Ocean Acidification and Corals

Guest post by Steven Goddard
The BBC ran an article this week titled “Acid oceans ‘need urgent action” based on the premise:

The world’s marine ecosystems risk being severely damaged by ocean acidification unless there are dramatic cuts in CO2 emissions, warn scientists.

This sounds very alarming, so being diligent researchers we should of course check the facts.  The ocean currently has a pH of 8.1, which is alkaline not acid.  In order to become acid, it would have to drop below 7.0.  According to WikipediaBetween 1751 and 1994 surface ocean pH is estimated to have decreased from approximately 8.179 to 8.104.”  At that rate, it will take another 3,500 years for the ocean to become even slightly acid.  One also has to wonder how they measured the pH of the ocean to 4 decimal places in 1751, since the idea of pH wasn’t introduced until 1909.
The BBC article then asserts:

The researchers warn that ocean acidification, which they refer to as “the other CO2 problem”, could make most regions of the ocean inhospitable to coral reefs by 2050, if atmospheric CO2 levels continue to increase.

This does indeed sound alarming, until you consider that corals became common in the oceans during the Ordovician Era – nearly 500 million years ago – when atmospheric CO2 levels were about 10X greater than they are today. (One might also note in the graph below that there was an ice age during the late Ordovician and early Silurian with CO2 levels 10X higher than current levels, and the correlation between CO2 and temperature is essentially nil throughout the Phanerozoic.)

http://ff.org/centers/csspp/library/co2weekly/2005-08-18/dioxide_files/image002.gif

Perhaps corals are not so tough as they used to be?  In 1954, the US detonated the world’s largest nuclear weapon at Bikini Island in the South Pacific.  The bomb was equivalent to 30 billion pounds of TNT, vapourised three islands, and raised water temperatures to 55,000 degrees.  Yet half a century of rising CO2 later, the corals at Bikini are thriving.  Another drop in pH of 0.075 will likely have less impact on the corals than a thermonuclear blast.  The corals might even survive a rise in ocean temperatures of half a degree, since they flourished at times when the earth’s temperature was 10C higher than the present.

There seems to be no shortage of theories about how rising CO2 levels will destroy the planet, yet the geological record shows that life flourished for hundreds of millions of years with much higher CO2 levels and temperatures.  This is a primary reason why there are so many skeptics in the geological community.  At some point the theorists will have to start paying attention to empirical data.
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MartinGAtkins
February 2, 2009 8:48 am

“The declaration, supported by Prince Albert II of Monaco.”
I presume the good Prince will lead by example and ban the Grand Prix.

papertiger
February 2, 2009 8:50 am

http://www.publish.csiro.au/?act=view_file&file_id=MF99078.pdf
Climate change, coral bleaching and the future of the world™s coral reefs
Ove Hoegh-Guldberg
There you go Tim.

foinavon
February 2, 2009 9:01 am

Just to reinforce Eric’s account: Eric (07:35:24)
The oceans, much like our blood, are buffered by carbonic acid (H2CO3) -bicarbonate (HCO3-) – carbonate (CO3–) equilibria of the form:
CO2(aq) + H2O == H2CO3 == H+ + HCO3- == H+ + CO3–
where “==” denotes equilbrium dissociations.
The positions of the equilibria depend on the pH and the proton affinity of the acids (H+ donors) and bases (H+ acceptors). The latter can be defined by the pKa of each conjugate acid-base pair, which is equivalent to the pH at which there is equal amounts of the acid and base component of the conjugate pair. More quantitatively the concentration of any of the species can be easily determined using the equation (Henderson-Hasselbalch):
pH = pKa + log[base/acid]
so if the pKa for the bicarbonate – carbonate equilibrium is 9.1 in seawater (can’t remember the exact value) then at pH 8.1 the carbonate concentration is around 10% of the bicarbonate concentration. If the ocean pH drops by 0.3 pH units (say), the carbonate concentration drops to 5% of the bicarbonate concentration…and so on…
So it’s straightforward that acidification of the oceans results in a decrease in the concentration of carbonate even if the acidification is the result of enhanced CO2 in the oceans. Bicarbonate which is already in large excess as Eric stated, doesn’t change that much. The reduction in carbonate concentration is a problem for sea animals that “fix” CO2 in the form of carbonates to make shells, exostructures (corals) or skeletal parts.

