Many WUWT readers have heard about this:
UPDATE: Video report on the DC snow here h/t to Stefan P
Here is my IntelliWeather Monday and hour by hour forecast for Washington, DC.
WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST MONDAY
Includes the Counties: District Of Columbia, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria
Includes the cities: Washington, Alexandria, Falls Church
Tonight…Snow. Snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches. Brisk with lows in the lower 20s. North winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent.
Monday…Cloudy. Snow likely in the morning…Then a chance of snow in the afternoon. Additional snow accumulation around an inch. Total snow accumulation 7 to 8 inches. Brisk with highs in the mid 20s. Northwest winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Chance of snow 70 percent.
Hour by Hour, as of 4:30PM EST Sunday. Click for full sized image
By the time Partly Cloudy skies appear about 3PM Monday, there will be about 4-8″ of snow on the ground in DC.
Plus, in New York City, where Jim Hansen would likely depart from, they also have a Winter Storm Warning in effect to 6PM Monday with forecast of:
WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY
Includes the Counties: Hudson, New York (Manhattan), Bronx, Richmond (Staten Island), Kings (Brooklyn), Queens Tonight…Snow developing this evening…Heavy at Times. Snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches. Windy with lows in the mid 20s. North winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent.
Monday…Snow in the morning…Then snow likely in the afternoon. Snow May be heavy at Times in the morning. Total snow accumulation of 8 to 12 inches. Windy. Near steady temperature in the mid 20s. North winds 20 to 30 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent.
If Hansen hasn’t left NYC already, I’d say it is doubtful he’ll even make the protest given it is a Monday, and Monday’s are usually pretty bad commutes even without bad weather. Looks like it is going to be a…
More on the DC weather story form Justin Berk, Baltimore Weather Examiner
I interrupt the snowstorm updates to bring you this pressing issue. Monday, March 2nd 2009 is the date for a scheduled protest by Capitol Climate Action (CCA).
Heavy snow expected at the Nation’s Capitol on Monday
Their website labels it:
Mass civil disobedience at the coal fired power plant in Washington, DC
CCA claims this will be the largest mass civil disobedience for the climate in US history. There is actually a request to wear dress clothes. That seems odd. Is this a target to get young Americans in a vogue protest?
My forecast from this morning can be found here (I will have a new update by this evening). If you go just by the NWS forecast, then snow will range between 5-10 inches with wind gusts over 30 mph. The snowstorm forecast is ironic not only because it falls on the date of this protest, but also because it is a late season event. The normal high for the date in Washington, DC is 51F. What would be worse: Keep the protest on in the snowstorm, or cancel it because of the snowstorm?
The infamous Dr. James Hansen should be there leading the charge. My post last week about 2008 being the coldest year this decade included a reference to Hansen. I wrote, “This is the same man who turned off the air conditioning in the Capitol while speaking about Global Warming on a hot day in 1988.” I also mentioned his exposure of bad data for Russia just this past October. He used September data (a statistically warmer month) in place of cooler October data. This skewed the temperatures upward.
I don’t knock him for his extreme beliefs, but I do disagree with the questionable tactics he uses to get his message across. According to Fox News , he is in hot water since he works for NASA, yet is helping to organize a protest.
It seems like the Climate Crew has had some trouble getting their messages across. It’s almost as if mixed signals are coordinated by nature itself. Marc Marano, Communications Director for the GOP on the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee (EPW) sent out a list of events that seem to follow the Gore Effect. This was labeled by Politico.com as:
The so-called Gore Effect happens when a global warming-related event, or appearance by the former vice president and climate change crusader, Al Gore, is marked by exceedingly cold weather or unseasonably winter weather.
Check out this list courtesy of Marc Marano:
Note: The “Gore Effect” has a long and storied history. What follows is a sampling of how Mother Nature enjoys mocking global warming fear promoters.
