Many WUWT readers have heard about this:
UPDATE: Video report on the DC snow here h/t to Stefan P
Here is my IntelliWeather Monday and hour by hour forecast for Washington, DC.
WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST MONDAY
Includes the Counties: District Of Columbia, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria
Includes the cities: Washington, Alexandria, Falls Church
Tonight…Snow. Snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches. Brisk with lows in the lower 20s. North winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent.
Monday…Cloudy. Snow likely in the morning…Then a chance of snow in the afternoon. Additional snow accumulation around an inch. Total snow accumulation 7 to 8 inches. Brisk with highs in the mid 20s. Northwest winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Chance of snow 70 percent.
Hour by Hour, as of 4:30PM EST Sunday. Click for full sized image
By the time Partly Cloudy skies appear about 3PM Monday, there will be about 4-8″ of snow on the ground in DC.
Plus, in New York City, where Jim Hansen would likely depart from, they also have a Winter Storm Warning in effect to 6PM Monday with forecast of:
WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY
Includes the Counties: Hudson, New York (Manhattan), Bronx, Richmond (Staten Island), Kings (Brooklyn), Queens Tonight…Snow developing this evening…Heavy at Times. Snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches. Windy with lows in the mid 20s. North winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent.
Monday…Snow in the morning…Then snow likely in the afternoon. Snow May be heavy at Times in the morning. Total snow accumulation of 8 to 12 inches. Windy. Near steady temperature in the mid 20s. North winds 20 to 30 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent.
If Hansen hasn’t left NYC already, I’d say it is doubtful he’ll even make the protest given it is a Monday, and Monday’s are usually pretty bad commutes even without bad weather. Looks like it is going to be a…
More on the DC weather story form Justin Berk, Baltimore Weather Examiner
I interrupt the snowstorm updates to bring you this pressing issue. Monday, March 2nd 2009 is the date for a scheduled protest by Capitol Climate Action (CCA).
Heavy snow expected at the Nation’s Capitol on Monday
Their website labels it:
Mass civil disobedience at the coal fired power plant in Washington, DC
CCA claims this will be the largest mass civil disobedience for the climate in US history. There is actually a request to wear dress clothes. That seems odd. Is this a target to get young Americans in a vogue protest?
My forecast from this morning can be found here (I will have a new update by this evening). If you go just by the NWS forecast, then snow will range between 5-10 inches with wind gusts over 30 mph. The snowstorm forecast is ironic not only because it falls on the date of this protest, but also because it is a late season event. The normal high for the date in Washington, DC is 51F. What would be worse: Keep the protest on in the snowstorm, or cancel it because of the snowstorm?
The infamous Dr. James Hansen should be there leading the charge. My post last week about 2008 being the coldest year this decade included a reference to Hansen. I wrote, “This is the same man who turned off the air conditioning in the Capitol while speaking about Global Warming on a hot day in 1988.” I also mentioned his exposure of bad data for Russia just this past October. He used September data (a statistically warmer month) in place of cooler October data. This skewed the temperatures upward.
I don’t knock him for his extreme beliefs, but I do disagree with the questionable tactics he uses to get his message across. According to Fox News , he is in hot water since he works for NASA, yet is helping to organize a protest.
It seems like the Climate Crew has had some trouble getting their messages across. It’s almost as if mixed signals are coordinated by nature itself. Marc Marano, Communications Director for the GOP on the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee (EPW) sent out a list of events that seem to follow the Gore Effect. This was labeled by Politico.com as:
The so-called Gore Effect happens when a global warming-related event, or appearance by the former vice president and climate change crusader, Al Gore, is marked by exceedingly cold weather or unseasonably winter weather.
Check out this list courtesy of Marc Marano:
Note: The “Gore Effect” has a long and storied history. What follows is a sampling of how Mother Nature enjoys mocking global warming fear promoters.
