"Proof" that media is hyping AGW shamelessly without asking basic questions like: "did you check the lake for DDT"?

From news.com.au this “stunning” development citing lake sediment and some midges “proves” everything. Glad that’s settled. See thoughts at the end.

This is the title of the story at news.com.au, link to story here

proof_humans_cause_AGW

But here is the University of Colorado press release that started it all. Note that in no place in the release do they use the word “proof”.

Arctic Lake Sediment Record Shows Warming, Unique Ecological Changes in Recent Decades

October 19, 2009

An analysis of sediment cores indicates that biological and chemical changes occurring at a remote Arctic lake are unprecedented over the past 200,000 years and likely are the result of human-caused climate change, according to a new study led by the University of Colorado at Boulder.

A University of Colorado at Boulder-led analysis of a 200,000 year-old sediment core from a Baffin Island lake indicates warming temperatures in the Arctic due to human activity are overriding a natural cooling trend in the region. Photo by Jason Briner, University at Buffalo

While environmental changes at the lake over the past millennia have been shown to be tightly linked with natural causes of climate change — like periodic, well-understood wobbles in Earth’s orbit — changes seen in the sediment cores since about 1950 indicate expected climate cooling is being overridden by human activity like greenhouse gas emissions. The research team reconstructed past climate and environmental changes at the lake on Baffin Island using indicators that included algae, fossil insects and geochemistry preserved in sediment cores that extend back 200,000 years.

“The past few decades have been unique in the past 200,000 years in terms of the changes we see in the biology and chemistry recorded in the cores,” said lead study author Yarrow Axford of CU-Boulder’s Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research. “We see clear evidence for warming in one of the most remote places on Earth at a time when the Arctic should be cooling because of natural processes.”

The study was published Oct. 19 in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. The study included researchers from CU-Boulder, the State University of New York’s University at Buffalo, the University of Alberta, the University of Massachusetts and Queen’s University in Kingston, Ontario.

The sediment cores were extracted from the bottom of a roughly 100-acre, 30-foot-deep lake near the village of Clyde River on the east coast of Baffin Island, which is several hundred miles west of Greenland. The lake sediment cores go back in time 80,000 years beyond the oldest reliable ice cores from Greenland and capture the environmental conditions of two previous ice ages and three interglacial periods.

The sediment cores showed that several types of mosquito-like midges that flourish in very cold climates have been abundant at the lake for the past several thousand years. But the cold-adapted midge species abruptly began declining in about 1950, matching their lowest abundances of the last 200,000 years. Two of the midge species adapted to the coldest temperatures have completely disappeared from the lake region, said Axford.

In addition, a species of diatom, a lake algae that was relatively rare at the site before the 20th century, has undergone unprecedented increases in recent decades, possibly in response to declining ice cover on the Baffin Island lake.

“Our results show that the human footprint is overpowering long-standing natural processes even in remote Arctic regions,” said co-author John Smol of Queen’s University. “This historical record shows that we are dramatically affecting the ecosystems on which we depend.”

The ancient lake sediment cores are the oldest ever recovered from glaciated parts of Canada or Greenland. Massive ice sheets during ice ages generally scour the underlying bedrock and remove previous sediments.

“What is unique about these sediment cores is that even though glaciers covered this lake, for various reasons they did not erode it,” said study co-author Jason Briner of the University at Buffalo. The result is that we have a really long sequence of sediment that has survived Arctic glaciations.”

Axford emphasized the multiyear research project required expertise from each of the five institutions involved in the PNAS study. “This was a team effort all the way around, and each of the institutions has a unique set of skills that allowed us to carry out this study,” she said. “We needed people who understood algae, insects, glaciers and geochemistry, not to mention how to drive snowmobiles and extract the cores.”

The study was funded by the National Science Foundation, the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada and the Geological Society of America.

A study published in Science magazine last month that involved CU-Boulder researchers and reconstructed past temperatures in the Arctic using ice cores, tree rings and lake sediments concluded that recent warming around the Arctic is overriding a cooling trend caused by Earth’s periodic wobble. Earth is now about 0.6 million miles further from the sun during the Northern Hemisphere summer solstice than it was in 1 B.C. — a trend that has caused overall cooling in the Arctic until recently.

