Release of CRU files forges a new hockey stick reconstruction

It seems no matter where you look, “hockey stick” shapes pop out of data related to climate. Today, the most extraordinary day in climate science seen in quite some time, was no exception.

And, the day is not over. But honestly I’m too tired to continue. Thus I’m going to present the dataset gleaned today in raw form, but without the final endpoint. There’s no smoothing nor splicing of dissimilar datasets, but granted it is not a complete dataset. I’ll have complete data tomorrow.

Readers will recognize that even though the endpoint has not been established, the conclusion from the graph is clear. We are living in times of extraordinary data, never before seen. It’s accelerating, and worse than we thought.

WUWT daily stats - 11/20/2009 - click to enlarge

UPDATE: the final number at midnight Nov 20th, 2009 was 187,988 hits.

Sometimes, there is irony.

In other news, WUWT’s post on the CRU data hack was the number one post on WordPress today, beating out CNN, People magazine, and other well known media outlet posts.

Click for a larger image

I wish to offer my sincerest thanks to the WUWT moderation team. Thanks also to readers who spread the word and participated in the largest ever thread.

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Ray

HE SHOOTS, HE SCORES!!!!

Jeff C.

“We are living in times of extraordinary data, never before seen. It’s accelerating, and worse than we thought.”
I think the word you are looking for is “unprecedented”

Good to see what you look like Anthony!!! Very well done for creating and managing an outstanding site of great interest to many thousands of people.

par5

A hockey stick that we can all be proud of.

Thanks for all your hard work. It’s certainly been fascinating to watch.

Pieter F

“. . . the largest ever thread.”
Nearly 1,200 comments and 180,000 hits in one day (and it was the 4th post of that day). At the risk of stating the obvious, I’d say you struck a nerve. (I liked the commenter that said they had run out of popcorn. A colleague was also riveted to the thread and emailed to say, “Who would have thought that a scandal would bring this house of cards down? Not bad science, not bad policy but good old fashionsed bad behaviour.”

Phillip Bratby

Congratulations Anthony. This is a breakthrough for you to a new level of exposure. It proves that truth will out.

Tim

Congrats on hitting # 1 on WordPress! Hopefully as this thing unfolds you, AirVent, and Climate Audit will get some well-deserved recognition in the mainstream press. That is, if the mainstream press even bothers to cover it!

Patrick Davis

Very well done for everyone involved in bringing this to WUWT. I, as I am sure many others are too, spreading the word.
Still no MSM coverage here in Australia, just more alarming talk of high temperatures and storms here in Sydney, and flooding in the UK (Worst in 1000 years apparently).
Congratulations.

KimW

It is because WUWT provides rapid and timely topical climate news stories that point to good science or to flaws in assumptions – what we want to see – no self satisfied “so there it is bean brain” talking down to viewers. A good set of well informed commentators that can take the story further. Why be surprised ?.

mark in austin

woo hoo! this is so fascinating and i do wonder where it will end! thanks for all you do Anthony….

Todd

OUTSTANDING!!!!!

Leon Brozyna

A most extraordinary Friday.
Great job by the mods.
Now that’s a hockey stick I can believe in. I’ll be monitoring Quantcast & Alexa to see how these figures show up. Earlier today, Quantcast had figures up through the 19th. And if RC’s been as civil as some earlier comments seem to indicate, they’ll probably have quite an uptick in their numbers as well.

Well done Anthony. That’s a hockey stick that I do like to see.
Dominic

davidc

Well, it took me 30 sec see what the data actually is. Irony just doesn’t work for me in Climate Science.

Tim Cullen MalagaView

A day that has confirmed the suspicions of many inquiring minds…
A day that has opened many peoples’ eyes…
A day that should stop unfounded taxes and regulations…
A day that should help make the world a better place…
A truly momentous 24 hours…
Thank you Anthony. Thank you Moderators. Thank you Contributors.
Without you none of this would have been possible! Amazing.

Rationalist

Fantastic!

Roger Knights

Goal!

Paul Z.