1) First October snow since 1922 blankets London as global warming bill debated – October 2008
3) HOUSE HEARING ON ‘WARMING OF THE PLANET’ CANCELED AFTER SNOW/ICE STORM – February 2007
4) NOT AGAIN! DC ‘Snow Advisory’ Issued on Day of Congressional Global Warming Hearing – March 2007
5) Gore decries ‘global warming’ in bitterly cold NYC – December 2006
9) Global warming protest in Maryland frosted with snow – January 2008
10) Global warming rally in the snow – April 2007
11) Snow won’t dampen global-warming rallies – April 2007
13) Global Warming Awareness Walk Braves Snow Storm – March 2007
14) The Gore Effect, Cont. – Gore speaks in Italy during ‘rare’ cold and snow
15) Tracking ‘The Gore Effect’ – Politico November 26,6, 2008
16) Climate protest cancelled ‘due to rain and cold’ – Nov. 23, 2008
OT: Science News for 28Feb09 has a lengthy piece on the threat of ‘global warming’ to the islands of The Maldives in the Pacific. While admitting that estimates of sea-level rise are many and varied, like so many articles on the presumed consequences of AGW, this one assumes the self-evident truth of AGW, and is unafraid to confuse ‘weather’ with ‘climate’:
“. . . experts believe that greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide in the atmosphere may already be making a worldwide environmental impact, contributing to more severe storms, drought, fire and ocean warming.”
and is unabashedly alarmist:
“R.K. Pachauri, who chairs the Nobel Prize–winning Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, warned in December at a United Nations climate conference in Poznan, Poland, that inaction would allow continuing and unabated rises in air and ocean temperatures that could lead to an ‘abrupt and irreversible change’ in the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets — and, as a result, a possible sea level rise of several meters.”
The author, “Cristine Russell is a freelance science writer and senior fellow at the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School.” She concludes,
“Growing greenhouse gas emissions may threaten the future of these irreplaceable environmental treasures, as well as that of other tropical atolls. Their fates hang on whether the international community has the political will to push through tough climate controls and, if so, whether these actions will be sufficient to save vulnerable low-lying islands and coastal areas from encroaching ocean waters.”
thus turning an ostensibly ‘objective’ piece into a piece of political propaganda.
Here’s the link: http://www.sciencenews.org/view/feature/id/40789/title/First_wave
Did I read somewhere that the problem is not that the sea is rising, but that these islands are sinking? In any event, the article is a good illustration of how even the ‘science press’ have fallen hook, line, and sinker for the AGW litany, never questioning the underlying hypotheses.
Might be good for a full post by Anthony. Perhaps some of the bona fide scientists here might see fit to let Science News know how far they have strayed from objectivity.
Apologies for the interruption. Now back to your regularly-scheduled discussion. Remember, an ‘extreme weather event’ like a blizzard in Washington D.C. on March 2nd is only ‘weather’, not ‘climate’.
/Mr Lynn
All islands erode, but in this case you’re referring to the Maldives. When someone went there and examined the islands, they found that sea level actually declined there several decades ago.
I don’t think James Hansen is going to be there in person. I think there is going to be live video of him, and also Susan Sarandon.
JimBob (18:41:13) :
“… and at least one lawmaker…”
Who is the politician? Did the report say?
Paddy, a challenge to AGW on the grounds that it is a religion would be interesting. Although, I have no idea what constitutes a religion for the purposes of the US constitution.
BTW, there is a long history of dubious or even fraudulent science being used to support religious and political ideologies (often there isn’t much of a difference). Scientology, Lysenkoism and Stalin, and Eugenics and Hitler come to mind as examples.
Nick (15:05:17): “Is it just me? Over the past few years I have read many, many, blog comments and I have noticed that alarmists seem to share a common feature, that being no sense of humor whatsoever. They really are a dour lot.”
I suggest we give the AGW-alarmists a break. After all, when in the middle of a fire and brimstone sermon about the coming end of the world and the wickedness of mankind, it’s hard to see the humor when one of the very people you are trying to save expresses doubt, or worse, laughs.
The Capitol Climate Action site promises live blogging tomorrow. This could be fun!
http://www.capitolclimateaction.org/
Praise’d be the sky god!!!
I agree that humor, with truth, and a very light hint of ridicule, is a potent weapon against pompous bullies. It’s pretty difficult to preach and coerce when your audience is laughing at you.
More and more people are starting to realize that the emperor is as naked as a jaybird. When the laughter begins, the end of the deception will be at hand.
Alan Caruba, known for short and to the point comments, also writes about the demonstration.
http://factsnotfantasy.blogspot.com/2009/03/green-civil-disobedience-in-dc.html
In a response to one of his readers Alan states:
Alan Caruba said…
“The irony, as I write this late Sunday evening, is that the event might have to be called off due to the BLIZZARD about to hit D.C”.
“The tragedy is that these people don’t care that what they say and do makes any sense at all. They’re crazy and want everyone else to be crazy too”.
I like this guy.
“…They’re crazy and want everyone else to be crazy too.”
The great Roman emperor Marcus Aurelius’ dictum bears repeating:
@crosspatch (14:30:23) :
OK, that’s one set of “mutually contradictory things,” now we just need six more, and… oh, wait, that’s what THEY believe, not what WE do. Oh, well, I guess thingsbreak (14:10:25) is probably indulging in a little “psychological projection.”