1) First October snow since 1922 blankets London as global warming bill debated – October 2008
3) HOUSE HEARING ON ‘WARMING OF THE PLANET’ CANCELED AFTER SNOW/ICE STORM – February 2007
4) NOT AGAIN! DC ‘Snow Advisory’ Issued on Day of Congressional Global Warming Hearing – March 2007
5) Gore decries ‘global warming’ in bitterly cold NYC – December 2006
9) Global warming protest in Maryland frosted with snow – January 2008
10) Global warming rally in the snow – April 2007
11) Snow won’t dampen global-warming rallies – April 2007
13) Global Warming Awareness Walk Braves Snow Storm – March 2007
14) The Gore Effect, Cont. – Gore speaks in Italy during ‘rare’ cold and snow
15) Tracking ‘The Gore Effect’ – Politico November 26,6, 2008
16) Climate protest cancelled ‘due to rain and cold’ – Nov. 23, 2008
Nick
“Is it just me? Over the past few years I have read many, many, blog comments and I have noticed that alarmists seem to share a common feature, that being no sense of humor whatsoever”
Nope- It’s not just you – Recent PRS (peer reviewed studies- myself and a few of me like-minded mates-that seems to be sufficient these days!) prove, beyond any need of debate, that an alarmist SOH (sense of humour) is inversely proportional to the sum of empirical evidence that concludes AGW is actually NAPWGUA (Not A Problem Worth Getting Upset About)
Scientifically and statistically, however, the most significant finding that my team and I have made is of the 94% correlation with the decibel levels of increasingly, ear-piercing, hysterical, ad-hominem attacks made by the warmist community on anyone who dares to question CCD (Current Climate Dogma) and the failure of computerised climate models to predict – er- JAE (just about everything)
As much as I and my team, would love to reveal my sources, script and data for the above 94% numeric alas, the dog ate it!
Bill McClure (15:36:08) : I guess this explains why so many posts sound the same same guy differnt ID ?
I noticed some of the same pattern. Posts that look like one guy trying to be two or three. It is far harder to hide choices of diction and style that folks would think. It’s almost as good as a fingerprint. ( I sometimes call them ‘mind prints’ though folks that frequently spend a lot of time together start to ‘sound’ alike. )
You also find a similar pattern of matches among the “Single female first name only, male-poser posting & language style, strong attitude vis AGW, only around for a week” set. I suspect someone, male, posing as a female to work the discrimination / guilt angle. But they get nowhere. I think the fact that everyone here is treated equally kind of spikes that attempt.
Skeptics don’t care who you are, they care what quality of thinking you have.
There is also a set that is either one person doing their own softball set-ups or two folks working together. Hard to tell without the forensic data, but the detail doesn’t really matter. What I find interesting is that none of those fingerprints happen on the skeptic IDs. Now it could just be that the skeptics are more comfortable, so feel no need; but I’m more inclined to think it is a more ‘formal’ attempt to corrupt or deflect the topic. The structure of the “softball deflected topic – skeptic reply – hardball 2nd poster push to hijack” keeps repeating. The “softball deflect” ID mutates every week or so, the hardball IDs are “the regular team”.
I don’t really care ( I find the process sharpens my skills, both in observation and in debate; so it helps me more than annoys ) but do enjoy watching the psychological aspects of it. Never really understood why some folks felt the need to practice from the side of deception.
(Other than in times of war. I have a wonderful book about the Camofleurs of WWII that is a marvel. On one occasion a few guys in sound trucks with inflatable tanks held off and then scared off an entire German army! I think it is:
http://www.amazon.com/Secret-Soldiers-Story-Heroic-Deception/dp/0525946640
)
Please note: This is not about the use of pseudonyms per se, it’s about what you do with them. I fully understand the risks of too much trackable data in public… I was a target for several decades as a security person.
Darn it -I missed the punch-line-
ATDAI- Alas the dog ate it!
Hansen appears to be totally clueless and not at all informed.
From Wiki:
“On February 28, 2009, Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid sent a letter to the Architect of the Capitol asking him to create a plan to switch the power plant entirely to natural gas by the end of 2009. This letter came just three days before the scheduled protest, which organizers said would happen anyway.”