Allen
February 2, 2009 9:10 am

Coral reefs in the Ordovician were of a 100% different composition, rugose corals, which are extinct. Modern corals (scleractinians) did not evolve until hundreds of millions of years later. They are not comparable in any way. Please get your facts straight before posting this nonsense.

pablo an ex pat
February 2, 2009 9:14 am

Eric
It looks as if the system of buffering works to nullify any significant impact of CO2 on pH. There maybe local effects that force the pH outside the norm but the oceans will naturally correct as they mix. And mix they do, consider as evidence the spread of the Tritium from the Pacific to the deep Atlantic.
Pushing the equation to the right means that extra Bicarbonate is being produced by the action of Carbonic Acid on Calcium Carbonate. As the supply of Calcium Carbonate vastly outstrips the available supply of CO2 so we’re safe for many many centuries, phew !
Oh my goodness, the planet has checks and balances already built in that prevent excursions. Wow. : )

MartinGAtkins
February 2, 2009 9:31 am

“Oceans May Soon Be More Corrosive Than When The Dinosaurs Died”

The last time the oceans endured such a drastic change in chemistry was 65 million years ago, at about the same time the dinosaurs went extinct. Though researchers do not yet know exactly what caused this ancient acidification,

The Chicxulub meteor must have been made of dry ice.

Steven Goddard
February 2, 2009 9:31 am

Neven,
As far as the “pace of change” goes, what pace are you referring to? Corals and shellfish are not exposed to the atmosphere, and are not directly impacted by changes in atmospheric CO2.
Reading through some of the literature people have posted about the modeled relationships between atmospheric CO2 and ocean pH, it would appear impossible for aragonite based shellfish and corals to have existed at most times in the past – yet they did. If people fail to consider the buffering of the ocean, they will probably reach some very poor conclusions.

MartinGAtkins
February 2, 2009 9:34 am

Oops!
Link to the last my post.
http://tinyurl.com/c55ta7

Steven Goddard
February 2, 2009 9:35 am

Allen,
You said “Coral reefs in the Ordovician were of a 100% different composition”
That is incorrect. They are all CaCO3 based and respond in the same way to pH. Chemistry has not changed.

HasItBeen4YearsYet?
February 2, 2009 9:59 am

“GLOBAL WARMING, FISH, AND SUNSPOTS””
There are cycles in the ocean, and like climate above the water that below the water is determined in part by the sun.
The warmeres don’t take those cycles into account, and hence misinterpret changes in things like fish population in a given area to “overfishing” when the fish have just moved temporarily.
Some sanity in the literature, this on in “Nature” in 2001,

Ecosystems: Reef corals bleach to survive change
Andrew C. Baker1
Top of page
Abstract
The bleaching of coral reefs, in which symbiotic algae are lost from reef-building invertebrates, is usually considered to be a drastic and damaging response to adverse environmental conditions1, 2. Here I report results from transplant experiments involving different combinations of coral host and algal symbiont that support an alternative view, in which bleaching offers a high-risk ecological opportunity for reef corals to rid themselves rapidly of suboptimal algae and to acquire new partners. This strategy could be an advantage to coral reefs that face increasingly frequent and severe episodes of mass bleaching as a result of projected climate chang

The BBC reports on the resilience of coral…

Coral springs back from tsunami
Scientists have reported a rapid recovery in some of the coral reefs that were damaged by the Indian Ocean tsunami four years ago.
It had been feared that some of the reefs off the coast of Indonesia could take a decade to recover.
The New York-based Wildlife Conservation Society (WCS) found evidence of rapid growth of young corals in badly-hit areas.

Funny, isn’t it, how those scientists who tell us they know everything keep getting blind-sided by reality.

Richard M
February 2, 2009 10:02 am

Allen (09:10:00) :
“Coral reefs in the Ordovician were of a 100% different composition, rugose corals, which are extinct. Modern corals (scleractinians) did not evolve until hundreds of millions of years later. They are not comparable in any way. Please get your facts straight before posting this nonsense.”
Whether this is correct or not, just why should we care what the compostion is of the coral reefs? For some reason many people want to forget our world is all about “survival of the fitest”. That doesn’t mean we shouldn’t understand the effect of our lifestyles. However, knee-jerk reactions are uncalled for.

Richard M
February 2, 2009 10:07 am

HasItBeen4YearsYet? (09:59:34) :
Excellent!
Isn’t it strange how reports like these are ignored. It reminds me of the way forest fires were viewed years ago. Now, we understand they are “healthy”.
So much is not understood or misunderstood that will eventually fill libraries.

TJ
February 2, 2009 10:07 am

Can anybody point me to a clear explanation of how PH change over the past two hundred years was measured?

