By Joseph D’Aleo, CCM, ICECAP
May has been frigid slowing the planting and emergence of the summer crops in Canada. Late freezes and even snows are still occurring regularly and can be expected the rest of the month.
See larger image here.
The chart above shows the May 2009 temperature anomaly through May 24th. Parts of central Canada (Churchill, Manitoba) are running 16 degrees F below normal for the month through the 26th (map ends 24th). Every day this month has seen lows below freezing in Churchill and only 6 out of the first 26 days days had highs edge above freezing. The forecast the rest of the month is for more cold with even some snow today in Churchill and again this weekend perhaps further south.
Hudson Bay remains mostly frozen though most of the seasonal melting occurs in June and July most years.
Parts of the south central region were also cold in April averaging 3-5 F below normal. The winter (December to March) was a cold one for southwest and central Canada but warmer in the far northeast.
See larger image here.
Meanwhile the arctic ice remains higher this data for any year this decade in a virtual tie with 2004.
See larger image here.
Given the polar stratospheric aerosols from Mt Redoubt, and a colder Atlantic and a continued cold Pacific, the recovery from the minimum of 2007 should continue this season.
The global data bases have large gaps in Canada, Africa, South America. So they will not reflect this in their global May anomalies as well as the satellites that see the entire surface – land and ocean excluding high latitude polar.
See pdf here.
May has been frigid slowing the planting and emergence of the summer crops in Canada. Late freezes and even snows are still occurring regularly and can be expected the rest of the month.
See larger image here.
The chart above shows the May 2009 temperature anomaly through May 24th. Parts of central Canada (Churchill, Manitoba) are running 16 degrees F below normal for the month through the 26th (map ends 24th). Every day this month has seen lows below freezing in Churchill and only 6 out of the first 26 days days had highs edge above freezing. The forecast the rest of the month is for more cold with even some snow today in Churchill and again this weekend perhaps further south.
Hudson Bay remains mostly frozen though most of the seasonal melting occurs in June and July most years.
Parts of the south central region were also cold in April averaging 3-5 F below normal. The winter (December to March) was a cold one for southwest and central Canada but warmer in the far northeast.
See larger image here.
Meanwhile the arctic ice remains higher this data for any year this decade in a virtual tie with 2004.
See larger image here.
Given the polar stratospheric aerosols from Mt Redoubt, and a colder Atlantic and a continued cold Pacific, the recovery from the minimum of 2007 should continue this season.
The global data bases have large gaps in Canada, Africa, South America. So they will not reflect this in their global May anomalies as well as the satellites that see the entire surface – land and ocean excluding high latitude polar.
See pdf here. H/T Climate Depot and Andy for the heads up
Canada Has a Frigid May after a Cold Winter By Joseph D’Aleo
May has been frigid slowing the planting and emergence of the summer crops in Canada. Late freezes and even snows are still occurring regularly and can be expected the rest of the month.
See larger image here.
The chart above shows the May 2009 temperature anomaly through May 24th. Parts of central Canada (Churchill, Manitoba) are running 16 degrees F below normal for the month through the 26th (map ends 24th). Every day this month has seen lows below freezing in Churchill and only 6 out of the first 26 days days had highs edge above freezing. The forecast the rest of the month is for more cold with even some snow today in Churchill and again this weekend perhaps further south.
Hudson Bay remains mostly frozen though most of the seasonal melting occurs in June and July most years.
Parts of the south central region were also cold in April averaging 3-5 F below normal. The winter (December to March) was a cold one for southwest and central Canada but warmer in the far northeast.
See larger image here.
Meanwhile the arctic ice remains higher this data for any year this decade in a virtual tie with 2004.
See larger image here.
Given the polar stratospheric aerosols from Mt Redoubt, and a colder Atlantic and a continued cold Pacific, the recovery from the minimum of 2007 should continue this season.
The global data bases have large gaps in Canada, Africa, South America. So they will not reflect this in their global May anomalies as well as the satellites that see the entire surface – land and ocean excluding high latitude polar.
See pdf here. H/T Climate Depot and Andy for the heads up.
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“”E.M.Smith (01:26:58) : What’s undeniable is crops. They are being planted late, not sprouting due to cold soils, and not setting fruit. Grain prices show it isn’t a local isolated thing.””
I have many friends in the Philippines. Life is already hard enought there. If food prices go higher I don’t know what they will do.