(In the midst of a late season snowstorm…roflmao)
http://speaker.house.gov/blog/?p=1711
Glad to see the AGW hypothesis being falsified on many levels. However, I’m all for reducing pollution and toxins in our environment, which are the cause of many ills. The problem is that climate change is not caused by those things, so when AGW is thoroughly discredited, soon, in the eyes of the public it could discredit as well, the generally good idea of being more environmentally responsible.
Ultimately, people like Hansen and Gore are detrimental to the overall issue of cleaning up our messes.
Mike Monce
check out drsanity.blogspot.com She has an extensive backlog of posts that will answer your questions. She’s a practicing psychiatrist who once worked for NASA.
+++
Thanks for the link, Mike.
This is SCIENCE (from NOAA):
“January Warmer Than Average for U.S.
Temperatures for the contiguous United States last month were slightly above the long-term average, based on records going back to 1895, according to a preliminary analysis by scientists at NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, N.C. ”
What Al-GOREthms did they use? 🙂
In his testimony to the U.S. House of Representatives two years ago, James E. Hansen invoked the specter of an imminent man-made climate disaster for the environment, human civilization and the planet itself, predicting that “the Earth is close to dangerous climate change, to tipping points of the system with the potential for irreversible deleterious effects”.
In his testimony Hansen stated that the greatest threat to humanity is the likely demise of the West Antarctic ice sheet, concluding that “sea level rise this century may be measured in meters if we follow business-as-usual fossil fuel emissions.”
The most absurd part of Hansen’s testimony was:
“The dangerous level of CO2 is at most 450 ppm, and it is probably less.”
This statement is pure, unsubstantiated hyperbole without any scientific support. Today’s CO2 level, as measured at Mauna Loa, is 385 ppm by volume. The greenhouse hypothesis tells us that an increase to 450 ppm would result in a theoretical increase of global average temperature of 0.16 degrees C. This is much less of an increase than we experience in daily temperature swings, without reaching any “tipping point”.
In the past, Hansen has whined about being “muzzled” for his views, but he generates articles and other doomsday rhetoric on AGW at an alarming rate, including his latest “death train” rant.
Hansen is a US Government employee, paid by taxpayer money to provide a transparent and unbiased temperature record to the U.S. public, rather than moving away from his area of expertise and getting into politics and policy issues, much less making morality statements or getting involved in “mass civil disobedience” protests.
It’s hard to imagine that he is stupid enough not to realize how utterly absurd a “global warming protest” being held in a snowstorm looks to the world.
Hansen’s “tipping point” might best be described by the analogy of a dump truck loaded with manure. As the bed of the truck is tilted, at first nothing happens. Then a critical “tipping point” is reached, and the whole load of manure comes rushing out of the truck.
We are being inundated, not by the 6-meter waves from the breakup of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, but from the manure from Hansen’s dump truck.
Hot off the press –
Washington Region Braces for Winter Storm
Between 4-8 inches of snow forecast by morning, with up to 10 or more along and east of I-95; some say it could be the largest storm here in 3 years.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/
A primary requirement for a sense of humor is courage. The key to the world of humor is the courage to not take your fallible human self seriously.
Gore effect? IDTS. How about God effect?
Please keep us up to date with conditions, those of you who are in the path of the storm.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gore_Effect
“This page has been deleted.” “Patent nonsense”
E.M. Smith gets a blue ribbon for “Idiocracy,” a demented (socialistic) form of government within our Republic. The founders, I’m sure, feel the patriot’s pain.
Here you are
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gore_Effect
Please fill it out with detail, like the list of links in this article, and defend the page from deletion or complaints.
Gosh, made me shiver when I saw that ‘winter storm warning’. Have been living in Australia for the past 8 years and forgot all about them. Now I’m dealing with ‘extreme bushfire warnings’. Must admit, I’d trade you 100 winter storm warnings for one bushfire warning.
When will this AGW nonsense stop?
Oh, snap! Karma strikes again!