J. Peden
February 2, 2009 10:09 am

Eric (07:35:24), from Real Climate:
“The equilibrium reaction for CO2 chemistry in seawater that most cogently captures its behavior is
CO2 + CO32- + H2O == 2 HCO3-
[…]
It works out in the end that CO2 and CO32- are very nearly inversely related to each other, as if CO2 times CO32- equaled a constant. “

I don’t think so. From a simple inorganic chemistry standpoint, here’s what happens when CO2 interacts with H2O in the presense of Ca:
CO2 + H20 = H2CO3 = H + HCO3
HCO3 = H + CO3
CO3 + Ca = CaCO3
So right at the beginning, there is no obvious way that adding more CO2 to the H2O will decrease CO3, despite what RC thinks is a “most cogent” equation.
Otoh, if there is a way, then RC should show the equations, etc., not simply summarize/make pronouncements as per its “most cogent” offering.
“Most cogent” is not a term from inorganic chemistry, where words have been replaced by equations for a reason. Chemical symbols and quantitative reactions replace the inferior qualitative words.

Bill D
February 2, 2009 10:29 am

pkatt (06:42:22) :
“Steven Goddard (19:28:25) :
I’m not trying to construct an argument that corals or shellfish can survive in acidic water. Because they can’t.”
I think you are misinformed here. Lately some deep dives have been discovering life that depends on deep ocean volcanic vents. To quote from the dive record in the link on the 2nd picture of the dive summary: Closeup of tube worms and long neck barnacles that colonize volcanic vents on the seafloor. They live by metabolising the hot, acidic, mineral laden fluids being pumped out of the vents.
http://data.gns.cri.nz/hazardwatch/2004/10/nz-scientist-explores-underwater.html
Isnt Nature marvelous:)
Pkatt:
Steven who you quote above specifically states that “corals and shellfish” are adversely effected by acid conditions.
How does your quote on “tube worms and barnacles” relate to corals and “shellfish”? Clearly corals are not going to survive in deep acidic waters. Shellfish is not a valid taxonomic term, but barnacles are not usually included.

Allen
February 2, 2009 10:34 am

Steven,
I know you are not that bright, but surely you can understand that organisms which are entire family levels apart, would respond to things like ph in a different manner? Do you really think that all ocean organisms process calcium carbonate in the exact same way? The truth is; the ability to secrete calcium carbonate is a convergent feature, it evolved many many times, as an adaptation to living in an ocean full of dissolved Ca ions. Each time it evolved slightly different, which is why corals are very sensitive to ph, while other CaCo3 secreting organisms react differently. Your article shows a complete lack of understanding about how this process works. You should be ashamed of yourself.

pablo an ex pat
February 2, 2009 10:35 am

Here’s an interesting piece that talks about the beneficial effects of extra CO2 on some important classes of marine organisms when it comes to building their exoskeltons.
http://oceanacidification.wordpress.com/2008/04/24/can-seashells-save-the-world/

Bill D
February 2, 2009 10:36 am

Richard Sharpe (08:42:16) :
Bill D is still at it:
Richard:
My point is that conditions in Australia and accross the tropics are hot enough to kill off corals. I don’t see why it is necessary that one be concerned about the cause of the warm water, only that it’s warm enough now to threaten corals. The article that I quoted noted that the sea surface temperature in 1998 was the highest recorded until that time in the 95 year record of thermometer data. I think that it’s important to know that corals are now theatened by the recent or current conditions. If the oceans cool during the next decades they should be ok, as long as acidification does not increase.

Frediano
February 2, 2009 10:42 am

accuracy, precision, resolution, and most of all, uncertainty and significance.
All terms glaringly missing from the AGW religion, which behaves not as science, but cargo cult science. it is, purely political science.
The politicization of science has been a giant leap backwards for mankind, which let’s face it, is an integral part of the politics.

Bill D
February 2, 2009 10:45 am

Richard Sharpe–
It will be interesting to learn whether the record hot weather in Australia during the past month will heat the ocean enough to cause further coral bleaching and death. Surely we can study the effect of warm temperature even if we are unsure about the cause or causes. I thought that the topic of this posting was about the effect of ocean acidification and warm temperatures on corals? Scientists studying these problems may have their concerns about the local or global climate, but one does not need to know any about causes to gather lab and field data about effects of these factors on coral survival and growth.

Simon Evans
February 2, 2009 10:47 am

Steven Goddard (09:31:48) :
If people fail to consider the buffering of the ocean, they will probably reach some very poor conclusions.
Exactly so – for example, they might think that the fact of corals having existed at times when atmospheric CO2 was higher is evidence of their immunity to changing concentrations of CO2. That would be a very poor conclusion.
The issue is one of acidification (I don’t have any difficulty in understanding that word). If the production of carbonic acid outpaces the rate of deep ocean carbonate release then pH will fall (and is falling). By all means make a scientific challenge as to whether or not that is happening, or make a scientific challenge to the evidence suggesting that coral calcification will be severely affected by such acidification, but unless you can give us evidence of the pH being lower during the Ordovician Era then what understanding does your reference to it add?

foinavon
February 2, 2009 10:53 am

MartinGAtkins (09:31:46) :

“Oceans May Soon Be More Corrosive Than When The Dinosaurs Died”
The last time the oceans endured such a drastic change in chemistry was 65 million years ago, at about the same time the dinosaurs went extinct. Though researchers do not yet know exactly what caused this ancient acidification,
The Chicxulub meteor must have been made of dry ice.