“”The Diatribe Guy (08:31:39) : “”
You’re not alone. See:
http://www.heartland.org/bin/media/newyork09/PowerPoint/Piers_Corbyn.ppt#260,1,Slide 1
“”” Miles (14:21:24) :
E.M. – I’m eternally grateful that you didn’t mention rice and beer in the same sentence. “””
Me too ; so why the hell did you ?
George
I pity all those Northern transplants that thought it would be a good idea to plant a vineyard in Minnesota. Or North Dakota, or even Canada. I would buy futures in spring wheat, which does not do so well in cold weather. However, winter red is also a good bet. Winter red makes the best bread. But it requires more time. You plant it one year, and it grows the next, so to speak.
On the other hand, if all those Minnesotians learned how to make dandelion wine, they would do okay. Dandelions grow in cold weather and have been known to peek through late snows. And there is NOTHIN better than wilted dandelion salad with a fresh pan fried trout. Put some eggs in boiling water. Cook bacon. Use part of the bacon grease to smother a dandelion salad with the hard boiled eggs. Add crumbled bacon. Meanwhile with remaining grease pan fry a fresh caught trout. Wash down with beer. No need to wash fry pan. Let cool slightly and then lick it clean.
Pamela please stop your incessant flirting. It’s driving me loony.
jeez I was about the respond that I wasn’t. Then I re-read my post. Oops. My bad. I actually got the last part of that sentence from a cookbook I have called “Bitchen in the Kitchen”. It is a very good (and outrageous) cookbook for women who suffer from PMS. It recommends never washing the cooking utensils. You just lick them clean or throw them away. It was an innocent semi-quote. But since there is no edit function on WUWT, it will have to stand the way it is. wink wink
Do you believe the nonsense NASA is involved in?
They have awarded a Chicaco Botanic Garden with a money award.
Why? Because this Garden promotes AGW BS.
http://www.chicagobotanic.org/research/awards/nasa_award.php
Ron de Haan (18:40:07) :
When will this end? Maybe we are stuck with AGW for a 1000 years!
But maybe I’m just in a bad mood. Or maybe I’m being realistic.
Pamela Gray (06:32:15) :
Many people here initially swore up and down that the Sun was the cause of the variation.
…remains a stubborn student, like several who believe in the Sun as the source of these temperature pattern variations
Nice straw men, Pam. So, was the Little Ice Age merely a case of your “temperature pattern variations”?
The sun certainly plays a big part in climate (I don’t believe anyone has ever said it was THE cause of climate change, let alone some “temperature pattern variations”).
However, from what I have learned, our climate is an extremely complex system, with both short and long-term cycles, and varying factors, the two biggest of which most likely are the oceans and the sun, but then of course there are also the Milankovitch cycles.
I have just finished reading Unstoppable (Every 1,500 Years) Global Warming, by Fred Singer and Dennis Avery, and highly recommend it.
Bruce Cobb.
Whatever the Little Ice Age was, it wasn’t anthropogenic.
Neither were the Big Ice Ages anthropogenic.
Neither is Al Gore’s Global Warming anthropogenic.
Neither is the Global Cooling we have seen since 1998…
For those who haven’t noticed, there’s a big huge fiery ball (which is a LOT bigger than we are) a mere 93 million miles away from us. The forementioned big fiery ball appears to be entering a very quiet period…
(I’ll tell you what is anthropogenic though – runaway population growth.)
To Ron De Haan,
Maybe the ladies in the Chicago Botanical Garden will serve the same educational purpose as the Catlin Artic Survey. With the PDO in the cold phase and nothern tier of states and Canada like to see a continuation of colder winters, there is a lot they will be able to demonstrate about climate change.
Here is a test. Come up with all the variations of the Sun’s testable output (every thing: plasma, solar wind (or rather Universe Wind), heat, whatever) and put it into its known calculations in terms of what it is measured at when the stuff reaches planet Earth. Then tell me what the Sun has to do to increase or decrease its affect on Earth’s temperature to match the variations. This stuff is known already so it will just take some study on your part. You won’t need to come up with anything new. You will see that in nearly all cases, you have to MOVE THE SUN CLOSER to the Earth, or the other way around, to get the temperature variation you see in short and long time scales. No straw man here. Bottom line: The Sun is not the driver of the variation. What up or down direction it has the potential to cause is buried in the temperature measurement error.
good one George, you got me 🙂
Pamela says:
The Sun is not the driver of the variation.
Another straw man, Pam? Tsk Tsk! I didn’t say the sun was THE driver of the variation, did I?