The emails are on wikileaks.org now:
http://wikileaks.org/wiki/Climatic_Research_Unit_emails,_data,_models,_1996-2009
Is global warming a smokescreen for the real fascist NWO agenda of controlling the world’s flow of information? After all, Al Gore is a senior advisor to Google…

pyromancer76

An amazing day. An amazing blog. Sanity’s extraordinary good fortune. And deepest thanks to (probably) the insider who was not going to sit still for any more bad behavior on the part of criminals masquerading as climate scientists. By the way, does anyone want to call him/herself a “climate scientist” anymore?
Now, what’s next? How about scientists taking back all their professional societies — deep-six those board members who voted for AGW or “global warming” or climate change”, demonized CO2, and supported the IPCC and Copenhagen without a vote of the membership. Everyone should be “purged” and new bylaws written and approved by the memberships to prevent a similar conspiracy from happening again. Almost one of the biggest frauds in history. How many billions have they squandered so far?

J.Hansford

In the end, it is the science that wins.

pyromancer76

An amazing day. An amazing blog. Sanity’s extraordinary good fortune. Congratulations, Anthony and moderators. Whew! What a job.
And deepest thanks to (probably) the insider who was not going to sit still another minute for more bad behavior on the part of criminals masquerading as climate scientists. By the way, does anyone want to call him/herself a “climate scientist” anymore?
Now, what’s next? How about scientists taking back all their professional societies — deep-six those board members who voted for AGW or “global warming” or climate change”, demonized CO2, and supported the IPCC and Copenhagen without a vote of the membership. Everyone should be “purged” and new bylaws written and approved by the memberships to prevent a similar conspiracy from happening again. Almost one of the biggest frauds in history. How many billions have they squandered so far?

Fine work, as always, Mr Watts.
Why, I wonder, did this theme generate so many hits? Could it be that many were waiting to find something that appeared to confirm their suspicions?
I am sure there is one thing lying behind all the opinion polls that tell us the majority simply don’t accept the AGW scare story, that thing is nothing more than “it just doesn’t smell right”.
One confirmatory reading is now marked on the “stenchometer”. It will take a few more. I am ever hopeful that they will seep out to assault our nasal passages and ever grateful that courageous people like you, Mr Watts, are here to bring them to public attention.

Mike Spilligan

Anthony, please keep up this important work. I’ve no doubt that EAU/CRU will be working flat out right now to be able to explain, by Monday, how we’ve just misunderstood those e-mails.
Nothing yet from the BBC, here in the English District of the new European Empire.

Goal!!!!!!!!!!!!

Bulldust

So who won science blog of the year btw?

John Wright

Only Watt you deserve. A tribute to your persistence.

Donald (Australia)

Let’s hope we see a similar graph for scientific fraud convictions v. time before too long. It will start from a low base and go exponential in 2010 … mmm, but I’m not holding my breath.

:Leo G

But are you willing to release ALL the data sets to Steve M?
LMFAROTFP!
Kudos
Leo G

Steve S.

I want to see the emails between Anthony and wordpress.
,,,,,,,I’ll hack!

Loco

I see the enormous efforts at positive spin (or positive denial – mountains out of molehills, cherry-picked quotes, might not all be real) starting at all the “usual” team sites.

Fix'n

That’s the most beautiful (and accurate) hockey-stick I’ve ever seen.
Thank you, WUWT, for fighting the good fight. You (and science) have won and the alarmist rats will now be jumping off their sinking luxury liner and onto safer ground. Will Captain Gore stay the course or jump a lifeboat? What will be the next ’cause celebre’? We wonder. Hooray! Good work.

Bulldust

Mike D. (23:59:58) :
Hopefully not one of those Thierry Henry assisted goals…

Claude Harvey

I have it on good authority (from the Hadley files) that you’re all a bunch of hooligans. What we have here is a “hooligan hockey stick”!
Cheers! (as the Hadley poofs love to exclaim)
CH

Well done – lets get this in the mainstream so people know the truth!

