A hockey stick to make the NHL proud.
It would be very interesting to know Lord Monckton’s thoughts as well as those of columnist George Will on the CRU “leaks.”
It would also be nice to see comments by Dr. Svalgaard.
Anthony,
it would be helpful to me and many other (new?) readers if a list of the more common acronyms used in the CRU emails was published.
For example, it is simple to work out the CA=Climate Audit and MWP=Medieval Warming Period, but others are a bit beyond me, which reduces my understanding of some of the implications of these emails.
I imagine such a list would be helpful to media who may wish to spread the story via the “MSM” but also need explanations of some acronyms.
LOL
All Your Emails Are Belong To Us
I agree with Quango72 concerning the list.
Gio-
The science is settled.
The WUWT hockey stick has now been validated and shown to be robust.
http://www.quantcast.com/profile/traffic-compare?domain0=realclimate.org&domain1=climateprogress.org&domain2=wattsupwiththat.com&domain3=climatecrisis.net&domain4=
When you lie or present false information on a grand scale such as this, time is not your friend. They clock has just ran out on al goreo ,somebody just opened him up and ate the cream filling. Keep it up ,lets get some snow and ice/naoaa e-mails next.
Two comments:
1) steven mosher (00:35:05) :
It would please me to no end if we just referred to this collection as “The CRUTAPE letters”
I would like to second this suggestion – it’s brilliant.
2) Unlike many of you I have not been pulling all-nighters since Thursday, but my husband is giving me reproachful looks as I remain glued to WUWT during all my free time. This is better than any detective story I’ve ever read or show I’ve ever seen – and well worth the price of admission. I hope there’s another hockey stick that materializes – a donation hockeystick to the Surface Stations project and to Steve McIntyre’s Climate Audit! I’ve certainly been motivated to do the right thing, something I’ve been intending to do for far too long! Well done to all you defenders of the search for truth both in science and in ethical behaviour -and especially to Anthony and his valiant moderators.
It’s now on the Washington Post website http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/11/20/AR2009112004093_pf.html
More links at http://news.google.com/news/search?q=hadley+hacked
Roger Knights: “If we try to overdo what these e-mails show, it’ll backfire.”
Wise words. Nothing in these emails definitively supports claims of fraud and corruption. At most, the emails show people wrestling with the many issues of a complex subject, and how to manage the release of information.
The FOIA request comments are on the surface troubling, but the context is unclear, so the proper sceptical attitude is to withold judgement until there is more clarity.
The possibly embarassing aspects of the emails are the unguarded thoughts of scientists about their peers and especially their opponents. Some of these comments are not necessarily flattering to sceptics.
Importantly, nothing in the emails undermines either the science or reality of climate change. Celebration at this time is premature, and is bound to turn to dissapointment in the long run.
Not so fast Brendan… read um again… The Climate has always been changing and will always be changing, unfortunately you (nor anyone else) can not stop that, as it is natural… anyone ignorant enough to think we can remove CO2 and improve plant and animal life requires re-education from non-revisionists.
Still, for AGW to be ongoing at this point, after so many REAL scientists have proven the truth for so many decades – this just adds more back up to many great, decent, people who are trying to warn the world that Mann, Hansen, et al deserve life sentences and all who went along with the fraud at least deserve time in prison and to be stripped of scientific credentials and degrees.
Will that happen, not with the current corrupt administration, I doubt any mention will occur… , they are probably still going to try to pass cap & tax.
I sent a letter to Sen. McCain and explained in 2 pages why his position could not be rationalized… I cited WUWT and CA… I also suggested he speak with Sen. Inhofe, if he still had questions… I do not think I was the only letter sent to him… but he has now come around!
If your a US voter… you may want to choose a Senator or so and just explain what you have learned, at the least they will realize more of us know the truth…
Perhaps this new data will cause a few “open minded” alarmists to rethink their positions?
Keep up the good work – Anthony and Congrats.