As you well know, the exact mechanisms for the suns effect on climate change are not yet known, but the hypothesis is that small variations in TSI are amplified by two factors, at least: 1) cosmic rays creating low, cooling clouds, and 2) solar-driven ozone changes in the stratosphere.
The Maunder Minimum didn’t “just happen” to occur during the LIA.
Jimmy Haigh (10:47:36) :
Bruce Cobb (17:03:30) :
You might like this :
“Blackfeet Indians predict the return of ‘many glaciers’ to Glacier Park”
http://cdapress.com/articles/2009/05/23/columns/columns06.txt
Just to stick my two cents worth in on the whole;” sun is the driver or not” deal, I wondered if any of you had taken a look at the work by Henrick Svensmark and the influence of Cosmic Rays. I think he has got something very interesting to say and it ties in nicely with a decrease in sunspot activity and an increase in cloud cover and therefore cooling of the Earth.
Just Want Truth: Great link, thanks. I believe the Indians have a wisdom and knowledge we would do well to listen to. If anyone would know about the natural climate cycles, they would. How they must laugh at, and pity the poor brainless Alarmists running around screaming “the sky is falling, and we’re to blame!”
I look forward to reading next weeks’ “The History of the Manmade Global Warming Hoax.”
Australian Aborigines have a long oral history, what would Australian climate history be like?
Pamela Gray said:
“Bottom line: The Sun is not the driver of the variation. What up or down direction it has the potential to cause is buried in the temperature measurement error.”
And GM could never go bankrupt. It’s in the margins and crossing that line.
The sun has everything to do with the Earth’s surface temperature. The cosmic comedy of it all is maybe in ten to fifteen years after we are well into the present ‘Grand Minimum’ and ‘relatively’ freezing our behinds off we will get some research money to understand how the physical world works instead of how to misuse modelling techniques and computing hardware.
There are endless discussions about what TSI is and isn’t and oddly enough Milankovitch is almost universally accepted but Jose/Landscheidt/Maunder et al are not.
Another curious thing is how it can be science to backward extrapolate the output of flawed models the physical characteristics of a trace gas making it magical violating well established ‘laws’ of Physics. All that computing power and you could stare at a pop bottle warming to room temperature and explain most of what we are observing in our partial pressure experience.
Lief and Pamela will have to get their pencils out very soon (a decades not that long) and explain to us why its so damn cold.
Todays SC24 sunspots observed from my back garden with C8 telescope, Baader solar filter and webcam.
http://arnholm.org/astro/sun/sc24/sun_20090531_anim1.gif
The little spot appeared to disappear more and more over an hour of observation.
Having lived on the warm West coast of Canada for 19 years, I have consistently employed a simple but effective technique to help develop my understanding of “global” warming: it was COLD in the winter the first few years, then started to WARM (Trout Lake in Vancouver, for example, could be skated on the first few winters I was here; plenty of snow days – mid-1990s to early 2000s that began to change away) for some years; now it is getting COLD again.
The last few winters here have been brutal: lots of snow to the point of it building up and compacting into ice on the roads for weeks at a time, conditions not unlike the Prairies where I grew up though certainly not as long-lived or as cold. Commuter buses and trains shutting down due to inability to cope with ice and snow. Late, late Springs as noted.
In brief then: we had a several-years period of warmer weather, during which the hysteria and consequent cash-generating machinery of “global” warming was ramped up full steam; now the weather is getting distinctly colder again. The hysteria hasn’t abated though, nor should any of expect it to: it is far and away the greatest gravy train in human history, one our great-grandchildren can expect to be paying for as they curse our lack of courage and gullibility.
Another sign that global warming in Canada is warmer than expected?
http://www.nugget.ca/ArticleDisplay.aspx?e=1325062
I apologize for the wrong posting above for North Bay. There was snow in Northern Ontario this past weekend according to our weather report, but this is all that I could find on the internet to confirm. Maybe other bloggers can confirm as well.
http://www.theweathernetwork.com/snow/snowon
Unusual clouds and snow showers in Sudbury on Sunday am.
http://www.thesudburystar.com/ArticleDisplay.aspx?e=1591899
“Sandy (12:17:06) :
Australian Aborigines have a long oral history, what would Australian climate history be like?”
Too bad some of the billions going to co2 studies couldn’t be diverted to this!!
Bruce Cobb (17:03:30) :
len (14:22:53) :
This has been posted in some other threads here and you may have seen it already. It very interesting and fascinating to watch.
“The Cloud Mystery”
http://www.thecloudmystery.com/Home.html
5 part YouTube series