INSTAAR researcher and CU-Boulder geological sciences Professor Gifford Miller was a co-author on both the PNAS study and the recent Science study.


A scientist on a mailing list I subscribe to put it in perspective this way:

1. “several types of mosquito-like midges that for many thousands of years thrived in cold climate surrounding the lake suddenly began declining at around 1950” — Have they accounted for the use of DDT, then? Seems to me that DDT on Baffin Island could have been very popular among trappers and the military in the 50s. Possibly pertinent too:

DDT and its breakdown products are transported from warmer regions of the world to the Arctic by the phenomenon of global distillation, where they then accumulate in the region’s food web
http://www.absoluteastronomy.com/topics/DDT

Thus there might be a human impact on this parameter, but of another kind.

Beyond that, though, if the authors are suggesting that CO2 has caused a mosquito or midge shortage up north, they should consult caribou herds, whose route of wandering is traceable to wind direction, so desperate are these animals to escape the floating bloodsuckers.

In the Canadian Arctic, researchers who bared their arms, legs, and torsos in an experiment reported as many as 9,000 [mosquito] bites per minute.
http://www.21stcenturysciencetech.com/articles/Fall02/Mosquitoes.html

Who knows, then? Changing wind patterns and a consequent shift of caribou migration (the supporting host) or DDT usage might account for the decline of midge bodies in this particular study of Ayr Lake. But CO2?

2. “The Earth is now some 600,000 miles (966,000 kilometers) further from the sun during the Northern Hemisphere summer solstice than it was at the time of Jesus Christ” — A sad example of allegation that’s already become a repeated “fact” simply because no one’s bothered to investigate it. I have, and find no indication that this million km claim is true.

– Alan


Just a note on DDT from Wikipedia:

First synthesized in 1874, DDT’s insecticidal properties were not discovered until 1939. In the second half of World War II, it was used with great effect to control mosquitoes spreading malaria and lice transmitting typhus among civilians and troops, resulting in dramatic reductions in the incidence of both diseases. The Swiss chemist Paul Hermann Müller was awarded the Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine in 1948 “for his discovery of the high efficiency of DDT as a contact poison against several arthropods.” After the war, DDT was made available for use as an agricultural insecticide, and soon its production and use skyrocketed.

Here’ s a 2008 study on DDT in penguins that sums it up pretty well:

POPs (Persistent organic pollutants)  accumulate in the Antarctic and Arctic via repeated cycles of evaporation and condensation as they move poleward through the atmosphere from the tropical and temperate zones where most are released.

Or how about this one:

Seabird Droppings Raising DDT, Mercury Levels in Arctic: Canadian Study

2005 TORONTO (CP) – Seabird droppings are leaving more than a foul mess in the Arctic – they’re contaminating northern lakes and ponds with extremely high levels of mercury and DDT, Canadian researchers have found.

Concentrations of the chemicals were found to be as much as 60 times higher in bodies of water on Devon Island, Nunavut, than in other Arctic areas, says a study to be published Friday in the journal Science.

No, no it couldn’t be DDT killing those midges, it has to be global warming since 1950.

Journalism is dead, science may not be far behind.

0 0 votes
Article Rating

Discover more from Watts Up With That?

Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

128 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Editor
October 20, 2009 5:46 am

Axford emphasized … “This was a team effort all the way around … We needed people who understood algae, insects, glaciers and geochemistry, not to mention how to drive snowmobiles and extract the cores.”

Despite living in New Hampshire, and haven’t driven a snowmobile since I was in high school in the 1960s, I wouldn’t really associate the skills involved with those benefiting from Phd-level study. Perhaps she is just being all-inclusive, but then I’d wonder why she left off the cooks and dishwashers. An army of scientists travels on its stomach as the phrase goes. Umm, that’s the right phrase I think….

Bill Illis
October 20, 2009 5:51 am

Its probably a very interesting core if one ignores the hype. A 200,000 year core probably shows a lot of interesting things – anyone know where the data is?
It seems there has been some warming in the far Arctic since the 1950s (but it was also warmer in the early 1940s which were probably close to today’s temps). So you can pick your start period to coincide with what you want to show.
There has been a reduction in solar energy/insolation (and summer solar energy) in the far north due to the Milankovitch Cycles starting about 10,000 years ago (although much of the far north solar energy would have just been reflected off the ice back then and I don’t think many midges lived on the glaciers then either).

masonmart
October 20, 2009 5:53 am

In the very worst case it proved that there has been some warming at that location since 1950. It doesn’t prove what caused it. why is that so difficult to grasp.