@Curiousgeorge
“..but what people really want to know.. is:
How will this debunking/scandal effect my 401K, my house value, what kind of car I drive, the value of the dollar, international trade, my job, the cost of groceries, gas, and electricity, etc. ? How it will impact the political balance of power over the next 3 years, and other mundane issues of concern to the average ( US ) citizen.
Ordinary folks don’t give a rat’s fanny about the “science” or the internal shenanigans of some obscure research center. They care about how and when it might impact them personally in ways they may not even realize.”
CuriousGeorge is correct – people have concerns about what will affect them personally.
That’s why the issue to publicise is the evidence that the Team were ruining the careers of people who disagreed with them. That will strike a chord with all scientists – who here has not wondered at some time why they were passed over for a position? And that’s also a concern for every man in the street….
Quango72 (20:38:47) :
Anthony,
> it would be helpful to me and many other (new?) readers if a list of
> the more common acronyms used in the CRU emails was published.
Up at the top navigation bar, click on Glossary.
Brendan H (23:00:17) :
“Importantly, nothing in the emails undermines either the science or reality of climate change. Celebration at this time is premature, and is bound to turn to dissapointment in the long run.”
Climate has always changed. There, the injured animal is painlessly put to sleep.
Now. What science is there to be ‘undermined’ exactly?
We would not be searching, or shouting, for evidence if there was any.
Conjecture is not evidence. Guesswork, confidence and models are not evidence.
The alarmists have zero evidence that CO2 has or will “hurt” Mother Earth or her inhabitants. We would be clubbed to death with it if they did.
Gavin Schmidt of RealClimate put together an excellent post about hockey stick slayers such as you and McIntyre. Gavin produced seven graphs with no Yamal or dendro evidence included showing trends that were identical to Gore’s hockey stick, for both CO2 and temperature.
Both this blog and ClimateAudit are lively and interesting. Problem is, there is a reverse relationship to the actual scientific evidence.
The gripe is not so much about the current temperatures; it’s about the Medieval period. There’s plenty of historical and archaeological evidence to dispute the hockey stick, quite apart from team reconstructions. Look at Loehle (also non dendro) and you get no hockey stick. Even Moberg shows an MWP, though slightly less than the modern optimum.
Gavin is not going to go down easily… so lets be sure to cite him directly…
mike roddy (09:11:32) :
Gavin Schmidt of RealClimate put together an excellent post about hockey stick slayers such as you and McIntyre. Gavin produced seven graphs with no Yamal or dendro evidence included showing trends that were identical to Gore’s hockey stick, for both CO2 and temperature.
While we’ve seen many pieces from the UK’s Telegraph, they’ve usually been from their columnist, Christopher Booker. Now, from this same paper’s news blog section, comes another writer, James Delingpole with his latest report on Climategate. Makes for interesting reading, especially this part of the article’s update:
“And do check out Watts Up With That, whose traffic went through the roof yesterday, enabling to demonstrate scientifically that Hockey Stick is after all a genuine phenomenon – and not merely a figment of Michael Mann’s overactive imagination.”
We’ve seen the WUWT hockey stick above. Just to show that the WordPress numbers aren’t a fluke, check out the latest figures from Quantcast that show the huge peak reached on 20 Nov with a slight drop following on 21 Nov (but still much higher than any previous daily peak over the past 6 months):
http://www.quantcast.com/profile/traffic-compare?domain0=realclimate.org&domain1=climateprogress.org&domain2=wattsupwiththat.com&domain3=climatecrisis.net&domain4=
Finally, from Alexa comes additional confirmation. It shows the rise in volume a bit in the Traffic Rank and even more impressively in Reach:
http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/wattsupwiththat.com+realclimate.org+climatecrisis.net+climateprogress.org
GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOooooooooooolllll !
A nice header there old chap; well maybe not so old.
http://drop.io/climatezip
faster download