First the warmist satellite bites it in the antarctic, then the warmist Washington DC protest gets snowed out. . .
You can’t make up stuff like this!
Now all we need is some locusts. . .
“Philip_B (14:55:39) :
Ridicule may well be the most powerful weapon we have against the Warming Religion.”
No there is a better way.
The 1st Amendment states: “Congress shall make no law respecting establishment of religion, . . .” The mandates of the Bill of Rights (Amendments I through XI) have been imputed to all States by the 14th Amendment.
Whenever any proposed law dealing with AGW or premised upon that hypothesis is under consideration, opposition based upon violation of the establishment clause is appropriate. The absence of scientific proof indicates that AGW is based upon a belief system. Therefor, enactment of any such law involves the establishment of a religion.
Who says old lawyers can not be creative?
“Irreverence is the champion of liberty and its only sure defense.”
— Mark Twain,
I don’t really condone schadenfreude. Still, this is Hansenfroid-eh?
(Go on look it up;-)
http://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/froid
Adolfo Giurfa (16:33:37) :
“This is SCIENCE (from NOAA):
“January Warmer Than Average for U.S.
Temperatures for the contiguous United States last month were slightly above the long-term average, based on records going back to 1895, according to a preliminary analysis by scientists at NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, N.C. ”
What Al-GOREthms did they use? :)”
Their conclusion agrees with the data I’ve been tracking on heating degree days across the U.S. For January 2009, the total HDD were only 1.4 percent less than the 30 year average (1971 – 2000).
What NOAA did NOT say, though, is that January 2009 was 7.6 percent colder than January 2008, as measured by HDD for the U.S. As we have come to expect, they appear to be reporting only the information that supports their agenda.
NOAA’s headline could just as easily have been: “Contiguous U.S. January 2009 Colder than Last Year by Almost 8 Percent.”
Hansen’s ahead of us on this one; by calling this anthropogenic climate change instead of warming. Now all weather is proof that he is correct, apparently. Just don’t ask him what would disprove anthropogenic climate change. I wonder if he’s ever seriously asked himself?
What a joke this is all becoming. It’s too bad the greens will have their way for two to four years but I really do predict they are screwing themselves afterwards. If we end up getting some realistic clean energy technology out of the deal then there’s a silver lining; I just hope we don’t hamstring ourselves trying to implement what doesn’t nearly work yet.
The big question is: if this hysteria dies down over the next decade or two, what will replace it?
John H (15:46:36) :
Too true. I’ll stop being skeptical when AGW advocates start promoting less government as the solution to AGW. I doubt if anyone can find a proposal that does not involve a. regulation, b. taxation, c. socialization, or d. centralization.
I wonder what would happen if the plant operator shut the power off during their protest?
I would like to be there with a “CO2 is a free fertilizer, We need more of it” sign.
Excerpt: NASA’s chief climate scientist is in hot water with colleagues and at least one lawmaker after calling on citizens to engage in civil disobedience at what is being billed as the largest public protest of global warming ever in the United States. In a video on capitolclimateaction.org, Dr. James Hansen is seen urging Americans to “take a stand on global warming” during the March 2 protest at the Capitol Power Plant in Southeast Washington, D.C. “We need to send a message to Congress and the president that we want them to take the actions that are needed to preserve climate for young people and future generations and all life on the planet,” says Hansen, who has likened coal-fired power plants to “factories of death” and claims he was muzzled by the Bush administration when he warned of drastic climate changes. […] But critics say Hansen’s latest call to action blurs the line between astronomer and activist and may violate the Hatch Act, which prohibits federal employees from participating in partisan political activity. “Oh my goodness,” one of Hansen’s former supervisors, Dr. John Theon, told FOXNews.com when informed of the video. “I’m not surprised … The fact that Jim Hansen has gone off the deep end here is sad because he’s a good fellow.” “Why he has not been fired I do not understand,” Theon said.
Snowing right now here in Fairfax, VA…although not sticking to the roads yet. Perhaps they can get to the protest but it will be a white background for the cameras.