October 20, 2009 5:58 am

As Professor Khabibulo Abudsamatov would say: “That´s Hollywood science”, or media science. Don´t forget Boulder, Colorado, is the Rome of the Global Warming Church.

John Galt
October 20, 2009 6:02 am

This is no worse than what Seth Borenstein (AP) or Sharon Begley (Newsweek) publish regularly.
Today’s journalists are lazy and very susceptible to group think They rarely bother to check the original sources, or ask critical questions. They will simply reprint the same nonsense over and over again, happily oblivious to the facts.

October 20, 2009 6:03 am

Sue (2:52:40) typifies the problem: she mindlessly believes whatever she reads.
But the actual facts are not nearly so alarming:
http://politicalpen.wordpress.com/2009/10/10/plastic-vortex
The implication is that the U.S. is the problem, when in fact the U.S. is the cleanest country on Earth on a per capita basis. Yet the enviro lobby, tightly controlled by anti-American interests, gives China — the most polluted country on Earth — a free pass.
More than one-third of all atmospheric pollution in the western U.S. comes directly from China. But the enviro lobby turns a blind eye to that uncomfortable fact.

Layne Blanchard
October 20, 2009 6:08 am

Sue (02:52:40) :
Sue, if your Magnolias are sprouting six MONTHS early, you might want to check your hemisphere. And if your trees are dying, methinks it won’t be due to an increase in life giving C02. Have you tried watering? 🙂

Tim Clark
October 20, 2009 6:24 am

Sue (02:52:40) :
My dying red oaks on my 2 acres mean nothing, it’s normal.

Your oaks are dying from an infestation of red oak borer, which was caused by humans. No, not CO2. Misguided forest management. Your budding magnolias are a natural phenomenon. It happens periodically. Go to the U of A and talk to the ecologist there. He’ll set you straight. As for plastic soup, go to the farmers market and buy fresh vegetables and make your own. I do.

Rob Vermeulen
October 20, 2009 6:27 am

To summarize: you have absolutely no idea whether ddt could or not be involved, due to a supposed diffusion of ddt all over the world, but nevertheless prefer to blame observations on that than admit it could be due to AGW? Is your position so desperate? Have you even tried to evaluate the amount of ddt that was released?

October 20, 2009 6:32 am

This may be another case of incorrect use of statistical techniques to relate two proxie variables for temperature that result in another hocky stick. Please read my presentation at http://www.kidswincom.net/climate.pdf and come to your own conclusions.

October 20, 2009 6:38 am

Rob Vermeulen (06:27:58),
AGW is completely unproven. It is media hype, parroting speculation based on computer models — not on empirical data.
There may be a slight effect from the “A” part of AGW — and then again, there might not be. We simply do not know at this point.
The past century’s natural warming amounts to only about 0.7°C, hardly enough to cause the effects being claimed. Anthony is right to question the assertion that humans cause global warming. It is mere speculation at this point. Skeptics question, to the consternation of alarmists, who can not credibly answer them.
But if you have any real world data showing an actual measurement of the effect of human activity on temperature, by all means post it here. You will be the first to be able to do so.

Vincent
October 20, 2009 6:49 am

Rob Vermeulen
“To summarize: you have absolutely no idea whether ddt could or not be involved, due to a supposed diffusion of ddt all over the world, but nevertheless prefer to blame observations on that than admit it could be due to AGW?”
Your knee jerked so fast it nearly hit me on the chin. We have NO idea. That is exactly the POINT.
The point about DDT is not that “it was DDT wot dun it”. No, not at all. All people are saying is that there now exists some doubt. It may be DDT or any number of things, but none of these have been considered. It was a direct flight to “warmest in 200,000 years”. Such a bold claim requires bold evidence, don’t you know.
That is all. You can put your knee down now.

hotrod
October 20, 2009 6:50 am

Yes, they have mosquitos for every imaginable climactic condition.