And that protest poster Hansen’s using? That’s similar to those of revolutionary Russia,
http://hoohila.stanford.edu/books/img/poster_book.jpg
…as well as those of the 60’s, man.
http://i4.ebayimg.com/06/i/001/2e/5c/619b_1.JPG
http://www.zombietime.com/prairie_fire/pfcoverbig.jpg
I wonder if he had a little help from community disorganiser William Ayers on this?
manacker (15:44:12) :
great post.
thank you.
I fear we are fast becoming an idiocracy.
Consider that Andrew Jackson was elected by a landslide. There is nothing new under the sun.
Elected twice.
Take a look at the list of ‘endorsers’, groups and individuals:
http://www.capitolclimateaction.org/?page_id=9
This has gone WAY beyond science!
/Mr Lynn
“MIT scientists baffled by global warming theory, contradicts scientific data”
http://www.tgdaily.com/html_tmp/content-view-39973-113-text.html
“Boston (MA) – Scientists at MIT have recorded a nearly simultaneous world-wide increase in methane levels. This is the first increase in ten years, and what baffles science is that this data contradicts theories stating man is the primary source of increase for this greenhouse gas. It takes about one full year for gases generated in the highly industrial northern hemisphere to cycle through and reach the southern hemisphere. However, since all worldwide levels rose simultaneously throughout the same year, it is now believed this may be part of a natural cycle in mother nature – and not the direct result of man’s contributions.
Yep, the science is “settled” all right.
this, and my last, are blasts from past issues of John Ray’s “greeniew watch”
http://antigreen.blogspot.com/2008_10_01_archive.html
CALLING THE WEST’S GREEN BLUFF
“An email from Richard S. Lindzen [rlindzen@MIT.EDU], Alfred P. Sloan Professor of Atmospheric Sciences, MIT, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA
The developing world early realized that carbon control was a ploy to constrain their development into meaningful competitors. Now they are matching the cynicism of the developed world.
Rajendra Pachauri simultaneously helped prepare a climate report for the Government of India that argues that climate change will not be a problem for India, while, as head of the IPCC, he preaches that climate change will bring doom and disaster to the rest of the world, and urges the west to become vegetarian. Somehow, the cynicism seems remarkably clear to many – even if the Nobel Peace Prize Committee fails to notice it.”
E.M.Smith (16:28:29
Great comment especially on how pseudonyms are used
“January Warmer Than Average for U.S.
Temperatures for the contiguous United States last month were slightly above the long-term average, based on records going back to 1895, according to a preliminary analysis by scientists at NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, N.C. ”
That translates to, “DAMN, was that a freakin’ cold-ass January compared with recent years, or what?”
And now,
It’s very clear.
We’ve moved onto the next phase of evolution.
“Survival of the smartest”.
The “Gore Effect” is proof,
Mother Nature is pruning out,
The dumbest of the gene pool,
For want of common sense
And rational thinking.
The skeptics shall inherit the Earth.
Viva Darwin !
HasItBeen4YearsYet? (20:35:39) :
@crosspatch (14:30:23) :
OK, that’s one set of “mutually contradictory things,” now we just need six more, and… oh, wait, that’s what THEY believe, not what WE do. Oh, well, I guess thingsbreak (14:10:25) is probably indulging in a little “psychological projection.”
And that protest poster Hansen’s using? That’s similar to those of revolutionary Russia,
http://hoohila.stanford.edu/books/img/poster_book.jpg
…as well as those of the 60’s, man.
http://i4.ebayimg.com/06/i/001/2e/5c/619b_1.JPG
http://www.zombietime.com/prairie_fire/pfcoverbig.jpg
“I wonder if he had a little help from community disorganiser William Ayers on this?”
Yes, he had. It came via an endorsement of his demonstration by Nancy Pelosy.
How about we demand that the Capitol Power Plant be shut down and the Capitol receive power from the Cape Cod wind farm and no other source.
@Kirk W. Hanneman (18:43:11) :
“Snowing right now here in Fairfax, VA…although not sticking to the roads yet. Perhaps they can get to the protest but it will be a white background for the cameras.”
Maybe they can get some of those plastic flowers, and stick them in the snow banks so the MSM photographers will have the illusion of an early spring?
“I can’t understand why there aren’t rings of young people blocking bulldozers and preventing them from constructing coal-fired power plants.”
– Al Gore
http://www.capitolclimateaction.org/?page_id=143