You’re not far off Martin!
There is uncertainty over whether the Chicxulub impact made much of an impact on the end-Cretaceous extinction/global warming/ocean anoxia/acidification. The evidence indicates that it predates the K/T boundary event by around 300,000 years.
However there is better evidence for rising CO2 cocentrations during a long, long period resulting from the massive prolonged tectonic events that gave rise to the Deccan Traps in what is now India. This seems to have been supplemented by a massive rapid rise of CO2, quite possibly due to the K/T boundary impact that blasted into carbonate-rich deposits and vapourised humungous amounts of carbonate back into CO2. So not quite “dry ice”….but still a very solid source of massive amounts of CO2.
e.g.
Beerling DJ et al. (2002) An atmospheric pCO(2) reconstruction across the Cretaceous-Tertiary boundary from leaf megafossils Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 99 (12): 7836-7840
This group determined CO2 concentrations (plant stomatal pore proxies) right through the K/T boundary (KTB) event and concluded:
…..Our record shows stable Late Cretaceous/ Early Tertiary background pCO(2) levels of 350-500 ppm by volume, but with a marked increase to at least 2,300 ppm by volume within 10,000 years of the KTB. Numerical simulations with a global biogeochemical carbon cycle model indicate that CO2 outgassing during the eruption of the Deccan Trap basalts fails to fully account for the inferred pCO(2) increase. Instead, we calculate that the postboundary pCO(2) rise is most consistent with the instantaneous transfer of approximate to 4,600 Gt C from the lithic to the atmospheric reservoir by a large extraterrestrial bolide impact. A resultant climatic forcing of +12 W(.)m(-2) would have been sufficient to warm the Earth’s surface by approximate to7.5degreesC, in the absence of counter forcing by sulfate aerosols. This finding reinforces previous evidence for major climatic warming after the KTB impact and implies that severe and abrupt global warming during the earliest Paleocene was an important factor in biotic extinction at the KTB.”
In general many of the major extinction events in the deep past are associated with massive and prelonged tectonic events resulting in enhanced greenhouse warming, ocean anoxia (reduced pH…reduced oxygen). In fact the end-Cretaceous extinction is still not fully-defined due to the problem of dating of the Chicxulub impact (it was too early), the absence of a crater that properly coincides with the K/T boundary, and the relative contributions of tectonics (Deccan Traps) and impacts in the rather horrible events 65 million years ago…
…mind you, as mammal descendants of the plucky survivors, we came out of it rather well…

Bob Coats
February 2, 2009 10:57 am

Tim Clark (19:54:38)
Tim,
The problem with Wilkinson’t formulation of the carbonate-bicarbonate equation is that he omitted solid-phase CaCO3, which dissolves in the presence of carbonic acid to form Ca++ and HCO3-. So if you add CO2 to the system, (thru respiration, dissolution of atmos. CO2), pH drops, and CACO3 dissolves; if you take it out (outgassing, photosynthesis), pH increases, and CACO3 precipitates. You can see the evidence of this yourself in streams or lakes in limestone terrain, where CaCO3 deposits as a crust on macrophytes, periphyton, etc.

HasItBeen4YearsYet?
February 2, 2009 10:58 am

MUGGED BY REALITY
Corals Flourish at ”Nuked” Atoll

“I didn’t know what to expect, some kind of moonscape perhaps. But it was incredible, huge matrices of branching Porites coral had established, creating thriving coral reef habitat,” Zoe Richards, from Australia’s James Cook University, said of the trip to the atoll in the South Pacific.

Scientists Stunned By Coral Growth At Bikini Atoll

Bikini Atoll was the site of nearly two dozen nuclear tests from 1948 until 1958. The recent finding of extravagant coral growths have stunned the scientists who recently dove at Bravo Crater.

Another scare fades – Warming does not kill coral

The Great Barrier Reef is far more resilient to rising water temperatures than scientists feared, with less than 1 per cent of its coral affected by bleaching after the hot summer.

Bob Coats
February 2, 2009 10:59 am

Bill D (10:29:28)
Bill D,
Who are you?
Bob C

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