Here in Colorado we have a mountain pass called “Mosquito Pass” that sits above Leadville Colorado at an altitude of 13,185 feet above sea level. It is near arctic tundra conditions, and it has that name for a very good reason. In the spring, when the thaw comes, if you look closely you can see the tail numbers on the Mosquitos, as they closely resemble WWII bombers.
Larry

Espen
October 20, 2009 6:50 am

Rob Vermeulen: Check my GISS-links above. I also downloaded the available data from GISS and checked the June/July/August temperatures. They show no trend for the whole period, and a downwards trend from about 1950-~1980. So why would there be a change from 1950 when in fact Clyde had at least 25 years of gradually cooling summers from 1950 on?

Tim Clark
October 20, 2009 7:10 am

Rob Vermeulen (06:27:58) :
To summarize: you have absolutely no idea whether ddt could or not be involved, due to a supposed diffusion of ddt all over the world, but nevertheless prefer to blame observations on that than admit it could be due to AGW? Is your position so desperate? Have you even tried to evaluate the amount of ddt that was released?

Didya bother to read all the comments? DDT is a moot point when there’s no warming:
Espen (03:40:05) :
There’s a long-running GISS station at Clyde which shows a slight downward trend from the 50s until the 90s:
http://go2.wordpress.com/?id=725X1342&site=wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com&url=http%3A%2F%2Fdata.giss.nasa.gov%2Fcgi-bin%2Fgistemp%2Fgistemp_station.py%3Fid%3D403710900006%26data_set%3D0%26num_neighbors%3D1
(I chose the version where you see all the station changes, I guess the most recent station is at the small airport…)
Across the strait, Greenland’s Nuuk was warmer in the 30s and 40s than from the 50s:
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/gistemp_station.py?id=431042500000&data_set=1&num_neighbors=1

hotrod
October 20, 2009 7:15 am

Sue (02:52:40) :
Humans have nothing to do with “plastic soup”, either. I mean, we mesh seamlessly into the environment and everything will fix itself.

If we weren’t wasting money and energy flogging CO2, perhaps some enterprising person could develop a ship to “Mine” the plastic soup, and convert it back to the fossil fuel it was made from. Unfortunately that would emit CO2 so it will not happen, but the technology already exists to convert that plastic to fuel.
None of us here”deny” that there are huge pollution problems! In fact many of us are extremely offended by that sort of situation, and would prefer to focus world resources on cleaning that sort of mess up, rather than making an even bigger mess through poor allocation or resources and funding to solve a non-existent problem, invented by scam artists to line their own pockets with our tax money.
The assumption implicit in your comment is that because we do not believe AGW is a significant issue and that we believe the science on that subject is appallingly bad, that we also do not believe all other environmental issues are bogus.
That is not only false but is insulting! You really need to understand that a skeptical view of AGW has absolutely nothing to do with other pollution issues.
Many on this forum are ardent supporters of a clean environment, the only issue we have is we insist on intelligent action, based on good science, that actually solves the problems rather than feel good solutions that sound good but are based on crappy research, which will likely cause more harm than good and are really a screen for another agenda.
Larry

Mike from Canmore
October 20, 2009 7:16 am

Let me jump on the Sue bandwagon:
She’s an excellent example of what Konrad was pointing out. Instead focusing on what is really wrong with her red oaks, she jumps to the AGW/CO2 bandwagon and turns to gov’t to solve her problem. Meanwhile, the real problem, goes undiscovered, (except by perhaps Tim) and continues to manifest itself. Sue refuses to listen to Tim because, it is in all the papers and all the experts say it is Global Warming and Tim is in the pay of big oil. After all, his detractors said so. Sue ends up not enjoying her red oaks because they die. Don’t worry Sue, more than likely the only thing that may save your trees, is DDT and it is banned too. (other than the last line and Tim being in the pay of big oil, I’m serious)
Regarding the magnolia, Sue gets to enjoy her magnolia for 6 more months longer than “normal” and this is bad?!?. Pretty soon, it will be sprouting it’s spring leaves 12 months earlier than normal.
This is one possible scenario we’re setting ourselves up for:
1. The public focuses on the false pretense,
2. Regulatory bodies establish regulations to fund the “problem” solvers
3. Real problems, operating behind the scenes continue to go unnoticed by a few
4. The public finally realizes what a colossal waste of money the money for solutions are (this step is has the weakest potential for realization)
5. Real environmentalists are tainted with the bad apple
6. Real environmental problems continue to fester
7. The funding of the “problem” solvers never goes away.
8. Amazingly, they need more money from the public to “solve” other, this time we really mean it, problems.
John Galt: Is the name a reference? If so, I like it.