Mike Core

Sunlight and fresh air are excellent at eradicating toxins, germs and pus.
Despite the weather, it has been a very sunny week.
”Shine out, fair sun, till I have bought a glass; that I may see my shadow as I pass. ”
– R III

Martin Brumby

James Delingpole has as a good piece on:- http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/jamesdelingpole/100017393/climategate-the-final-nail-in-the-coffin-of-anthropogenic-global-warming/
The rest of the UK media seems to be ignoring it commpletely or fussing round the UEA in damage limitation mode.
This will not make a scintilla of difference to Copenhagen or to the policies of Obama, Merkel, Brown, Rudd and all the rest. None of that is about science, anyway. Not even the corrupt and arrogant ‘science’ perpetrated by Phil Jones and his band of eco-fascist crooks.
But it is to be hoped that it is yet another (and a big clunky) spanner in their machinations. Sooner or later the truth will of course out. And this is a milestone along the way.
Just have to hope that too much damage hasn’t already been done to human society (and to the reputation of true science) when this tired and comprehensively discredited AGW bubble eventually bursts.

Peter Plail

I see RC is trying to go for a record too – they seem to have given up moderating to increase the post count.
But seriously, thanks to AW and his team for their services to scientific truth and open-mindedness.

steven mosher

It would please me to no end if we just referred to this collection as “The CRUTAPE letters”
with a hat tip to CS lewis.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Screwtape_Letters
screwtape played by jones
wormwood played by mann
TM moshpit

Bishop Hill says theres more to come ….

Phillip Bratby

The BBC is currently preventing discussion of the issue with this statement:
“Because comments were posted quoting excerpts apparently from the hacked Climate Research Unit e-mails, and because there are potential legal issues connected with publishing this material, we have temporarily removed all comments until we can ensure that watertight oversight is in place.”
Closing the stable door?

Louis Hissink

Anthony
Congratulations – but you had me spooked for a second – raw data showing warming? And then I looked at the axes and realised what you plotted. For a second I thought it was temperature data and my heart dropped.
Keep up the excellent work.

dearieme

Wonderfully Unswerving Work Triumph, chaps. Well done those men.

Stuck-Record

Oh Dear…
1056478635.txt
From: “Mick Kelly” To: Nguyen Huu Ninh (cered@xxxxxxxxx.xxx) Subject: NOAA funding Date: Tue, 24 Jun 2003 14:17:15 +0000
Ninh NOAA want to give us more money for the El Nino work with IGCN. How much do we have left from the last budget? I reckon most has been spent but we need to show some left to cover the costs of the trip Roger didn’t make and also the fees/equipment/computer money we haven’t spent otherwise NOAA will be suspicious. Politically this money may have to go through Simon’s institute but there overhead rate is high so maybe not! Best wishes Mick
____________________________________________ Mick Kelly Climatic Research Unit School of Environmental Sciences University of East Anglia Norwich NR4 7TJ United Kingdom Tel: 44-1603-592091 Fax: 44-1603-507784 Email: m.kelly@xxxxxxxxx.xxx Web: http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/tiempo/ _________________________

Lucy Skywalker

Who’d a thunk I’d a stayed awake half the night on this. I was holding out for decent behaviour (by us) in this sea of appalling rudeness and corruption of Scientific Method, and I think that is coming through nicely.
Only the BBC shock me: interviewing the CRU folk with no mention of the “whistleblower” aspect. None at all. No suggestion that perhaps this stink needed to come out if we are to restore good science.

Stephen Brown

The Daily Mail here in the English District of the EUSSR is carrying the story:-
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1229740/Hackers-expose-global-warming-Claims-leaked-emails-reveal-research-centre-massaged-temperature-data.html
The Beeb makes mention of the story but not of the contents of the hacked material:-
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/8370282.stm

Without doubt this is the high water mark of the AGW flim flam. The emails do little to destroy the sad science of climate warming; rather they call into question the integrity and the honesty of the Hockey Stick fanboys and their pals.
People who have been reading WUWT and CA have already known that the “team” is willing to lie about, suppress, ignore and attack anyone and anything which challenges their deeply flawed point of view. The emails simply confirm that has been obvious for a couple of years.
The AGW fat lady is in the wings warming up.
In Copenhagen she will sing her first aria. And she will keep singing until doubt and science take their rightful place in the climate debate.

Jack Simmons

Wonderful.
I’ve spread the word to media folks here in Denver.
We’ll see if they comment on it.

Mick

This is an amazing ride! Thanks Anthony and moderators!
This hockey stick is impressive, you could ask the “de TEM” to per-review the data…. LOL