Bruce Cobb
October 20, 2009 7:36 am

Rob Vermeulen: DDT seems logical, at least. The point, which you obviously missed is that, as usual, they automatically jump to the conclusion that the cause of some as-yet undiscovered phenomenon is their favorite bogeyman, manmade warming/climate change. It doesn’t even occur to them to ask if it might be something else, because of their belief in AGW/CC. Their Belief clouds their judgement, their rationality, and is a destroyer of both science and the truth.
It is the AGWers, actually, who are the desperate ones, sadly and desperately clinging to a Belief which is falling apart.

R Pearse
October 20, 2009 7:36 am

Peter aked: IF this lake is near a town, did anyone investigate whether the area was sprayed with DDT during it’s heyday to control mosquito populations. When I was a kid aerial spraying for insect control was common, and my area had nothing like the insect problem the far north has.
I can’t speak for this area, having only spent summer months around James Bay in spring and summer, but I remember extensive aerial spraying in and around Moosonee (as well as Timmins, Cochrane, etc.) to fight all manner of aerial beasts (moose flys, black flies, mosquitos, you name it) that blanketed the area. Spraying was intense over the many lakes and bogs around the towns in the late 60s as I recall.

hunter
October 20, 2009 7:39 am

Rob Vermeulen,
The point is not whether the skeptics know there is or is not DDT involved in the midge population.
The point is that the AGW promoters have not excluded other, reasonable, variables.
The skeptic job is to point out wekanesses in a scientific study.
The researcher’s job is to deal with weaknesses.
At least in real science.
Briffa’s strategy, in dealing with the weaknesses of his tree ring proxy based hockey sticks, was to simply hide the data. that kept him from having to defend the wrongness of his techniques, his use of the data, and his conclusion for ten years. Perhaps the Baffin island study should emulate that tactic as well?
Is AGW real science?

October 20, 2009 7:56 am

Arctic region is not homogeneous. It is a very complex one. In a simple manner, we can say that the Central Arctic (including North Greenland) export cold air and the surroundings import warm (moist). This is the atmospheric circulation general due the temperature gradient between poles and tropics. So, Baffin Island is located in the surroundings that are warming like the Barents Sea. If the study were made in the Central Arctic the conclusions were completely different.

Robinson
October 20, 2009 7:58 am

To summarize: you have absolutely no idea whether ddt could or not be involved, due to a supposed diffusion of ddt all over the world, but nevertheless prefer to blame observations on that than admit it could be due to AGW? Is your position so desperate? Have you even tried to evaluate the amount of ddt that was released?

Well, Rob makes a good point (that has been answered I think). The first thing that came into my head, Rob, is that I don’t trust a single figure in any of the AGW’ers papers any more, especially when they attempt to link `whatever’ study with man-made CO2. Call it a severe loss in my trust of the integrity of the Scientific Process. But anyway, Scientists are supposed to be sceptics, so criticism is all good. It’s just a shame that the criticism isn’t happening in the journals any more.

DJ Meredith
October 20, 2009 8:01 am

Seems like a perfect place to prove the existence of the MWP.
Does the midge population profile support it?

Douglas DC
October 20, 2009 8:16 am

When I read that article a light went of in my head! DDT! Which is still useful,but it will save too many dark skinned people,so it is evil.When I continued further, there it was:DDT! great post, Anthony…
Back in my undergrad days I wrote a paper on the control of certain insect species
with DDT-and there are still people who won’t talk to me 40 years later….

October 20, 2009 8:27 am

Had those idi*ts check arctic temperature station records, maybe they should had been surprised that temperatures in 40ties was the same as today.
Northern Siberia:
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/gistemp_station.py?id=222206740006&data_set=1&num_neighbors=5